Winter Storm #1 #2 and #3 .. March Ushers in Winter Storms and Arctic Air is Taking a Winter Vacation Down South So Button Up and Stay Warm! Who Gets Snow? Who Knows .. A Week of Winter Weather

This is a short term loop of this coming winter storm.

Watch it move East and across the US.

Snow to the North.

Rain to the South.

It doesn't really tell the whole story.

But it's a good guide to who gets what.

Today there's across the far North of the US...

Over the Next 5 days a good half of the US gets snow.

This is a large system affecting a large area.

And though everyone loves to focus on the snow...

...this is really not about the snow but the cold.

Extreme Arctic Cold moving South.

Snow is the biggest "click bait" in social media.

Write a forecast for "snow" and everyone peaks.

Even if the chance of snow is a sliver of a chance.

As in you not a chance but you can keep wishing.

Unless you live in Minnesota you are wishing it would stop!

It's raining as I type this and I mean pouring.

Heavy summer like rain in Raleigh.

But it's freezing cold and dark gray outside.

Ominous in ways.

Weather is locational.

Tell me your location I'll tell you your weather.

In Florida we stop watching hurricanes when...

...they head up for the Outer Banks.

If a hurricane heads for the GOM...

..people in Florida watch the next wave.

Ohio is in it.

Logical as it's a place that winter favors.

Ice could be a problem in many places.

The NE is expecting snow, ice and rain.

Travel is going to be affected.

Note that the NE and Rockies have snow.

And pretty much everything in between.

But the South will have severe storms.

Damaging winds and tornadoes.

Did I say tornadoes?

Already have tornado warnings in Florida.

One of my favorite places St. Marys Georgia...

...south through Jax is under a stormy warnings.

And DaBuh is watching the ocean.

Because he's always watching the surf...

...and the weather.

He's like Neptune's Guardian Weather Man :)

Neptune Beach?

Allan in NY covers NY weather.

NY and areas near NY.

Ever see that map of how New Yorkers see the USA?

It's mostly NYC ;)

But we all love NYC right? 

Well I do...

Note he talks about Storm #2 and Storm #3

Isn't March coming in like a Lion?

In truth the REAL STORY is the COLD.

It's always good to follow friends who go wide.

Friends who follow the whole storm system.

Where is that air coming from???

Arctic Cold.

The North Pole.

Diving South for a Winter Vacation!

One of my all time favorite people is Larry Cosgrove.

We go way back.

Note he doesn't promise high snow totals.

He takes it apart area by area.

Day by day. 

Region by region.

Note #3...

"it will get very cold over the Eastern 2/3 of the nation"

This is the story friends....

Snow is nice.

If you wanna drive to snow or fly to snow.. 

...go for it.

But life threatening cold is moving down into the US.

Hope you didn't give your winter coat to Good Will!

If you want to read a great blog.

A long, long, long read ;)

Cranky is great.

Like a

Weather Novel :)

Love reading his thoughts.

He lays it out.

He sets the stage.

He goes long in discussion.

That's because the devil IS in the details.

And what slams into NYC doesn't start in NYC!

http://www.stormhamster.com/entry2/e030119.htm

Cranky watches the storms like Larry Cosgrove as they move into the Pacific and then move across the country and sometimes he even keeps watching them as they exit the coastline and sail across the Atlantic Ocean and beyond. If you want to know what is going to happen in NJ you might want to start watching the storms as to what they do out West... way out West. What's great about Cranky is he may go out on a limb or make fun of the model circus but he owns up to his past history of Tweets and Blogs. He often (as he did today) goes back to review what he and others have said and then takes a stab at "this is where we are today" (my words) and as he so often says he often and reviews what happens and revises the forecast some and that is indeed all you can do with winter storms as winter storms form in real time. Just like that snowflake on your phone on your app it's there one day and gone tomorrow and then sometimes it snows and it's not even in the forecast. It's weather. It's why we love following it and why are are intrigued by it and why we stay up in the middle of the night to get the new model run and to see what the NHC says when they update the advisory even though we know they rarely say anything different at 2 AM. 

As for me I'm watching the rain and hoping tomorrow it will be pleasant enough to go to Temple and seeing friends and hoping Sunday it doesn't rain all day and then I am going to hunker down for the really cold weather Wednesday and Thursday when it goes down into the low 20s. The house smells incredible as I made a turkey breast with small baby potatoes and carrots and I'm about to steam or roast asparagus and I made Split Pea Soup with turkey bones because it feels more like winter than it does Spring. I made a Fake Crab Loaf from Salmon and a very special, secret recipe that includes crushed Crab flavored Potato Chips from UTZ and trust me those chips have about as much real crab as I am getting snow. Artificial crab flavoring, artificial grape flavoring... we live in an artificial world in ways yet so far no one has learned how to make fake, artificial snow but if they could... they could rule the world.

That's it for me. Have a wonderful weekend and I'll update on Sunday if there is much to write about or if I have time to write and until then keep watching all the usual people you follow and I follow and they follow or just binge watch some show on Netflix under the cover if it's too cold to go outside. 

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.

Ps... I talk often on Virga and how snow shows up on the radar and you get excited and there's a snowflake on your phone weather app but nada, nothing is falling from the sky. The weather person on the TV explains how the layers of the atmosphere are very dry and it snowing up there somewhere but well it's ain't makin it down to the ground :(

Great video of virga ... of snow falling and captured on video and note ... the sky is snow free at the ground's surface. Reed Timmer is awesome. He gets the great shots and video always. And generally if you want to see snow and it's nearby and you've got mountains you need to go up to the snow...   The mountains get snow, the Piedmont gets a chance of snow and the coast rarely sees snow. There are always exceptions to that rule... keep on watching the weather.

Snow falling but evaporating before hitting the ground at 7000’ west of Denver CO creating an interesting sunrise. Now it is snowing lightly. Heading west to intercept heavier snow in the mountains @breakingweather @accuweather pic.twitter.com/hO979tCtax

— Reed Timmer (@ReedTimmerAccu) March 1, 2019

Friday Third Look at Snow Storms and Weather and a Cold, Cold Start to March.

Went out last night for drinks with friends.

Whiskey Kitchen in Downtown Raleigh.

The Capital of North Carolina.

Filled with big beautiful public squares.

And in the spring they burst forth with color.

Beneath the Oaks in the City of Oaks.

At dusk it was almost warm.

But the forecast as 22 on Wednesday.

Which season is it already?

Woke up this morning and it's March... 

...go figure.

March 5th is Fat Tuesday.

March 26th is Purim.

Busy month.

Make the calendar your own :)

Happy March!
Yes that means 3 months til the Hurricane Season.
For some it's considered Spring today.
Meteorological Spring begins March 1st :)
Why you ask?

https://t.co/yVDNv9jEUP

— Marshall Shepherd (@DrShepherd2013) March 1, 2019

So you can decide if you go with today...
...or wait til the Spring Equinox.

We're still waiting on the real winter storm to stand up.
This is an older tweet but I love it.
Because it's kind of how I feel as well.

Trends: A story of love, hate, and misunderstanding pic.twitter.com/Bc2C7gsK9a

— John Homenuk (@jhomenuk) March 1, 2019

Check back later this afternoon.
I'll talk on this weekend's storm.
And what will be will be with the next.

I'm still holding with Roxboro gets snow.
Doubtful on Raleigh.
A sliver of a chance it doesn't rain this Saturday here.
Sunday shows thunder.
Do I count ten days because it's winter?
Or go with March 1st being Spring?

Check back later.
Til then.... much here to think on.
And still relevant.

https://twitter.com/crankywxguy

Posting this image from yesterday's blog.

It shows a messy mix of systems trying to come together.

Models have been doing the two step.

An old Virginia Reel .... 

Did you ever have to learn this in school?

I did.

If only Mother Nature would come together like this.

But they they kind of then they move back.

Mother Nature doesn't want to dance this year.

She's doing her own thing.

Bi Polar personality maybe?

Or 2 Faces of Mother Nature.

Northern Jet Stream.

Southern Jet Stream.

Will these two ever hook up again for a winter storm?

Not likely but possible.

DaBuh shows these possibilities here above.

Who do you believe?

Whether it's the hurricane season or winter....

... The EURO and the GFS can't agree on the weather.

It's like that dance above.

We take a few steps to come together and then...

... things fall apart and we slide away.

Move on down the line.

EURO says NO.

GFS promises YES.

When you love the weather there are always consequences and moodiness sets in if the snow storm gets yanked away by the Yankees and Southerners dream of one last chance to see snow flurries flying about. Boring weather is boring for weather people. We all have those memories we love to remember and wish we could get a set up like that again. A few thunderbolts that came down fast nearby frightening us out of the pool and running for cover. A day when tornadoes were predicted and hit nearby and the sky turned more colors than Jacob's coat of many colors but they were all turbulent and in motion as they raced across the sky to a touchdown nearby just beyond the horizon. Standing on the protected porch with my brother watching things flying down the street.... roof shingles, branches, small trees in what was not a strong breeze but a real hurricane. Santa Ana winds in California snapping electric wires, starting fires and killing the flowers in the garden as if a dragon just exhaled with his dangerous breath as LA was melting under it's relentless presence. Weather memories dance in our heads the way scenes from Twister make us laugh and we love songs that talk about the weather. Loving weather has consequences.

Loving weather has consequences.

For many of us it's the first thing we remember loving.

Staring out the windows at a hurricane blowing.

Palm trees bent over swaying in the wind.

Hanging out on the porch in a thunderstorm.

Playing in our first snow fall.

Seeing our first snow falling.

Seeing the trunk of a Twister forming in dark clouds...

... wondering where it will touch down.

We are stuck at the end of winter....

...with wicked cold about to descend.

And yet only promises of rain....

Even though we dream of snow falling.

Weather people don't play it safe.

I'll tell you that.

See when you film a video for a song named Perfect..

...you put snow into the video.

It makes everything more perfect.

In some places weather is happening.

The Tar River in NC is flirting with flood levels.

NC has had way too much rain this year.

Hurricanes and Winter Storms that brought cold, cold rain.

And rivers that flow downstream and well..

..Spring brings River Flooding doesn't it?

California also having problems with flooding.

Beautiful Sonoma County is washing away.

And in places like Canada......

......they have ice and snow.

Pulaski NY has snow and ice.

Up in those parts they are so over winter.

One of my daughters lives in upstate NY.

Some of her hoops have ice on them.

She has a lot of hoops. 

Can't keep them all in the house.

Snow everywhere.

And I know she's dreaming of summer.

Blue skies and bright clothes.

Fountains and rainbows.

And hooping in the sunshine.

https://www.instagram.com/dinadeehoops/

In Florida and California where she grew up...

.... life was a different story.

In Miami winter is pretty much over.

Mango Season has taken over.

Mangos are so tasty.

The heavy scent of their blossoms baking in the sun is not.

The scent is musky and heavy and gives me headaches.

But oh the mangos are so delicious.

I had mangoes in a salad in Myrtle Beach.

A Key West salad.

Mangoes and Hearts of Palm.

Anyway.... maybe I'll get some snow flakes.

Not holding my breath.

They take the snowflakes out of the forecast.

They put in a wintry mix.

They take it out.

It's a dance weather people do...

...until a day or two before it comes through.

And then we will see what we will see.

I hope to see some snow.

If only wishes came true...

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Instagram and Twitter.

Ps... Weather memories are forever.

Somewhere an old woman stares out the window of a Rest Home at snow falling.

And on the front porch an old man sits in a rocker watching the sky and wondering....

... if it will snow or rain and we are as we were when we were little kids. Looking out 

the window and watching the weather. I've danced in rainstorms. I've stood on beaches 

getting slammed by tropical winds in nameless hurricanes that all blur together.

I don't want to watch a movie about the snow I want to walk in it and feel it 

and see it falling before we race ahead into the hurricane season which is coming soon.

Stay tuned.

I40 Winter Storm.... From TX/OK to NC Coast ...the Storm Does a Road Trip East Bound. Who Gets What? No One is Sure....

The players are visible on the loop above.

Note everything is East Bound....

High pressure pushing down from the North

Moisture piling in from the South.

And the Road Map is along Interstate 40.

I40 goes from NC to California.

Though in NC it's a major artery West to East.

Or East to West depending where you're going.

Takes a little dip down towards the SE to Wilmington.

This was the road of the North Carolina.

If you drove up to the mountains....

..... or you drove down to the sea.

Old timers know this road like the back of their hand.

It cuts straight across Oklahoma like a Mason Dixie Line.

Further to the North it's more like Kansas.

Further to the South it's more like Texas.

Arkansas.... Tennessee 

Then the beautiful North Carolina highlands.

The map above doesn't do the view justice but....

...it gets you where you are going.

A nice video shows you the view well ....

...way better than I can tell ya

Note the elevation...

(give it a few minutes to get going)

Love movies that show maps....

This picture shows you the story here...

Elevation!

Mountains...

The further up in elevation....

...the more chance you get of snow!

www.spaghettimodels.com

Above is a 5 day forecast for snow.

I added the 24 hour one in today.

Compare and contrast.

Note two things....

Snow accumulations aren't high further West.

But as it crosses the mountains...snow.

Snow forecast like the red spot on Jupiter over NC

But who gets exactly what?

Still hard to tell.

Evolves in real time.

Snow storms are wonderfully hard to forecast.

A Cape Verde Hurricane is way easier.

Those are some big mountains.

They could get a big snow storm.

It's also possible the big snow totals are to the East.

Winston Salem or Greensboro could get a lot.

Raleigh? Really no one is sure.

No one here ever is..

I show Raleigh as it's an iffy area.

And I live here.

Charlotte also is iffy as to the exact impact.

NWS above.

Accuweather below.

Waiting to see what will happen.

Days ago I posted this map on Twitter

What I was pointing out was the actual snow...

...and the system forming off the coast.

The low tightening up.

Few were talking on that.

DaBuh watches surf and weather.

He saw it coming and posted this today.

See it IS about the Low in the GOM.

Sitting near where Michael made landfall.

Has that been a magnet spot this year or what?

They are getting slammed with rain along the coast...

...and the winter storm to the North.

I10 gets rain.

I40 gets winter weather of some sort...

Still evolving in real time.

As the moisture in the GOM feeds the storm.

As the storm is moving East.

So many moving parts.

Showing these model pages from www.windy.com

Lot's of layers to play with there.

Saturday on the EURO...

Moisture moving in from the GOM.

Winter Weather moving in...

Over the mountains....

filling in the Foothills.

Piedmont Crescent gets a winter storm.

Yesterday's post explains the Piedmont Crescent.

Charlotte to Raleigh.

Check that post out later ..

Euro shows snow over NC.

Winter weather of various types.

Snow. Sleet. Freezing Rain maybe..

Below on  Sunday on the GFS moisture feeds in..

Snow takes a road trip on I40 East.

Snow!

Note the GFS has snow on Monday for Raleigh.

  

Much aligned GFS shown above.

See the snow over NC?

See the storm forming off the coast?

Could the snow really stop at the VA border?

Just a model..

Let's talk about the NAM.

Adding this in while editing.

Their discussion mirrors my thoughts.

And they ate two of the best especially in NC.

I'm ending this model discussion with the NAM.

Short term modeling.

Great image below.

Shows the players.

Note the moisture feed coming in from the GOM.

This is what Dabuh is watching.

Storm forming OFF the coast.

Transfer of energy.

Snow and Wintry Mix over Carolinas.

This is our end game.

How close to the coast will winter weather get?

Could Wilmington and New Bern see snow flakes?

Flurries falling?

Will this become an ICE STORM not a Snow storm?

That possibility is there for some...

TWC below....

Nice boots.

Note they say "Snow and Ice"

What is the bottom line here?

Travel will be treacherous on I40

Travel across parts of the South is a problem.

Whether you are driving from Atlanta to Charlotte..

....or Atlanta to Raleigh.

Maybe just don't.

Hunker down if you can.

Ride this out where you are...

Flights will be cancelled if you are flying..

Carefully consider your options if you are traveling.

I'm not traveling.

I'm hunkering down and waiting to see what I get.

I'll update at the top later today.

When the next models come in...

...and after we see the storm as it's evolving.

After I go shopping while I can...

Bread, Eggs, Coca Cola.

Still have water from Hurricane Season ;)

So far it slammed California with rain and mud.

Doing Texas from Amarillo to Lubbock ...

It's flirting with Oklahoma.

Stay tuned.

Winter Storms form and evolve in real time.

No real cones....

....just lots of hype and wishing.

Wishing it doesn't snow...

and wishing it snows and snows.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... Leaving this here. I have a friend who loves Asheville, loves snow and loves the piano.

I suppose if you watch this video you can understand why....   hoping to see some in Raleigh.

Winter Storm Avery. Going With That Hashtag ...Deal With It. First Official Winter Storm in November BEFORE Thanksgiving. Get Ready For the Winter of 2018/2019 It's Gonna Be Wicked.

Well this pretty much says it all.

Say it ain't so....

Hurricane Jim is out playing in the snow.

TWC calls this Winter Storm Avery.

First Winter Storm of 2018/2019

The first of many.

A look at www.spaghettimodels.com tells it is as it is...

He's selling winter clothes....

..in time for Christmas presents.

This is definitely the year the Grinch came early!

It's even coming to South Florida.

This is a real picture my daughter sent me.

Broward County.

See the new Hard Rock Guitar building behind it...

Out the front car window it's blue skies, sunny.

In the rear view mirror moving in are dark skies.

The raining on one side of the street thing is true there.

Down in Miami Dade County it's blue skies for now.

But the Cold front will move through soon.

The front will bring "end of world" looking skies.

And then.... the weather will drop down to the 60s at night.

Further up the I95 road there's snow...

And Winter Storm Avery

If you put the word "winter" into Twitter...

..the FIRST thing that comes up is #winterstormAvery

Sorry but true and I tell the truth here.

I'm not gonna use every Winter Storm Name trust me.

But FIRSTS are always important and impressive.

The first things we experience we always remember.

Be it First Loves, First Children, First time we saw snow...

The First Hurricane...

Ask Mike about his First Tornado...

So going with Avery for this one.

Why not?

I was in Maryland yesterday.

There was no snow.

But they were brining the streets.

A cute girl in a gas station in Waldorf said to me:

"yeah they're being all melodramatic about it"

She admitted she did think she'd see some snow.

And the snow be falling still.

DC is having their first snow on November 15th...

...in 22 years. 

Oh my goodness.

Talking since 1996...

Do you know where you were in 1996?

I do... 

Being very silly on AOL with Fishing...

AOL Weather Message Boards.

Palm Beach Post Message Boards...

..where Jim Williams was posting :)

And others...

We felt grown up but we acted like kids.

Good times. Good friends still.

But seems a lifetime ago.

Now I live in North Carolina.

I wait and watch for winter storms..

...as well as Hurricanes of course.

Boy this state has it all ;)

Ice Storms too!

Up near the mountains not here in Raleigh today.

It was a very interesting trip. The younger generation really watches their money and takes #adulting very seriously. Neither of my daughters in the NYC area have cable news or shows. They watch on APPS and share wifi with friends and they do their own thing. I was cut off from TWC and CNN and FOX and no local Spectrum News with Weather on the Ones. Basically I was in a time bubble hanging out with my kids, grandson and sampling the newest kosher restaurants in Manhattan and Brooklyn. Dixie BBQ makes unreal good burgers, fries and dairy free shakes and Mr. Broadway serves awesome sushi with complimentary pickles and Cole Slaw (sounds weird but actually was great Cole Slaw) so that happened. I got my news from the scroll on Madison Square Garden, oddly interesting and of course on Twitter. Generally I switch news channels depending on the story, in truth they are all depressing and combative so being away was a nice vacation from the news. I'm still not sure who won in Florida, but then again pretty sure no one is sure on that. 

In Raleigh the news is still about Hurricane Florence. The headline today was about Governor Cooper asking for an additional 5 BILLION Dollars in storm relief and a human interest story on shipwrecked crafts from Florence that are seemingly abandoned. A question asking if it's a matter of "Finders Keepers" mentioning that many of those ships have hazardous materials that need to be removed properly. Yes, the weather people moved on to the story of Hurricane Michael and then moved on to the Winter Storms of 2018 but in the North Carolina area it's all still about Florence. Trees weakened in the storm are more prone this winter to come down if there's a problem with Ice or a strong Winter Storm. 

https://www.newsobserver.com/news/local/article221701410.html#storylink=latest_side

Today's heavy rain from the Winter Storm that was more winter up in the mountains than down in the Piedmont and Sandhills brought flooding in some areas prone to flooding. Ice up in the mountains is a big problem as they definitely got more than a "glazing" as suggested by many.

I'm home. I got flowers at Trader Joes and food for Shabbos and I'm actually cooking soup as I type this as the raw, cold day today screams "soup" with dinner. It's good to be home. 

What I did want to add though is that this trip Up North was for my grandson Shmuel Ber who was having his haircut for the first time as part of a the traditional custom of having an Upshernish. In the Torah people are compared to trees and as we don't take fruit from a tree until it has produced fruit for three years we don't cut little boy's hair either until then. There is more to the story you can Google it but the family shows up, he gets lots of presents and is the center of attention in a way he will not be for another ten years until his Bar Mitzvah. My daughter lives "up state" and they love having a fire pit going in the backyard and doing BBQ. We had an awesome BBQ along with fancy cakes, treats and desserts. My grandson was happy and is still playing with his presents. I also got to see my older two daughters who live in the New York area.

Oddly though this trip seemed to be more about talking to older friends and relatives. My Mother-in-Law Zinnia is in a Rest Home in Maryland that is actually an old turn of the century 3 story mansion. It's really a "Rest Home" and they only have about fifteen people there with a nice staff, cheerful dining room, parlor, wrap around porch and real bedroom furniture in their private bedrooms. A lot nicer than the nursing home where her ex-husband was sent in Broward County next door to a large hospital to live out his final days. Marty was in a regular nice but generic and bland retirement home on a different floor from Zinnia until he needed extra care and hospice. A few months after he passed away the same nursing home was in the news as several patients died during Hurricane Irma when the electric went out and they were not moved to the big beautiful hospital next door for health care and that busy facility was in the news again later in the year for other problems. It's sad when an older, loved person needs more care than their family can give them and it's a hard decision what to do. The old Rest Home that was once a mansion up on the hill (think Peyton Place really) is a warm, loving facility giving the boarders a sense of dignity rather than sharing a hospital room with a stranger and being just another cog in the proverbial wheel. We stopped in on the way back to sit with her a while too and Zinnia being in Baltimore is closer to us than when she was in Florida and her only daughter lives nearby and comes and visits often which is wonderful.

We then went up to Woodridge near where my daughter is living so my husband could visit with one of his parent's oldest friends who is still alive, kicking and taken care of by neighbor in her house. I'm from Miami and I really prefer a Penthouse View, but my husband is from the country upstate where it's very different; I've never liked being there but this trip was awesome. She has this beautiful house on a hill that isn't that big but fits her perfectly, though she owned much land that she donated to the city to build a school. The Neversink River is off in the distance flowing fast visible now thorough the trees that no longer have many leaves up there. She has old, old books her mother left her and we sat and talked for hours. Her family has been in this country forever, the old country being "Winthrop Mass near Boston" though she thinks her family came from somewhere near Vilna. She's feisty, she says she knows she should give up smoking in her late 80s "but it's a habit" so she sits with her cigarettes, lights them as if she is smoking, holds them but really doesn't inhale. Sharp as a whip and funny.  She reminded me a bit of my Grandmother (who did not smoke) in that she could tell quite the tale and take you back to where she was at that point in time. Bright blue eyes that darted around watching and taking everything in... and posing with my husband for a picture as if she was a movie star. Awesome really. 

On the way back I sat at the "Rest Home" with May who is really named Mary but there is a Mary there so it's confusing and they asked her if they could call her May. The woman was 92 years old and barely had a wrinkle (she says she never used bar soap to wash her face....) and could tell stories about growing up in Brooklyn and had just gone to New York for a Christening for a Great Grandson and said she is not going "up there again" but I'm thinking she will. It's always amazing when you see older people who are alive, aware and vibrant... it's inspiring. 

The truth is you never really know what the future is and being depressed over things in the past is well depressing.... why we don't live in the present and enjoy it I don't know. Many of us do ... many do not and I thought much on this trip on why we worry so much. When I say "we" I mean me and my brother though I know because we were raised by a mother who worried about everything. So we end up walking a balance between taking chances (like storm chasing, traveling, moving about the country, pushing our safety zone) and then reverting to worrying behavior on everything. I actually thought deeply on this at the Ohel in Queens where the Lubavitcher Rebbe is buried and is a holy site where people pray. Worrying takes so much time away from us, it robs us of what is going on in the present as we are in a rush to worry on next week, next month and next year. It's one of those places where you go thinking you know what you will pray for and then suddenly all these other real thoughts rush in and you find yourself really praying on what has most been bothering you yet you couldn't put it into words.

So.... that was my trip. I'm back. I'll post on weather as it's evolving and currently we are evolving from the Hurricane Season to a Winter that will be devilish in it's own way. El Nino is producing one heck of a Subtropical Jet or as many say a "Southern Jet" and it will ramp up storms in the South as well as enhance ones Up North. Joe Bastardi (I know love him or hate him... he's a good meteorologist) has been screaming for this to be a cold winter for months. All the models now show that and it's overproducing in the same way that Florence wasn't expected to be much more than a Fish Storm off Africa but crossed the Atlantic at a high latitude, becoming a Major Hurricane and making landfall in the Carolinas. Everyone said the Caribbean was "dead" this year and yet it produced Hurricane Michael one of the strongest storms in a long time. We had a good hour or so of snow flurries in Upstate NY with no notice of them showing up in the forecast and this early Winter Storm Avery has over produced winter weather across many states and it's still evolving.

That's life. 

If you have hurricane supplies left, hold onto them for this Winter as we will see quite a few dangerous Winter Storms. Many insisted November would show a warm up after a colder than normal October and guess what? There was no warm up and none in sight other than this weekend the sun will come out and shine bright in Raleigh, but we will be dressing right. Speaking of Dressing I picked up a Turkey at a grocery store in Brooklyn named BINGO and am going through recipes for which to use this Shabbos and which to use this coming week for Thanksgiving. 

That's my life. I know I've been away but being away is good as it gives you the chance to reflect, breathe, see kids, eat sushi and hamburgers and way too much junk food while driving, buy presents for some of the grandchildren, children and sons and daughters in law. And when you come home it's so good to be home. And though snow is not in my immediate forecast I know it will show up soon. Below is a Map by an online friend who is good at making maps and forecasting weather. He's smart, quick, fun and a good dresser. Hoping to say hi in person next trip to New York in January rather than simply passing by quick :) Nice map.

https://twitter.com/AWxNYC

Reading his tweets and Cranky's Blog and Spaghetti Models..

...was my link to the weather world on this trip.

Loved seeing snow.

Loved seeing family too!

Travel safe if you're in Winter Storm Avery ;)

Icy, slick roads and nasty weather.

Besos Bobbistorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps.... look at that water vapor loop.

Tropical moisture sucked up into Winter Storms...

...will bring us a crazy, wicked winter.