Thanksgiving Day Forecast.... Frigid Temperatures for the Macy's Day Parade... Starbucks Latte VS Frappe Unless You Live in Florida - Winter Make Up :)

That's today.
November 20th, 2018.
The year winter came early.

As for the Macy's Parade...
Bundle Up!

Seriously hope Ronald McDonald has a scarf!

An overcoat maybe?

Hat? Gloves?

This is the 3 day loop.

It is THE forecast.

Short term, reliable.

Note the progression of cold fronts.

Rain in the Gulf of Mexico and Florida.

Snow in the Northeast 

Below Freezing Temperatures Along East Coast.

And look at those Isobars on the last day..

Arctic Air Being Funneled Down.

Say it Ain't So....

Christmas Weather for Thanksgiving?

A sign of the times....

Mike put the Weather Links back up..

www.spaghettimodels.com

It's about time...

What with Winter Storm Avery knocking out NYC.

Mike still has the NHC Main Page up.

Just in case.......

But he's added in the snow forecast maps.

These are great maps.

Easy to find...

... Easy to use.

Up on the Spaghetti Models.

You know it's Winter when Kylie puts out new palettes!

This girl has brains.

She knows weather sells.

Women love weather...

Yes we will ALL be Chillin on Thanksgiving!

Snowflakes on the lipsticks.

Winter colors for the eyes... 

Black Friday specials!

And winter maps galore on Twitter.

So here are some maps and thoughts.

Allan from Brooklyn likes to make maps.

They are good maps.

This is the possible WIND CHILLS

That's hard to believe.

Then again it was hard to believe .....

.....NYC would get so much snow.

And it did.

I wouldn't count it out.

Here's a link to current wind chills.

It may come in handy.

http://hp2.wright-weather.com/icons/us_chill.gif

Accuweather....

The Weather Channel .... 

You get the idea.

Without the wind chills it's cold.

Below Freezing, well below freezing.

Talking mittens, gloves, hat, scarf ... stay home inside?

Stay home sipping hot chocolate under a cover ;)

The Parade is on TV you know :)

I spent my lifetime watching it on TV.

You'll survive I promise..

21 degrees for Thursday.

Oh wait that was yesterday's forecast.

Look below.... now it's down to 19 degrees!!!

Check out Thursday's Low above. 19 degrees

Ya...that's winter weather not fall temperatures.

Sometimes you have to throw out the rule book and deal with what is and not what should be. It's like when a hurricane forms in June or a strong Tropical Storm pops up in May... you can't say "hey it's not Hurricane Season yet" you have to get supplies, make a plan and watch Cantore in the surf on TWC until your power goes out. In NYC and NJ the powers that be erred on the side of "it's not winter yet" and we saw what a mess Winter Storm Avery made. In Maryland where they were treating the roads and being "all melodramatic" they were better prepared to deal with the snow. As my Daddy used to tell me "you gotta do what you gotta do" and that means treating this storm and the cold weather that follows it as if winter is here and the calendar is irrelevant. If we get a December thaw "nice" but if not ... button up your overcoat and do what you got to do. 

If you are traveling by car make sure you have blankets, extra food and drinks with you as the walk into the service plaza or Truck Stop will make you feel like one of Santa's Elves. If you're flying, hope you don't get stuck anywhere. If you and your loved ones have asthma or any health problem make sure you bring along your medication. It's easy to say "let's hope these forecasts" are "melodramatic" but I'd err on the side of caution, hope for the best and prepare for the worst. By the way... the worst will come AFTER Thanksgiving if the long term models are correct and they are currently in good agreement! And, what concerns me is how cold the ground gets, how much it warms up when the temperatures moderate before the next polar blast comes through. I'll deal with long term models tomorrow or Thursday. 

Sadly another thing I want to mention today is......... the smoke from the fires is caught up in the atmosphere and the horrible possibility of rain in California that would immediately create mudslides. I lived there ... they go hand in hand. First comes fire then comes rain and there is nothing to hold back the ground and it slides down the hill. There are many, many people missing and many more will be declared dead as the death toll rises daily. If you think hurricanes are bad... generally I'd take a hurricane any day than a hillside that goes up in flames and then what's left slides down to the valley below.  So perhaps while giving thanks for all you have this year... pray ... and give some charity. I know I am and many of my friends have been doing so. 

I'm not sure what I'm actually doing on Thanksgiving yet. The family isn't meeting anywhere, it's one of those years with three new babies the different couples are fending for themselves and my brother is doing something (not sure what) and my husband and I may go see my mother-in-law . . . up in Maryland in her Rest Home...or we may stay home and eat good food, watch football and buy presents for Chanukah which comes early this year the same way winter is coming early. Road trips are always good; maybe I'll take in a movie . . .

I may make Turkey Benedict for breakfast the way I did last year in Miami for the kids as we were going to Abeulita's house to be with my daughter-in-law's family. She had the baby, it's a girl named Lucy :) and I need to buy more clothes for Miss Lucy so that's my life. I may use fake hollandaise sauce or fake turkey... it came out really good last year. Or... we'll figure it out. North Carolina isn't going to be that cold, but it will be cold with a low somewhere around 25. Maybe I'll stay home by the Fake Fireplace and order presents online. Whatever you do ... do it with a smile, your favorite music and I hope your favorite team wins!

Maybe I'll make pumpkin flan...

..my husband's a Yankee. 

He likes apple pie and chocolate cream.

Where I come from that's kind of un American...

(teasing....)

And worst of all he prefers walnuts to pecans :(

I want pumpkin pie. 

Real pumpkin pie.

Recipe for the flan below.. 

No pumpkin seeds tho...

That's just so wrong.

Caramel or cinnamon always!

https://www.epicurious.com/recipes/food/views/pumpkin-flan-with-spiced-pumpkin-seeds-233017

Pumpkin Rice Pudding?

Hmnnn

Maybe just have pizza and make Turkey Friday Night?

Time will tell....

Stay warm.

Dress accordingly.

And again... on Black Friday buy winter clothes.

Boots... overcoats and maybe a hat and gloves!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... wondering if Menchies is open on Thanksgiving...

Cat 2 Hurricane Otto Making Thanksgiving Day Landfall. And My Thoughts On Being Thankful!!

Impressive.

In motion. Incredible

Don't mean to bring you all down but this is a Killer Hurricane.

My friend Jim Williams would point out the deaths were from flooding.

Yes, so true. Flooding caused by Otto.

Rare to see this misery there in November.

But it does happen. Martha 1969 

5 fatalities. November.

Landfall in Panama not Nicaragua tho both got weather.

Otto is a dangerous hurricane.

Usually M N and O storms are a problem for the Caribbean.

Mitch for instance. Matthew caused trouble as well.

Jamaica keeps getting lucky.

Jamaica has much to be thankful for.............

Wow, wow Otto... Look at Otto! Cat 2 and running out of room while he tries to make Cat 3. He should stay where he is now, however he was not forecast to be a Cat 2 just a minimal 75 MPH hurricane so let's see how the day plays out. As for me I'm typing this while watching the Macy's Day Parade with one of my daughter-in-laws who is online. I used to watch the parade with my baby brothers in bed making a lot of noise annoying my mother who wasn't much into parades. Actually, my mother wasn't much into Thanksgiving. My Aunt made big meals or we went out to eat somewhere. My father would take me out to a Cafeteria usually around Thanksgiving so I could enjoy a "real meal" you know with the dressing and mashed potatoes and gravy. When my kids growing up I made huge meals, decorated the turkey and we had fun. Meyer kids generally have fun, just saying. But now I'm online with my brother in Greece listening to the song he sent me and talking to my daughter-in-law on messenger!! 2016 ... so much to give thanks for!!! So much!!!!

We can watch hurricanes on satellite imagery with incredible models that help in early warnings for areas that years ago had no warnings before they were slammed with deadly storm surge. I think that's something to give thanks for ...

And I can talk to my kids on Whatsapp, Snapchat, FaceTime and regular old messenger from Facebook while doing anything except handling dangerous equipment. Who knew the Internet had so much in common with Dimetapp? That said... I can watch the parade, sip Nespresso Latte and write while in bed under the warm covers as I balance the phone on one knee next to the laptop. Later we can be together on Facebook Live. Gotta love 2016 on so many levels for the ways we stay in touch on Twitter after "migrating" from AOL :) (for u know who you are...)

I think you get where I'm going.... There is so much to give thanks for and as always it's what you focus on in life. I was taught my a spiritual mentor friend a saying from a Rebbe from years back. In spiritual matters you look up at people who have more than you to be more like them spiritually on any level even New Age "just think happy thoughts" or pray to the Lord whatever works for you. My additional thoughts here. And on material things you look at those who need and have less than you. Obviously to help them and give charity and be thankful for all you do have in your life.
www.redcross.org <--- charity="" feel="" give="" need="" p="" should="" suddenly="" the="" to="" you="">
If you spend your time always upset because you don't have as much as the next guy or gal... you are never happy. I remember growing up in Miami Beach in a very wealthy area or more so an area where some people were very wealthy and others like us lived in old, affordable mini Roaring 20s mansions that needed much work but I loved that house. We were told we had structural damage from the 1926 Hurricane that would never be fixed completely. But some neighbors lived on North Bay Road and near by Pine Tree Drive. So there was this nice kid who came over often to play with my kids who lived in a big, beautiful home on North Bay Road but it was on the landlocked side of the street (means he had a backyard not on the water) and all day from his fancy, beautifully decorated, expensive house he'd look out across the street at the larger mansion ON THE WATER that looked out on Biscayne Bay. We'd remind him he had a beautiful house. He's look sad and say "yeah but it's not the same" and I'd giggle and pray a bit that when he grows up he will look back and appreciate all he had back then on the wrong side of the expensive street.

The point again here is what you focus on ..............

People need rain in parts of the country that are in drought, that's a NEED not a want though they be wanting rain bad. People go through a whole winter and barely get snow and are sad. Some people I knew growing up would cry as kids when a hurricane turned away from making landfall in Miami. And speaking of Miami "Hey how about those Dolphins??"

Just something to think on if you are here today reading my blog on Thanksgiving. We go through years of no hurricanes and then El Nino leaves and the switch is flipped. I do think La Nina is here in some way and we will have a strong winter in some areas. I know that sounds vague, but we have to see how the storm tracks play out in real time.

And some people are already focusing on whether Paula will form...

So stay tuned and be very happy for what you DO have and maybe next year you'll have more of what is on your wish list!

Happy Thanksgiving from Raleigh where the temperature is supposed to hit 71 degrees today. Now I'm thinking we should have gone to Myrtle Beach. But making a quiet, sort of romantic candle lit dinner for tonight and planning on relaxing from the crazy whirl of social events a few days ago in Brooklyn.

I'll update later today after landfall. And landfall is coming soon. Worth noting they have it decreasing in intensity down to 70 MPH at landfall. That would mean it makes landfall not as a hurricane but as a tropical storm. Despite the climo and weather history of the region I'm not convinced it won't be hurricane status at landfall. Otto has been an over performer since day 1.

As always time will tell.

And a special thanks to Mike from Spaghetti Models

www.spaghettimodels.com

Loved the Facebook Live during Matthew.

As we move forward with no ways to communicate.

Communicate, educate and sometimes entertain you.

That's what many of us try to do.

Knowledge is power!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter... look me up!

Ps Be Safe.. no operating the toaster if you have made too many toasts ;)



And some musical epicurean delights from when my old house on Miami Beach was young ;)