Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Thursday, February 28, 2019

Friday Third Look at Snow Storms and Weather and a Cold, Cold Start to March.



Went out last night for drinks with friends.
Whiskey Kitchen in Downtown Raleigh.
The Capital of North Carolina.
Filled with big beautiful public squares.
And in the spring they burst forth with color.
Beneath the Oaks in the City of Oaks.
At dusk it was almost warm.
But the forecast as 22 on Wednesday.
Which season is it already?
Woke up this morning and it's March... 
...go figure.

March 5th is Fat Tuesday.
March 26th is Purim.
Busy month.
Make the calendar your own :)


Happy March!
Yes that means 3 months til the Hurricane Season.
For some it's considered Spring today.
Meteorological Spring begins March 1st :)
Why you ask?



So you can decide if you go with today...
...or wait til the Spring Equinox.

We're still waiting on the real winter storm to stand up.
This is an older tweet but I love it.
Because it's kind of how I feel as well.




Check back later this afternoon.
I'll talk on this weekend's storm.
And what will be will be with the next.

I'm still holding with Roxboro gets snow.
Doubtful on Raleigh.
A sliver of a chance it doesn't rain this Saturday here.
Sunday shows thunder.
Do I count ten days because it's winter?
Or go with March 1st being Spring?

Check back later.
Til then.... much here to think on.
And still relevant.



Posting this image from yesterday's blog.
It shows a messy mix of systems trying to come together.
Models have been doing the two step.
An old Virginia Reel .... 
Did you ever have to learn this in school?
I did.
If only Mother Nature would come together like this.
But they they kind of then they move back.


Mother Nature doesn't want to dance this year.
She's doing her own thing.
Bi Polar personality maybe?
Or 2 Faces of Mother Nature.
Northern Jet Stream.
Southern Jet Stream.
Will these two ever hook up again for a winter storm?
Not likely but possible.

DaBuh shows these possibilities here above.
Who do you believe?
Whether it's the hurricane season or winter....
... The EURO and the GFS can't agree on the weather.
It's like that dance above.
We take a few steps to come together and then...
... things fall apart and we slide away.
Move on down the line.

EURO says NO.
GFS promises YES.

When you love the weather there are always consequences and moodiness sets in if the snow storm gets yanked away by the Yankees and Southerners dream of one last chance to see snow flurries flying about. Boring weather is boring for weather people. We all have those memories we love to remember and wish we could get a set up like that again. A few thunderbolts that came down fast nearby frightening us out of the pool and running for cover. A day when tornadoes were predicted and hit nearby and the sky turned more colors than Jacob's coat of many colors but they were all turbulent and in motion as they raced across the sky to a touchdown nearby just beyond the horizon. Standing on the protected porch with my brother watching things flying down the street.... roof shingles, branches, small trees in what was not a strong breeze but a real hurricane. Santa Ana winds in California snapping electric wires, starting fires and killing the flowers in the garden as if a dragon just exhaled with his dangerous breath as LA was melting under it's relentless presence. Weather memories dance in our heads the way scenes from Twister make us laugh and we love songs that talk about the weather. Loving weather has consequences.


Loving weather has consequences.
For many of us it's the first thing we remember loving.
Staring out the windows at a hurricane blowing.
Palm trees bent over swaying in the wind.
Hanging out on the porch in a thunderstorm.
Playing in our first snow fall.
Seeing our first snow falling.
Seeing the trunk of a Twister forming in dark clouds...
... wondering where it will touch down.

We are stuck at the end of winter....
...with wicked cold about to descend.
And yet only promises of rain....
Even though we dream of snow falling.
Weather people don't play it safe.
I'll tell you that.

See when you film a video for a song named Perfect..
...you put snow into the video.
It makes everything more perfect.


In some places weather is happening.
The Tar River in NC is flirting with flood levels.
NC has had way too much rain this year.
Hurricanes and Winter Storms that brought cold, cold rain.
And rivers that flow downstream and well..
..Spring brings River Flooding doesn't it?



California also having problems with flooding.
Beautiful Sonoma County is washing away.


And in places like Canada......
......they have ice and snow.
Pulaski NY has snow and ice.


Up in those parts they are so over winter.
One of my daughters lives in upstate NY.


Some of her hoops have ice on them.
She has a lot of hoops. 
Can't keep them all in the house.
Snow everywhere.
And I know she's dreaming of summer.
Blue skies and bright clothes.
Fountains and rainbows.
And hooping in the sunshine.



In Florida and California where she grew up...
.... life was a different story.

In Miami winter is pretty much over.
Mango Season has taken over.


Mangos are so tasty.
The heavy scent of their blossoms baking in the sun is not.
The scent is musky and heavy and gives me headaches.
But oh the mangos are so delicious.

I had mangoes in a salad in Myrtle Beach.
A Key West salad.
Mangoes and Hearts of Palm.

Anyway.... maybe I'll get some snow flakes.
Not holding my breath.
They take the snowflakes out of the forecast.
They put in a wintry mix.
They take it out.
It's a dance weather people do...
...until a day or two before it comes through.
And then we will see what we will see.
I hope to see some snow.
If only wishes came true...

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Instagram and Twitter.

Ps... Weather memories are forever.
Somewhere an old woman stares out the window of a Rest Home at snow falling.
And on the front porch an old man sits in a rocker watching the sky and wondering....
... if it will snow or rain and we are as we were when we were little kids. Looking out 
the window and watching the weather. I've danced in rainstorms. I've stood on beaches 
getting slammed by tropical winds in nameless hurricanes that all blur together.
I don't want to watch a movie about the snow I want to walk in it and feel it 
and see it falling before we race ahead into the hurricane season which is coming soon.
Stay tuned.












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Friday, July 20, 2018

Tropics Quiet. Coastal Low Moves Up Towards SNE. Carolina Getting Swamped With Rain. Twin Twisters Dance on the Plains (Iowa not Oklahoma) and SAL Lunges West Again as Waves Keep On Coming. Check with NWS Before You Make Your Weekend Plans on the East Coast


Just to stay grounded here...
NHC 8 AM


Nothing tropically to talk about.
Much discussion on a coastal low today.
Remember that GOM coastal system...
...never got a name but lots of rain?
Sort of a similar set up in NE.
SNE to be exact.
Long Island
Rhode Island.
Cape Cod.

But the real story today is Down South.
What starts down south doesn't stay there...


Note the long draped cold front that went flat and is now a rain front of sorts ( I made up that term) and it's raining, flooding, pouring across parts of South Carolina. Oddly they have had a rainy area off the coast for days in one way or another from Charleston up to Myrtle Beach to Wilmington. They have been a real rain magnet this past week. Now at some point the rain wraps up and moves it up the coastline; some models show it hovering over the coast vs off the coast. Had this system sat and lingered for a few days over tropical waters we might have gotten some sort of Chrissy storm system but it's on the move as if it's on a summer vacation bound for the great beautiful NE. My mother did that one year, she insisted we drive to New England for the only real vacation we ever took. All the places I really had no interest in seeing such as Williamsburg VA as she was into Colonial stuff and then onward to NE so she could see what Yale looked like (why Yale vs Harvard I don't know) and understand I had to sit in the back seat of a small car as a teenager between two little fighting brothers. This really totally made no sense. Looking back it never made sense and it was the one summer of my life I wanted to stay in South Florida. 

The hype I have read online makes no sense. People keep asking me if it will get a name. And, in truth the NHC that has been writing great discussion on waves and the tropics but they could do anything as the last few years they do things out of context with their general past pattern of doing things. Maybe next year they will make up a new storm name "Possible Tropical Weather System" known on the maps as PTWS for those storms that everyone wants to know why they are not naming and putting out forecasts for...

That's what the National Weather Service is for...

If this goes tropical or extratropical or subtropical they will be all over it immediately.
Feel free to save this link where the NHC talks about things not seen on their map page.


What is interesting is that we have fronts; one front after another progressing across the country and down into the Deep South in July. We also have a huge, strong High Pressure area that currently is propelling SAL into our cities providing colorful sunsets and health alerts for people with breathing problems.  You can see the SAL being propelled West below on the right side of the loop below. Again I'll remind you later in the season hurricanes can and often go where the SAL went especially in the earlier part of the season in August. 


hicbsat_None_anim.gif (768×496)

As for the weather mass ...
... you can see where it's going.
Prepare to spend the weekend at the Mall.
Maybe a movie?
Redecorate?

allfcsts_loop_ndfd.gif (799×559)


Basically the whole East Coast is gonna be messy.
Plain and simple.
Some places are going to be messier.
Rain is needed but...
Pain on the weekends.
No one wants rain on the weekend.
I actually don't mind it.
I don't like when it remains around for days.
I'm going to Florida this coming week.
Looks like rain.
Summertime.

And not going to ignore the incredible outbreak of tornadoes in Iowa yesterday. Some of the most incredible video I've seen in a long time and I've seen a lot of great storm chasing videos. You don't see that every day unless it's a badly made Hollywood movie that plays often late at night. Not talking Twister that if it was up to me could play every day and all night on some channel somewhere.


Even Hollywood wouldn't think to put that ...
...into the Wizard of Oz.




As for tropical waves.
They are there and healthy.
But then they hit SAL.
At some point this changes.

geos5_AOT.gif (800×618)

It's an atmospheric ballet....
Waves pulse up and cut into the SAL.
SAL wins out eventually.
Next wave comes off ...
...it begins again.


Think of them as dancing.
Waves dancing with Cousin SAL ;)

Excellent tweet.
Love someone who knows how to look at the long view.

Cliff Notes.
Week 1...






Please add him on Twitter.
Especially if you want to see Week 2 and 3..

Stay tuned and please watch the weather.
Weather happens very fast in the summer.
Over lakes, over plains and by the coast.


Check out your local weather this weekend..
...and every weekend.
Before going out on the lake..
..or to the beach.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... Think of SAL as the BEAST.


Watch that loop.
They actually kind of dance with each other.
At some point SAL gets tired.
Winds shift...
Patterns flip.
Things change.



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Wednesday, March 01, 2017

Tornadoes, Hail, Straight Line Winds - Massive Midwest Outbreak Moving East Today. Stay Informed Check With Your Local NWS http://www.weather.gov/


March 1st. 
Severe Spring like weather outbreak.
Tornadoes, Straight Line Winds, Hail.
Even the signature above looks like a tornado...


Sadly that death toll now stands at 3 and could rise.
Last night Twitter looked like this:



According to MSNBC this morning more than 100 Million People were or are under the gun from severe weather last night and today. When you have a crazy, cell zoom by large cities in Illinois you get the media's attention. Even during the speech last night weather people broke away from complaining and cheering to cover the developing disaster. So far, and they are still searching through the rubble, 3 people are confirmed dead. Cars on freeways were tossed about and straight line winds competed with tornadic cells that popped up and moved en masse across the Midwest.


This great site below is on www.spaghettimodels.com
To the left of that "juice loop" I use so often during hurricane season.


Click on it and you can watch in real time.
Last night it was explosive.



Concerns for today as an even larger population area is again under the gun rises as do the warm temperatures pushing and blasting into the low pressure system out of the Southwest. It's a recipe for more damage and a loud, boisterous announcement that meteorological Spring is here today. Officially winter fights back a bit for a few days after the passage of the cold front. This weekend in Carolina threatens freezing temperatures and one last fling with boots and coats even though today we are in short sleeves and sandals.


Note the possible problems people will deal with today.


Let's see that;s from Boston down to Atlanta under the gun.
And all the cities along I95 along the way. I85 also...

Wow. 

In Raleigh the Bradford Pear Trees bloomed early.
If you like the white flowering trees.
Go out fast today.
The blooms will be gone with the wind this evening.
Maybe there will be a second bloom?
Who knows it's a crazy year.
My boots sit next to my sandals in the closet.

Some awesome pictures from last night below.


Great shots below.


Be aware as dangerous as a system is during the daytime...
...it's that much more dangerous cloaked in darkness.

Pay attention to weather any way you prefer.
Weather Radio. Weather App.

http://www.weather.gov/
Put in your city. Use it..
Knowledge is power.

The cars tossed about on I-55 last night were caught....
....in a fast moving line.

Be aware of your surroundings...
...especially what is going on with the weather!!

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter


Above you have the professional view from the studio.
This was posted by chasers.
Lot's available on Youtube.
And everyone who chases is out today as well.






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