A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Saturday, July 14, 2018
UPDATED! SUNDAY AM! Beryl Is BACK. This Time As a Subtropical Storm. Nothing Expected After Beryl Moves On... For Awhile. 2 Weeks Til August. But...It's Been a Strange Quirky Year So Expect Surprises to Continue. NATL ICE CREAM DAY
Quick update on Beryl
Our Subtropical Storm Sitting over the Gulf Stream.
You got to think of Beryl like one of those preemie babies born way back that wasn't expected to make it. The odds were too great, it was too tiny and not able to survive. Yet it survived. Beryl thrived in negative conditions, swam around like some sort of scuba diver hiding from the surface. Then coming back and showing her colors once over the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream. And, speaking of "warmer waters" in theory check out this map of the cooler waters Chris left behind.
Yet somehow Beryl found her groove again.
No disrespect to NHC but it's now a Canadian storm.
So showing their map first.
NHC below.
What's note worthy is Beryl reformed over coolerwater.
I had a beautiful Shabbos today (Jewish Sabbath on Saturday) and the weather even cooperated making it a joy to be outside in the middle of July. The air was not heavy, it was actually delightful in the shade and not bad even in the sunshine. And, there was so much sunshine today. The trees here in Raleigh look a little bit droopy, we could use a little rain I'm guessing. But, it was and has been beautiful the last few days. I'll be back to update as needed but there really isn't much of a need to update on Beryl is there? Two coastal cruisers that remained out in the Atlantic Ocean so far, but I wouldn't count on us being that lucky the rest of the year. Who knows? We'll see. Time always tells. While time is telling have fun, be happy and rock steady.
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on twitter
https://www.facebook.com/bobbi.storm.5 on Facebook
Ps... Here's some beach music if you really need me to offer you a tune ;)
NHC BE LIKE NEVER GONNA FALL IN LOVE AGAIN... EX TD4 Still Flaring up at Night & African Wave Ignored. As is Strong MDR Tropical Wave & BOC Convection. Models in the Doghouse...
Officially nothing happening.
State of the tropics below with strong tropical waves.
Consistent convection in BOC
Lots of color for early July.
Wide loop because Floaters have been banned this weekend!
(sure hope XTD4 doesn't do South Beach at night...)
Why?
XTD4 Parties at night.
There's some impulse there that doesn't let go completely.
BOC getting interesting.
New wave leaves Africa (water so cold brrr)
MDR wave shows life.
And the beat goes on...
Models show development possible.
However these were the models that liked 94L
NHC kind of burned out on models today.
Love/Hate relationship going.
Gotta have model support.....
..but they kind of missed the problems with 94L aka TD4
So we are now moving into the SHOW ME State of mind.
Show me the money honey.
Show me you won't fizzle out again.
Show me you can fight off Cousin SAL
But oh wait........there may be a hero in the wings.
Models you ask? I know you really want to see the models. Take them with sea salt as they have been overproducing on many levels of late not totally dealing with reality ...that reality being Cousin SAL. But MJO is on it's way so they say so ... maybe for the MJO believers the fix is in for a wave to get the name Don. But if it doesn't form ...don't say I didn't warn ya. NHC be all like "I see NOTHING" right now. Give them time, space, therapy .. maybe some good ice cream or a day out on the water and they may believe again in the models. Never say never...
Hmnnn GFS takes the wave all the way up the coast..
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm