Sebastien.... NHC Forecasts Smooth, Naked Sebastien to Become a Hurricane.

Okay at least we can see our TS from outer space.

Up close it's really attaching to that rope...

...that's gonna pull it up, up and away

Pretty sure different regimes at the NHC could each handle #Sebastian differently. Caught on a rope. Going out to sea. Could put on a show temporarily & it’s forecast to be a #hurricane pic.twitter.com/QW1ln9U5g5

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 21, 2019

Gotta be honest I think it looked better last night.

But it's a strong Tropical Storm.

Forecast to be a hurricane by the NHC.

Official graphics ...

...showing from www.spaghettimodels.com

Almost looks like it wants to tell us something...

...maybe Santa's on his way?

A Santana song is now stuck in my mind.

That's not a yellow butterfly.

It's the wind history of Sebastien.

I'd agree with Josh on this...

...paint dries faster.

It may become a hurricane.

It is a tropical storm.

As Jim Williams said on Twitter...

originated in the tropics.

www.hurricanecity.com

As for me more into shopping for Chanukah.

Debating getting myself an inexpensive present.

But I probably have these purple shades here.

Kind of like me...

Witty, easy going, genuine...

..wise and kind of chilled today.

Watching hearings.

Debating on buying this book.

https://www.amazon.com/Siberian-Curse-Communist-Planners-Russia/dp/0815736452

Debating on what to make for dinner.

Maybe go out... shop for Shabbos.

Sushi? Nah....

Got time to think on it.

By then... 

Sebastien could be a hurricane.

Yeah... this is happening.

I'll update later.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.

Mostly weather on Twitter.

Some weather,  make up and "life" on Instagram.

Smooth....

...get it the eye shadow shade..

My mind is an amazing thing... but warped ;)

Reason for reason....

the step in my groove...

Great song...

..gonna dance.

How can ya not dance when you hear Santana?

Do you dance at home when alone?

I do.

Great video... so smooth..

Sebastien Forms From Invest 90L... Center Close to Convection. Quiet Tropical Drama in the Atlantic

We now have Sebastien.

Tropical Storm Sebastien.

I like Mike's announcement better ...

Discussion above explains a bit of the drama..

..and the dynamics behind Sebastien.

As it may go "baroclinic" it may transform.

Size, shape... Google it. Baroclinic.

Common for these sort of storms.

Currently battling shear still.

Center more naked than not.

But enough clothes for prime time.

So hello Sebastien!

Welcome to the 2019 Hurricane Season!!

Going up, up and away...

Steering currents for #tropical #storm #sebastien https://t.co/XLVVLmtkcS pic.twitter.com/UgpfVapQIM

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 19, 2019

Please keep reading.

Written about an hour before the upgrade.

Explains why they upgraded.

And where it's going.

Thanks :)

Quick loop of our Ivest #90L that could become #Sebastian sooner rather than later as it has a short window for development bc pic.twitter.com/aRQqtKoIJi

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 19, 2019

Keep reading... written around 10 AM.
Before the expected upgrade to TS status.

Thanks @yconsor on Twitter

 for the reminder to check out that loop.

Like seeing an old friend.

Good loop.

So many loops....

...the struggle is real.

Basically waiting on upgrade to Sebastian.

At least a TD I'd think.....

...this season has been hard to figure.

But the NHC has raised it to 80%

It has a narrow window to develop.

Convection way closer to the center.

Early morning discussion below from NHC

Models from www.spaghettimodels.com

Up, Up and Away as the song goes.

As the loop and video above show.

Watching the hearings.

One of my degrees is in International Relations.

Emphasis to Russian Studies.

I specialized in patterns and linkage.

So it's interesting.

90L/Sebastien less interesting.

But it's a matter of history...

..especially when it gets a name.

At some point Phil Klotzbach will reference it.

Some November with a similar set up.

A similar pattern and link it in his discussion.

Oh look... and he did.
Wrote that at 10 AM
Phil tweeted this at 11 AM.

Tropical Storm #Sebastien has formed in the central Atlantic - the 18th named storm of the 2019 Atlantic #hurricane season to date. 2019 is the 9th Atlantic season on record with 18+ named storms. Others are: 1887, 1933, 1969, 1995, 2005, 2010, 2011 and 2012. pic.twitter.com/vrHy2ZYXQd

— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) November 19, 2019

See? I'm very good at forecasting ...

Have a wonderful day!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.