Missing in Action in MIAMI as the Snow Falls and Falls and Falls in Seattle. 2012 or 1968 Hurricane Season on My Mind.

Seattle wins the Snow Globe Award for the Winter of 2019. That picture is my son's backyard and the grandchildren's play world covered with white fluffy stuff and amazingly the snow keeps falling. My son loves the snow as do the children, my daughter-in-law who spent a part of her childhood in Postville Iowa does not like snow... she is not a happy camper.

I knew this was going to happen as it was only a matter of time that the cold air filtered in and settled into the rainy mass of Winter Storms that were marching through the Northwest that Seattle would end up stealing all the snow from the East Coast. I went to New York in January and I got stuck in a tropical like rainstorm as the temperatures fell and the wind blew but no snow fell from the skies. After the early November snowstorm in Raleigh we got nothing but windy, rainstorms alternating with frigid dry cold fronts. And, now I'm in South Florida ...what seems a million miles away from winter.

I took this picture yesterday....

...sat with a friend and watched the Bay.

Watched the clouds, the waves and we talked.

We walked along the water in 80 degree weather.

I'm kind of on vacation in South Florida.

And obviously away from blogging regularly.

That street is a hidden treasure...

..that only the locals know about!

Many of the snow pictures below are from online.

https://www.king5.com/

The picture below I took at my grandson's bris.

Normally I only post pictures that I can give credit to the person who took them, but these pictures have been plastered all over my family Whatsapp group and online. I've been at my kid's apartment in HULU land and not really following the news. A new baby was born named Milo Ezra and been enjoying some family time with Milo and other babies, children and I helped my best friend buy an outfit for an event she needed to go to as well as talked and walked and enjoyed being home. And to be fair I was very sick for the first several days after I got into town so I've really been out of it. And the amazing part about being in Miami in February is that you really don't have to check the Weather every 20 minutes to see if there was a chance of snow that they will take out of the forecast in a few days as they do in North Carolina. I'm enjoying being away from the teasing game of "maybe it will snow" next week that this whole winter has been like so far in the Carolinas after the November snow. I am so done with winter and getting excited every new model run only to have my snowy hopes dashed and torn to smithereens by the next model run. I'm done. I'm home this week in South Florida and I'm truly sorry but no I don't care if the next storm phases or doesn't phase or evaporates. I am so done. In Miami I know how to dress, what to wear and if I will need a sweater or leggings because the restaurant I am going to keeps their AC set to 68 degrees daily!

But I do love Seattle at the other end of the world more than almost any other place in the United States after Savannah and New Orleans. Maybe I love Seattle more but it's a long, long flight to Seattle from the East Coast and once there I just wanna stay. I did stay near this beautiful houseboat when my son was interning at Amazon one summer and it's one place I love deeply as the views from Lake Union are almost as beautiful as Biscayne Bay in Miami. It's a winter wonderland :) and the image of the Ice Age Dinosaur is just a fake but fun image being passed around online.

You can find more great pics online.

One good site is below.

https://www.wsls.com/weather

My main interest in the series of Seattle snow storms is that this is basically a historic sort of event as it doesn't come often and the last time there was this much snow in Seattle was in 2012 I believe and that makes me wonder on what the winter of 2012 was like as well as the 2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season because that's how my mind works. Sometimes there is some parallel worth studying and other times not. Time will tell, but it's definitely in my mind to look at those years to see if any could be used as analog years this coming hurricane season. 

It's just something I can't help but wonder on... 

According to a good site on Twitter...

.. we are now tied at a 50 year event as in 

1969

Really that is something to think on... 

Snowy Seattle Winters and ...

...busy Hurricane Seasons that follow.

I'll be back to blogging more normally next week with here and there blogs this week weather and health permitting. My youngest daughter Rivky is under the weather today and I made her soup and we sat and watched HULU documentaries which apparently were not as good as the NetFlix documentary on Fyre scandals and we watched romance movies with Southern Country themes which were cute and we are hanging out touching base. 

If you live somewhere that winter disappointed you this year, there is always next year. And, to be honest Spring is right around the corner and after Spring Fever (Tornado Chasing or Baseball Season) is Hurricane Season. So I'll be back soon enough, before you can say a wink and a smile!

Much Love....

....Sweet Tropical Dreams!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorn on Twitter and laying low in Miami

Ps... Loving being in Miami but wish I was in Seattle enjoying the snow but as someone told me recently you can't be everywhere at once. And, wherever you are it's good to enjoy where you are..   The famous Gas Works seen in the movie 10 Things I Hate About You are being used for sledding and snow fights this week in Seattle according to my son :)

P. P. S. Seriously not into "phasing" this week!

Rolling eyes

Update Monday Morning! 4 Tornadoes in Tampa Area Confirmed by NWS. Election Day Mother Nature Voting so ... IF You Didn't Vote Early Watch Your Weather Apps For Timing on Storms. Mike Covers Tornadoes in Tampa on Facebook Live.... Watch as it Moves On Shore and Mike Goes in Search of His Umbrella That Was Gone With the Wind. Storm Chasing in Florida... Gets Hairy and Crazy Fast!

Watches for today above.

Watch the rest of the South go into Warning mode tomorrow.

Say it ain't so....

Bad weather on Election Day?

Yup. 

I voted early... 

I'll update this later on Monday afternoon.

I want to see how a few models play out.

Watch the satellite loops and get a better feel for timing.

Note the presence of deep moisture in the GOM

As it lines up and connects with the front.

Provides more fuel.

Warm, tropical energy meeting a cold front.

Could have power outages.

Severe weather.

Again NWS updates watches and warnings in real time.

So go to your most trusted source for local weather.

Find your city in the link below.

http://www.spaghettimodels.com/localweather

www.spaghettimodels.com has a huge array of graphics.

If you are voting tomorrow you might want to start there.

He does more than just Tropical Weather.

Speaking of tropical weather...

I'll write more on that soon.

Models last week kept showing weak development.

That feature does show up...

..however the NHC is not going with it.

When weather ramps up...

..it tends to ramp up across the board.

There MIGHT be something to watch.

Time will tell.

Either way...

If you didn't do the deed...

DO IT!

Go Vote Tuesday!!

Now a look at Storm Chasing ...

..and Mike's Tornado in Oldsmar in Tampa Bay area.

The tornado that chased Mike!

In the beginning of Mike's video...

...you have your typical squall line.

The water turns this green gray color.

That's never good.

Then the colors become deeper.

There's this point when the sky turns purple...

...the water is frothy grayish green.

When things are about to pop.

Note the waves further out from shore.

After a nice chit chat with a neighbor...

..who heard the weather siren go off...

And decided to also go take a look.

Mike begins to run for cover.

You can see the "cloud" changing shape here.

Basically it's turning into a waterspout...

Funnel Cloud... 

Transforming....

'

Then all hell breaks loose live on Facebook Live.

That's why they call it Facebook Live.. duh.

Then the signal got messy.

So did Mike...

Though he handled it very well.

Scared but streaming as long as he could.

Note below the mess afterwards.

Trees down here and there.

Trash cans went flying in the wind.

So did Mike's shoes and umbrella.

Lord knows what happened to his energy drink...

And there's his tornado.

Mike being a bit of a practical joker...

..probably some people didn't believe him.

Here's the warning... 

... put up in real time.

http://www.fox13news.com/news/local-news/cleanup-begins-after-storms-

cause-damage-down-trees

And here's Mike's Facebook Live link to the coverage from beginning to end.

https://www.facebook.com/mikesweatherpage/videos/770634906612153/

Absolutely love it. Video Mike took on Friday when a squall line was coming into the Oldsmar area in a park where he is used to chasing storms. This is obviously the first time a storm chased Mike and he recorded it live on air or about as live on air as you can get on Facebook Live. There's got to be a way to get that on Youtube.

See the news coverage of the tornadoes. At least four tornadoes touched down.



It would be easy to say fast forward to about ten minutes in, but without watching the weather slowly coming in and advance towards land it's hard to really appreciate how fast things can get crazy when you are out there waiting for it to ... well ...get crazy. Been there...done that ...though not in Oldsmar. I'd take a good guess that one of my Great Uncles has been there as my family moved from Key West in the 1800s to Tampa around the turn of the last century to the Miami area in the 1930s My Uncle helped develop Anna Maria Island and parts of Holmes Beach and loved life on the water and watching storms. Some things are genetic and karmic at the same time, but let's get back to Mike. Smiling, love it really. I've been down in the Keys with my brother chasing storms and seen squall lines that looked uglier than that or from my perspective more beautiful but didn't produce a tornado and we usually got to safe cover before the line washed over us. That's really the only way to describe that sort of rain storm as it washes over you like one big wave and you feel as if you have been tossed into a drive through car wash but without the car...

When things got crazy Mike was actually lifted up and his flip flops went flying in the wind. I'm pretty sure Jimmy Buffett needs to write a song about this... Anyone round here know Jimmy Buffett? That would make one fun, heck of a song to write. His umbrella took off faster than the wicked witch of the west went swirling up into the Twister and now that I'm thinking on it... how did stay on that bike in a Twister pedaling along ... oh right......Hollywood.

This was the middle of the afternoon in July.

When weather gets nasty everything gets dark fast.

2014 Hurricane Arthur offshore Long Island.

When a strong band came through..

So know that when you are chasing things like this can really happen. Good to have a safe spot when you see hail moving in on you...which my daughter and I did not have when we were in New York in the bands of Hurricane Arthur. We walked down through a park on a spit of land that looks across at JFL where the planes were grounded and suddenly something got "funny" in the water and Dina being quick realized it was hail whereas I was taking pictures in awe of the dark clouds obscuring the view of Manhattan. She insisted we leave as in "NOW" and we did and we sort of raced back through the park to the car where we chased the squall line a bit more down near Long Beach where she grabbed some great pictures and we walked around inspecting some post Hurricane Sandy construction. Turns out later we heard there was severe hail in the area. I really would liked to have gotten those pictures... but I digress.

We were here...........before we had to relocate because of the large hail coming down in the bay.

The plane is by JFK, it was grounded.

The discoloration in the water near land...

...was hail falling, bouncing in the water.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayswater_Point_State_Park

There's nothing like weather. Really nothing like it and it's unpredictable in that tornadoes can spin up without any watches or warnings especially in Florida where a sudden waterspout decides to become a landlubber and tears up a park or a house or anything it wants to on it's way somewhere else.

So yeah that happened. Funny as I'm going to be in New York this coming weekend with Dina who is chasing her 3 year old son more these days than weather, though she took some incredible video driving through the back roads colored with fall foliage ablaze in the sunshine.

Below is a pic I took with my brother and one my brother took of me. I'm wearing a Hurricane City tee shirt :)

Actually I remember that line.

We were oceanside and took cover near a hotel.

Lots of funnel clouds that day.

Some Asian tourists stood with us...

..we were excited, they were terrified.

This picture was taken from just under an overhang.

At the tip that juts out past the pool near the ocean.

That's Florida for you.......

One minute it's all aqua, turquoise and sunny.

Twenty minutes later it can be black and white and stormy.

And dark........very dark as the storm moves in.

I think I'm going to leave this up as a stand alone blog, easier to find and more fun to look back on.

Up late watching the clock turn back. Seriously, I had a horrible headache Saturday afternoon and I ended up sleeping for about five hours. I didn't sleep the headache off but I got my evening sleep a bit early. Going to sleep again now, now that the headache is gone and I'm smiling. I just might watch the video again just to laugh. And speaking of weather......the weather has turned cold again in Raleigh and though we missed the wild weather both New York and Florida had today (including a storm that took apart an Amazon building under construction in Maryland) we are headed into peak of the season leaf watching so I don't mind missing a storm for once. Hopefully later today on Sunday I'll get some nice pictures and do a full post on this week's weather and my thoughts on the tropics later on Sunday evening. For now I have a small fake fire going in little heater and the AC is off and so is the ceiling fan tonight! Brrr... Florida girls up north in NORTH Carolina get cold fast :)

Hope y'all turned your clocks back if you still have one or two of those great old radio clocks that my father loved and I still use. Amazingly everything breaks excepts those clocks.

Besos BobbiStorm

Ps... And a big thank you to Mike for being Mike!

https://www.facebook.com/mikesweatherpage/videos/770634906612153/

Watching & Waiting. Close In Drama and Strong Tropical Waves. Mid Atlantic (Baltimore to NY) Needs to Worry on This Hurricane Season. Rain Tends to Bring Canes.

The NHC may say NO NO NO

But still we watch the tropics.

Best place to watch is Spaghetti Models.

Find your favorite product of the day.

Above highlighted is....

..areas the government highlights for possible development.

As we move towards August 1st...

...things heat up.

So now is a good time to prepare.

My favorite thing to buy for Hurricane Supplies?

1 lesson from Hurricane Andrew.

I wanted coffee more than water.

Miami girl... needs her cafecito.

Starbucks makes one too.

I don't really have time today to blog but I'm blogging just the same. Why you ask ...as the tropics look so dead? They aren't dead they are in "set up mode" kind of like a possum playing dead so he conserves his energy for when he needs it.

Look at that shadow effect from the last wave.

Still there. 

Took a bit bite out of SAL.

Leaves it a kinder place for the new wave.

SAL is still there but wilting a bit under the nonstop attack from one tropical wave after another, each wave juicing up the atmosphere just a bit more each day. The wind flow pattern begins to change and as the sun begins to warm up the cooler water that once was there the tropical Atlantic becomes more favorable for tropical development. Each dying wave flares up just a bit more further West as they approach South America. Eventually one, like Beryl develops but unlike Beryl it will be easier to find on satellite imagery. Contrary to hype and repetitive news stories the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season is not dead, not a goner and it will not succumb for a while to El Nino that really is still picking out his outfit for his big debut on the weather stage.

2018 so far.

A huge Bermuda High is outlined above.

The Bermuda High breathes much like you and I do. It has it's good days and it's weaker days and sometimes it feels unstoppable. It inches West, it slides back to the East, it retrogrades back towards the West and then it moves back a drop more; the location of the High is everything when a hurricane is moving WNW towards the Caribbean and the East Coast. If it becomes a double barrel high than places in the Gulf of Mexico need to worry more than normal. As much as we watch the waves we have to watch the High Pressure that becomes their steering current and ticket to the New World. Think of those waves like Christopher Columbus going on a voyage westward. 

Two things to think on.

On rare occasions ULLs can work their way down to the surface.

Especially this year where we are used to storms like Chris.

Close up below.

As areas sit over warm water...

...they need to be watched.

Tail end of dead fronts need to be watched.

Number 2... 

They go where the low pressure is.

Most basic Cliff Noes there.

They try and avoid the High.

They go where the Low Pressure is...

That is where the Low Pressure is and has been.

Mid Atlantic with record levels of rain.

The ground already soaked and soggy.

As I said on Twitter...

we hope this does not play out..

...but it could.

Currently the Mid Atlantic is a magnet for weather.

Off the coast of Africa.

Our huge wave is exiting.

Finding a friendlier environment that earlier waves.

Something to keep in mind.

This year the East Coast is at higher risk than most places to have a landfalling hurricane. That doesn't mean they will get one, they could get lucky suddenly, but the threat is there as we are in a similar pattern to 1985 and 2012 ... years that produced Gloria and Sandy so beware.

Personally I'm packing today and on my way back to Florida for a while. My youngest son who keeps a low profile on social media unless he is posting pictures of far away places and incredible architecture is graduating from FIU with a Masters Degree in Architecture. Yes, I'm proud as he worked very hard and though we knew he could and would do it ... it is still a huge accomplishment. His older brother who is often on social media is "taking over the Compass Realty" Instagram site for the day before he sails off somewhere as Meyer boys are always flying off somewhere while their Momma is traveling the East Coast going back and forth from Raleigh to Miami. This picture below is from his wedding day as the official Mother and her son picture. 

He knows Miami and it's various neighborhoods better than anyone as he was raised on Miami Beach. No one knows the best streets, places and views of Miami Beach than a Miami Beach native. He's also the 5th generation who has worked in Florida Real Estate, this is really a no-brainer when it comes to finding a good agent to sell your property or help you find the right property. If he could sell an empty lot for close to 7 Million Dollars think what he could sell your waterfront mansion for or your beautiful, much loved home on Royal Palm Avenue on Miami Beach. He lives in Coconut Grove he knows every nook, road and home with the prettiest palm trees or the most beautiful jogging path down to the bay. He's my son. 

https://www.instagram.com/compass/

https://www.compass.com/agents/miami/levi-meyer/

https://www.instagram.com/themeyergroupre

Yup when you grow up in paradise.

You know all the best places in paradise ;)

Loved that house ..

The house we safely rode out Hurricane Andrew in..

Built like a rock.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

PS Please read yesterday's post.

It explains what you need to think on well

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2018/07/mid-atlantic-under-gun-this-year-from.html

Enjoy the video a close friend sent me as a hurricane cruised by Miami.

Happens and life goes on.

2 blocks from where Levi grew up.

I love that view.

Would love to live there with that view.

Maybe some day.

Isn't great to have good friends?

Miami Beach is really a small town inside..

..a tourist's dream novel.

A great, wonderful place to live, work and play.

From Tower 41 on 41st Street on Miami Beach ;)Wat

Snow Seattle & Maine & Places In Between... Will the South Get a Winter Storm? Stay Tuned...

Seattle won the Snow Raffle.

A rare Christmas snow blanketed Seattle last night.

How beautiful is that?

I have a daughter-in-law who does not love snow as she lived for many years in Postville Iowa. It gets really cold there in the winter.... as it currently warmed up today to 5 degrees!  But she has a father who lives there and 2 children on vacation who are going to go see their grandfather and see what a real winter is really like again. They grew up in Iowa, however they have been living in Seattle where it is ironically quite warm considering it's at a far latitude North. Palm trees grown in Seattle and there is a nearby rain forest in the mountains; the pine trees though make it look like a warm Winter Wonderland all year round. This year.......she got snow thrown in her face before going to Postville that looks more like the Ukraine this time of year than America. My son loves snow and most types of "weather" so he's over the top to see Seattle covered in snow!

A good video of Postville in the Winter. If you want snow you can usually bet it is there in the winter, however it's a long ride to get there from any airport. Don't say I didn't warn you! And..dress warm!

That's how I dress when in Postville...

But I'm in North Carolina.

Wishing for snow.

Or some sort of winter weather...

Trying not to buy too much online today.

Had Indian food for lunch ;)

So Maine and Washington State got their snow wishes today and places in the MidWest saw snow.

Later this week the Snow Fairy takes a vacation to the South!

How far South is a question.

And who gets snow vs freezing rain?

Yet to be determined.

Stay tuned!

I hope you all got what you wanted today and if not it's probably on sale somewhere online for free shipping and 20% off so treat yourself to whatever you want the most! I know a few friends who have their new grandchildren this year so they are in 7th Heaven ;) and I know a newborn baby going home this afternoon from the hospital so I know quite a few happy people today. One of my best friends had her 2nd Great Grandchild today and no she's not that old... but she started young and so did her daughter and her daughters ;) A pic of me and Malka celebrating the engagement of my son just a few years ago. Love her. 

Family can be awesome....

.....but they can also drive you crazy sometimes.

Friendship is golden!

If you have a good friend... you're blessed.

I'll be back tomorrow with weather info.

News on the next big storm.

TWC is on all day talking about weather.

So.... you can bet I'm watching carefully.

Check back for more As the Weather World Turns.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps Leaving you with a song a mutual friend loved ... he used to call Malka "Blondie" so here's to friendship and love.