Hurricane Harbor

Tuesday, February 04, 2020

Miami Wins & Puts on Fantastic Super Bowl. Iowa Loses... Bets It on an App That Was Broken. Don't Need a Groundhog to Know it's Spring in the South.

What's that song?

There's got to be a morning after?

Oh Snap... it was a Disaster movie :(

Seriously they knew the App had a problem.

Iowa now has a problem.

Let's never use an App to vote okay??

Ironically everyone claimed victory last night.

The weather wasn't a problem.

Technology was a problem.

This is why I don't want to vote on my phone.

I've heard people say "we could vote by App"

Yeah right...no I don't think so.

As a weather person I get it when models mess up.

Or an App promises snow then ..no snow.

Life goes on...

Winter is in the West....

Spring is in the South.

Much rain is on the way in the SE.

And in the NE the candidates have arrived.

#electronics can be frustrating #IowaCaucuses #apps #weather #sats #sigh. We thought we had problems with badly performing weather models https://t.co/XLVVLmtkcS writing ⁦@Shakira⁩ was perfection tho. Great #superbowl pic.twitter.com/YwCW36lVqa
— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) February 4, 2020

Don't you just hate when that happens?

You go to your favorite satellite and it's broken.

Or you wait for the results from Iowa and ... broken.

Well at least for us we change satellites.

For candidates they change states.

#TuesdayThoughts on #IowaCaucuses #SuperBowl2020 #weather #severeweather #spring can #summer & #hurricane #season be far behind? https://t.co/vZ3Rogvgxa pic.twitter.com/TSGl3yjj2i
— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) February 4, 2020

Jim Williams always said I should do videos.

Or maybe he said "talk"

He knows how I talk so ...

...okay he's right it's easier.

Once I got past my fear or talking...

... but basically I prefer writing.

And I love satellite imagery.

Look at that image.... that area in the Southeast is RED HOT and filled with severe weather potential and no one really needs a Groundhog to know which way the temperatures are going right now or if Spring is on the way; actually it's Spring in the South currently as flowers are in bloom. Maybe this is a February Thaw? But unless you are out in the Far West.... the winter that never really showed up is about as far away as the real facts of what happened last night in Iowa.

Again let me say I am an Independent. Yes I was raised a Democrat that has often voted Republican or Democratic depending on the election and the candidates ...though I like to party I'm not a party girl anymore. I wait and see how the election evolves and which candidates are left standing and which candidate I believe has the best chance to lead this country as November nears and Hurricane Season slows down. Yes, between now and the next Presidential Election is the 2020 Hurricane Season but for now ...in the slow season.... I go back to one of my first loves and that is politics. So I looked forward to the Iowa Caucus and the beginning of the real primary season and Oh My Goodness. I've never seen so many professionals paid to speak on air be totally speechless. I sat there last night going back and forth between CNN and MSNBC and oh my goodness. I don't really want to curse on my blog but yeah ...that happened ...

I kept saying during the whole Impeachment Trials "can't we just have an election??" and now I'm thinking ... maybe not. No seriously, as "Mayor Pete" said you could see for yourself what was going on at the Caucus and in my words who was hot and who was not. You could see those enthused about Warren or Amy and the Bernie people were on the floor and Yang Gang insisting they weren't going to vote for anyone but Yang (many then drifted away) and the Biden crowd was extremely thin at some of the venues yet always cheerful people would come around on the next count or the next... No, I don't think that happened. But maybe we will never know for sure and that's sad for the Democratic Party coming off of a horrendous 2016 where it was obvious they tried to skew the election towards their favorite candidate and many Bernie people felt it was stolen from him .... but we may never know for sure. But you could learn a lot from watching the various people who showed up to caucus for their favorite candidates and often hear who their 2nd favorite candidates were if they did not get enough to be viable.

Amazingly as we approached the Super Bowl on Sunday there was much talk about how the whole show would go seeing as it was held in Miami and you know all those "Because Miami" news stories on Twitter. People worried on terrorism or Coronavirus or some technological glitch happening. Would the actual game live up to it's expectations? (Yes it did!) and would the Half Time be a huge flop or would they pull it off? Yes, they did.. the two Latin Divas Nailed it swaying their hips, filled with emotion and passion holding most people mesmerized putting on one of the best Super Bowl Halftime Shows of all time. Okay, I'm from Miami and maybe I'm prejudice but I've loved Shakira since she first hit the scene. I studied dance and that includes Bollywood and Belly Dance and she is soo good as a performer. JLO is JLO an Icon who seems to transcend age being 50 years old holding her own up against a 43 year old Shakira celebrating her birthday in front of the world. Come on that's drama. And the game with the QB from Tyler Texas..... showing passion and leading his team from behind to victory!

So I never got around to blogging about the incredible football game Sunday as Monday was a blur for me as I tried to get the song out of my head and then finally gave up. I looked forward to the Iowa Caucus and the official start of the 2020 Presidential Election and.... well the new fancy App that they many were worried on worked about as badly as the GFS when it shows a major Cat 6 Landfall of a hurricane in Miami for a weak tropical wave rolling off of Africa in July. All of us in the weather world know how models can mess up and how really bad weather apps can be so are we really surprised? Okay, yeah I'm a bit surprised but Iowa has a history of problems. Santorum who actually once won the Iowa caucus despite the fact that they said Romney did and unable to gain any traction on that win ... we didn't find out who won until I believe the South Carolina Caucus and by that time anyone who knows anything about how hurricanes spin knows momentum is important.

It's not the first time Iowa messed up.

Both headlines above were right...

...but on different days.

Remember when.....

Trust me momentum is huge.

Whoever won or did well last night.

Would like that momentum going into NH.

So this seems to be a developing story.

I'm watching TV in the background.

Yes I watch the TV.

While watching the Twitter Feed....

....Twitter of course says "conspiracy"

And there's great GIFS going around.

Life goes on...

CNN broke away to the Coronavirus just now.

MSNBC talking on "the process"

FOX the end of the "impeachment process"

So what can I say that I haven't said? Shakira rocks and perhaps the crew that gave you the Super Bowl without any major problems should have been in charge of the show in Iowa?

As for me I'm going to move on with my day. It's forecast to be 70 degrees in Raleigh and yes I have my sandals ready to use today and the hope for snow in Raleigh is fading into the background as I watch the never ending flow of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico into the Deep South as snow edges it's way towards Oklahoma after pounding the West that has been pounded all Winter as people in the East insist Winter didn't show up.

As for New Hampshire .... the candidates are showing up there and the show will go on.

Stay safe... wash your hands ;) Always be prepared for severe weather.... Take it one day at a time and know that before this is over I'm sure there will be about odd story that crops up during this interesting Primary Season that collides with Spring Training and moves us day by day closer to predictions on the 2020 Hurricane Season. Seeing as the predictions for this Winter were horrible I'm not rushing to make any predictions but one thing I will remind you is that flow continues and the pattern of systems off the SE Coast continues the way it did during the Hurricane Season of 2019 except it's been winter like storms enhanced with the flow from the Gulf of Mexico.

And the beat goes on.....

Stay tuned.

This is all a developing story in Iowa.

Weather wise... I'm going to enjoy the warm weather.

Going to Seattle later this month....

...where Winter is still holding on strong.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps... my real favorite Shakira song ;)

Labels: breakingnews, dance, groundhog, iowa, music, politics, season, shakira, spring, superbowl, weather

Thursday, May 02, 2019

Updated 1 PM - Iowa Flooding, Tornadoes and Tropical Disturbances....Must be May. Will Update Throughout the Day

Seems the Tropical Disturbance is doing lunch on South Beach.

Low chances but hey it's hanging out.

Note the BIG weather is in the Dixie Alley.

Flooding problems going to linger with that set up.

Also it's snowing up north so... snow melt adds to the flooding.

Miami Bimini Tropical Disturbance 10%

It's there just not something to worry on.

But it should be a reminder... it's May.

So I'm going to put this out there for you to see.

The real threat for strong weather is in the Plains.

Southern Plains to be exact.

More so flooding in Iowa....

...and that will in time move down the rivers.

Flooding is going to remain a problem for some time.

Add Twisters into that mix you have trouble.

And yes we have an area we are watching.

Something is off the Florida coast.

It will move up along the coast.

There is a brief window for development of some kind.

DaBuh explains this well.

It's that time of year.

But whatever it is...

...it is small in comparison.

A reminder....

Like that song.

Someone is knocking...

Hurricane Season is knocking.

I'll update later as models do their thing... or not.

As things develop or not.

Now is the time to watch for SALES.

When Hurricane Supplies go on SALE....

...BUY THEM ON SALE.

Stock them up as best as you can.

It will help later in the year.

Because trust me someone is knocking...

Many someones.

These are some of the names that will be knocking.

Put the weather in motion...

There is something down there ... a tropical reminder.

What should you do?

Best thing you can do is get a plan.

Begin buying hurricane supplies.

And if you live where weather is flaring up today.

Stay tuned to your local weather people.

Pay attention to any warnings on your phone.

Weather can flare up fast in South Florida.

Nice image from my son Levi Meyer.

Storm clouds over Miami....

Wow would I love that view.

Building under construction.

You could sit and watch the weather all day.

https://www.compass.com/agents/miami/levi-meyer/

Bottom Line:

Florida....GA SC and NC Beaches.

If you like stormy weather vs sunny.

You'll love the beach this weekend.

But be aware as it moves up the FL coast...

Surf will pick up and rip tides will be a problem.

Swim safely and watch out for fast forming Thunderstorms!

The NAM shows weather off shore.

Gray days at the beach.

The kind only storm chasers could love.

Note Josh iCyclone knows where the real hurricanes are...

Currently NOT on our side of the world.

But as time goes by they will.

So get a plan NOW.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

That's it..... the weather data in images below.

Ps... A hurricane tee shirt is not a hurricane supply.

But think of it as spreading the word.

People stare and look.

Trust me :)

Labels: coconutgrove, CompassRealty, flooding, Florida, iowa, may, miami, RealEstate, snow, tropics, weather

Friday, July 20, 2018

Tropics Quiet. Coastal Low Moves Up Towards SNE. Carolina Getting Swamped With Rain. Twin Twisters Dance on the Plains (Iowa not Oklahoma) and SAL Lunges West Again as Waves Keep On Coming. Check with NWS Before You Make Your Weekend Plans on the East Coast

Just to stay grounded here...

NHC 8 AM

Nothing tropically to talk about.

Much discussion on a coastal low today.

Remember that GOM coastal system...

...never got a name but lots of rain?

Sort of a similar set up in NE.

SNE to be exact.

Long Island

Rhode Island.

Cape Cod.

But the real story today is Down South.

What starts down south doesn't stay there...

Note the long draped cold front that went flat and is now a rain front of sorts ( I made up that term) and it's raining, flooding, pouring across parts of South Carolina. Oddly they have had a rainy area off the coast for days in one way or another from Charleston up to Myrtle Beach to Wilmington. They have been a real rain magnet this past week. Now at some point the rain wraps up and moves it up the coastline; some models show it hovering over the coast vs off the coast. Had this system sat and lingered for a few days over tropical waters we might have gotten some sort of Chrissy storm system but it's on the move as if it's on a summer vacation bound for the great beautiful NE. My mother did that one year, she insisted we drive to New England for the only real vacation we ever took. All the places I really had no interest in seeing such as Williamsburg VA as she was into Colonial stuff and then onward to NE so she could see what Yale looked like (why Yale vs Harvard I don't know) and understand I had to sit in the back seat of a small car as a teenager between two little fighting brothers. This really totally made no sense. Looking back it never made sense and it was the one summer of my life I wanted to stay in South Florida.

The hype I have read online makes no sense. People keep asking me if it will get a name. And, in truth the NHC that has been writing great discussion on waves and the tropics but they could do anything as the last few years they do things out of context with their general past pattern of doing things. Maybe next year they will make up a new storm name "Possible Tropical Weather System" known on the maps as PTWS for those storms that everyone wants to know why they are not naming and putting out forecasts for...

That's what the National Weather Service is for...

If this goes tropical or extratropical or subtropical they will be all over it immediately.

Feel free to save this link where the NHC talks about things not seen on their map page.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/201207_MIATWDAT.shtml?

What is interesting is that we have fronts; one front after another progressing across the country and down into the Deep South in July. We also have a huge, strong High Pressure area that currently is propelling SAL into our cities providing colorful sunsets and health alerts for people with breathing problems. You can see the SAL being propelled West below on the right side of the loop below. Again I'll remind you later in the season hurricanes can and often go where the SAL went especially in the earlier part of the season in August.

As for the weather mass ...

... you can see where it's going.

Prepare to spend the weekend at the Mall.

Maybe a movie?

Redecorate?

Basically the whole East Coast is gonna be messy.

Plain and simple.

Some places are going to be messier.

Rain is needed but...

Pain on the weekends.

No one wants rain on the weekend.

I actually don't mind it.

I don't like when it remains around for days.

I'm going to Florida this coming week.

Looks like rain.

Summertime.

And not going to ignore the incredible outbreak of tornadoes in Iowa yesterday. Some of the most incredible video I've seen in a long time and I've seen a lot of great storm chasing videos. You don't see that every day unless it's a badly made Hollywood movie that plays often late at night. Not talking Twister that if it was up to me could play every day and all night on some channel somewhere.