A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Thursday, October 10, 2019
October.... Storms. Watching Tropics Still (Caribbean Convection) Noreaster NoName Hybird Storm ...Snow Storm in Dakotas... Santa Ana Winds in California. Pick Your Poison & Keep Watching and a Musical Buffet
You can see where my interest is tropically speaking.
Watching the Caribbean, deep down there.
Stormy weather in the Atlantic.
Gotta tell you to a Miami girl that sounds normal.
But this supposedly is a huge event.
In Raleigh the sun is coming up quietly...
...through the pines hints of color.
Drop of lavender in the pale blue...
Carolina blue sky.
You can't see the lavender but it was there....
...because smart phone corrects it.
And tired of fighting with it so...
...close your eyes and imagine.
Now open them and keep reading ;)
As for weather today...
And oddly to me the big story is in California.
Why you ask?
Because before this Miami girl moved to Carolina..
... I lived in California a long time.
And October there means Santa Ana winds.
And they are forecast today to be strong.
So strong they cut parts of the power grid.
Yes, you heard that right.
That way there's less sparks.
Less sparks means less fires.
Fires fanned with winds of up to 60 MPH.
That's strong tropical storm force winds.
Been there, seen it.....
...watched a whole countryside go up in flames.
Flames blowing in a wind storm.
So as for those traffic lights....
... treat them a 4 way stop.
Stay on the freeway...
Anyway back to the tropics.
The forecast for the impacts to the NE...
...definitely verified.
Nothing tropical or subtropical or extratropical.
Just go with the early Noreaster tag.
The 1st #noreaster of the season across southeast MA with gusts so far 54 MPH on Nantucket and 41 MPH here in #Plymouth = high surf. With the storm stalled it's going to last through Friday night. pic.twitter.com/G5mFcTiMvr
October is just that time of year, you can get anything you want at the local mall or a good Chinese Buffet. Isn't it funny when you go to those huge decorated restaurants and they have an area with sushi in one corner, Chinese dishes in another and pizza and onion rings in another... something for everyone! October brings snow to Mt. Rushmore, fires to California, warm weather to Florida and a taste of fall in the Carolinas as New England gets a taste of winter. It's like a trip to your local Mall, yes I still go to Malls. I'm old school and according to every test I have ever taken on Facebook I "grew up in the 80s in California" so I'm still doing the Mall though I order more on Amazon than actually buy things at Macys. But a recent trip to Crabtree Mall in Raleigh showed me stores decorated for Halloween, the Christmas Stores are up and running and Macys China department has been filled with Christmas Trees in every color and design. Bathing suits are on sale, fall sweaters are on sale and they have not yet marked down the Fake Fur that is going to be huge this winter. Something for everyone... Tropical smoothies next to that booth that sells candy cane chocolate chips, cheese and meat to give as gifts for the holidays. Oh and the 2020 Calendars are on sale at Barnes and Noble. Hard to remember what month it is in this sort of any season you want time of year.
As for me I'm caught in the midst of the Jewish Holidays going away for part of them and planning to be here for the rest of them. Looking forward to seeing old friends and a more better taste of fall as I go up the road a bit to where it's definitely a bit colder. Note to self: Find the pink sherpa I bought at Victoria Secret's last year because I bought it last year on sale and love it and last night I found the boots so... I'm set for colder weather. But I'm still watching the tropics. It's not over til it's over and that mix of fronts on the move and convection in the Caribbean often brings forth a storm to remember. But only time will tell. Anyone can hype it but unless you're using a Ouija board right now... it's not set to go but definitely could happen. My Grandma Mary was a good Southern Girl who deeply respected the Ouija Board and knew to stay away from the Voodoo Queens she learned about when living briefly in New Orleans. Keep watching.
Hello Florida...Hurricane Predictions 2017. Sure Bet It Will Be A Busy Season.
I'm going to make a prediction you can take to the bank. A forecast that is totally 100% reliable. Hurricane Season begins officially June 1st and there will be named tropical systems. Actually we already had one so that's bet I couldn't lose. Tropical Storm Arlene came and went way before the season officially started. Those rules do not work with NASCAR or at the Dog Track however we do allow named storms before the flag has been waved.
Tropical Storm Arlene began the season before the flag was waved; before TV stations showed "how to prepare" videos and before the Internet went crazy with headlines on the start of the season. You know the kind that Accuweather put up this morning of possible tracks for this coming Hurricane Season at the top of this blog.
Jim Williams from www.hurricanecity.com put up a map of possible tracks for this year on May 15th that is very similar to the one that Accuweather put up today although I doubt they did as much work mathematically on calculations. The general feeling on social media outlets, weather websites and in meteorological discussion is that storms could affect the SE and Eastern Gulf of Mexico more than other places. Again it's a prediction and they can happen anywhere at anytime as TS Arlene already showed us...
Split the uprights in the Accuweather chart and Jim's 2017 City Predictions and Florida is more likely to be in the cross hairs this year than most years.
Do not get distracted by mitigating factors such as El Nino forming late or SAL being a problem or SHEAR saving the day. This is not Superman or Batman and people love to have a hero and a villain it seems. It is what it is... it IS Hurricane Season. And one of these names below may come calling on your city despite shear, SAL and the ever popular El Nino.
NOAA predicts we get to Lee.
We could easily see Maria this year trust me.
CSU says Katia.
TWC says Nate.
The only sure thing is ... we have already seen Arlene!
So we start June 1st on the #2 storm Bret
So while out shopping on Memorial Day Weekend if you see something you might want to have for the Hurricane Season pretend June 1st is a birthday and buy the present for yourself. Seems Memorial Day Weekend is one of the busiest shopping weekend of the year. Be like a Scout and be prepared. Splurge and buy yourself something and hide it in the closet somewhere so no one uses up the supplies. Label it in a box TAX INFO or BILLS no one will look ;)
Be sneaky because Mother Nature is often sneaky as Tropical Storm Arlene has already shown. Let's see what other tricks Mother Nature has up her sleeve this Hurricane Season.
Kind of worries me that these incredible high heels usually get more attention than the start of the Hurricane Season and many know the names of tracks at NASCAR or obsess on the first day of the Baseball Season than they do Hurricane Season. Arlene won the game before the first pitch was tossed. If you have a Millenial in your family send them a snap with pictures of Hurricane Supplies... they like pictures of food ;) Do whatever you got to do because Hurricane Season is happening whether you are ready or not....
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm