Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Sebastien Forms From Invest 90L... Center Close to Convection. Quiet Tropical Drama in the Atlantic




We now have Sebastien.
Tropical Storm Sebastien.
I like Mike's announcement better ...





Discussion above explains a bit of the drama..
..and the dynamics behind Sebastien.
As it may go "baroclinic" it may transform.
Size, shape... Google it. Baroclinic.
Common for these sort of storms.
Currently battling shear still.
Center more naked than not.
But enough clothes for prime time.
So hello Sebastien!
Welcome to the 2019 Hurricane Season!!


Going up, up and away...


Please keep reading.
Written about an hour before the upgrade.
Explains why they upgraded.
And where it's going.
Thanks :)

Keep reading... written around 10 AM.
Before the expected upgrade to TS status.

Thanks @yconsor on Twitter
 for the reminder to check out that loop.
Like seeing an old friend.
Good loop.
So many loops....
...the struggle is real.





Basically waiting on upgrade to Sebastian.
At least a TD I'd think.....
...this season has been hard to figure.
But the NHC has raised it to 80%
It has a narrow window to develop.
Convection way closer to the center.


Early morning discussion below from NHC




Up, Up and Away as the song goes.
As the loop and video above show.

Watching the hearings.
One of my degrees is in International Relations.
Emphasis to Russian Studies.
I specialized in patterns and linkage.
So it's interesting.
90L/Sebastien less interesting.
But it's a matter of history...
..especially when it gets a name.

At some point Phil Klotzbach will reference it.
Some November with a similar set up.
A similar pattern and link it in his discussion.

Oh look... and he did.
Wrote that at 10 AM
Phil tweeted this at 11 AM.



See? I'm very good at forecasting ...


Have a wonderful day!
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.


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