2019 Hurricane Season Starts... Get a Start on Hurricane Preparation Now!

Now why would I be showing you bubbles.

Bubbles in different colors.

And these were huge bottles of bubbles.

Keep reading.

Welcome to the start of the 2019 Hurricane Season. If you are reading this you most likely have concerns for your own life and property or the lives of friends and relatives who live in Hurricane Country. Your job this weekend is to buy at lest one thing that you would need for Hurricane Season.

Yes, it is that easy. If you are out at Publix buy an extra can of tuna or if the peanut butter is buy one get one free.... buy some peanut butter. Get a box, or a locker and stick it in it. If you have kids hide stuff on top of the box and make sure no one gets into the hurricane supplies before a hurricane comes to your town and the box is bare with notes that read "sorry Mommy I ate all the snacks!!"  Trust me I have raised enough kids to know this could happen and will happen if you are not really sneaky. Be sneaky!

I wrote this a few days back, please read the blog as it's excellent advice. Hurricanes are one of the only "natural disasters" that you can prepare for or have time to evacuate so be prepared and be glad you have that edge for once over Mother Nature.

So take a list, check it twice.

Whether you have been naught or nice...

Hurricanes may try to come and visit.

And like relatives .... they come back often.

Years with an early storm like 1926...

...then another Cat 4 in 1926 a bit further down the beach.

Jeanne and Frances..

Maria and Irma.

The list goes on and on.

Make your list.

Start buying Hurricane Supplies now.

Fix the roof, check the windows.

Now is the time to prepare...

...not when you get to the market too late.

And all that is left is canned oysters.

Well ... unless you really like canned oysters.

But apparently not too many people do.

Note this tweet!

Dollar Stores are the best place to stock up on hurricane supplies.

Honestly, they have paper products, medication and toys.

They have buckets, they have canned food... 

Canned fruit, peanut butter.

Pretty much it's all there.

And affordable.

How?

Every time you go buy one product and put it away.

These are things you can use with or without a storm.

When you go to Walmart to get a screwdriver....

... and you see HUGE bottles of bubbles on sale.

BUY THEM if you have kids.,

Crayons.... that work without batteries.

Coloring books at the Dollar Store.

Nothing occupies kids longer than bubbles.

And you don't need electricity.

Parents have special needs.

Diapers and baby wipes.

Small kids get bored when they can't use their iPad.

You know that's true.

And you may not have electric for a week or two.

I'm talking best case scenario...

The house survived intact but the power is out.

Cable is out.

Trees are down.

You need to keep the kiddies busy... 

So shop accordingly.

Trust me on this... 

I know.

We didn't have power for almost two weeks after Andrew.

Batteries only go so far and need to be saved ... 

Crayons last forever.

I'll do a full update on Sunday.

But for now...

Make a list.

Start shopping.

Because if you get the market late...

...and everyone has shopped.

The diapers are gone and.......

.......all that is left is canned oysters!

Stay safe... I do expect a busy season.

Best to prepare early.

Check your batteries see if they work.

Do you need new medication?

Get an extra batch...

And extra inhaler if you have asthma..

Better to have an extra one that to be down to 5 puffs.

Or whatever.

Here's a link to the reason I believe we will have a busy season.

This year seems analogous to busy years.

http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/2019/05/heat-records-broken-in-south-cool-in.html

Read the previous blog... 

Be Hurricane Strong... 

That's my best advice... 

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram 

For real time updates.

Ps... Check out these videos by the NHC

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Fq_1PwKuRPg

Rainy Mother's Day Likely in Miami. Hurricane Preparation. Caribbean Could Spawn the 1st Atlantic System of the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Invest 9OE Missing it's Chance for Development.

Round up of Thursday tropical information.

In the EPAC Invest 90E is losing it's opportunity for upgrade to designated status. Really far West to even be talking about tropical development, but we have such great tools today to analyze systems not making waves on the beaches of Honduras.

The models show the possibilities, the satellite imagery shows us what is going on and time will tell whether a wave or an Invest grabs that opportunity. As I said yesterday and the day before it had a small window of opportunity. And that window is slip, slip, slipping away.

As for the Atlantic side of the Basin...

Hmnnn.....

The models they be spinning tales. 

Tropical tales 9 or 10 days away.

Mike keeps it simple.

Most of the reliable models (yeah I said that...) show development coming up out of the Caribbean moving towards Florida and the Eastern Gulf of Mexico. Models are reliable in that it's better working with them than without them; more often right than wrong. The models in fact are only showing in movement frame by frame what we are currently seeing watching on the satellite imagery. At the very tail end of what seems like a long thin frontal boundary (more an axis) an impulse is stuck like glue in the deep Caribbean being fed by tropical energy coming off of South America. That's a common set up this time of year and often what starts there forms near the Yucatan heading into the Gulf of Mexico in late May or early June.  The reason we go on and on and on about watching the tail end of frontal boundaries is they are hugely responsible for most May and early June tropical systems. If you look through this very long list for May development you will see the pattern of storms forming in the Bahamas near Florida or South near Cuba and Jamaica moving North towards Florida.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_off-season_Atlantic_hurricanes

Nothing there to see specifically.

It's the pattern supported by models.

Putting the above in motion below:

Watch that loop above a bit.

You see the pattern evolving.

And, when I say evolving, I mean it's an evolution in real time slowly over the next week to ten days. First the rains begin in South Florida as a mix of tropical energy and then the annual start of the rainy season aka May Monsoons begin as some cosmic joke on Mother's Day this year. May Monsoons only need heat and with climo locked in they will show up every afternoon around 3 PM in the Miami area as children are trying to get to their carpool while deadly cloud to ground lightning strikes are happening all around them. Life in Miami in May... no one ever said it would be easy. This isn't a what do the models say this is what happens in May in Miami and most of South Florida.

As for something really developing in the tropics Phil Ferro says it best in that it needs to be monitored. Nothing may actually form and get a name, however the conditions are ripe for development. Moisture is there and will remain there, all you need is for pressures to lower and that will happen as moisture lingers over time. Much depends on shear forecasts and actual development or lessening of wind shear in the area that allows for those storms to build, maintain and begin to wrap into cyclonic development. Less wind shear and chances for development go up. More wind shear and chances for development go down. We just keep watching and while we watch the models will continue to spew forth information that will be assessed and discussed until the next model run comes out and we do it all over again.

As he so eloquently and playfully says you don't need to be a rocket scientist to see this pattern and the flow. Where we go from here no one really knows but we are monitoring the area for possible early season development. Usually May storms are weak and good for ramping up attention to the start of the Hurricane Season, but on rare occasions in the past hurricanes have happened. I can't promise you a rose or a rainbow but I can promise you that you will see rain.

Keep monitoring.

Besos BobbiStorm

Follow me on Twitter @BobbiStorm 

Ps. A storms happen. Keep monitoring. Keep working on your preparation. You might want to go shopping to Walmart on Sunday in Miami as it may be an indoor kind of day if the rain forecast verifies. Think Hurricane Supplies.