NHC BE LIKE NEVER GONNA FALL IN LOVE AGAIN... EX TD4 Still Flaring up at Night & African Wave Ignored. As is Strong MDR Tropical Wave & BOC Convection. Models in the Doghouse...

Officially nothing happening.

State of the tropics below with strong tropical waves.

Consistent convection in BOC

Lots of color for early July.

Wide loop because Floaters have been banned this weekend!

(sure hope XTD4 doesn't do South Beach at night...)

Why?

XTD4 Parties at night.

There's some impulse there that doesn't let go completely.

BOC getting interesting.

New wave leaves Africa (water so cold brrr)

MDR wave shows life.

And the beat goes on...

Models show development possible.

However these were the models that liked 94L

NHC kind of burned out on models today.

Love/Hate relationship going.

Gotta have model support.....

..but they kind of missed the problems with 94L aka TD4

So we are now moving into the SHOW ME State of mind.

Show me the money honey.

Show me you won't fizzle out again.

Show me you can fight off Cousin SAL

But oh wait........there may be a hero in the wings.

MJO watch up on Spaghetti Models

www.spaghettimodels

IF something develops a cyclonic signature...

we may see a floater once again one day.

Or maybe a real Invest again on NRL

I heard they brought therapists in after TD4

http://www.recovery.org/topics/about-the-codependents-anonymous-12-step-recovery-program/

Models you ask? I know you really want to see the models. Take them with sea salt as they have been overproducing on many levels of late not totally dealing with reality ...that reality being Cousin SAL. But MJO is on it's way so they say so ... maybe for the MJO believers the fix is in for a wave to get the name Don. But if it doesn't form ...don't say I didn't warn ya. NHC be all like "I see NOTHING" right now. Give them time, space, therapy .. maybe some good ice cream or a day out on the water and they may believe again in the models. Never say never...

Hmnnn GFS takes the wave all the way up the coast..

Euro takes a huge Tstorm over South Florida.

Good invest perhaps?

GFS hungry for action... 

Does NC after SFL on way to NE

Really I can't go there..

..I too swore off the models til Monday.

This is what you should really be watching.

The wave itself and if it develops a real center.

Models will be much more reliable.

A single, well aligned center.

XTD4 on right...

New wave entering stage left..

Stay tuned.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Follow me there for faster updates and fun..

Spring Flooding, Severe Weather & Speculation on El Nino VS La Nina - Tornadoes Possible Today

I could pretty much say "Nuff Said"

Fronts moving West to East across the nation are not a stimulus for tropical development. Sometimes, an early season storm forms at the tail end of a cold front. Not the current front that faded away just before making it to Miami, but the one behind it might be worth watching as it gets further South than the last. We are on a roller coaster still with cold fronts, a carousel in the atmosphere pulling each up and down over and over. Tornadoes are possible today in several places.

http://www.weather.gov/

Put your Zipcode in and find your weather.

Spring Flooding is still the main news with concerns for more severe weather that is typical this time of year as warm air from the GOM slams into fast moving cold fronts. The big question is if the fronts are moving fast or if they slow down enough to mitigate potential problems. This is Spring still and every year this time of year people begin to look to see if there is an El Nino or no Nino or maybe even a La Nina. I'm not sure what it is, perhaps the sexy name, but it captivates bored tropical meteorologists into waxing poetic online about possibilities that are too far out to be certain. Note if TIME magazine has not put El Nino on the cover of their current issue it's probably not a huge issue and something meteorologists can argue over endlessly while throwing darts at empty hurricane tracking maps. Don't kid yourself... hardcore addicts still have hurricane tracking maps. They may not admit it in public, but in private they show them off comparing size, type and quality as if they are.... baseball cards and autographed bats. That said I have a magnetic one, a cork board one and some have much bigger shinier ones than me. 

An interesting article about La Nina:

http://www.weathernationtv.com/news/la-nina-blame-active-tornado-season/

Note when there is no hurricane to follow we enter into obsession and speculation on El Nino and La Nina.

Good discussion online.

We wait and watch.

Well I do.

And I'm still watching the EPAC.

Convection should eventually congeal into something.

Look at that huge complex over S America.

Bullseye over Lake Maracaibo

https://www.rt.com/viral/343819-lightning-capital-world-venezuela/

You thought it was Tampa Bay?

That moisture works it's way N into the Caribbean.

Or more often in May and June into EPAC.

Keep watching.

Add in snow melt and spring floods this month.

There's a lot going on even if there are no hurricanes.

Dust off those hurricanes maps hidden in the closet.

Check out those generators.

Start planning for 2017 Hurricane Season.

Bret will show up eventually.

BOC?

Subtropical Atlantic Storm?

GOM?

Keep reading... 

..and watching those loops.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter. Add me, tweet me your thoughts.

Ps Hey we all have addictions. 

Mine is weather.... 

;)

Not the song I wanted but close enough...