Hurricane Harbor: Tropics Quiet. Coastal Low Moves Up Towards SNE. Carolina Getting Swamped With Rain. Twin Twisters Dance on the Plains (Iowa not Oklahoma) and SAL Lunges West Again as Waves Keep On Coming. Check with NWS Before You Make Your Weekend Plans on the East Coast

Just to stay grounded here...

NHC 8 AM

Nothing tropically to talk about.

Much discussion on a coastal low today.

Remember that GOM coastal system...

...never got a name but lots of rain?

Sort of a similar set up in NE.

SNE to be exact.

Long Island

Rhode Island.

Cape Cod.

But the real story today is Down South.

What starts down south doesn't stay there...

Note the long draped cold front that went flat and is now a rain front of sorts ( I made up that term) and it's raining, flooding, pouring across parts of South Carolina. Oddly they have had a rainy area off the coast for days in one way or another from Charleston up to Myrtle Beach to Wilmington. They have been a real rain magnet this past week. Now at some point the rain wraps up and moves it up the coastline; some models show it hovering over the coast vs off the coast. Had this system sat and lingered for a few days over tropical waters we might have gotten some sort of Chrissy storm system but it's on the move as if it's on a summer vacation bound for the great beautiful NE. My mother did that one year, she insisted we drive to New England for the only real vacation we ever took. All the places I really had no interest in seeing such as Williamsburg VA as she was into Colonial stuff and then onward to NE so she could see what Yale looked like (why Yale vs Harvard I don't know) and understand I had to sit in the back seat of a small car as a teenager between two little fighting brothers. This really totally made no sense. Looking back it never made sense and it was the one summer of my life I wanted to stay in South Florida.

The hype I have read online makes no sense. People keep asking me if it will get a name. And, in truth the NHC that has been writing great discussion on waves and the tropics but they could do anything as the last few years they do things out of context with their general past pattern of doing things. Maybe next year they will make up a new storm name "Possible Tropical Weather System" known on the maps as PTWS for those storms that everyone wants to know why they are not naming and putting out forecasts for...

That's what the National Weather Service is for...

If this goes tropical or extratropical or subtropical they will be all over it immediately.

Feel free to save this link where the NHC talks about things not seen on their map page.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/201207_MIATWDAT.shtml?

What is interesting is that we have fronts; one front after another progressing across the country and down into the Deep South in July. We also have a huge, strong High Pressure area that currently is propelling SAL into our cities providing colorful sunsets and health alerts for people with breathing problems. You can see the SAL being propelled West below on the right side of the loop below. Again I'll remind you later in the season hurricanes can and often go where the SAL went especially in the earlier part of the season in August.

As for the weather mass ...

... you can see where it's going.

Prepare to spend the weekend at the Mall.

Maybe a movie?

Redecorate?

Basically the whole East Coast is gonna be messy.

Plain and simple.

Some places are going to be messier.

Rain is needed but...

Pain on the weekends.

No one wants rain on the weekend.

I actually don't mind it.

I don't like when it remains around for days.

I'm going to Florida this coming week.

Looks like rain.

Summertime.

And not going to ignore the incredible outbreak of tornadoes in Iowa yesterday. Some of the most incredible video I've seen in a long time and I've seen a lot of great storm chasing videos. You don't see that every day unless it's a badly made Hollywood movie that plays often late at night. Not talking Twister that if it was up to me could play every day and all night on some channel somewhere.