A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Monday, October 30, 2017
Tropics Mid Atlantic. Winter Storms in October. Stormy Weather Continues in 2017 - Chabad Sea Breeze Restored 5 Years After Hurricane Sandy.
Nothing much happening in the tropics today. There is an orange colored circle over the Atlantic far from the East Coast and the Caribbean where a subtropical or tropical storm may develop. It currently has a 40% chance of developing. Systems such as these are common this time of year as the season winds down. It is also important to keep watching cold fronts that move down towards or over Florida that linger too long as stationary fronts where additional tropical lows can spin up.
The big winter storm (insert your favorite online name) hit along the coast and caused heavy damage in some areas. A link to a story in Maine shows what a Fall Storm can do. It's worth noting it snowed in North Carolina and though that is the Smokey Mountains... it's the East Coast not Colorado or Wyoming. It's cold this morning in Raleigh, but the sun looks warm and it's hard to figure what to wear that you can slowly take off as the temperatures rise.
A story on a place in Brooklyn that just reopened restored finally five years after Hurricane Sandy. Sea Breeze is a cute place close to the water as the name implies. They were one of the areas most damaged in that part of Brooklyn from flooding and it's taken them a while to recover. Each place rebuilds differently and after the storm the Rabbi, his wife and the staff helped many in that area to get through the day to day of life. It shows how long it takes to recover from a large disaster and the scope of Sandy five years ago was huge as it covered a large area in an extremely populated part of the country. I mention this as a reminder for places like Houston where the rebuilding in the 4th largest city of our country will take years not months and the rebuilding and recovery in Puerto Rico from Maria will take even longer I fear. Harvey, Irma and Maria are names that will forever be remembered as part of this destructive hurricane season. There is a video in the story below.
I'll update if anything happens later today worth noting. It's a watch and wait as currently the orange area for the five day has a yellow circle for the two day so you know that drill. Enjoy the cool weather, it won't last and somewhere between cold fronts and warm sunny days ... tropical systems tend to develop. Luckily, whatever develops for the rest of the season "should" be mild compared to what we have been through so far...
Post Maria Relief to PR More Compelling Right Now Than Invest 99L... Do Your Part. Tropics May Be a Problem Again 10/7-10/8
My suggestion to the NHC, not that they really listen to me... is let's call the whole thing off. Let the NWS forecast this weather that parts of Florida are dealing with and go out, have a good Sunday and start over with a new Invest 90L when something really shows up to do work. 99L has so far been a slacker ... kind of all over the place. It's been so all over the place the models are actually OFF THE CHARTS. Rarely see that.... but look below and some of the tracks go straight off the chart... deep SW movement. See the model map below..not the models won't even stay on the page.
I get a headache just from looking at that model above.
See all those Upper Level Lows...
Cranking up.
Creates shear.
Not happening there...
Euro forms something.
In a week.
NE up over FL.
Gets stronger E of FL.
After it crosses.
GFS forms around the same place.
Goes wide left to Tex Mex.
So yes something may develop in a week and there are models that show something developing and being shunted off to one place or another but not today, not tomorrow and probably not the day after tomorrow.
1... One track shows a system going West and I mean all the way West to Tex Mex land underneath a very strong High Pressure Ridge.
2.. Another model shows the system develops and pull sup NE over Florida as an October Storm would be want to do...
As I said Friday... talking starting around 10/6 or 10/7 and definitely ramping up 10/8 and yet it's still long range and far away today. Nothing imminent and you can better spend today with your family, your pooch or cat or staring at the gold fish. Take a walk, go for a run... help collect supplies or give money to a relief organization who is actively spending the time trying to get relief to those in need. The Red Cross is always there... as are other organizations and just regular people who are working together to make a difference.
Not sure what this song means but my brother Jay will get it... so posting it and smiling. It's very simple yet complicated much like MacArthur Park with that cake in the rain. In an alternative universe this Invest developed last night into a small tropical storm named Nate and in a day or so gets picked up by the currents and become a Category 3 Hurricane and takes a slow, exhausting trip up the Interstate to cities that have not yet been directly affected by a named storm this season. Life is not about what ifs and this whole Invest has been about "what if" and it's time to pull the plug and start over in the early 90s with a new Invest. Let people go... let them enjoy their Sunday and worry on it later. Florida is used to rain... we have the best weather people in the country they got this one.
https://www.facebook.com/ChabadPR/ Chabad of Puerto Rico... trying to help distribute supplies.
Honestly Miami people are mostly worried about Puerto Rico than 99L. They are aware there is debris that needs to be picked up but their priorities are pretty straight and trying to help those who got hit far worse than they did. Phil Ferro from WSVN Channel 7 in Miami put this up recently. He's worried more today on Puerto Rico than he is on Invest 99L. IF things change people will worry on the piles of debris rotting moldy in the hot Florida sunshine and prepare but for now...people are honestly worried about those in Puerto Rico.
Phil Ferro Channel 7
WSVN Miami.
Tweeted this... heavy article.
Shows the real human misery.
Americans in the Caribbean.
Without food, water, electricity...
John Morales from NBC 6 Miami...
...also tweeting about things PR needs.
Disaster Relief.
Maria Recovery.
Irma Recovery.
This really is the big tropical story today.
NOT Invest 99L
My son Levi and some of his best friends and co-workers at Compass Realty have been collecting supplies to send to those in need. Having two small children himself he understands the problems parents are facing so he focused on diapers, baby wipes, children's Tylenol, medical supplies.. as well as water, canned soup, tuna and whatever they can get to those who need. Trust me.. my son Levi can get diapers into a war zone... he's had experience and knows how to take control. So... they collected diapers and a long list of things people need. Many people were involved. Costco (where they bought some of the diapers... donated more things) and the stuff is now on it's way to Puerto Rico and down to the Keys. Irma and Maria have left people desperate for more than having the tree debris cleaned up and as Key West is an island and for a while it was cut off from the world even the basic supplies not bought before the storm were unavailable. Key West wasn't affected like Puerto Rico (or Cudjoe Key) but they were knocked out of it for a good few weeks. Puerto Rico is the bigger concern currently and the staging center for much of the relief is in the Wynwood Section of Miami. They have the connections and ability to get the supplies in to Puerto Rico where it's needed the most and is able to be distributed best.
Costco actually gave them 13 pallets of supplies...
...that they were collecting.
Levi and his team got them to Wynwood..
..to be sent to Puerto Rico.
Everyone pitches in.
To try and make a difference.
So rather than worry on Invest 99L.
I suggest you listen to this song.
And be the change you want to see..
..in the world.
Give as you can.
Do what you can.
Worry on Invest 99L another day.
Or wonder on Invest 90L..
way down the road.
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter
Ps.. Pretty awesome. Proud. Now y'all do your part as you can.. Thank you Levi for being you!
Going off.. allergies bothering me today. Not going to over proof this but may again later. Sorry but seen so many typos lately in major market media newspapaers online it blows me way and I wonder why bloggers who reach the audience I do worry so on a typo. Okay the degree in English probably weighs heavier on me than on many who work with large newspapers. ... PLEASE DONATE where you can...
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm
