Hurricane Harbor: Watching & Waiting. Close In Drama and Strong Tropical Waves. Mid Atlantic (Baltimore to NY) Needs to Worry on This Hurricane Season. Rain Tends to Bring Canes.

The NHC may say NO NO NO

But still we watch the tropics.

Best place to watch is Spaghetti Models.

Find your favorite product of the day.

Above highlighted is....

..areas the government highlights for possible development.

As we move towards August 1st...

...things heat up.

So now is a good time to prepare.

My favorite thing to buy for Hurricane Supplies?

1 lesson from Hurricane Andrew.

I wanted coffee more than water.

Miami girl... needs her cafecito.

Starbucks makes one too.

I don't really have time today to blog but I'm blogging just the same. Why you ask ...as the tropics look so dead? They aren't dead they are in "set up mode" kind of like a possum playing dead so he conserves his energy for when he needs it.

Look at that shadow effect from the last wave.

Still there.

Took a bit bite out of SAL.

Leaves it a kinder place for the new wave.

SAL is still there but wilting a bit under the nonstop attack from one tropical wave after another, each wave juicing up the atmosphere just a bit more each day. The wind flow pattern begins to change and as the sun begins to warm up the cooler water that once was there the tropical Atlantic becomes more favorable for tropical development. Each dying wave flares up just a bit more further West as they approach South America. Eventually one, like Beryl develops but unlike Beryl it will be easier to find on satellite imagery. Contrary to hype and repetitive news stories the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season is not dead, not a goner and it will not succumb for a while to El Nino that really is still picking out his outfit for his big debut on the weather stage.

2018 so far.

A huge Bermuda High is outlined above.

The Bermuda High breathes much like you and I do. It has it's good days and it's weaker days and sometimes it feels unstoppable. It inches West, it slides back to the East, it retrogrades back towards the West and then it moves back a drop more; the location of the High is everything when a hurricane is moving WNW towards the Caribbean and the East Coast. If it becomes a double barrel high than places in the Gulf of Mexico need to worry more than normal. As much as we watch the waves we have to watch the High Pressure that becomes their steering current and ticket to the New World. Think of those waves like Christopher Columbus going on a voyage westward.

Two things to think on.

On rare occasions ULLs can work their way down to the surface.

Especially this year where we are used to storms like Chris.

Close up below.

As areas sit over warm water...

...they need to be watched.

Tail end of dead fronts need to be watched.

Number 2...

They go where the low pressure is.

Most basic Cliff Noes there.

They try and avoid the High.

They go where the Low Pressure is...

That is where the Low Pressure is and has been.

Mid Atlantic with record levels of rain.

The ground already soaked and soggy.

As I said on Twitter...

we hope this does not play out..

...but it could.

Currently the Mid Atlantic is a magnet for weather.

Off the coast of Africa.

Our huge wave is exiting.

Finding a friendlier environment that earlier waves.

Something to keep in mind.

This year the East Coast is at higher risk than most places to have a landfalling hurricane. That doesn't mean they will get one, they could get lucky suddenly, but the threat is there as we are in a similar pattern to 1985 and 2012 ... years that produced Gloria and Sandy so beware.

Personally I'm packing today and on my way back to Florida for a while. My youngest son who keeps a low profile on social media unless he is posting pictures of far away places and incredible architecture is graduating from FIU with a Masters Degree in Architecture. Yes, I'm proud as he worked very hard and though we knew he could and would do it ... it is still a huge accomplishment. His older brother who is often on social media is "taking over the Compass Realty" Instagram site for the day before he sails off somewhere as Meyer boys are always flying off somewhere while their Momma is traveling the East Coast going back and forth from Raleigh to Miami. This picture below is from his wedding day as the official Mother and her son picture.

He knows Miami and it's various neighborhoods better than anyone as he was raised on Miami Beach. No one knows the best streets, places and views of Miami Beach than a Miami Beach native. He's also the 5th generation who has worked in Florida Real Estate, this is really a no-brainer when it comes to finding a good agent to sell your property or help you find the right property. If he could sell an empty lot for close to 7 Million Dollars think what he could sell your waterfront mansion for or your beautiful, much loved home on Royal Palm Avenue on Miami Beach. He lives in Coconut Grove he knows every nook, road and home with the prettiest palm trees or the most beautiful jogging path down to the bay. He's my son.