Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Thursday, June 06, 2019

Tropics Quiet Today. Storms in the South, Tornado Warnings But Not TS Barry. Back From Vacation in Crown Heights. What is Crown Heights? Why You Should Visit NY in June...and WHAT IS AN INVEST REALLY?


Officially nothing is going on in the tropics today.
Invest 91L is no more.
Despite giving it way too much of a chance.
The NHC pulled the plug.
I'm putting that picture in motion below 
You can see it's remnant moisture causing problems.

atl_ir4_sat_tropicalindex_anim.gif (640×480)

I want to draw your attention to this flare up below.


This area and further to the East will flare up often today.
It's the moisture that was associated with 91L...
...mixing it up with a frontal boundary.
This was and is the real concern.
Flooding.
Torrential rains.
Tornadoes.
Too much can be a disaster.
Not enough can destroy crops.
Kind of a lesson in life on finding a balance.
We can learn much from studying meteorology.

I'm back from vacation.
It was a hectic, crazy good trip.
Not a lot of down time but found some anyway.
You gotta grab those moments while you can.
More on that later ;)

I'm going to talk tropical first.
Personal later.
Feel free to just do the weather....
...or stick around for the rest of what's on the menu.

What is an INVEST?
Please read and remember. 
Thank you!

What I really want to convey here about Invest 91L is that it actually did what most areas of tropical moisture do and that is they drift along with the lower level winds towards some coastline and because either one center could not win out over the competing centers or conditions were not favorable enough they do not develop and they end up as rain over the heartland or low lands of the Carolinas and Georgia or Louisiana. That really is the way of the world. Years ago they were called "tropical disturbances" meaning there was a disturbance in the force in the tropics ... to be plain and a bit silly but very honest. Then we went through a period of naming various areas or tropical waves as an Invest and numbering them and studying them to see if they did or didn't develop. This was not exactly a clandestine thing but it was known in meteorological circles. Somewhere along the line they went public with a flurry of fantastic graphics on TWC or your local TV news and online in the meteorological community. Social media amped up the expectations tremendously. The National Hurricane Center obviously saw it as a tool to remind people it's the Hurricane Season and tropical development could come from this little piggy or that little piggy and somewhere a poor girl seemingly destined to sweep her stepmother's home could turn into Cinderella. Seriously it's that basic and I want people to understand as the season progresses an INVEST has NO CENTER, no real CIRCULATION and winds not of any tropical designation. So what does an Invest have? Rain that has lingered or sometimes it's simply an area with very little rain but model support as models (computer programs) indicated that an area of low pressure could form over such and such a place and deserve the designation of Tropical Depression, Tropical Storm or Hurricane. The problem here is that since they give it a designation of Invest with a number it is raised to real status and it is not... it's like saying wood that could have been made to build Pinocchio was actually Pinocchio from day one when in fact it was most likely going to be used to build a bench but who knows a good carpenter might have built something bigger than a bench. Not to take away from benches that give us all a place to rest...

So yes I will talk on Invests and discuss their potential for Barry or Chantal but we may go through a whole bunch of them with no name given or the next one may form from a stalled out frontal boundary in the Gulf of Mexico that may develop a center as barometric pressure lowers and winds begin to pick up and circulate enough for the National Hurricane Center to designate it a Tropical Depression or Tropical Storm. It is very possible that could happen before the month of June ends. That is what we call foreshadowing as models are doing their thing again showing an area that may be ripe for development. And again it's a good time to look at the areas of development most frequently popular in June and that is.... the Gulf of Mexico and along the SE coast. The frenzy reminds me of that scene from Fantasy Island years ago. 



Compare and contrast June with October.



While the Central American Gyre is a thing.
It more frequently produces storms later in the season.
October is prime time for the CAG.
But that region does produce in June and July sometimes.
It's possible a disturbance can form and get up into the prime region.
And that is what models were indicating with Invest 91L.
Normally it would have developed in the EPAC.
The fact that it didn't and lingered over Central America.
And could not pull it together in the SW Carib...
..... was a pretty good sign it was just an Invest.
But the regime at the NHC this year seems to rely on models...
...more than other teams have and it is what it is.
Subtropical Storm Andrea didn't last as long as Invests 91L
Nuff said.
To read more on what a CAG is read the link below.


For those who like to read and if you are here you most likely do.
Get used to reading the actual Tropical Weather Discussion.


You will see how many areas are being monitored for development.
When models begin to favor one area..........
...... it may become an Invest.
An area merely being watched and investigated for development.

Find a balance again between speculation and reality.
Find sources you trust over time.
Sources you have learned to trust over time.
Keep it in perspective but pay attention.

That's it mostly for the weather part of today's blog.
The rest explains where I have been.
And is a good primer for what is Crown Heights.
A place I mention often and just got back from....
Remember his is a blog... an online diary of sorts.
When there's a hurricane out there it's ALL weather ...
....but there is no hurricane today so blogging and having fun.

On a personal level ... hi there :) I'm back from vacation in New York where we went for a wedding and to see two of my daughters and do some shopping for things you can only really get in New York. Amazon is great but it's not the same as actually walking through the Louvre and it's much more fun to wander around and pick things out .... feel some cool air on a sunny day and I gotta tell you generally there is no finer place to be than New York in June. I mean it inspired a song! You can't go wrong going to New York in June. The weather is about as good as it gets !

I was also in upstate New York and I was on the road that goes back and forth from Monsey NY across the river down through Manhattan any which way Waze takes you to get across the other river into Brooklyn because Manhattan is really an island! My other daughter lives in the Flatbush area of New York and we spent a lot of time in Boro Park and Crown Heights. As you know from reading this blog I lived in Crown Heights, I went to school in Crown Heights and it's a sort of spiritual home that nourishes me as much as the incredible food in all the new trendy restaurants does as somehow Crown Heights became trendy. It's a beautiful neighbor that finds a balance for many cultures that call it home. 


Years ago it was a nice, new suburb predominately Jewish built when the subway stop on Kingston Avenue and Eastern Parkway opened up that part of what had previously been a bucolic area that fast evolved into an neighborhood of nice homes on shaded streets for young families who were moving away from the Lower East Side. Over time many Caribbean Island families moved into Crown Heights and found it also a beautiful place with nice homes, brownstones, parks and shaded streets. At some point Chabad Lubavitch moved into Crown Heights after the previous Lubavitcher Rebbe Rabbi Joseph I. Schneerson  made it his home and in doing so made it World Chabad Headquarters. Time went by and as the older Jewish population died out a young vibrant Chabad community evolved as many come from all over the world to study and live there for a while before either finding a home there permanently or going out somewhere into the world to take a little bit of Crown Heights with them where ever they live and often return "home" to touch home base as I did the last few days.

Oh did I mention the Dodgers used to play in Crown Heights? You might want to do a little bit of reading up on the history of Brooklyn ...

There's a beauty and a balance to Crown Heights where tree lined streets shade your walk through neighborhoods where people grown gardens and roses bloom in June. Now days there are street fairs, parades of all kinds and a farmers market in a park. People live together in balance in this sweet space where many feel at home and recently it's even become a bit of a tourist attraction. I feel like I'm in Key West with people doing walking tours with tourists from more cultures than I can even try and list here. I even stood on a corner to see what the guy was saying but really time moves fast in a New York minute so I moved on to meet my husband for coffee and a doughnut at Gombo's Bakery. It's so trendy in Crown Heights we now have outdoor patios to eat and enjoy the food and the view. Who knew?


Basil Restaurant NY. Awesomeness.


If you don't believe me.....
...follow them on Instagram ;)


Pimento Grilled Cheese with Bourbon Onions.
Fries with cheese and truffle mayo.
Huge portions.
Oh my gosh....

Showing two YouTube videos that show the different sides of Crown Heights but they both show the enjoyment people have of living there and why it's a much loved neighborhood. As y'all know I love fashion so let's start there.



Another view of Lubavitch and Crown Heights.


And some blend the two and still call it home.


It's a big world.
Embrace what you love.
Enjoy what you love.
Accept others with love.

Wasn't this trip inspirational for me?

That's it.
I'm back recuperating from too much dancing....
... too much walking (NY...) and too much food.
Walking from the wedding party venue...
...to the wedding site on Eastern Parkway at 770 in high heels.
And then back again for dancing.....
Yeah I'm resting today :)
I do love Crown Heights :) as you can tell.
Note Crown HEIGHTS has HILLS.
I'm just a bit tired today.
We got back around 1 AM .... 


Catching up on what's going on in the tropics.
Resting today.
Writing long obviously.
Home in Carolina.

Not expecting much to develop in the next few days.
So enjoy the long blog if you read the whole thing.
And I'm home loving the posts of my friends.
Catching up.


Is Mike back from his cruise?
Wonder if either of us got any rest.
Most of us know nothing is happening for a while.
So we take our trips in early June.
June too soon for hurricanes..........
.........but usually a good time for a vacation!
Another best friend is in Myrtle Beach this week...


If you want to enjoy New York in June.
You might want to read up on some history.
I love to read up on history before a trip...
Good site below.



Yes, Crown Heights was once  new.... newly built.
A subdivision back in the early 1920s.
Kind of a boom town in it's way.
Check out the Model T Ford!
Not many trees there yet.
Lot's now.


And that's Montgomery Street not Eastern Parkway.
Brooklyn has these big Parkway type streets.
Ocean Parkway, Eastern Parkway.
People walk... sit on benches.
Enjoy nature that is abundant in Brooklyn.
Did I mention Prospect Park nearby?

We stopped in Baltimore to see my mother-in-law.
To shop for Shavous and have lunch at KB Grill.
Bought everything but some fresh fruit and flowers.
Trader Joes tomorrow.
Fruit and flowers!!
(Bought cheesecake at 7 Mile Market...)

So that's it.
Keep watching the tropics.
Do what you love....
Show love, feel love.
And make sure there's no tornado warning...
...from the remnants of Invest 91L
New Orleans currently has a Tornado Warning....

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.
For fast updates in real time.

Ps. To be honest yes we love Eastern Parkway so much we take wedding pictures there and film CD covers there as well.  Okay my son helped make this video and he's hidden in there in a few places and it's one of my favorites so you get the idea... the feel.... the beauty and joy of what it is for me to be there, wander through the Jewish Bookstore, pray at 770 the synagogue, buy my best friend a few presents which I must remember to send out tomorrow and .... be totally exhausted from a huge wedding that went on for hours with much dancing, song, food, music and happy memories. Make your own memories, June is running out... go enjoy New York in June. 











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Tuesday, May 08, 2018

Aletta Forming in the EPAC? Could Alberto Be Far Behind? 2018 Hurricane Season Starting Early... TWC Goes into Tropical Update Mode



Up close shown above.
Wider picture below.



The NHC has their own way of doing things and we wait to see what they may or may not say later today. Why aren't they saying something earlier? It's very far away, actually, over a thousand miles off the coast of Mexico and the sun has not even begun to rise on that part of the world yet. Not your normal early May Epac storm that forms close in off the coast of Panama.


Luckily we have many ways to see 90E

sat_ir_enh_west_loop-12.gif (640×512)

Water gets colder out there. 
It has a small window for development.
More on that later.

Closer to the East Coast.


This area isn't going away anytime soon.
Always watch the tail end of fronts.
Always but especially in May.
Pic above yesterday.
Below today.


So true.
Stalled out and hanging around.
A set up for possible trouble.


Names for the 2018 Atlantic Season below.


Down below watching swirls.
Just for fun.
It's May I'm allowed to be funny..
..and just enjoy a weather loop.



Cute little swirl I'm watching.
Like great wall art....
Sub Polar Something.



There are now 12 fissures.

This is not a lava flow down the side of a volcano as much as fissures suddenly forming beneath a random home and oozing up lava that pushes and melts everything in it's path. Trees explode as they are heated to some of the highest temperatures on earth that are moving the way a strong Haboob moves across the desert, a dust storm in Oklahoma except here they are sometimes called "curtains of fire" on the move...... 


And to add to the geological discussion here a 4.5 earthquake occurred in California today. Seems Mother Nature is rocking and rolling this year. 




On a lighter note.
Beautiful food art and recipes here below.
When waking up for the 5 AM advisory package...
...my day starts early during the Hurricane Season.
Always looking for ideas.



On the fashion front it seems ...
...Schiaparelli Pink is in this year!


Pretty sure if women were in charge of the colors at the NHC we'd get a bit more creative and less boring than yellow, orange and red. Nice little Hi Low Hemline dress Stephanie Abrams was wearing today. Kind of looked like an updated Can Can dress made for Tomorrow Land at Disney which should really have a Weather World...   

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps Lightening this dark volcanic discussion with some music for Mike:

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Friday, July 14, 2017

Tropical Doldrums of July. Celebrate Bastille Day and Have Fun ...Hope You Have a Hobby...

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There it is the tropics in motion.
There was some talk XTD4 flares up in GOM.
New wave and ULL interaction again.
Dust Storm in the Atlantic.
Weak waves wandering Westbound.


Mike pointing out the obvious.
Tropical doldrums are normal for this time of year.
Actually more storms form in Mid June...
...than first part of July.
SAL could be one of those reasons.
Shuts down the Atlantic..keeps the waves weak.
Unless a good cold front stalls out ... 
(not happening this week only thing cold is ice cream)

So this is the time of year it's good to have a hobby.
I was working on some Key West History last night.


My family lived on that block in the 1880s.
Weddings in Israel and Miami kept me busy this year.
Haven't been "home" in a while.
But went over some notes on a story last night. 

Here's what some of us are doing this week...


Phil knows when to hit the road...

Greg is watching coronal mass ejections. 
He actually said Geomagnetic Storms.


Some believe there is a link between these and weather.
Academics study whether they lead to upticks in tropical weather.

Dadabuh does surfing as we know.
So does his talented daughter.
Check out her board ..she did the artwork!


It's Bastille Day and that's a good excuse to drink wine...
And find some good French food.

http://www.bonappetit.com/occasion/bastille-day

The GFS model is showing some action.
It's also on it's last legs.
GFS = Lame Duck
Being retired for the new Para GFS.
Time will tell.


The Euro does not.

Thanks to my friends last night for keeping me sane today.
I vented late at night on the GFS nonsense.
Thanks Cody... 
It just keeps hitting Florida.
Over and over.
IF Miami gets a hurricane later in the year.
I guess it's will have the last laugh.
It's a lame duck and being replaced.

Feel free to read up on the Real Great Miami Hurricane.
Roaring 20s and the sound of a roaring Hurricane.
Note the depression did make it to Miami as remants.
Track good, intensity forecast poor.
Do you know why Normandy Isle is named Normandy Isle?
Google that :)

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2017/07/miami-hurricane-history-learn-from.html

One of my all time favorite places to be in Miami is the Historical Museum. There's an exhibit going on there currently about the Miami Hurricane. Go, enjoy... do some research in the research library. I've spent many a day doing research there or talking to Paul George on Miami History. If I was in Miami now that's what I'd do. And while in MIamiyou can get a snack at Le Provence nearby on Flagler Street or ... just go to Brickell. Just do it!


So enjoy life.
Be happy.
Smell the roses.
Cook up a storm.
Have some good wine.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps This movie was before my time.
But one of the first songs I learned to play on the piano.
Grandma Mary liked playing it on the piano.
She really played... I played at playing.
Hey I can twirl a baton...
Watched the movie on TV.
Edited movie on TV I should say.
My mother told me I was too young to watch it.
I was never too young for anything!
We used to hide little TVs in our rooms for things days that.
Now days few of my kids have TVs anymore.









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Tuesday, February 28, 2017

Mardi Gras. Seattle Thundersnow, New Madrid Fault Severe Weather. Will March Turn Stormy Fast? Recipes for Weather and Drinks


Today is Mardi Gras and as I grew up in Miami when it was more Southern and the demographic mix in my neighborhood made Mardi Gras a big seasonal holiday for a city without seasons. So going to start off here by saying everyone should have a happy day and enjoy the weather if you got it as it may get a bit stormy again very soon. My Grandma spent some time in New Orleans when she was younger, the Garden District actually, and she had a healthy fear of voodoo queens and severe weather. She didn't like thunderstorms having grown up in Tampa they were used to thunder hitting so close that once it came into the house. I've heard it said when she was small she would hide under the bed during a good thunderstorm!

Of course Grandma Mary never saw Thundersnow that I know of...


Yesterday Seattle had Thundersnow, hail and then snow. They sort of won the wintertime trifecta and they can go quite a time between seeing snow or hail. Rain yes, but snow not so much and Thundersnow... well... you know that's Jim Cantore Land. Shame he didn't get to cover that storm. Love the way the guy responds "it's a convergence zone" when asked what's going on in the Seattle video. Watch the video ....


Is there such a thing has Thunderhail?

Shorter video with the "Thundersnow" at the end.

Those storms are moving East.
Winter has turned into Severe Weather Season....


Snow and Ice dip down like colorful Mardi Gras beads.
Warm air from the Gulf of Mexico moves North

latest72hrs.gif (947×405)

Note the warmth of the Caribbean...
Pulls NW through the Yucatan.
Into the GOM and catches a ride North...

That translates to the image below
Snow way up North.
Rain moving up the Mississippi River Valley


Then that whole mess moves East.

latest_wv_loop.gif (535×440)
Next 5 days.
Images available on www.spaghettimodels.com


But today we have this mess in the middle section of the country.


Doesn't it look like it highlights the New Madrid Fault?
Just a messy meteorology, geology mind.


A real recipe for severe weather.

A friend of mine Rob does great weather on his site.
Followed him for years, mostly for hurricane reasons.
But Rob really is a man for all seasons.


http://crownweather.com/

See the map below.
Note March will come in as a Severe Weather LION


Carolinas due to get weather Wednesday night....

So party today as it's Fat Tuesday.
Enjoy something delicious.
Ice Cream, Frozen Drinks.
King cake...
Oh I want a praline....

If you are off the wagon try this....


Personally I may pour bourbon over mine...

So hang in there March may be filled with weather.
And after severe weather season is hurricane season.


Eric knows...
Eric is watching.
So am i  ;)

LOL (I'm laughing)

Have a happy, Fat Tuesday ....






Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter... add me please


My Grandma loved that song....


No that's not my Grandma but she could play like that ;)
She once played for the Governor of Florida.
Doubt she played Bill Bailey that time..

If you want to feel like you are there...
...take a virtual trip online.

http://www.nola.com/









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