A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Friday, October 09, 2015
Euro & GFS Showing GOM Development. Possibly FL In Play. Have you donated yet to those in need in SC? Please do..
A lot of innuendo and discussion concerning a possible tropical event in the Gulf of Mexico. The GFS has been crying development, but until now the Euro has been silent as she watches the last remnants of Joaquin far away in Spain.
The Euro was celebrating it's victory in the forecasting match with the GFS.
But now the Euro has weighed in on tropical possibilities too!
There's a front. You know the drill.
And there's convection in the Caribbean...
Let's wait and see what the Euro thinks tomorrow after lunch..
They are just things; stuff that memories are made of...
Things you look at to remember.
The house remains but all the reminders of gone.
In your mind for as long as you remember...
Maybe write those memories down.
Because the pictures and souvenirs are not there anymore in some places.
So as for cleaning up after Joaquin.
Going to take a while.
Beautiful stories of people helping people.
Finding photos and bringing them back...
...so they can try and salvage something.
Interesting for me to read as I have been going through a move. I've been getting rid of lots of things; saving other things. What is it with men they just don't want to let any "thing" go ?? My brother in Miami is proud of his collection of flashlights in the closets and equally older batteries. They go bad after a while... My sister in law regularly goes on a cleaning spree and argues with him about throwing out old saved packages of soaps from hotels and motels they have visited. They are very comfortable luckily, they buy soap all the time but getting men to give up those things isn't easy. Yes I often keep those relish and mayo packs in a drawer from some place that puts 6 mustard into a "to go order" (why would anyone need 6 packages for one hamburger or 6 soy sauce for one sushi order??) because if I am out of relish (happens) I have an emergency pack. After Hurricane Andrew... we had mustard on our cold cuts because I saved them. But some things need to be thrown out or given away.
If you have something that has sat in the back of a cabinet for 8 years unused.. you probably do not need it. Someone who lost their home in a flood or doesn't have money for a mug may want it. Someone who may never get to Hawaii may want your Hawaii mug to keep as a reminder of where they want to go for their 10th Anniversary. Give it away to someone who can use it. As a mother who raised my kids on my own with little help from anyone..back when I was divorced and they were small ... I bought a lot of things at Red, White and Blue thrift shop in North Miami. Loved that place. Found things I gave away when I moved back from LA to Miami and gave away a lot of stuff there over time. Really why as a culture do we hoard a box of AAA batteries that were bought 10 years ago? ???
Now might be a good time to give dinero $$$ to the good old Red Cross. Money...
Now might be a good time to give things you no longer want to people who might want it; who might need it way more than you obviously did not if it is sitting in a closet unused in ten years.
Contact your local place of worship or a community service group and see if they are collecting food, toys, diapers, clothes for people in the flooded region. Many are collecting and trying to get it to the right places in South Carolina.
Note the article and passages about Chabad of South Carolina. They are a Jewish group that provides many services to people in Columbia, Charleston and Myrtle Beach.
Note it will take a while to put all the roads back together again....
It will take a lot of money to put people's lives back together again..
Locally they dealt with the flooding that came during a Jewish Holiday.
Sukkoth, the holiday of booths when you eat and party outside.
This year...the booths looked more like boats or floating arks.
Everywhere help is needed.
The drought may have been busted.
But people's spirits are not busted.
Floods are the great equalizer.
They don't care if you are black or white.
Christian, Jewish or Muslim.
They don't care if you are overweight or thin.
Young or old.
And everyone needs help.
Note death toll is up to 17.
Misty water colored memories....water covered memories indeed.
Scattered pictures of the smiles we left behind.
The clean up means people need things.
A lady on TV was grateful neighbors brought her photos they found.
Pictures that had floated out of her home and into their yards.
She said she had been meaning to scan them and put them online.
We've all been meaning to scan those pics ...
We've all thought of taking pics of kid's schools projects ...
...rather than holding on to tattered remains in the bottom of a closet.
Make an album online on some photo shop company....
I have a few nice albums from pics I saved on my computer :)
Do it now!
Because they may float away in a flood...
...or take flight in a tornado.
What are memories to you?
Record your memories, scan your photos.
For your children and loved ones...
Give the old crap away that you haven't touched in ten years.
Do it now.
To you it's an old momento or even a piece of junk.
To someone else it may be a plate or pot they need but couldn't afford.
Something to think on..
People cannot be replaced.
Memories are all that remains.
@bobbistorm on Twitter
Ps. Good show in Jacksonville going on about when Mother Nature goes on the Rampage. My words, check it out for yourself. http://jacksonville.com/entertainment/arts/2015-10-08/story/moshs-new-exhibit-nature-unleased-shows-results-when-nature#.VhbM56LiAOE.twitter Weather happens every where and earthquakes have no warning. Learn now. Make a plan. Scan pics. Give money or things you don't need. I know I am ... mug by mug, casserole dish by casserole dish. How many casserole dishes do you need anyway?
Post Coverage of Joaquin..On It's Way to Spain. So many people asking "WHY?" High Death Toll When All is Said and Done. I95 Still Closed in SC... Floods in Texas. Music tells the story... sort of . . .
A Kafkaesque look has come to the coverage on TWC of the Historic Flood that was a result it seems of an "Atmospheric River" that was just recently discovered. Ain't really got nothing to say ...as Willie Nelson sings . . .cause really don't have answers for you. So many "whys" left behind.
They can't answer the big questions.
Why did the El Faro leave port and take on Joaquin?
They made it through Erika (ummm not Joaquin)
Though when they left perhaps they thought Joaquin...
...would go the way of Erika?
We may never know for sure.
They can't explain why the "Pizza Lady" took the Pizza?
Was it all she had in the house?
Did she buy it with her last few dollars?
Is she really that into Pizza ...she didn't want it to go to waste?
Hungry? Starved? Likes Pizza?
She should definitely be their new spokeswoman.
She knows how to speak.
Her interview was riveting.
Maybe they should let her cover the weather.
She was intense, compelling.
But why the pizza?
Well she got the dog and the pizza to be fair.
Why is there no normal site to show info on I95 in Carolina?
Do they just figure everyone has WAZE so it's not a problem?
I have a confession to me...
..sometimes WAZE is really annoying.
But it often saves the day.
Probably destroys marriages as some men ...
...just don't get it...
Then there's the 15 people who died.
Many drown and some are complaining it was not publicized enough.
TWC is going for an EMMY for their nonstop 24/7 coverage.
Oh.....a lot of people don't watch TWC.
They do Netflix and HULU.
I mean nonstop coverage of the flood of the century...
Yet until people see the creek rise ...
..and the dam breach...
They just don't believe it.
Sad, really sad.
Actually its a miracle that more people did not die.
The Pizza Lady is right.
They are just possessions.
Never let the possessions own you!
At least we have weather apps and the NWS.
Years ago the creek rose and no one knew...
The Catastrophic Insurance Adjusters are on the scene already.
Floods are easy they told me. One small area and you can move about faster.
Get more done. Get more claims filed faster.
South Carolina is having a Live Press Conference.
Roll up our sleeves and get the job done.
Register with FEMA.
If we tell you to leave an area.. please leave.
My son is driving back from FL to NY today.
South Carolina welcomed him....
And then.............they detoured him...
A long detour...something about Florence SC...
Note the beautiful Carolina Blue Sky..
Meanwhile life goes on.
The atmospheric river is flowing somewhere else today.
Joaquin is way out there...............
It's a backwards Cape Verde Wave.
Went West not East to there rather than from there.
I have a friend who does astrology.
She insists this is the Retrograde Hurricane From Hell.
Hard to argue that one...
The final track will be a doozy for the history books.
Bahamas and the Azores.
And it sunk Carolina as much as the El Faro without even making landfall.
Okay one part of the whole "fire hose" discussion.
Winter is retreating into Indian Summer.
I always did love that Indian Summer.
Texas, by the way, had serious flooding as well.
Not connected in any way to Joaquin.
Miles and miles of roads across the US ripped up from flooding...
Joaquin Aims for Azores. El Faro Sunk... Gone. Carolina Tries to Clean Up. I95 Tries to Open.
At 11 PM Hurricane Joaquin.... was a still a hurricane.
Up far in the North Atlantic
I realized tonight why I like the Canadian Satellite.
It looks like a UM Hurricane.
This view also shows the very cold water to the NE of Joaquin.
Or take the red and blue view.
I was wondering why the 11 PM was slow coming out.
Discussion tells the story. Waiting on latest imagery.
Cone has shifted to the right side of the 5 PM cone.
Now headed more towards the Azores...
And being Post Tropical sooner rather than later.
Compare and contrast below with 5 PM
Note the Azores were in the Wind Probs at 5 PM.
But.. I waited on 11 PM before including it.
Note 5 PM discussion wind probs.
Wind probs always rock..
How did Joaquin remain a hurricane so long?
This is how Joaquin stayed alive.
Note how he tapped into deep tropical moisture
Compare and contrast the cone from 5 PM
Note the 11 PM cone is on the South side of the 5 PM Cone.
Hurricane Joaquin had Great Britain in it's 5 Day Cone at 5PM. Go figure. The little engine that could .. never stopped going. Long live the Euro...
80 MPH moving ENE at 29 MPH. Crazy storm. Dangerous Storm. Totally underestimated storm.
Let's go back to Monday Morning at 5 AM when the ship El Faro was getting ready to depart to San Juan in a "slow hurricane season" famous for storms unable to hold it together and a much talked about El Nino leading to the illusion of safety from disastrous storms.
15 people have died in South Carolina from storm related deaths. That number may climb..
33 people were on board the El Faro
48 people have died from and that isn't counting any final totals from the Bahamas.
This is what bothers me when people wax poetic on El Nino and how we don't need to worry on hurricanes this year. This is why it bothers me when they put up cartoon characters like Godzilla and write long articles about Global Warming and the demise of the 2015 Hurricane Season due to the biggest El Nino since 1997 in August or even early September.
The Ding Dong the Witch is Dead that went on this past summer has turned to chagrin and dismay.
How could a ship set sail into a hurricane in today's age?
Well the forecast a week ago at 5 am is shown below. Note the ridiculous amount of "which way the storm might go according to every model but the NAM" vs a hard core, old fashioned discussion (before the models were all public) of the basic problem with making a forecast for a still disorganized tropical storm. Note, many made fun of the fact that the NHC even upgraded that Invest while worrying on moisture in the Gulf of Mexico.
Okay I'm really not here to crucify the NHC on this one.
They did a good job with a very difficult storm.
A worst case scenario of .. everything that could go wrong did.
5 Days before this I don't even think this area had a yellow circle.
But that's a blog for another day.
I'm just saying
Dorothy got more solid advice from the Scarecrow.
And ...he supposedly didn't have a brain...
There's a blog post up on www.stormcarib.com that is worth reading.
But it did make a difference to 33 souls stuck on a ship...
.... in the eye of the Category 4 hurricane.
I bet if they could speak they'd say it felt like a Cat 5.
But what does a few miles per hour really mean.
When you are stuck in a stuck storm...
Great discussion Dave.
Thanks to me friend Pat who always makes sure I read it ;)
Such a really good solid discussion.
Compare and contrast with NHC discussion.
NHC discussion used to be more clear cut.
Conservative ALWAYS but clear cut.
Yes. I know ... it's written for professionals to reword.
BUT in today's world everyone reads it...
..as they watch the models.
Every kid on a Kindle can access the models.
Every great grandparents on windows can find it.
It's on our phones... u don't even need a PC anymore.
You don't have to go to AOL Weather Boards to find it.
You'd think the NHC would put up their own model graphics.
But then why would they compete with Ryan and Levi?
Just saying they were way too conservative from the start.
Yet... it wasn't even a yellow circle 5 days before.
On the 22nd there wasn't even a purple splotch let alone a circle.
We were watching other areas.
On the 22nd ...no circle, no splotch.
On the 26th... an orange circle pops up.
Makes me wonder if we had another Labor Day Storm...
Would the models pick it up?
Would the NHC be conservative in the beginning.
This in ways reminds of the Labor Day Storm.
What would they do in such a scenario?
The ship sank.
Bottom Line...the ship is on the bottom of the ocean.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Studied meteorology & geography at FIU. Been quoted in the Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm