Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, December 03, 2019

December... Thanksgiving Over As Is the Hurricane Season of 2019. Traveling Back to the Carolinas Today...



Wondering if Mike makes a Winter Weather Tee Shirt?
Hmnnn.. may ask him.
My favorite place to go to know what's going on in the weather!

www.spaghettimodels.com

Snow and Winter Weather in the NE.
No hurricanes in the tropics.


Look at that beautiful world.
Note the big storm leaving the East Coast.
More moisture in the SW moving in...
Next storm system starting up.

I've missed most my weather friends this week.
But tried hard to live in the moment...
..with a super large family enjoying the moment.
Getting quality time when I could with who I could.
Blogging from the road today.

It's December.
I bought LED Chanukah stars in Target for my window.
Going to see if they work back in Raleigh ;)


The Hurricane Season is in the Rear View Mirror.
Well on our side of the world.

It's been a while I know. I spent the last week in sunny, South Florida hanging out with my kids, family, friends and taking in all my favorite places. Today we are continuing this trek back up the coast to more of my favorite places. A new favorite place showed up on the play list last night when we met my son, daughter-in-law and the adorable Olivia and Milo in St. Augustine dining by the harbor all lit up in twinkling lights at night. Beautiful. Writing this from Jacksonville, but by the time you read it we will have gotten back on the road Northbound.

I guess I missed all the hype about the Winter Storm of early December (E name on TWC?) and pretty sure it will be really remembered as the Thanksgiving Travel Storm Mess of 2019. If you were flying somewhere along the Northern rim of the country you may have been stuck in the airport somewhere, but driving in the Southeast the highways were blue, beautiful and sunny.


Thanksgiving Weekend snow may not happen often.
But really not that rare.

The truth is a Winter Storm that impacts the Northeast and Chicago messing up travel is not that rare a thing as if it was in Tampa Florida or even Atlanta... that would be huge news. I heard Cranky is missing on Twitter, hope he finds his way back to our neck of the woods. I've been offline most of this trip just enjoying life and living in the minute. The weather in Miami was beautiful, sometimes cool at night but not blazing hot during the day and the humidity was way down. My son is moving from his apartment that makes you feel like you are in Savannah with the fountain down below up town towards Aventura and the rest of the family.



So I had a long, espresso and said goodbye to my favorite breakfast spot this year when in Florida. New favorites are nice and will pop up this coming year I'm sure. We had a tropical Thanksgiving by my In Law's pool in the backyard where the frying turkey set off the yard's fire alarm system ... the bird was fine and the sprinklers quickly shut down. The house and adjacent Bird Farm (parrots) were fine, the ground just got a bit wet which was fine and the frying turkey barely noticed the fuss.



So what else happened this weekend?
Josh got to chase a cyclone!
Much to be thankful for there.



 DaBuh closed the 2019 Hurricane Season out.
Check that off the To Do List.
I'll blog on it once back in Raleigh.
The truth is it was all about Dorian.


Jim Williams wrote up an excellent report.
Note he was on the money totally this year.
All his top places he forecast would get hit...
...got hit so I'd listen to him carefully every year.



Link to article.
http://hurricanecity.com/blogs/2019/11/hurricane-season-predictions-summary/

Note in Florida when people ask experts.....
...they make sure Jim is there.


Visit his website and donate often.
It takes money to make the world go around.
And to keep websites going.

His city picks for being impacted are highlighted in yellow.
The yellow for the places that got hit.


Never seen anyone nail every city on their list.
He does deep analysis.
I've heard people say...
"well I don't like his system for picking cities...
My thought is "Really??" "It seems to work!"
He doesn't throw darts and get lucky.
Jim is analytical and a perfectionist.
This year he was as perfect as it gets!

My daughter in Miami helped a friend....
..adopt an adorable dog from the Bahamas.
One of the ones airlifted to Miami.
Everyone wants to adopt them until...
..they hear about their health problems.
From being in a Cat 5 Hurricane...
..and starving on the streets before being rescued.
I'll talk on that later this week.
Once home in Raleigh.


So I said goodbye to Miami.
Or as I think of it MYami.
And heading home for the Carolinas.
But Miami always MY home ;)





Some places just make great coffee.
Miami, Tampa, Savannah, Seattle.
And other places in between like Nola.


 I know this is all about the coffee.
I may get a new Nespresso machine.
A small one for the bedroom.


I won't lie I'll really miss the perfectly made Cuban Coffee and Lattes ... you only get in Miami.



Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.

Seems we are good when we have winter in all the right places, sunshine in Miami and storms with awesome cores Hurricane Man to chase ... For me I'm chasing really good coffee and an awesome pecan bun for lunch today!!


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posted by BobbiStorm @ 7:20 AM 0 comments

Sunday, November 17, 2019

Updated! NHC Ups Yellow Circle to 50% Orange Circle in the Atlantic......As the Coastal Storm Begins to Move Up the Coast.. Getting Ready to Lift North Along the Coast ...




Odds now up to 50% in the 5 day.
40% in the 2 day.
NHC really fast tracking this system.
When they like something it's apparent.


Has more "there there" tonight.
Also being sheared, not in the best environment.
Not closed off as shown by the image below.


But getting there.
Where's it going?
Models show it following the leader.
As I pointed out this morning.
This is a few days from now.
Models show various variations.




So yes the Carolina Panthers lost.
Our storm slowly began moving away.
The Yellow circle became an Orange Circle...
...as the NHC seems to really like it.

Sebastien is the next name on the list.



This loop shows when a system begins to spin.
It shows MANY things....
...but it's a great predictive tool.

Took a nice drive up into the country a bit.
The Falls River Recreation Area.
That means the dam...
...by the river where they made a lake.
Too cold up on the path by the lake.
Sat down by river shoots out from the dam.
Hasn't been much color this year.
And what color we had pretty much blew away...
...in the last two storms.



Pretty tho... always.
And on the way near the house...
Street near where I live.
Usually more color in mid November.
Lots of trees whose leaves have blown away.



***


Morning Visible.
Eye like center there.
Briefly there... but beautiful.
Gotta enjoy what you got when you got it!



Yeah there's a 30% chance according to NHC..
...of something to it's SE forming.
But we can talk on that tomorrow...
...if it's still there.
Who can ignore this beautiful spinner?


Look how picture perfect our no name storm is...
.... and Monday it's your storm up the coast.
Because what starts on the Carolina coast...
..doesn't stay here this time of year.
As we dance our way into Winter.


From the Capes of the Carolinas...
...to the tip of Long Island.

Wind advisories all the way up the coast.





Watch the sea foam on the beach...
...gosh I love that.
And the erosion doesn't show well on the video.
Beaches been eroded for a while.
Only getting worse.
Winter storms after tropical systems.
Barrier island beaches ...
...always rearrange with the storms.

Listening to meteorologists online and on air talk today makes my heart beat faster for football on a Sunday afternoon with a quasi storm stronger than many of our named tropical storms this past summer. Transference of energy.... handing off as the system waits for the strong winter storm to throw a long pass and for the coastal low to pick up yardage and go all the way up the East coast impacting other much loved beaches on the way.... the same way it played with our beaches down here in the Carolinas.


Online energy is wonderful.
Always funny stuff here from him.



Images, videos, discussion.


And as always detailed explanations.

"And tomorrow for New England"

Check that out... this thing will take off soon!

And always there's some cruise ship drama...




Truly Annapolis is beautiful.
I like New Bern better to be honest.
But well... food, beverages.. 
it's a vacation right.




Love it really.
Weather, earth, science, history.
Music, dancing......

A bit of weather history today here.

Good article in the Wall Street Journal on Project Storm Fury; leaves out a lot about it's earlier days and I could say much but will leave for another day. Love the use of the word "seriously" here as controlling the weather is the stuff dreams are made of ....    And nations do it on a small scale all the time be it rain for crops or no rain on opening day ceremonies at the Olympics. But controlling big hurricanes as romantically heroic as it sounds pales in comparison to the every day enhancing rainfall for crops to grow in their season. A good read on some history, sort of a primer and well worth your time.

https://www.wsj.com/articles/when-the-u-s-tried-to-control-hurricanes-11573880461

Going to leave you with a link to read.
If you want...when you want.
Or save it for another day.
May all your favorite teams win!
May you enjoy your favorite weather....
... and be surrounded with love, friends and life...

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.
Follow me on Twitter.... for real time updates.
Follow my friends.... 
.... you won't find anyone like them.






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posted by BobbiStorm @ 5:28 AM 0 comments

Tuesday, March 26, 2019

Tropical Cyclone Iba Off the South American Coast Near Brazil. Rare South Atlantic Storm.



That's the coast of Brazil.
It's not China and it's not South Carolina.
And that's Iba... 
Tropical Cyclone Iba.
Unless you are a real tropical cyclone person...
..you probably didn't hear about it.
It doesn't show up on the NHC main page.
It says nothing going on in the Atlantic.
I guess they mean North Atlantic..


There are a lot of basins to be fair.
And though not unprecedented it's rare.


2019 Storms ... NRL doesn't show Iba.
But Iba is there none the less.


What's interesting to me is to look back over other years that produced a South Atlantic Cyclone and to see if there are any similarities we can see between this year and that year. This is the time of year when all the mitigating factors that contribute to hurricane development in the Atlantic Basin are studied to see which may be factors in the particular hurricane season.


Everyone online has been watching models.
Mike is always watching the tropics.
Models are hinting at development of a Low.
But that low is not likely to get a nod from the NHC.
The NWS will be issuing any necessary watches and warnings.
High surf, wind at the coast...
Who can say .... it hasn't formed but seems it will.

Rob's Crown Weather Services is a paid service.
He issues daily reports.
It's worth noting he's been talking on it for a while.


And DaBuh who never let a good wave go to waste....
...has been watching and posting online.
You definitely want to follow him if...
1) you do tropical weather
2) you live near the Florida or East Coast
3) if you surf anywhere near those beaches.


#OBX Low Pressure....
Very possible.
Each new system has followed a similar set up.


Back here to the Carolina coast.


Interesting how there was a large front and then....
..a small mini reflection here shown to the Wouth of it.

As we move deeper into the 2019 year....
..more fronts will fall apart and dangle off the SE coast.
They will need to be watched carefully.

Dabuh has been watching water temperatures a lot lately.
As in daily watching important areas with early development.
The water off the Yucatan is hot enough to boil eggs..
..okay it just feels that warm.
Bathtub Warm.

Early season development likes very warm water.




When the air temperature is in the high 80s in the Florida Keys.
And when the Yucatan is this warm.
Trouble is likely to happen early.


There are a lot of maps on Spaghetti Models.
You might want to scroll down and look around.
They could become useful sooner rather than later.


Just because there's no tropical updates from the NHC...
...doesn't mean there isn't weather in the tropics.

Take care and I'll update soon.
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.









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posted by BobbiStorm @ 1:30 PM 11 comments

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

Winter On the Way Out... Spring Not Totally Here ... Hurricane Season in the Wings. Good Women Meteorologist to Follow... Amy Freeze



Adrian Linares is really good to follow online!

I'm wanting to write something about this set of storms, including the much awaited last one in this series that many are watching on models while dreaming of the Great March Super Storm of 1993 as others are dreaming on tropical waves. I don't like to hype and I don't write this blog just to get clicks as much as to write on things that are worth warning people about and giving a measure of explanation and a little bit of entertainment along the way.

Listening to Country today and that's good. I mostly enjoy listening to country while in NY while driving through the Boro Park section of Brooklyn while blasting Nash Country (one of the best Country Radio Stations in the country) (yeah I did that twice on purpose) and okay I am a bit silly today officially..



It's a big country and everyone is watching their own little piece of paradise and so everyone has their own priorities. I live in the Carolinas when I am not home in Florida so my thoughts go to tropical weather along with severe weather faster than watching to see how much snow is going to be dumped on South Dakota. But this is a huge system and where you live means a lot as to your own concerns.


That's a lot of rain falling over the next five days.
And may I add in this reminder.......
... snow melt and rain = Spring Floods.
Maybe not this week but it's coming.
It's a long range concern I've had.

More weather for Florida and the Southeast.
As the flow from the GOM just goes on and on.
And I do think it will go on as we move towards May.
That flow is here to stay .. for a while anyway.
Winter storm whatever name TWC has today....


Cranky has this covered well on his blog.
He's really a long read.
I'm a lead in to a long read compared to him.


So which Winter storm to we get?
And will a Low form off the coast?

]
Crown Weather another incredible service.
You get what you pay for...



Many are watching the Atlantic....
Hard not to with something twisting out there.
It's a short term act... but fun to watch.
Dabuh said it would form and it did.


Caught between a cold front....
...and dust coming off of Africa.
It don't care it's doing it's thing.


Dabuh is on Instagram too.
https://www.instagram.com/dabuhsurf/


Now if you lived in North Florida.......
......and you surfed this would have your attention.
This was two days ago he posted this.


He's always got his eye on the tropics.....

Far out.
Close in.
It's all on the table for discussion.

My problem with the big winter storm is this...
...I'm tired of it.
Cranky has nailed this with the following statement.


Rinse and Repeat Pattern.
Gotta tell you it's gets boring after a while.
Especially when some try to HYPE every storm.
It's called Winter.
If something turns into a Superstorm.....
...that's history.
Every Tom, Dick and Harry that TWC is selling...
... are just rinse, repeat
It gets boring after a while.


Gotta good beat.
It's weather.
It's happening-ish.
Waiting for that big closer.
You know when they bring the new storm in at the end.


Of course if Boston gets SNOW they win again.
Everyone wants snow.
Everyone on the EAST coast that is...
Seattle and Minnesota are so done with snow.


Yes, it's that time of year.
Snow people get desperate .....
..hurricane people get snarky.
The in between time... 
Winter in the rear view mirror.
Hurricane Season down the road.
And storm chasers are on the road.
This is there time of year.


Yes Virginia we ARE going to have a Tornado Season this year.
You'll soon wish it was over if the trend continues.

And what do I think?

I think I'm tired of an endless progression of no neck winter storms slamming into the West Coast with fury and dumping snow up where it belongs and teasing people in the South, Mid Atlantic and Northeast with snow and then wimping out in less than a blaze of glory. 


So many things you can learn from Tennessee Williams. That man was a master of words, drama and not a drop of mediocrity anywhere near him. And, he knew Key West too and knew where he wanted to live enough to move his house cross town to the lot he where he wanted to live. You learn there are times to keep your mouth shut and not tell secrets and there are times when you know you have had enough and hear the "click" and sometimes you gotta do what you gotta do. Elizabeth Taylor was born to act in Tennessee Williams dramas. 

Yes The Weather Channel can name them anything they want and trot them out to try and get ratings but it has not been a winter of incredible storms to remember and most likely the early one in November will be the matching bookend to the one that will happen in late March or even April. Mother Nature has a way of snapping back and trying to correct an imbalance but she is moving on to Severe Weather Season in the Plains and the Deep South as deep Gulf of Mexico Moisture rises up into the heartland and slams into descending mediocre but cold enough cold fronts to cause trouble along many river cities. And those rivers will rise as we move later into Spring and snow melting along the cities along the Mississippi River and it's many tributaries will meet up with Spring rains and the forecast I'm making is that means floods. I hate to say that but it's about as much a given as mud slides in California after fires during an El Nino.

I'll talk on El Nino another time, today this is about this week's multi-faceted Winter Storm system.

I'll update tomorrow.

I think the Gulf of Mexico will produce and deliver a few early Tropical named Systems and areas off the coast of the Florida Georgia Line will produce Subtropicals that play peek a boo with South Carolina. Yes Fishing I'm talking about you :) I really need to do a road trip bad. But a good road trip hitting all the right places sooner rather than later.

So buckle up everyone because Mother Nature is trying to hit you one more time with a winter storm and then we can move on to packing up the winter clothes, boots and doing a real Spring Cleaning!

Gosh that girl can sing.


Last but not LEAST...
WHAT IS GOING ON WITH EARTHQUAKES AND FLORIDA?
Florida Georgia Line indeed....


Mike (who I should lead with but the ending is important!)
I learned about this from Mike.
Not Dutchsince (Quake Icon some people love)
But Mike from Spaghetti Models.
Thus proving  my point.
All meteorologists and closet geologists...
...and vice versa!


My brother constantly sends me links to Mike.
It's kind of cute in an endearing annoying way.
:)

Baby Brothers ...what can I say?
Yes, I follow Mike....
...I've followed Mike for more years than I want to admit.
Sometimes Mike follows me ;)

Hurricane Season is coming.
And it seems the area hit by Hurricane Michael...
...affected by tornadoes is being hit by mild earthquakes.
When you're hot you're hot... 
It's an active part of the planet it seems in all ways.

Keep watching.

Besos BobbiStorm
Sweet Tropical Dreams.......
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps... Oh the female meteorologist?
Amy Freeze.
She's pretty awesome.
My daughter Dina who lives in NY is a huge fan.

https://www.instagram.com/stories/amyfreeze/?hl=en


@AmyFreeze7 on Twitter
She posts on Instagram the way I tweet...
Nonstop smart, funny and her own unique person.
Yes she is beautiful and YES she has brains.
And she has degrees, real degrees.
Impressive degrees.



https://www.instagram.com/dinadeehoops/


Dina is not a Meteorologist she is an Artist.
And she's done her share of storm chasing...
...so she knows a good meteorologist when she sees one.

I think Dina sees a lot of herself in Amy.
Without realizing ... of course.
:)
















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posted by BobbiStorm @ 12:22 PM 21 comments