Sebastien Forms From Invest 90L... Center Close to Convection. Quiet Tropical Drama in the Atlantic

We now have Sebastien.

Tropical Storm Sebastien.

I like Mike's announcement better ...

Discussion above explains a bit of the drama..

..and the dynamics behind Sebastien.

As it may go "baroclinic" it may transform.

Size, shape... Google it. Baroclinic.

Common for these sort of storms.

Currently battling shear still.

Center more naked than not.

But enough clothes for prime time.

So hello Sebastien!

Welcome to the 2019 Hurricane Season!!

Going up, up and away...

Steering currents for #tropical #storm #sebastien https://t.co/XLVVLmtkcS pic.twitter.com/UgpfVapQIM

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 19, 2019

Please keep reading.

Written about an hour before the upgrade.

Explains why they upgraded.

And where it's going.

Thanks :)

Quick loop of our Ivest #90L that could become #Sebastian sooner rather than later as it has a short window for development bc pic.twitter.com/aRQqtKoIJi

— BobbiStorm (@BobbiStorm) November 19, 2019

Keep reading... written around 10 AM.
Before the expected upgrade to TS status.

Thanks @yconsor on Twitter

 for the reminder to check out that loop.

Like seeing an old friend.

Good loop.

So many loops....

...the struggle is real.

Basically waiting on upgrade to Sebastian.

At least a TD I'd think.....

...this season has been hard to figure.

But the NHC has raised it to 80%

It has a narrow window to develop.

Convection way closer to the center.

Early morning discussion below from NHC

Models from www.spaghettimodels.com

Up, Up and Away as the song goes.

As the loop and video above show.

Watching the hearings.

One of my degrees is in International Relations.

Emphasis to Russian Studies.

I specialized in patterns and linkage.

So it's interesting.

90L/Sebastien less interesting.

But it's a matter of history...

..especially when it gets a name.

At some point Phil Klotzbach will reference it.

Some November with a similar set up.

A similar pattern and link it in his discussion.

Oh look... and he did.
Wrote that at 10 AM
Phil tweeted this at 11 AM.

Tropical Storm #Sebastien has formed in the central Atlantic - the 18th named storm of the 2019 Atlantic #hurricane season to date. 2019 is the 9th Atlantic season on record with 18+ named storms. Others are: 1887, 1933, 1969, 1995, 2005, 2010, 2011 and 2012. pic.twitter.com/vrHy2ZYXQd

— Philip Klotzbach (@philklotzbach) November 19, 2019

See? I'm very good at forecasting ...

Have a wonderful day!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.