Caribbean Blob of Convection. Jim Williams 2017 Predictions for the Hurricane Season.

Being late May people are watching the loops.

And this ball of convection is entertaining.

There is shear present.

Storms are pushing off to the East.

You can see that above and below.

High Pressure is to the North.

High pressure is pressing down into the Caribbean.

Does have a look doesn't it?

Note the graphic below.

People have asked me so here's my thoughts.

It's early, but convection is in the Caribbean.

There is a "purple splotch" on the maps.

A blob of Caribbean Convection.

Sounds like a Jimmy Buffett song doesn't it?

As I said on Twitter I'm tired of ignoring it.

Embedded in a trof.. 

(old frontal boundary)

...is a hot mess of convection.

It looks better than it is...

Actually whatever center there is ..is to the West.

Not really a "center" as much as in impulse.

Shear could decrease a bit for a day or so.

Allowing some dramatic May water vapor loops.

But the odds are not in it's favor.

The models:

The Euro sees it and then loses it.

It's a temporary feature.

If anything changes I'll update.

But, it's real hard to ignore.

So I thought I'd clear that up for everyone.

Sadly there is flooding going on in Jamaica.

Stationary convection that's intense.

You don't need a tropical storm to cause misery.

A situation that needs to be monitored.

Flooding is flooding with or without a name.

That time of year...

The 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season begins SOON...

..we are in fact on the B storm.

So unofficially it already began.

Time to think seriously... 

Jim Williams has a video up.

He gives his top city picks for possible landfall.

His predictions for the season.

More seasons than not he is dead on.

And often more "on" than "official predictions"

So those who know...

...know to pay attention to him!

He lists the cities he is most concerned with for 2017.

Watch the video.

www.hurricanecity.com 

Note the picture of Jim on a panel with Max Mayfield.

That's a panel of experts answering questions.

When it comes to hurricanes he is an expert.

So check out his site and his predictions.

I know I do.

Keep watching those loops.

And in places like Tampa where it's 95 degrees..

.. I'd worry on the hurricane season.

Besos BobbiStorm

Follow me on Twitter @bobbistorm

Spring Flooding, Severe Weather & Speculation on El Nino VS La Nina - Tornadoes Possible Today

I could pretty much say "Nuff Said"

Fronts moving West to East across the nation are not a stimulus for tropical development. Sometimes, an early season storm forms at the tail end of a cold front. Not the current front that faded away just before making it to Miami, but the one behind it might be worth watching as it gets further South than the last. We are on a roller coaster still with cold fronts, a carousel in the atmosphere pulling each up and down over and over. Tornadoes are possible today in several places.

http://www.weather.gov/

Put your Zipcode in and find your weather.

Spring Flooding is still the main news with concerns for more severe weather that is typical this time of year as warm air from the GOM slams into fast moving cold fronts. The big question is if the fronts are moving fast or if they slow down enough to mitigate potential problems. This is Spring still and every year this time of year people begin to look to see if there is an El Nino or no Nino or maybe even a La Nina. I'm not sure what it is, perhaps the sexy name, but it captivates bored tropical meteorologists into waxing poetic online about possibilities that are too far out to be certain. Note if TIME magazine has not put El Nino on the cover of their current issue it's probably not a huge issue and something meteorologists can argue over endlessly while throwing darts at empty hurricane tracking maps. Don't kid yourself... hardcore addicts still have hurricane tracking maps. They may not admit it in public, but in private they show them off comparing size, type and quality as if they are.... baseball cards and autographed bats. That said I have a magnetic one, a cork board one and some have much bigger shinier ones than me. 

An interesting article about La Nina:

http://www.weathernationtv.com/news/la-nina-blame-active-tornado-season/

Note when there is no hurricane to follow we enter into obsession and speculation on El Nino and La Nina.

Good discussion online.

We wait and watch.

Well I do.

And I'm still watching the EPAC.

Convection should eventually congeal into something.

Look at that huge complex over S America.

Bullseye over Lake Maracaibo

https://www.rt.com/viral/343819-lightning-capital-world-venezuela/

You thought it was Tampa Bay?

That moisture works it's way N into the Caribbean.

Or more often in May and June into EPAC.

Keep watching.

Add in snow melt and spring floods this month.

There's a lot going on even if there are no hurricanes.

Dust off those hurricanes maps hidden in the closet.

Check out those generators.

Start planning for 2017 Hurricane Season.

Bret will show up eventually.

BOC?

Subtropical Atlantic Storm?

GOM?

Keep reading... 

..and watching those loops.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter. Add me, tweet me your thoughts.

Ps Hey we all have addictions. 

Mine is weather.... 

;)

Not the song I wanted but close enough...