Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Friday, May 24, 2024

NOAA Forecast Confirms Super Busy Hurricane Season - Yellow Circle Still 10% - Old African Wave Crossed Atlantic Now Near SA

 


Woke up to the info on the NOAA Forecast.
That confirms all the other forecasts.
2024 forecast to be very busy Cane Season.

While the forecast that you can read online is tropically troubling and topical there's nothing new in that forecast we have not heard before since Dr. Klotzbach released his forecast from CSU saying it would be a very busy hurricane season. This is new news in that it's from NOAA, but it's old news as the fast news cycle continues and the take away here is to up your efforts, put them into action to put together the tools you need to get through the 2024 Hurricane Season. Be it buying supplies or discussing if you would stay or go and at what strength a hurricane would be before you packed up and left town for higher land and safer places. If you are riding out a hurricane you need to know what you would use for the aftermath. 

Last night at dinner I was speaking with a smart, beautiful young girl who talked on how her parents lost their home in Andrew but the aftermath was long and difficult even though the hours Andrew rushed across South Miami Dade County went fast as did her parent's roof and windows...... being without power for what seemed like ages was the worst. Finding a place to stay after the hurricane, nothing being normal and time movely slowly after your whole life was torn apart can take the worst toll both emotionally and physically. My point if you think going through that sort of hurricane, the aftermath can sometimes be worse. I actually have a daughter-in-law ...also smart and beautiful...who lived in the Palmetto area during Andrew, she was a baby girl being held by her mother in the bathtub with a mattress over their head while her father also held the door to the bathroom shut as much as he could...while the Andrew took their roof away bit by bit. Tales from Palmetto Bay in 1992.

That said many Tropical Storms and "weak" hurricanes are easily survivable without losing the roof over your head, and yet in 2024 the infrastructure is slow to come back so you need perishable foods, medical supplies for cuts and bruises and a plan on how to cook food, keep the house lit well enough without power so you don't stumble around getting hurt needing said medical kit. That is the take away from the newest report forecasting a very busy hurricane season! 

So the tropics today and tomorrow are below:


Yellow X moves towards the Grid.
10% still. 



While there is a small chance this could develop into something out there in the Atlantic it's more important to note that it's there and that behind it, it leaves a huge swatch of tropical moisture and behind across DR and PR with a tail that goes deep into the Caribbean. Why is this important? Bear with me... Further to the East or let's say SE aka bottom right of the image above you see the moisture from the old African Wave that soon becomes the South American and South Caribbean Wave as it's moisture doesn't know the word for STOP and it just keeps oozing along into our part of the hurricane basin. 


Models on Windy.com show their colors different
Above and below for Monday.
Moisture in the Carib.


Why is this important if it doesn't show a developing named storm? Because when you have the hot tropical waters of the Caribbean heating up and there's a steady flow of moisture, pressures lower and there's always the chance that something down say by the Yucatan or up closer to Cuba and the Florida Straits can begin to develop into ... something be it a tropical disturbance, depression or named storm.

It's all about the moisture.

In the distant Atlantic the water is so hot that it allowed the FIRST Tropical Wave of the Season to make it across the Atlantic. Normally, beautiful tropical wave off Africa in June (not even May) roll off looking or colorful and grand and fizzle and shrivel up as soon as they hit the water that is not warm enough to support their travel plans. This year......the water was hot, inviting and provided fuel for that African Wave to make it towards South America and the lower Islands. Shear there blows developed storms apart, however the shear there with no named storm and no closed circulation does nothing but scatter the convection about and the environment stays moist, and friendly to some remnant of a tropical wave that has long term dreams of attaining a name closer to our coasts.


Take with lots of Sea Salt.
GFS always ready to party...
...shows something near Central America.
Where do you think that came from??
Think about it.

The problem with moisture in the tropics is that if it doesn't dry out from a dry environment, all it has to do is stay alive long enough to find a sweet spot where the shear lessens and conditions can prodice tropical development. This may or may not play out and IF it did...where do you think that area of convection (named or otherwise) would go and the flow shows us we need to watch this region especially in early June as climatology is inline with development near the Yucatan and around Florida on either side of the coast.

The site of the day is https://flhurricane.com/ a place that was a real stomping ground for me before the days of Twitter and Instagram and YouTube when we all hung out there on the Message Board when not on HurricaneCity's message board and site. It's still a great resource for everyone, especially people in Florida who worry on hurricanes coming to visit. 


That's the site and hurricane season is in 8 days.

So prepare now.
Enjoy the blue skies and sunshine in Miami.
Or how the AC feels in your home in Miami.
Please prepare for a busy hurricane season.

Stay tuned....
...Happy Memorial Day Weekend.

BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Insta
Twitter weather and Insta whatever.


Oldie but Goldie song today...
Bee Gees lived in South Florida.
Miami Beach not far from where I lived.
No did not have a manstion on the bay...
But the Bee Gees
They knew all about Hurricanes.
When a tropical wave stays alive....
..or surge of moisture is staying alive.
Keep your eyes on it!
But keep on dancing :)


Be it NYC or South Beach or Club Space... 
..somewhere someone is always dancing!!

















Thursday, May 23, 2024

Yellow Circle 10% Moving Towards Bahamas - African Wave Has Eyes on ?? South America?? Trinidad???? Home Depot Has Hurricane Supplies, Use Their Site to Prepare for Hurricane Season Officially 9 Days Away.


Good Morning from Miami


Took a walk for Ice Cream last night.
Walked out and this is what it looked like.
Literally point and shoot!

Woke up this morning, looked out the window at the planes flying high over the bay, the boats coming and going in waves of motion as the palm fronds dance in the tropical breeze. For real. And, there's a yellow circle from the NHC with a 10 percent chance of forming into something, maybe. Sounds about right. If I was writing this script, I'd have written it just like this..... 

NHC writes nice iffy discussion this morning on how there is a surface through (as models predicted I may add) that is kicking up the weather in the Islands and while conditions are not really all that conducive, maybe it could try and get it's act together into a tropical or subtropical system. Kind of a "we see it" and "yes the EURO" came on board a little, without the stronger support of the GFS obviously we will keep watching it!


This looks ominous. It's not.
It's a broad area of messy weather.
With low possibilities of 10%


Here'sthe EURO above.
The GFS below.


72 Hour forecast map.


There is no mighty hurricane about to devour Miami nor Melbourne, just a broken line across a wide area suggestive of "something" might be out there in 72 hours. A High to the NW of it as if it's trying to hold the line against any tropical problems until at least June 1st!  A good illustration of the situation is below, basically showing how it gets scooped up and carried away.


This is explained well in the Tweet below.
Kind of an up, up and away dance to it.


Of course further out in the Atlantic....
...is out African Wave still hanging in there.



This is our tropical wave.
You can see the curves in the atmosphere.


It has a handsome signature on MIMIC.
Still there, still crazy after all these days.

So what can I really say today about this set up? The models did show a surge of convection where we have the yellow 10% circle that the NHC added to the maps. The Wave is still there a "WAVE" which really doesn't mean much, except it's May 23rd and generally it's way too early for a westbound, wave to be still visible on satellite imagery. Still discernable when looking at satelitte imagery and stealing our attention from the little yellow 10% area that has a huge swath of moisture closer in to our world. The Wave is low, the Wave should make it to South America at this rate and possible Trinidad and Tobago as rain. This is not a "forecast" it's a suggestion. I just woke up and am getting used to my son's super faster Internet and only had one small Nespresso.  But the forecast for Saturday and Sunday there does show rain, so we will keep watching. 


I should be busy today doing not sure what...... as my schedule here today is iffy and if I just hang out after breakfast somewhere and play online and watch the boats sail in and out of the Port of Miami I may just do that. It was a nice but long drive down and due to tire blowing out quietly after changing the tire we stayed and played in Savannah as new tires were put on the car and everything was finally set to go. I do so love dawdling around Savannah, however it always makes the trip that can be done easily in one long day if you push it..... mean two long days on the road. Florida is long. Always seems to take forever, you can travel through several states going in any other direction from Raleigh but not Florida if you are going to Miami. And, my mind is messy with thoughts colliding on different matters while debating what really will or won't happen this hurricane season.

To me it's not about how many hurricanes will form or how much ACE we will see as Accumuulated Cyclone Energy is not my thing, my thing is trying to warn you to prepare for a busy hurricane season that looks as if it'll be on steroids and....to see really, seriously what area will most likely be under the gun for landfalling tropical systems. Where vs how many is the bigger question. Will Major Hurricanes form in the Mid Atlantic and slice there way up through an opening in the large high pressure system allowing them to escape or will the High snap shut and will they be propelled towards impending landfall at the end of the High ...where ever that unlucky edge sets up is where named storms will make landfall. This is what consumes my mind while I watch the first Atlantic Wave look as if its gonna go the distance before June 1st. Memories of Bertha dance in my mind.

So the best site I can think to put up today is Home Depot's site for the Hurricane Season. No it's not loaded with models nor satellite imagery or blogs explaining discussion, it's hard facts on what you need to do to protect your home, your business and how to properly prepare for the 2024 Hurricane Season. If you are not creative or an old timer it even has "hurricane kits" with everything you need. If nothing else, use it as a good suggestion of what you may need this hurricane season!




Til 5/27 they have a good grill on sale.
Why a grill?
You can cook on it... duh.
No seriously ...
Grills are not just for hot dogs on holidays.
Get a grill with a burner... you can cook...
...when you have no power for days, weeks.


I may update later if I have the time and...
...if there's anything new to add.

Again above you see our surge of moisture from the Caribbean into the Atlantic, up and up and away. You can see the little wave approaching South America and if so then the first wave of the season actually made the crossing intact. There's a new wave emerging off of Africa. Each new wave, each new day brings us closer to Hurricane Season. Stock up, follow the list you should have already made and have a wonderful Memorial Day knowing that no local beach town is expected to have that holiday ruined or soaked in tropical rainfall. That's a win on many levels.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
Ps I have a friend from Miami from high school who lives in Georgia and she quilts with pieces of colorful fabric. It occurred to me as I type this that I also have a hobby quilting, but it's quilting with words, images and music to try and help people better prepared for Hurricane Season as well as an impending hurricane with the most time and information they can attain on the wonderful world wide web ;) as we use call it. I have very few friends from highschool who still live in Miami (hmmm they mostly moved away....) and yet everyone has a cousin in Miami that is true.










Wednesday, May 22, 2024

While Waiting for 2024 Hurricane Season to Begin.... Will We Use the William Name? According to Experts ... YES! Prepare... Now.... Or What You Want May Be Gone......

 


Good morning from Savannah, one of my favorite cities, trying to write a fast, quick and cohesive blog post this morning. Above you see a satellite image for today May 22nd, 2024 which is 10 days away from the official starting date of the 2024 Hurricane Season. There is nothing out there today nor expected by the NHC for the next 7 days as per their 8 AM Tropical Weather Outlook AKA the TWO. 

When I look at this image above, what I see in my mind is a misty, watercolored image of what thngs will look like later in the season... let's say sometime in August. It's a new age Modern Art  suggestion of a large hurricane in the Caribbean, and to the North of it is the old, dying, decaying image of a one strong storm beginning to fall apart in Northern latitudes. To the right is another developing storm that will soon attain a name and be the next contender for hurricane status down the tropical road.

If forecasts verify this will be the type of Hurricane Season where you can look at satellite imagery and have an array of named storms on the maps, churning the waters and swirling about the face of the globe especially in the Atlantic Ocean and it's adjacent seas, gulfs and beautiful islands. 


Like the one above.
Or like the one below.


Katia, Irma and Jose - 2017

And, it's hard on a hot day in May in Miami when you're wondering what you could do for the Memorial Day Weekend if it rains or if it stays blazing hot. Do you go to the beach or to the movies? On May 25th 1977 the movie Star Wars premiered for Memorial Day Weekend. Now days you can stay home in the AC watching Netflix and taking occasional dunks in your backyard pool, go to an Air and Sea Show or you can pick up some hurricane supplies while out at your local Publix while grabbing some extra beer, chips and all the things that go with whatever you'll be grilling. 

Keep that image above in your mind and know that with the predictions ahead by excellent meteorologists we may get through the whole alphabet this year all the way to William and beyond.... 


When Star Wars opened it was a low budget movie made by a promising young producer/director and some actors and no one had ever heard of any of the characters or even what a Wookiee was....


By early June it was THE movie to see and it stayed that way through the summer and beyone and by then everyone knew who George Lucas was and was wondering what would be next down the galactic road.

One of these hurricanes names may have your home town as it's ultimate destination. Will it be a Tropical Storm or a Cat 1 Cane or a Major Hurricane or even a dying decaying hurricane with a still deadly storm surge about to batter your beautiful beachfront property? It's true often factors arise that mitigate a set up for a crazy, wild hurricane season but it's best to hope for that but to prepare for an extremely busy year.

Being honest. No hype. We never know for sure what the hurricane season will bring, but forecasts are getting better and the signs are there for a whole lotta tropical trouble. 

As for the Site of the Day ... I'm going with HurricaneCity.com

Jim Williams is a good friend and has been for a long time. He puts out yearly forecasts or maybe he calls them predictions; he's very detail oriented so he will probably correct me either way but that's Jim. He takes a different approach to hurricane prediction in that he is more focused on which cities may be at a higher risk for being impacted every year. I have watched over time as random, obscure cities he picked (based on his own research) that would be impacted were crossed off the list one by one. No one is perfect, not the NHC or NWS but he's onto something and if your city is in this list then you may want to take Hurricane Preparation a little bit more seriously. If you live where you need to evacuate, get a plan for what you take and where you will go. If you can hunker down in a hurricane, figure out what needs to be done and what supplies you will need. Hint.... one of my main home cities is in the list and high up on the list and no it's not Raleigh.


That's how his website looks today.
It'll be filled with named storms soon.


It even has an old fashioned message board.
Good message board, many love them still.
Now u know where u can go to talk Canes.



A quote from Jim... 

Here's his predictions.


So with that said on my way later today to Miami and I'll see how seriously people are taking it there. I'll be busy with family events and some other excursions to meet friends and hit my favorite spots .... and see how many I can get done this trip around. Road trips are road trips, you kind of roll with the punches and originally planned to stay in Savannah overnight, then thought maybe Jax then a tire blew out that needed to be replaced just outside Savannah so here I am once again. I have tons of distant cousins here as my family is related to some of the town's earliest settlers. And, a city where I have friends and places to go and hang out ... endlessly explore the place. Did you know Savannah gets hit more often from back side storms that made landfall in the Big Bend of Florida then curve gracefully back out to water moving over Savannah as they end their land trip moving back out to the ocean. 

One of the things you can do or find on Jim's site is how often your town has been hit and what the history is of it and learn how often it gets hit over time. When Jim made his site, he saw it as a site where people could learn and become more educated on hurricane history.

https://hurricanecity.com/city/savannah.htm And, the irony with Savannah is that it rarely takes a direct hit from the SE or the SSE and yet it gets affected often. 

"How often Savannah gets affected?
brushed or hit every 1.85 years"



Click on it or go check his site out!
As always contributions are appreciated.
Money is time and time is money.
Takes a lot of money to keep sites going.
It's not his full time job, it's his passion.
And he chases .... so keep that in mind.

Sweet tropical dreams from Savannah.
BobbiStorm
Got places to go and waiting on my favorite bookstore to be open.
Also Savannah has great coffee!


He actually named a daughter Savannah....
;)






















Monday, May 20, 2024

May in the Tropics.. A Look Back to 2012. Twister Wxr Goes On & On This Year. Strong Westbound African Wave for May..or June into Too Hot Water for May.

 




At look at the Tropics today!!

If you are someone like me and a friend of mine who loves maps and geography, Zoom Earth is a treasure chest of images and there is a myriad of ways to unlock the mysteries of the tropics from humidity to pressures and when there is a named storm they track it with all the coordinates from the advisories as if you were doing it old school wise on paper yourself! You can see where it came from and where it's going, it's a very useful site that allows you to access information easily. For me that's important for me to mention, because if you are a meteorologist by hobby or by profession you know every site there is and often the better ones have a learning curve that's hard for the newbie or person starting out to grasp and use properly. Sites such as Zoom Earth and Windy are both easy for the beginner to use and fun for people who know how to navigate the more Academic sites that take a while to learn as well. So this is my site for the day, and I may play a bit on it today while packing for Florida as I'm going "home" to Miami though home is also the Carolinas these days.  


So many filters to use .... 
...you can literally play all day!

Site of the Day Officially.
Zoom Earth for ease of use and beauty of it!


Current wave of interest.
Interest as in "what do you think you're doing?"
Stubbron wave things it's early August....



So here is  our anomalous African Wave.
At some point they fizzle in June.
This is May.

Normally we watch these waves the way we watch a neighbors cat across the street doing quirky, funky things in their front yard because we are bored. This year, the water is so hot out in the distant Atlantic, it's interesting to see a big red ball of fire on satellite imagery not fizzle as soon as it hits the water. If this continues with this one or others, how far can they go? Often we have early storms that form into Tropical Depressions, maybe make Tropical Storm status and then as they near the Caribbean Islands they begin toi peter out and I'm talking late June and early July not Mid to Late May. 


Normally..... it takes a while for oranges to fill in.
Not this year.


82 degrees is warm water.
Can support some development.
Should shear not be an issue.

Usually areas close in show early development.
Close in to SE coast not Africa....


Why is this relevant today?

Besides the stubborn African Wave.
There are whispers in the wind....
...a possible system could try to form fairly close in.


From Windy.com an old frontal boundary
Nearby coastal low NHC ignoring.
Late season frontal boundaries can be a problem.
Besides creating wild rain in Miami and the Keys.
If they get down into the Carib and linger.
What goes down... often goes up again.


The EURO shows convection in Caribbean.
And shows convection near DR and Bahamas.

GFS of course shows more action.


Thursday oozes across DR
Later that night....
...it's begins to spin in Bahamas.
GFS is such a dreamer....


Rain from Carib crosses the Islands.
Low pressure forms????
More subtropical at the most.
Just some things to keep in mind.
Things you'll hear ppl talking about online.

***
Weather History for May Storms.


Good post by Greg.
I remember Beryl well. 
Brought down trees on I95 in..
..Georgia and SC. 
I was there, saw them go down.

2012 was a very busy year and it was very busy early on for the SE coast, especially Florida that felt weather from a few designated systems. We drove to Florida when Alberto was flirting with Florida, planned the timing of the trop to see what there might be if it formed so that was cute. Then drove back in time to intercept, drive thru Beryl which surprised me in that it had a stronger punch than one would have expected. Watched trees go down on I95 from squalls that came in strong, unrelenting and delivering a tropical message that the 2012 Hurricane Season would be memorable. Debby danced her way onto Florida's West coast near the Big Bend area with surprisingly strong amounts of rainfall creating flooding in many areas. 

Regarding Beryl, from Wikipedia, it brought good and bad as it helped put out ongoing forest fires, but it also killed a man in South Carolina from a falling tree. We were in Orangeburg County when that tree came down, along with others that partially blocked the highway.  A good reminder to laugh or shrugg off a weak Tropical Storm as flooding, trees falling and small tornadoes can kill people and at the least cause damage to your home. 

"High rains alleviated drought conditions and put out wildfires along the storm's path. A fallen tree killed a man driving in Orangeburg County, South Carolina. In northeast North Carolina, Beryl spawned an EF1 tornado that snapped trees and damaged dozens of homes near the city of Peletier. " 

There were other deaths in Cuba and I believe one near Ormond Beach (possibly car accident) related to the weather from Beryl. Here's a link from my blog in 2012 ... fun rereading it and remembering. 


and the Tweets :)


easier seen in the blog link below ;)



Force13 on Youtube.
Awesome site to play on.
First minute & a half shows.....
.. early storms near FL/SE coast.
Alberto, Beryl and Debby all near FL
Chris off SE coast but a wanderer..
Busy season ended on Halloween
When Sandy went BOO! to NYC!


Note after a busy May and June.
July took a tropical holiday.
August got busy fast!


Many Caribbean storms.
Many Fish Storms in Atlantic.
Several SE and East Coast Storms.
Especially ....Sandy.
An exclamation mark to a busy season.

That's it for today. Long blog post as I had time to play and enjoyed thinking out loud here, and hopefully it helped educate someone. Everyone has a cousin in Miami, but in my case it's children... grown children I may add and normally it's a good time to go down before the heat of the summer intensifies but this year the heat is already there and everyone is asking if this will lead to a busy hurricane season. Jim Williams of HurricaneCity fame has Miami at number 8 on his list of top 20 cities most likely to be impacted by a system this year. I'll add he also has FLL, WPB as well as Bimini and Nassau as well as a few spots in Cuba.

Should be a short blog tomorrow, not sure where we will be sleeping though in my mind it's always Savannah but often is Jacksonville or Ormond Beach, time will tell and much depends on the time we leave and the weather. Everything always has to do with the weather, dontcha know....

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Insta
But Twitter mostly weather..Insta whatever.
Insta is how my family communicates these days.
Send a health tip, send a recipe.
Send messages and pics .... 
Always evolving ways to stay in touch!


An oldie goldie....
... cute song, makes me smile ;)












Sunday, May 19, 2024

Tropics Quiet. Signs & Signals Exist. Houston Derecho Clean Up Goes ON.... How Long Will the Power Be Out in Houston? Time for Hurricane Prep Use the NHC Website, Think on Generators & Post Hurricane Problems. Hurricane Season 13 Days Away!!


Tropics generally quiet.
Storms over Mexico....
(near BOC)
Convection in the Caribbean.
Hot in S FL... very HOT!
Wave moving off of Africa.

I want to talk today about lessons that we should learn from the recent derecheo disaster in Houston where the power is still out at my friends house where the temperature is forecast to be 92 degres and "feels like" you don't want to know. And, that is what will happen to any town that gets hit by a hurricane or even a near miss but the weather is strong enough to take down the power grid. When the power grid goes, life as wek now it goes with the downed power grid. Nothing is normal and that means lack of power, utility services, grocery stores may be closed for a long while and if you have kids... no school, no day camp and no day care! Let that sink in a bit. If you have medical needs, appointments with doctors and non-emergency surgeries may be post poned; make sure you always have an extra does of regular medication during Hurricane Season! If you have small children, buy crayons and coloring books at the Dollar Store or make a big stash with all the ones that they give out when you go to the restaurant! 

So below are images of headlines from Houston, all mentioning loss of power (yes power still out in many places) and the clean up of debris in the downtown Metro area. Power outages in some areas could take weeks to restore. And, that was a fast moving Derecho not a Hurricane that has had your city's name in the 7 day Cone for at least 3 days.... giving you the time to put your plans into action and prepare! Tornadoes and Earthquakes do not give that much lead time, so as Hurricanes are the only real natural disaster you get that much warning for .... what are you waiting for as Hurricane Season beings in 13 days! At least make a list of priorities and things to do even if you have not stocked up on water and crayons. Note, with the temperatures that high you can use some of the crayons as art supplies as they melt in direct sunshine making for an art project you can ketp for a life time. Joking, but being serious also. Anything to catch your attention!!

 


NWS confirms it was a Derecho that hit Houston.
Now getting power back on is the problem.
Misery in High Heat & Humidity in Houstin.

I really think the biggest take away from Houston's very recent disaster is you really should rethink your plans for how you will live with the electric out and the general order of life shut down as stores are closed as well as the schools and day care. After a hurricane hits.... and I'm talking about anywhere you are in the path of hurricane damage vs "just the eye" or "the cone" because areas far from the eye can lose power and the normal flow of life takes weeks to get back to normal. There is no normal after a hurricane has visited your general area; no normal for days and often weeks if not months.

Take grocery stores for an example as they are either destroyed or closed due to lack of power. Take a you local favorite grocery store, all the old produce must be thrown out and you need employees to be able to get to work to do that AFTER the power is back on and it takes restocking, trucks coming in with new produce and supplies. Talking after you were hit by a Category 2 impact from a nearby Category 5 Hurricane making landfall somewhere else. IF that's the scenario vs a strong Cat 1 hurricane took the power out in your town and stores are closed and  power needs to be restored. Food goes bad fast and add in standing water creating mold issues can make recovery a very long process. And, if it's the scenario I mentioned the wider the damage field is the longer it takes to get back to normal, vs a small tight hurricane hitting West Palm Beach and Miami only getting some gusty winds.

Construction workers flood into your area faster than a storm surge, faster than a fast moving Derecho. Traffic goes from "normally" not that bad to "oh my God what happened it took me an hour to get to..."

As much as a hurricane can sound like a nightmare, you can often hunker down in an interior room and hope and pray what covers your windows holds and survive the storm and then when you open your doors and everything outside is a mess, huge trees knocked over and long oak branches fell onto now crushed cars and transformers down the street are down and there's broken glass everywhere from a busy street a block or two away from your home is littering your street. The awning of the local dry cleaners advetising their "one day services" is now lying on your front lawn. The ficus tree tipped over and took the rest of your lawn with it.  The Weather Channel has been blown away with the wind as the Cable is out...I know because post Andrew I didn't get cable back until late October ...two months after Andrew made landfall far to the SW of my home. Oh and by the way they changed all the graphics so TWC didn't even look normal!!

I remember all I wanted was "normal" and when I say that I didn't just mean power back on, though it was nice to have it back on eventually. The "grid" has so many aspects you don't think on ...such as every traffic light was out or blown away and we had little unique stop signs put in asking people to treat every street crossing as a 4 way stop. People did not obey I may add... 

Takes a while to rebuild from a disaster. A direct hit on Key West, God Forbid, could take life back to the way it was when my ancestors lived there in the 1800s. How do you like being a Conch now? 

So how you will get through the AFTER the Hurricane is as important to think on as BEFORE and DURING the Hurricane.

For example, say you decide you can't manage staying there with your baby from your second marriage and unruly teenager from your first marriage and the husband who is stationed overseas in the Army and your 2 Pekingnese Puppies and may I mention the Gold Fish isn't doing too well either so you decide to pack up what you can and hit the road to your parents back in Ohio and you then join the army of people who have also hit the road and are stuck on the Interstate without many gas stations open and it's one long traffic jam from West Palm Beach to at least Atlanta on the Turnpike and the gold fish in the bowl placed carefully in a box may not make it.......


You might try this trick from What About Bob?
Great movie ...watch it while you have Netflix.


There are layers to a Hurricane coming to your town.

When I'm lecturing and people ask me "isn't it dangerous to chase a hurricane?" I respond that it's not so dangerous if you are with a team that knows the dangers well, knows where to set up and move in tandem if needed according to the change in the wind ..........than it is to have a hurricane chase you to your own house. It is way better to chase a hurricane with professionals than to have a hurricane stalk you to your front door and tear down all the normal you ever knew.  Better to go home to the nice normal house you love than to have a hurricane rip it away from you!

So that's my lecture .. my rant... my need to feed my need to type at 9 AM as my headache fades into the distance thanks to a great cup of coffee and get this out while it's fresh in my head. I couldn't sleep at 3 AM and I was thinking how to convey what it's like AFTER a Hurricane if you are all lucky enough to survive the hurricane but normal has been ripped away from you! 

Hurricane Preparation has 3 parts.
Before the Hurricane (stock up on sale canned food and nonperishables at Publix in May not July )
During the Hurricane...where do you set up and hunker down or get out of town fast?
After the Hurricane...... how do you go about life when nothing is nornal and your little kids are using old coloring books and crayons you bought at the Dollar Store "just in case you lose power" and they want to know when they can go back online. It'll be worse than "are we there yet" on a road trip to Grandma's house.

Hurricane Website of the Day

(haha u knew that was coming)

How to use it.
3 Steps.

1 step.


Link on botton takes you the 2 Day page.
Click on blue map shows you sat image.

2nd Step
Click on the link that says "7 day"


Blue Screen says nothing for 7 days...

3rd Step...
...scroll down to the right.
Hit Tropical Weather Discussion




If you are still reading this blog, you obviously like words so there's a treasure chest of words all about the tropics from the coast of Africa to the Caribbean to the Gulf of Mexico, oh my gosh it's delicious! Obviously you will zoom in on the area you are interested in the most.


Monsoon Trough.
Out in the Atlantic.

A weak front is in the Atlantic is drifing Eastward and a Subtropical Ridge is forming and tropical waves are moving off of the Guinea Coast (just south of Senegal) and if you love weather it's better than a Stephen King novel in that it goes on and on with lots of drama, innuendo and mysteries from now through the end of November. For a real weather person it doesn't get much better than this or well, until those of us in the Carolinas begin wishing for snow. You know how that goes. Then again I'm almost ready to pack for Florida (Home Sweet Hot Home) for a family event and to touch base as we head into the 2024 Hurricane Season. If you have not seen Jim Williams list of his top 20 cities for 2024 with his highest chances forecast know that Miami is number 8 on his list and FLL, WPB and nearby Bimini all up there too! 

So whatcha gonna do if a hurricane looks as if it wants to hit South Florida but you are sure it's going to curve away and oh no it doesn't curve away. Mike put up this graphic that others did as well the other day. It's something to think on with only 13 days til Hurricane Season.


What if the big, bad hurricane doesn't turn?

Oh there's a page for that too on NHC site!

https://www.noaa.gov/hurricane-prep
(under Educational Resources link)


This was AFTER Hurricane Katrina hit Miami.


That was a ficus tree most likely.
You know the trees you see in Tarzan.
Lots of shade til they tip over.


They take the lawn with them too!
Whoosh with the wind!!!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
PREPARE
GET A PLAN
HUNKER DOWN 
OR
GET OUT OF TOWN?
LEARN
NHC website very usetful!
Use it now...
.....don't wait for watches and warnings to go up!

BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm most places..

Ps Thanks for reading.
Will refer to this post later in the season.

Cute summer movie.
A friend in Miami asked me where to go..
...you know for vacation.
From the Feels like 105 temperature.
I said...MAINE!
;)
Maine is wonderful ;)
Cape Cod? 


As for the song...