Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Saturday, April 27, 2024

Truly the Night of the Twisters… Multiple PDS Tornadoes Touching Down All Night in Oklahoma

 

add pics in the morning….

By the time you read this........the sun will have come up and we will see the horrific damage in Sulphur, Oklahoma and many other towns from Oklahoma to Kansas to ...well earlier tonight there was a warning for a town in Michigan while chasers were chasing in Oklahoma. Dawn will make the damage from the day before look doubled, tripled as this wild line snakes its way through an area known for bad tornadoes but this truly was the Night of the Tornadoes... Twisters. And, when you watch the new Twister remember that's not real and this is real........ and while many are sleeping when you wake up in Dallas at sunrise there will be thunderstorms ..... 

I wrote a friend earlier tonight on the importance of getting the word out on the dangers of the 2024 Hurricane Season. What if it's as bad as many have forecast and there are two hurricanes making landfall at the same time in different areas? Part of that letter is is below:

"ya know.... it's rare Ryan Hall Y'all is at a loss for words. One town actually got hit multiple times by and now has a flash flood alert. Amazingly the 2nd set of tornadoes missed the part of the town that's still whole. And, I know as someone who can talk as much as you and I can...that's freaky, humbling... sometimes it's hard to find the words even while you are live online"

This is truly the Night of the Twisters as there are weather warnings from Tx/Ok border to Michigan (?) and all the chasers are out there in different places getting footage of the damage which is epic from a historic perspective.  Ryan Hall has been on air live 11 hours and has raised over $130,000 by way of his squad ...to be used to help whoever they can.

The Hurricane Season is 34 days away. 

I cannot over emphasize the dangers inherent in the 2024 Hurricane Season IF the forecasts verify, and so far there hasn't been a forecast that predicts a normal or slow season so I'd take these warnings seriously. Many have said this will be like 2017, though who really knows.... one analog year from CSU is 1926 and we really do not want such a year again such as that one.  Three different Major Hurricanes... hit South Florida, Cuba and the Bahamas, each legendary in their own right. 

I'll be offline Monday and Tuesday for the end of the Passover holiday and then I'll be back ready to talk about the 2024 Hurricane Season full time as we are getting closer to Prime Time.

As always mitgating factors can show up in real time that make storm tracks take storms out to sea and inhibit hurricane development despite really hot water in the MDR as we have seen in the recent past. But, never rely on a miracle. Feel free to pray for a miracle but never rely on one.

You know the old story about the guy and the boat and the rope then the helicopter who complained why he wasn't warned by God ...variations abound. 

Get a plan. Be ready to put that plan into action. Remember the year Florida got hit by 3 or 4 hurricanes criss crossing the state with tracks and all the cartoons, it really wasn't funny............

Prioritize your personal plan....  do you have children or elderly people living with you or dogs or fish?

You can begin putting together supplies while supplies are on sale. You don't have to wait until you are in the 3 Day Cone when nothing is left at the market.

The NHC and the NWS both provide you with early warning. Way earlier than Ardmore, Sulphur and other cities tonight got though they knew in general there'd be tornadoes.

Hurricane Ian was predicted to form when it was a weak wave out in the Atlantic and the focus area was obvious and yet people complained it hit Fort Myers Beach not Tampa and it never occurred to people watching Naples it might flood? Seriously? Ask the ghosts of those who died in the 1926 Hurricane what it was like to have no warning until hours before and most thought Miami Beach was flooding due to heavy rain and knew nothing about storm surge.

Hurricanes are one of the only disasters you can prepare for in advance, and if nothing hits you ...then you have snacks for the next month or so and you can use the money you saved to evacuate to go to Daytona or Orlando. When moneity is tight the Dollar Store has great non-perishable foods you can buy for $1.25 all you have to do is hide them from the kids, your spouse or yourself so they will be there when you find yourself in the Cone and by the time you get to the store all the good stuff will be gone and all you'll find is canned oysters.     

I'll be updating in the morning with images after the sun rises. 

I'm gonna go watch Thor's video and go to sleep.

Prayers for all those whose lives were shattered tonight and who may have lost loved ones not just the place they work or their home or their school

I saw Merle sing this song once upon a time live… 



Friday, April 26, 2024

Colorful Convection in the Caribbean... EPAC Begins in 19 Days!

 


As we cruise into May....
this is where we pay attention.


Note the flow over Panana moving from the SW to NE
Also notice the flow moving NE from Mexico over the USA
Feeding the severe storms and chase weather we have ongoing.


Close up a look at this interesting box.

This region encompasses the Deep Caribbean and the Eastern Pacific. If you cut the map vertically, you will see this area as one region and what happens in one area impacts the other. Strong convection is moving off of Colombia which later in the season produces convection frequently that can develop and/or westbound tropical waves move into these juicy waters and make a tropical connection. It's a secondary Inter Tropical Convergence Zone that often feeds storm development in the EPAC. The EPAC Hurricane Season begins on May 15th so this is an area that bears watching. The fly in the ointment as seen below, is currently the flow is still from the SW to the NE meaning it'll blow back convection into our basin. Sometimes a storm forms in the EPAC and crosses over into the Caribbean early in the season.  Nothing is expected to happen, but if you're on a cruise down there the weather will be wonderful if you like stormy weather. This region also has many diving locations so it's important to watch it more than you look out into the Atlantic for tropical waves that will battle the Saharan Dust already in place moving off of Africa early this year.


A wild card is the early tropical waves running at low latitudes towards South America, sometimes in busy seasons you get an early one such as Bertha in July, but this is late April and they are just fun to watch. A brillian colorful display of convection on the various satellite images we watch, but remember it's not September nor is it even July! Wind flow will blow that convection apart and/or up towards another part of the Atlantic where water is not hot enough yet to develop. 


Stay tuned.
Prepare.
Get a plan.


During Irma's approach to Florida.....
... Miamians found a plan.
Everyone raced North towards Atlanta.
Survivors from that road trip.....
..,most likely will not do that again.
Cars were abandoned.
Gas Stations out of gas.
No Hotel Rooms ....

Just saying, panic is a great motivator.
But better to have a plan than panic!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter 

Everybody's got a cousin in Miami....
...come August and Septemeber
Everyone wants to get out of Miami 












Thursday, April 25, 2024

Tropics Quiet. Saharan Dust Plumes Hit the Road.... Soon It'll Be Hurricane Season. Do You Have a Plan? Don't Blink.........

 


Our area that was highlighted yesterday....
.... is no longer mentioned.
As you can see from the loop above....
...the flow is from West to East still.
Caribbean is still out of the SW to NE
Not ready for prime time yet.

But time to think on your priorities.
Planning ahead is my best advice.


A look at the 5 day shows the HIGH.
Double barreled high on some days.
That tends to dry out the atmopshere in the SE
Fronts try and move South and collapse.


This is the MDR
Main Development Region.
Red - Saharan Dust.
The deeper the red... the stronger the dust.



Moving West towards the Islands.
Some SAL getting through.
And, there are fires in South Florida.
It's Fire Season there in the Glades.

Everything has it's season in nature. Winter is behind us, Spring is in sway and launches us towards the eventual start of the May Monsoons in the Miami area and then the Hurricane Season. We have Spring Training, Baseball and Mango Season that coincides with most of the tourists here for cool weather and outdoor festivals have gone elsewhere as really living in South Florida once the afternoon Monsoons begin at 3 PM is not for the faint of heart. 

In Raleigh my maple tree is deep, verdant green, covered with healthy new leaves illuminated by the afternoon sunshine. I can smell Summer as the flowers fade away and the Farmers's Market comes alive with local produce. 

And people here and in Miami are both talking about the Hurricane Season and the forecasts that predict we will go deep into the alphabet if all the forecasts verify.

I want people to remember one thing. When we say "prepare for hurricane season" we don't mean figure out which room you are going to ride out a hurricane in; most people pick the bathroom unless it's wide open with lots of windows to look at nature while taking a bath in which case find an interior walk in closet or a long hallway far from the front door. Preparing for a hurricane is not about the hurricane but about the long aftermath when the power is out, when the water is not yet fit to drink and your neighbor's ficus tree is in your pool. The ficus tree may also have clipped most of the tiles off of your roof but hopefully your shutters held safe.

It takes a good few weeks to get power back after a minimal hurricane in the densely populated Miami area, and so what will you do during then when there isn't even electric to run a ceiling fan?

Backgammon?
Write a novel on a lined paper notebook?
I guess you'd be busy weeding the plants and taking huge limbs of fruit trees that snapped in the wind off what was your garden.

Ask a local, ask an old timer....
What to do after a hurricane.........

Join a caravan Northbound on I95 out of South Florida stuck in traffic for hours, days. Make sure you have cans of gas to take with you as gas stations may be closed, blown away and/or not in working order.

I'm being honest. Not trying to scare you, just trying to be honest. 
It's not pretty. Those who are prepared and have a  plan, a generator and what to run the generator on are ahead of the game.


Link below. Good before and after advice.



Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Don't Blink.........













Wednesday, April 24, 2024

Yellow Circle in ATLANTIC? Who Had That On Their Bingo Card For April??? 10% Low Expectations................. But Yes, It's There..........

 


Quick update on the surprising early yellow X
10% NHC says not expected to develop.
But they did decide to post a special update.


When you look at this image below....
....shows why we are here today.


Red means HOT Water.
Orange red means HOT water.

But upper level winds are not there yet.......
........just because the water is hot!


And yet here we are....

I'll do a full update tomorrow.
Been online with friends staying here.
And definitely worthy of a post on a yellow circle.

Stay tuned.
Prepare for 2024 Hurricane Season.
It's only a matter of time...











Tuesday, April 16, 2024

IF THIS WAS MAY.............We'd Be All Over This..... Caribbean Convection

 

That' dark area in the sea of reds and golds is convection. Visible in many ways, but kind of fun to use an out of the box method here in Mid April. The Caribbean is coming alive........day by day.


Not ready for prime time yet.... 
Winds aloft blowing, flowing SW to NE
Not conducive for development.
And yet it hangs in there.
Stubbornly!

Huge sprawling Low....
...taking up the whole NE Atlantic.
Frontal boundaries moving along still.
Not there yet... still Spring.


This picture shows many things.
West to East.
New front moving East across USA/Canada
Sturbborn convection in Carib center stage.
Dry air ....early Sahran Dust.
Down low.... EPAC convection.

That's it for today.
Stay tuned.
Way tooo hot it Raleigh today.
But cool air promised for the weekend!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm

Good song about that Low far away...
..on the far side of the world.


















 

 

Friday, April 12, 2024

OJ vs Hurricane Opal

 On June 12th, 1994 the world was rocked with a news story that went on to dominate the news cycle for the following year. It's a date and a time many will not forget. OJ Simpson a much beloved football player that broke many records in college and won the Heisman Trophy in 1968 for his incredible run at USC in the heart of LA was suddenly the suspect in his wife Nicole Simpson and her friend Ron Goldman's death! OJ went on after college to fame playing for the Buffalo Bills and infact had become quite the football hero, to many, as well as a public figure who had acted and was popular on TV. Everyone knew OJ and when you heard the term OJ it stood for a football hero, not that orange stuff in a glass in somewhere that comes from Florida.


OJ running from the police in a panic.
Making a White Ford Broncos suddenly popular ..
..and eventually the chase ended.

Much discussion on TV
Familes argued over OJ's innocence or guilt!


All the elements of a love triangle.
A husband's rage and revenge.
A husband set up to take the blame.
Glitzy California story and went on and on.
Then the trial........

This is a blog about what happens when an Iconic News Story collides with a hurricane in the process of intensifying and no one is paying attention to the hurricane. The OJ Trial after OJ being on the run in his Bronco that much of the whole nation watched in the early days of Cable News..... went long into a murder trial on the news every day, leaving everyone with the memory of the staying "if gloves don't fit, you must acquit" and all of America was watching live! People watched the trial, they sat at home with friends watching the trial, everyone having their own opinion arguing it out at work or at school or pretty much anywhere you went someone would ask what you thought of OJ. 


And then on October 3rd, 1995......
........FINALLY.....the verdict was in.


And, then people cheered or screamed foul play!
People argued.
People celebrated.

Meanwhile in the Gulf of Mexico.......
...during an epically busy hurricane season.
There was your typical October storm.

September 27, 1995
Everyone is watching OJ
A storm forms down near the Yucatan.
You know those slow forming storms.
Weak, nothing much.
Crosses the Yucatan.
Reforms and heads North.
You have all been there.
Think Michael.
Nothing until it was something.


On October 2nd it entered the GOM
It intensified into a hurricane.
Nothing much to look at yet.....
..compared to the trial of the century.
(at that time..)

Cable News vs a young TWC
Even local news was following the trial.

On October 4th Opal became a Cat 4.
160 MPH


Understand had this been any other busy year with an O storm in the Gulf of Mexico, nowhere to run and trapped and obviously making landfall somewhere it would have been a lead story on the news. Everyone would have been glued to their local weather or TWC and yet many were not..........

It did not make landfall at it's peak and it was a marginal Category 3 at landfall, but as many of you know when a hurricane traversed the Gulf of Mexico and had been strong enough to have 150 MPH winds it usually packs a strong storm surge that's just as important as if it was a Cat 2, Cat 3 or even a Cat 4! And in this case Opal ran like OJ for the end zone far inland creating flooding problems way past the point of storm surge and wind impacts.  Many complained they were not properly warned or didn't know how bad it would be and yes obviously anyone who obsesses on hurricanes was out shopping at the store and preparing for a hurricane landfall. But, the general public in the path of the hurricane.... well many missed the Intensification and wrote it off as a late season mild hurricane in the Gulf of Mexico. That was a big mistake for many caught unaware ....caught up in the drama of OJ and the trial, and again the verdict was read on October 3rd the day before Opal made landfall.




In my mind they are always connected.
Forever and always.
A good lesson......
.... never lose site of a hurricane in the GOM!


How could anyone ignore Jimbo?
Dave Schwartz called him that ;)

Never ignore a bull in a china shop...
...even during a big trial like OJ.
It'll make landfall somewhere if in the GOM.

Remember that this year....
...never stop chasing.
Never stop preparing for Hurricane Season!!

BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter


Top of the charts October 1995...
















Thursday, April 11, 2024

Florida Storms Continue. Tornadoes. Flooding. Storms Moving UP Into Carolinas. Hurricane Season 51 Days Away... EPAC Month Away. Early Named Storms in May???


You can find these radars live on Mike's Weather Page
I-95 in GA and Carolinas gonna be messy today
Coastal storms on the beach if you like wild weather.
Fronts still moving down........
...often spin up early season named storms in May.
Something to think on.....


Let's start here..........
...from far away and wide view.
You can see what we're watching today.
Chasing, tracking, discussing.

Let's go in closer


A stream of moisture is zooming up from the Yuke
Crashing head on with a strong spinning Low.
Tornadoes, Flooding, Spring Storms.


Note the triangular appearance on this image...
...on the line still down by FL
And the moisture feed from SE into E Coast!
Note the little impulses down in the EPAC
They want to spin....
...but winds coming in still from the West....
Eventually we should have an EPAC season
On time?
May 15th?
Definite Maybe
???

Over by Africa......
the usual early season LOW wave like features form
Turning pink and purple on the Mimic


You have a rich, moist feed down in the EPAC
Even a few pink purples 
And from the YUKE up to NW FL
Moisture laden energy feeding the storms.
That'll move up into the Carolinas today.
Virginia also.....


Speaking of pinks and purples,.
Too low, too soon.
Mother Natures Way of Saying.
Next Up Hurricane Season.
Coming Soon ....

And yes I'm going to remind you.
51 Days Til Hurricane Season 
Less than a stack of cards.

With fronts still moving down towards Florida then going flat, flatter and flatter as we get closer to May it's likely, possible tho not probable but worth thinking on that we could see early named storms especially in that region of the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Once the Yucatan gets into play, it's something to pay attention to as it often births baby tropical storms in May that crash eventually into the West Coast of Florida somewhere depending on the flow and the geometry of the pattern!


Playing around with the phone.
Nespresso in one hand the phone in the other.
Thinking out loud.
Thoughts on EPAC below.


So.........

Prioritize
Get a plan
Figure it out now.
Way easier than trying to later
When there's some sudden TS Warning
upgraded to a Hurricane Warning
And, you're all "what the heck it's only May?!?!"
Don't be that person.

Diamonds may be a girl's best friend........
...BUT good shutters & a generator may be your best friend!

https://firmanpowerequipment.com/blogs/news/storm-preparedness-have-your-firman-ready One of Mike's biggest supporters should definitely be supported by us and they have a great website with lots of info!


(that house is outta power ....whoosh, gone)

Sweet Tropical Dreams!
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram




















Wednesday, April 10, 2024

Severe Weather with Tornado & Flooding Warnings in Tornado Alley in the South.... Live Chase Day Today... From Louisiana into Misssissippi & Alabama

 


Of course what gets into Alabama...
edges into Florida Panhandle and Georgia .


This is a textbook "bow echo" pushing East.


Particularly Dangerous Situation there.


In motion you can see the need to push East..
Bow Echo....developing in real time.
Tornado, Hail, Severe Weather and Flooding
All concerns today.


Easy to follow the radars.......
...on Mike's Weather Page
www.spaghettimodels.com

And you can watch Reed chase...
...that's what I'm doing.
While doing other things this morning!


Ps...of course TWC is live...
As cells move from Hammond to Picayune!

Stay tuned.

BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

More a Lousiana Wednesday....
...but a good song.
At least this isn't night...
..and ppl can see the storms.
And pay attention to the warnings.
Nighttime tornadoes are the worst!












Tuesday, April 09, 2024

Did you Enjoy the Eclipse? Did You Watch?? Will You Travel to the Next One??? 55 Days Til Hurricane Season...........

 


Not Your Momma's Eclipse Blog Pic!

My brother sent me this picture of the partial eclipse in Florida, it's an awesome picture and of all the pics I saw of the eclipse it's one of the best I've seen. And, it brings up the question if you saw the eclipse but it wasn't a total eclipse and you didn't see the diamond on the side or the full blown Corona effect did you still really see the 2024 Eclipse??


Obviously this is THE OMG Corona pic ppl post....
Total Eclipse of the Sun.
Very cool.
Saw it once, truly awesome.

But if a tree falls in the forest question....
...answer is the tree still fell.
Maybe someone heard it but didn't see it?

The Eclipse for me was very nice moment in time and made me stop and think on life on many levels as well as "wonder" how if at all it changes anything? If it's all truly scientific.... why does it seem so OMG WOW spiritual to many who watch who sound literally as if they are having an orgasm screaming while viewing this very normal scientific event that is forecast centuries in advance by astronomers and astrologers .... how can we be so in awe? Centuries ago when the sky went dark I get it and it looked like the end of the world. Did people even see the diamond and corona while hiding in the cave?? I wonder...

If the sky gets dark, even for 5 minutes, it's obviously going to make animals feel weirded out and perhaps explains the reason people insist they feel "spacey" and a bit "dizzy and lightheaded" ... well if they are very in tune with their body they do.  A few people asked me at 5 pm "so when exactly is the eclipse?" and I just started thinking "do they live under a rock" because with all the hoopla how did anyone not know when the elipse was happening? Someone who was at 95% said they didn't notice anything different, and granted the sun is so bright it was still bright out and yet in other places at 75% and 85% people told me they "I saw the difference in the quality of the light" and I believe them. I could see it in Raleigh. The light looked different, there was a dimmer effect in place and the edges weren't as sharp and yet it was brighter than dusk where it's actually darker. 

I talked to my friend who is in town, always have good conversations with him about life and things such as eclipses. I watched the light. Took a walk outside and smiled at the little eclipse, crescent shaped looking shadows the huge tree made and watched the crescent moons dance in the breeze. Kind of cool, not so super surreal as the Corona that I saw before and yet once the Corona is gone and the moon has moved on the Sun comes back and it's kind of as if nothing happenend.

Kind of like when we have a tornado warning in NC and everything goes wild for a few minutes with downdrafts and a possible sighting of a cloud that produced a funnel cloud about 3 miles away and then the sun comes out and it's gone as if it never happpened.

Hurricanes are long events that literally change your life forever and being in an eye wall for five minutes or 20 minutes sitting out in lounge chairs in the driveway watching birds fly around and high level clouds racing across the top of the eye is mind blowing and not a few minutes of "wow" or even "OMG" in my mind, in my mind's eye as I've been in the eye of storms ... and I've watched a total eclipse. All awesome, but different. Each eye is different and yet almost all solar eclipse coronas look the same. 


According to Google.
This is why this happens during an eclipse.
Well Up North trees I don't think Palm trees.
Maybe??
Never knew this til the 2017 eclipse.


This was joyful, playful and amusing.
Little small crescent moons projected on the pavement.
My distant cousin who lives nearby...
...did the same thing.
What is in our genes?


Apparently a lot is generic.
Love of nature, weather, life.
Photography for sure.....

So if you saw the Corona ...
..good for you!
Everyone should once in a while.
Next lunar eclipse I'll be out there staring.
Love the romance of a lunar eclipse.
Next hurricane.......... well you know.


And if you just aren't into eclipses....
Lunar or solar eclipses.
Just science what's the big deal??

If you are a chocolate person :)
Maybe you'll smile at this.
I know I did lol that's cute.
Well done.

53 Days til Hurricane Season.
We need to get back to the heart of the matter.
And that is Hurricane Season 2024!
And, I'm thinking we have a named storm sooner.
It's possible.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
Hope you got to go enjoy the eclipse....
...if not there's another one somewhere.
Some people get addicted after their 1st one...
..and travel far to the next one.
Kind of like being in the eye of a hurricane!

BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

This song is for my brother Jay...
...he loved this album as a baby.
He sent me the picture at top.
He was born around a lunar eclipse..
Time speaks to some of us.
Reminds me of the Hurricane Rhyme...
September Remember.......




















Monday, April 08, 2024

Total Eclipse Over USA Today - Look at Hurricane Seasons From Same Saros Cycle Eclipses. Will the Eclipse Change Your Life? Yes? No? Maybe? Hurricane Season 2024 ???? Time Will Tell.....


The subject of the day is The Eclipse that crosses theUSA, totality going from Texas to Niagra Falls. Remember there is an eclipse path that crosses most of the East Coast in varying stages but not everyone gets totality!  This image is supposed to be 2017 but who knows, they mostly look the same. Lunar Eclipses often are colored differently and sometimes in Miami we get a Red Lunar Eclipse due to Saharan Dust in the atmosphere. So let's look at these eclipses and past hurricane seasons. Many people ask if there is some correlation and I think that often is in the eye of the beholder, some dots that connect and others do not. I'm just going to show a few and let you think on it a bit as Hurricane History is my specialty; my passion and where my mind always goes when something unusual happens!


This is the area of totality! Total Eclipse Path.
This is from a site in Indiana. Link at bottom.
Fairly well covers the details.
Eclipse and OMG a Comet too!




So today's eclipse tracks, in it's entirety, across the Eastern Pacific, ALL of the USA gets some and all of the Caribbean and most of the Western and North Atlantic.  Obviously Texas gets this eclipse in full force, as does the New Madrid Fault Line (home of the Big Daddy of US Earthquakes) and tracks across Washington DC, New York City, Boston and hits all the popular ports of call ...including Baltimore still a bit dead in the water waiting to get rid of that ship that took out that bridge.

No I'm not alluding this to the Eclipse, I'm just saying it's a thing going on as we all get ready to party hardy or hide in our caves from the Solar Eclipse. I'm staying in Raleigh. One of my best friends is due in soon so that's kind of cool and love talking eclipses and other things with him so looking forward to that. And, it'll look "different" though not really dark and I'm fine with that. As I said in a previous blog I have seen a total eclipse and many partial ones, if the Northern Lights were for sure going to show up over Tennessee or Virginia tonight I'd definitely chase that! 

So let's take a look back at the last few solar eclipses in this particular cycle known as Saros 139. Eclipse cycles repeat over time and I'm only going to go back to the 1930s, though it's worth remembering there was one in 1861 over the East Coast and the Atlantic. The 2017 eclipse over the USA was not part of this cycle but Saros 145, you can Google all this if you are really interested; astronomers and astrologers pay much attention to these cycles as well as historians looking for some tidbit that explains something about what may or may not have happened in the following year or two. It's been pointed out often online that the 2017 eclipse was before the very strong, deadly Atlantic Hurricane Season that brought us Harvey, Maria, Irma and many other hurricanes.

 2/25/1952


1952 Hurricane Season - Weak El Nino


Happening in the world from Google.
I did check the Pacific. It was busy. Always busy...


1970 Eclipse!


3/7/1970
A very similar track to this one.
A bit further to the East over the USA
Covered the Caribbean


1970 Hurricane Season - Moderate La Nina
Famous for Hurricane Alma in May
Celia in Texas.... 
It was quiet for a while and then busy.


From Wikipedia...oh look Vietnam War
Also campus unrest across the US
Adding in some more as some of us remember vaguely..


3/29/2006 Eclipse


E ATL, Africa, Europe, Russia, Asia



2006 Hurricane Season - Weak El Nino


Dubai, Belarus
Let's look at the Oscars for fun!


On a personal note....

Shortly after the eclipse I began looking into other jobs, even though I had a job I loved near where I lived it had few benefits and I was at a point where I had to think "what's in this for me" and did I really want to make a big change in my life. A few months later, after all the various interviews and rigamarole that goes with Academia I left the cute City Library and took a job with Touro College on Miami Beach a fairly long commute but it took me back "home" to Miami Beach where I lived a long time and it had easy access to the ocean 2 blocks away and I was able to hang out at the beach while any storm named or otherwise was nearby or approaching :) and Cuban Coffee on Lincoln Road and Victoria's Secrets on Lincoln Road and the College had security at the front desk so not anyone could just walk in or park their huge boat out in front of it thus blocking the entrance the way the ship in Balitmore is doing today. It was a good move, lots of benefits, paid tutiion for whichever kids were old enough to go to college there and at the same time I moved from one house to another nearby. These were huge decisions based on practicality, moving on and I didn't have to worry someone would send an elephant or boxes of packages to the old house where things often got stranger than the library. 

Seriously it was a very big year for me, and no the eclipse did not go over either of my houses or job locations, but changes were made and they led to other changes down the road and here I am in Raleigh. Maybe those changes were connected to the Eclipse and maybe not in any way were they connected. Everything in life is timing...

Soooooooooooo I ask you........
What changes do you want in your life today?
What changes would you make even if they were a huge upheaval?
I gave up a sure thing for a new college location that may not even make it past the first year!
Back up plan was I'd move to NY and get a job in Touro NY if I wanted to make that move.

Changes?
Signs?
What do you want to do in 2024?
Let's look at today's eclipse.


2024 Eclipse Today.


E PAC, Mexico, Central America
America, Canada, ATL

2006 Hurricane Season
??????

CSU Forecast


Busy Season expected... 
La Nina? Neutral-La Nina?

??????

Time will tell .......
Site below I used for today's El Nino discussion!

https://ggweather.com/enso/oni.htm link used for the El Nino vs La Nina as some sites vary...


www.windy.com

Storms over East Texas!!
Will Texas ...Houston get a hurricane this year?
How bout Louisiana? Also has storms...


Cloud forecast for today.
Euro Windy.


time will tell.....
TIME WILL TELL

:)

Thanks for anyone here who spent the time to read my "off season" blog when I talk on things not always connected to eye walls and cones or even ice cream cones!  A lot on my mind today and at the same time trying to go with the flow and enjoy whatever happens. 

Soon we will get deep into Hurricane Season discussion but we are not there yet, and the various factors that will or won't happen over the next 6 weeks will dictate what type of hurricane season we will have vs a forecast that might not verify in ways. 

If we continue having frontal boundaries moving down far enough it is possible we could have something form down in the Caribbean near the Yucatan and work it's way North IF all the various elements work out and come together properly. But the long, lingering frontal boundary in the GOM or off the East Coast of Florida can and often does set us up for a May named storm.  Let's look at Alma lastly and while it's often mentioned there are few that did what Alma did ...


May 18th, 1970.
I remember it as the Hurricane that got away.
I was young, tracking.
Looked to come to S FL
But alas it went to West Florida.
We got some rain.... no eye.
The mind of a Hurricane Person ;)

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps Thanks for reading along if you did.
I needed to write and I did.
:)

Some songs for the eclipse




I knew a boy that loved the Monkees...
...he was young.
He's still young at heart and in most ways.

Great song :)
smiling