Tropics Thursday. Quiet Now But Is Trouble Waiting In The Wings? What's Your Favorite Hurricane Movie? Summer Here and Everyone Wants to Go Somewhere But Where?

NHC sasy they see nothing.

I see convection in GOM

And a weak stalled out front.

That gave it up to the huge High.

And I see a stronger wave off of Africa.

Earthnull below.

Loop below.

Cliff notes version.


New wave off Africa may be the one that models show juicing up the atmosphere and possibly developing. Or that moisture just flows up from the Caribbean. Where does the High move, go or hold up tells the story if we get something and where we get something. GFS keeps aiming at the GOM beaches but only time will tell. Strong high, for now Florida looks safe but looks can be deceiving.

Okay that is the end of the real Tropical Update, the rest you can enjoy if you'd like to read and enjoy the links, thoughts and the way my messy mind works.

This is going to be a short blog today because there's not much to say and I want to do a short blog for my friends who enjoy shorter vs longer. So I figured for the bored, creative types going out of their mind who chose not to take trips and go places maybe I could find something for yu to do, or you to do with yout kids or maybe you pooch likes watching you color. It wasn't easy. First I put "Mandelas Hurricane" into my browser and it offered me a book on Nelson Mandela. Obviously Google and I were not on the same page. Good book by the way, read it but not the type of Mandela I wanted.  Oh and when I said "short' I meant I was going to write more than talk tropics and show mutliple models you can see elsewhere. I really meant "Old School BobbiStorm" and obviously I have a problem spelling that word more than Mike does Spaghetti... really it's a thing.

https://www.amazon.com/Eye-Hurricane-Path-Darkness-Freedom/dp/1613748159

But this shows hows much the word Hurricane and the concept of being in the eye of a hurricane is burned into our brain and our consciousness as a metaphor for a trial, a tribulation and something we learn from after the storm has moved on and that's why she said in Twister "when you said you chased Tornadoes I thought it was a methaphor" which is a great line but my experience on Google today shows the reality of why she made that statement. She was also a therapist and they think different from you and me, analyzing everything we say, do and even our body language.

So here was an example of my trip through Google this morning and I do mean that metaphorically. I'm obviously in the mood for a trip but where and when and for how long remains the question and in my neck of the woods Covid cases are on the rise climbing high, not declining so I may have to take a visual trip.

Would love to track a hurricane and would love to be in a hurricane because that's who I am, if you thought I liked Fair Weather you are obvisouly reading the wrong blog. Some people want a hurricane to escape from life and others want it to knock down and blow away their school, or their kid's school (I have a friend who actually wished that all the time) and some want to stand outside in the storm then watch it get quiet and see the clouds disappear and enjoy every single moment of quiet staring at the wonder of it all yet knowing the back side of the storm will reappear and slap you in the face faster than you could ever imagine. It's awesome. And, as much as I love the eye I really love the bands, the bands of rain and watching things go flying in the wind and there is a sense of awe and wonder that can't be explained to someone who doesn't understand that. Some go to sleep, some hide in a closet and others stand there staring in wonder. Which one are you?

Note the progression of images as Google tried to find to read my mind but obviously not too many people want to color in a mandela of a hurricane and there might be a good product to make and sell online or not. Or just make your own or watch Twister and there really is a huge lack of really good hurricane movies. I mean how many times can you watch Key Largo? Actually, I'm going to watch a movie today my ex-husband recommended about Cuba and Florida as he said he thought of me and knew I'd love it so that's on my To Do List.

The trailer is below. The images of my trip around Google are also below. I'll update if and when some thing happens today. It's gonna rain in Raleigh and our temperatures are forecast to be lower so maybe I'll just sit and watch the rain from my balcony or take a walk or whatever.

Have a wonderful day. I'll be back sooner I think than many realize as the EPAC is trying hard to produce a cyclone. This is like watching someone give birth in slow motion, it ain't pretty. And yet the Atlantic with it's Dust Storm will probably produce something sooner rather than later so I just showed the 2 day because I'm a believer that Mother Nature can't wait to throw something else at us.

okay nice but no tho that bottom left one is pretty

okay that was better we got weather at least.

Oh wait I think Google got it!

Success tho really that's a boring Mandela 

Or you can color it interesting.

Kind of like life.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.



or



Which one do you want to watch? Do you have a favorite Hurricane Movie? Hurricane movie about hurricanes not life or boxing or well you get the idea. Because we don't metaphorically chase hurricanes in truth we chase them or hide from them. Which are you?

New Wave Off Africa. Models. Discussion. Remnants of TD4 Moving Towards FL as RAIN. Will New Invest 95L Make It Past SAL into Carib? Hmnnn Stay Tuned. Memories of Dania Beach - Boomers - Jaxson's Ice Cream Parlor (still there... go fast)

Still at 20% in the 5Day

For a really wild ride loop this link below:

This post really is for Miami kids, though pretty sure others can relate in their own way. Miami kids grew up bored in the summer begging their parents on Saturday Night to "please can we go to Disney tomorrow??" and parents begging off just as fast. Yes, they bought that Florida Residence Pass that was good in the Dog Days of August. And, yet who really wants to pile in the car at 5 AM and drive up the Turnpike with kids fighting in the back seat and then spend most of the day til fireworks at 9 PM then drive back to Miami arriving home around 1:30 AM (if you were lucky) so usually unless Aunt Martha wanted to go see Disney, parents passed on the free entrance the Florida Residents got early on and later was just a huge discount? Yes that was a long run on sentence and a whole lot easier to deal with than 3 kids fighting on the Florida Turnpike for a long, ride to Disney.

Kids being kids didn't give up that easy. "Can we go to Lion Country Safari?" which was only up the road a few counties. IF they were lucky the parents agreed to go to Playword which was a ToysRUs type institution or agreed to make a backyard BBQ and set up the Slip and Slide. In the later part of the Century lol parents settled on Boomers a popular, local theme park.

Go Carts and Rollercoasters.

And lots of other stuff too..

If they were really lucky their parents agreed to go to Jaxson's for ice cream after. Years back Dania was the place to go on a Sunday afternoon for Miami kids whose parents would only go so far up the road. It's still the place to be as Ice Cream never goes out of style.

Everyone wanted to go to Disney, but sometimes on a Sunday afternoon you were lucky enough to get Boomers. South Florida will most likely get afternoon thunderstorms aka "boomers" as the left over remnants of TD4 as the wave that is left from that TD is now forecast to wander, weakly through the Florida Straits and across South Florida. And, that was more believable than the early "hit Florida with a hurricane" scenario the GFS was trying to sell earlier in the week. Flash Sale in July in the tropics gets you weak, westbound tropical waves not an E ticket ride at Disney that mostly old timers will get. Sort of like the gold label on the Halo Top Ice Cream this summer. If you haven't tried Halo Top, you probably will one way or the other. Everything has it's day in the sun, even XTD4 limping along being followed like Mary's proverbial lamb by the ULL.

Where ever XTD4 goes the ULL is sure to go.....................

So where does this leave us with regards to the new wave and the new model runs that are also started out "take me to Disney" or "I want to ride the Hurricane at Boomers!!" and will most likely get a trip to Walmart to buy a puzzle with a pretty picture of some tropical scene in the Caribbean and with luck has a chance of avoiding Cuba and Hispaniola and making it into the GOM (maybe) as some form of tropical moisture. A much more logical summertime trip in July than the whole "Can we drive the whole length of US1 this JULY!!!"  Long run on sentences for models that show African Waves making it to our part of the world.

The EURO has yet to really weigh in with anything extremely exciting and that in truth probably what will happen with a July wave trying to swim across the ocean. Anyone watch that Amelia Earhart special last night? You see where I'm going. And, most likely the EURO being really cool would want to go to Universal to see the Harry Potter exhibit way more than Disney World. Sorry Walt, but time marches on.....

What is now currently above.

Where it may be going down the road.

This image from www.tropicaltidbits.com was posted on www.flhurricane.com on a message board yesterday and is pretty valid today too. Why? Because I want everyone to focus on the track of this new wave (possibly Invest 95L should it get that far) for the next 3 days. And, then we can start making long term plans for a kick ass summer vacation destination somewhere. It's worth saying that this morning's run is way more logical than yesterday's and can't wait to see what it's showing tomorrow. 

Today's run gave up the East Coast Long Drive....

..and stays low going into the Caribbean.

And IF this wave gets designation that's logical in the short term.

Because Cousin SAL is still there being a Kill Joy for CV Waves.

Going to Spaghetti Models shown above..

Note TD4 remnants trying to flare up.

The wave departing from Africa.

A sea of Saharan Dust.

Another wave embedded in dust further W

And that's the tropics in July

One reason Jim Williams ignores them mostly til August.

But every once in a while a wave comes along...

...and does the dirty deed and gets the D name anyway.

So stay tuned.

Every wave has it's day...

...and every storm runs out of rain.

The question is will this even be Invest 95L?

Then we can worry on the Don name..

The GFS will have a new run soon.

Stay tuned...

Music to loop by... and here's the loop:

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/noaaport_loop.php?PATH=/var/www/leads_images/satellite/NHC/COMP/

Meteorology and music, can't go wrong...

...there's always a song ;)

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

You can get faster updates in real time on Twitter.

I'll be back if anything real happens.

Ps .. Boomers like TD4 is sadly gone... 

...but lives on in Youtube videos.