Tropical Doldrums of July. Celebrate Bastille Day and Have Fun ...Hope You Have a Hobby...

There it is the tropics in motion.

There was some talk XTD4 flares up in GOM.

New wave and ULL interaction again.

Dust Storm in the Atlantic.

Weak waves wandering Westbound.

Mike pointing out the obvious.

Tropical doldrums are normal for this time of year.

Actually more storms form in Mid June...

...than first part of July.

SAL could be one of those reasons.

Shuts down the Atlantic..keeps the waves weak.

Unless a good cold front stalls out ... 

(not happening this week only thing cold is ice cream)

So this is the time of year it's good to have a hobby.

I was working on some Key West History last night.

My family lived on that block in the 1880s.

Weddings in Israel and Miami kept me busy this year.

Haven't been "home" in a while.

But went over some notes on a story last night. 

Here's what some of us are doing this week...

Phil knows when to hit the road...

Greg is watching coronal mass ejections. 

He actually said Geomagnetic Storms.

Some believe there is a link between these and weather.

Academics study whether they lead to upticks in tropical weather.

Dadabuh does surfing as we know.

So does his talented daughter.

Check out her board ..she did the artwork!

It's Bastille Day and that's a good excuse to drink wine...

And find some good French food.

http://www.bonappetit.com/occasion/bastille-day

The GFS model is showing some action.

It's also on it's last legs.

GFS = Lame Duck

Being retired for the new Para GFS.

Time will tell.

The Euro does not.

Thanks to my friends last night for keeping me sane today.

I vented late at night on the GFS nonsense.

Thanks Cody... 

It just keeps hitting Florida.

Over and over.

IF Miami gets a hurricane later in the year.

I guess it's will have the last laugh.

It's a lame duck and being replaced.

Feel free to read up on the Real Great Miami Hurricane.

Roaring 20s and the sound of a roaring Hurricane.

Note the depression did make it to Miami as remants.

Track good, intensity forecast poor.

Do you know why Normandy Isle is named Normandy Isle?

Google that :)

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2017/07/miami-hurricane-history-learn-from.html

One of my all time favorite places to be in Miami is the Historical Museum. There's an exhibit going on there currently about the Miami Hurricane. Go, enjoy... do some research in the research library. I've spent many a day doing research there or talking to Paul George on Miami History. If I was in Miami now that's what I'd do. And while in MIamiyou can get a snack at Le Provence nearby on Flagler Street or ... just go to Brickell. Just do it!

So enjoy life.

Be happy.

Smell the roses.

Cook up a storm.

Have some good wine.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps This movie was before my time.

But one of the first songs I learned to play on the piano.

Grandma Mary liked playing it on the piano.

She really played... I played at playing.

Hey I can twirl a baton...

Watched the movie on TV.

Edited movie on TV I should say.

My mother told me I was too young to watch it.

I was never too young for anything!

We used to hide little TVs in our rooms for things days that.

Now days few of my kids have TVs anymore.

Start of Hurricane Season. Predicting a Busy Season With Possible Landfalls to US so PREPARE NOW!

State of the tropics above.

Quiet and nothing happening.

Now is the time to prepare.

Get a plan. Buy stuff.

Everyone has different needs.

Medication vs extra diapers?

Beer vs Soda

Pet food?

How much water do we really need...

Unlike the baseball season there is no first pitch thrown out by the President, although the NHC regularly makes a pitch to the President for more money for the NHC. Money is key to research and better forecasting so we don't have to be reliant on the EURO model that currently is the Top Gun in forecasting leaving the American GFS model in the dust often. Sad, but true. I think they should give the NHC more money and help make the GFS GREAT AGAIN!

There is some chatter about a system in the Epac crossing over into the GOM and having some tropical possibilities down the road. I'm not a big believer in the crossover predictions as much as the possibility of moisture hanging out at the tail end of a cold front lingering too long over warm water near Florida. Happens and is more likely than crazy crossover scenarios though to be honest sometimes they do happen. So stay tuned.

http://www.publix.com/pages/publix-storm-basics

The link above is about as good as it gets to learn how to prepare for a Hurricane should you be new to South Florida and really who isn't? It's a state where locals often leave in search of cooler pastures and others move South for the warmth, jobs and a tropical lifestyle. Obviously part of a tropical lifestyle is the danger of tropical storms and hurricanes coming to visit when you weren't expecting them. So, read and take action by making a plan. Making a list of things necessary to you such as having an extra asthma inhaler or extra diapers in case Publix loses power... or it's roof and there is no new truck coming in with your favorite diapers. Happens.

I'm in Miami currently for a Jewish Holiday named Shavous and I'll be at my best friend's house (let's call her Magda to protect the innocent and make the guilty laugh) and we will be sipping red wine and nibbling on chocolate cheesecake for the duration of the holiday. Her birthday is June 1st and she is definitely a Category 3 or 4 Hurricane. There may be other food and activity involved but I'll be celebrating the start of the season and her birthday down here in Miami. See the picture below.. isn't she adorable? She's the blonde...obviously!

She makes me smile...or giggle or a little of both!

Thank God for best friends.........

Older picture above but you get the idea.

A close friend used to just call us both "trouble" 

And yeah...she's born on June 1st...

Duh...

Bobbistorm's Bottom Line on this Hurricane Season is expect a Hurricane to make landfall in the US and if we get lucky and it misses us thank your lucky stars! 

The water is hot, the air temperature is record breaking and that only heats up the waters near the coastline. Shear will lessen and Saharan Dust may not be able to save us as time goes by. Oh and El Nino is not currently predicted to pose a danger to tropical waves forming into Hurricanes this year!! The high temperature in Miami the other day beat the record for 1996 by five degrees. 1996 was a busy year for hurricanes. Every year is different. It's like picking a card out of a deck to see what you get when it comes to any one hurricane season. But I think it's safe to predict we have lots of trouble on the tropical horizon this year!!!

Get a plan, buy "stuff" and be prepared because by the time you get to Publix the water, soda and beer will all be gone.......... because the old timers here know when to go shopping.

Besos BobbiStorm

Follow me on Twitter @bobbistorm

Superman can't save you from a Hurricane! Only YOU can prepare and make a plan before the Hurricanes comes to call. It's your call.....

Don't say I didn't warn ya!!

Read previous posts for my forecasts and predictions.

And the list from A - Z on how you know a Hurricane is coming.

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2017/05/hurricane-warnings-how-do-you-know.html

Ps ...IF anything forms before Thursday Night...

www.spaghettimodels.com

www.hurricanecity.com

They will have all the details you need!

Welcome to the Atlantic Hurricane Season!

Easter. Passover. Seasons.

Today is Easter Sunday and Passover for many people reading this so going to talk a bit about the seasons and holidays. The weather is in general okay, however you still need to be on guard in some parts of the country for severe weather to blow up as we are headed into record warm temperatures in many areas. Nothing like the Tornado outbreak in 2000, but somewhere it might rain on your Easter Parade.

This post today is about the seasons on parade. The march of time, of humanity, of Uncle George and Great Aunt Samantha and possibly your second cousin once removed Melinda who shows up at your family dinner totally wasted talking on Wicca and you wonder "oh my gosh where are her pills??" Someone told me once they had an Aunt who thought she was a lighthouse and occasionally climbed onto the roof and stood there trying to ward off ships from the reefs. That was sweet of her, but they lived in Nebraska so.... well....yeah we have all been there. You fall asleep in Church or at the family Passover Seder. Awkward.. But life does go on even if you have to change churches or find a different family to go to next year for the seder..

Sometimes it's an experience you remember forever...



Whatever holiday you are celebrating or not ... enjoy the day, enjoy the seasons, enjoy your family or friends or quiet time. Perhaps you have dogs or cats or a fish. Maybe you have a fake fish.... whatever rocks your boat. Pray for what you want, desire, need and remember to breathe. To everyone there is a season and I sincerely pray you are enjoying yours.

Seasons:



For some people the holidays feel like this song above...........

Seasons come and go like the holidays. Each holiday is layered upon another holiday memory that adds up in our brain like some colliding collage of good times and bad times. Happy holiday meals and quiet conversation and times when that strange lady who married into the family spoils the fun or Uncle Gary wakes up at the table and starts trying to relive some wild battle from World War 2 and there are times we pray there is no World War 3 around the corner.



The seasons turn... time turns.... weather seasons turn from one to another. Winter, Spring, Summer... then comes Hurricane Season.

Old timers remember a time when people put on their Easter Bonnet and took to going to parade their clothes like it was a fashion show for Coachella now days.



Times change and yet climate doesn't really. Yes, we move from Ice Age to Warming and one thing can throw it possibly out of balance (meteor, nuclear war, invasion of the body snatchers maybe) but we roll with the punches. You raise the house up if you think the street will flood. You move inland. You build a bunker, you make love, you sip coffee and try not to put the news on....



You hide from Crazy Old Aunt Mary who wants to lecture you on life and you pretend Peter Rabbit is not hiding in the bushes with a basket of Easter Eggs that are some sort of practical joke. You lay low or you put on your Easter Bonnet and stride through the park while looking for portals while playing Ingress or looking for a Geocache somewhere in a forested dell. Or you pray like crazy in Church for the people out playing Ingress on Easter Sunday.

On Miami Beach in 1927 people gathered together to pray to have a good year, to rebuild the structure of life after the 1926 Hurricane the September before. They went on.... they prayed for a new future stronger than the past one that was blown away and they started over. As a good friend likes to say pragmatically "life goes on" and perhaps in a way Easter Sunday is part of that process. Life goes on, the trees come to life and they rededicate their lives to God, to their family and to their future. It's about looking back and looking forward.

Life goes on and on and on (well we pray it does) and there is always that chance, that dream of tomorrow being better than today. Of grabbing the brass ring or catching the girl you always loved or finding the perfect man or the perfect wave (not the first wave ever ...) and being blessed with an incredible sunrise on Easter Sunday for many is like winning the spiritual lottery.

http://www.ny1.com/nyc/all-boroughs/news/2015/04/2/world-war-ii-vet-recalls-jewish-prayer-service-in-liberated-german-city.html

In Europe after World War 2 people got together and made a Passover Seder. It's human nature to go on, pick up the pieces and move on or rebuild. To bless the new season, new growth, young love and to watch the waves breaking onto the beach as the golden sun slowly rises from it's night time Neptunian Mists hidden away while we sleep .....waiting to wake up and start again at sunrise.

Passover is about freedom....



After freedom there is a measure of freedom trust me. We go back to life as it was .... or perhaps as we wish to paint the future. How do you want to paint your future and who do you want in that future and do you want mountains or beaches or both?

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on twitter... I'd say follow me but I'm in hiding mode right now ;)

Ps.... Dear Stephen I'm sure that Barbara is out there somewhere in an Easter Bonnet!

Weather Rolling Along. Passover. Freedom. Memories.

As the world turns huh?

There's always weather somewhere.

A lot of my family and friends are traveling this weekend for Passover to relatives. There's a lot of chatter and negativity towards United and American Airlines on delays, disappointments and the poor way they handled problems after a few bad storms this past week. In truth they have more flights that come in and connect from places affected by weather. The NY to FLL route with other carriers are often less affected. Flights connecting through Baltimore are usually better than coming in from Chicago, Denver, etc....

Mother Nature tends to throw wrenches into traveling. I know people who decided to just drive South vs being stuck in airports. But is it really the airlines fault or Mother Nature? I guess if your flight got cancelled and they didn't announce it while you are sitting there at the airport but just sent you a text that got lost you might be annoyed. Can't blame everything on Mother Nature can you?

As for the new alerts this one reminds me oddly of a Golf Course with a big Palm Tree and flag by some hole. How I see the world. How do you see the world? I have a strange mind I guess ;)

United told passengers flights were delayed because of heavy traffic out of their Atlanta Hub so they blamed it on the Masters in Augusta. American said it was because of recovering from bad weather earlier in the week. 

Hmmmmm good thing the Israelites left Egypt on foot in the old days for the first Passover because they didn't have to worry about security or flights being cancelled... just the Red Sea parting.......

We all have our priorities. What are yours? 

Gotta run, got a brisket in the oven and a table to set and some brownies to bake for a son-in-law who seems to have emptied out half of the Kosher stores in Boro Park, Williamsburg and other parts of Brooklyn.

I'll be back Wednesday Night or Thursday with my thoughts. Til then..........drinking 4 cups of wine tonight with unleavened bread lol (matzah) and making memories and remembering other holidays with my parents and loved ones now gone. 

Enjoy your memories while you are making them. They are much more fun than watching them in the rear view mirror.

As the theme of this holiday is Freedom I'll leave you with this oldie goldie.

My daughter Dee always loved Janis... so posting this. What did you think I'd post Proud Mary?

;) 

Besos BobbiStorm @bobbistorm on Twitter... add me and follow along.

Ps ... Sorry for any typos... been cooking with blackberry wine and well you know how that goes..