5 Days into Meteorological Spring! Flowers Blooming. Temperatures Soaring. Tornado & Severe Weather Season Closer.... Stay Aware - What Season Are We In Today??

 

Soon that patch of blue will be gone.

The red buds turn to green leaves.

Spring is putting on a display today!

Won't lie, it's pretty.

Inspiring.

Sunlight on the leaves ...

...looks like flowers.

Geraniums maybe.

Without that smell...

But it also brings pollen.

Leading us to our next season.

Pollen Season.

Pic from Mike below.

@tropicalupdate on X

aka Mike's Weather Page 

Spring brings Severe Weather Season.

Already there's concern on Twisters soon.

I know I have been missing in action because it's not hurricane season and it's that season when NFL football is over and it's not hurricane season and I try hard to stay busy. Currently there's been a lot to pay attention to..

But I am back with a reminder that March isn't just about March Madness but...

Spring Allergy Pollen Season

Tornado Season

Severe Weather Season

And, winter is not totally over officially until the Spring Solstice on March 20th even though we do pay attention to Meteorological March. Why? Well here's a forecast for my upcoming week in Raleigh.

IF long term models are correct....

a week from now it'll be in 30s at night again.

I'll believe that when I see it.

I do love cooler air.

I do love seeing the sky & clouds in Raleigh...

I like bare branches with the sky peeking thru.

I find them artistically beautiful.

But the sky will be hidden again soon.

But the Spring flowers are so beautiful.

So so beautiful!!

So so beautiful!

I'm sorry I really can't repost a gazillion images of Melissa in every possible filter reminding everyone the NHC retired the name as that is not exactly news. And everyone is talking on it and I find it hard to believe a hermit living on a small island in the Pacific somewhere has not seen or heard about Melissa being upgraded with stronger official winds and the name being retired. 

Note the M name has been retired often of late.

Michael, Maria, Melissa to name a few. 

Curious on what M name they will replace it with.........

Have a wonderful day. Stay safe, Stay happy and I will try to post more as real weather stories exist in what I call Hurricane Country. Everywhere there's something. Out West there's Fire Danger Weather.  And in South Florida there will be rain today. My daughter who loves to sit in the sun, walk in the sun, feel the sun on her body is going to send me images with angry emojis that the sky is dark and it's going to rain!

That's life in South Florida even in February the height of the dry season and a Festival every weekend... it could maybe rain.

I think everyone will survive....

...even the tourists!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

Ps yes I know the font changed.

I actually like it better.

Not Hurricane Season so I don't care..

3 Days Til Spring. Rain Returns to the Carolinas. See Saw Weather. But Spring Will Be Here Soon... No Illusions on That. Melissa Upgraded........

 

There are red little buds on the tree.

It's a maple tree.

First sign of Spring here..

The trees begin to bud.

There's a moment of excitement.

Then reality sets in....

I'm not ready to end Winter.

I like Winter.

I like seeing the sky.... 

through the branches of the tree.

But it's happening.... 

...so marking this passage of time.

Like it or not...

..and many praying for it.

Not ready yet...

..yet it's beginning.

Spring is in 3 days.

Meteorological Spring.

Been a rainy, gray day.

More like silver rain... 

..falling not so silently.

As Ben Noll said today..

"one day soon you'll wake up...

...and it will suddenly like Spring.

Yeah....definitely!

I'm okay with it....

I kind of go with the flow....

..and I know

It's on it's way.

Few more COLD fronts.

Few more HOT days.

Flip flop weather.

I don't mean shoes.

See Saw...

UP and down and UP again.

I made Spaghetti for dinner.

Spaghetti and meat sauce.

Salad.

Kind of a chilling, nice....

...cold gray day for me.

Breathe and Smile.

Enjoy the day....

More tomorrow on Melissa

Everyone is talking on it.

I don't like to be everyone... 

My blog.

My day.

On my own time.

Melissa landfall 190 MPH!

We will see what 2026 has in store

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather ;)

Next week will be 75...

..for a day but still...

Snow Totals to 3 FT in RI. Hurricane Like Blizzard! Fires in the Everglades Today... Mother Nature Way Too Busy This Week! El Nino In the Wings...

 

The Blizzard that looked like a Hurricane.

But definitely a blizzard as you can see below!

With so many beautiful AI photos online it's hard to be sure what's real, what's true before sharing. When it comes to images from @ContentWxGuy on X I never have to worry it's AI or just fake, but beautiful pics. What a set of pics. I have heard that because it was a blizzard the part of the building or tree facing the winds that make it a blizzard vs "snow storm" plastered the side facing the wind with snow and ice. I think this larger picture really shows it off perfectly.  Emergency workers and Hatzalah a medical group on the scene took the child to the hospital now listed in stable condition. As a Miami girl I can't imagine growing up with that sort of snow and the kids who never listened. I mean in a Hurricane they were hunkered down, locked in and after they were not allowed out of the house or far into the yard as debris was everywhere. 

Rhode Island won the Snow Total Lottery. 3 Feet or more in places, snow drifts as high a tall guy lost in the snow. The models verified! Parts of NY, Long Island especially, New England are all cloaked in layers of white snow. Airports are closed. Lakewood NJ and other cities along the coast got blasted by snow vs sand as they would in a hurricane. This image below is from a group of volunteer emergency workers saving a child's life as apparently they built an Igloo and it collapsed. 

Mother Nature seems at War this week.

There's Fires in the Everglades :(

To be fair before Miami was built up into a large, busy, singing city for the future there were always fires in the Everglades. It was a process that happened in dry years when lightning or a strong wind blew sparks of a fire for cooking by the indigenous people who lived there and it was said to burn off the over growth from the wet years and keeping the Glades in balance. That happened in Los Angeles area as well as fires from the Chumash tribe in the mountains would spark fires that burned off new growth and created a haze across the LA Basin that was noted by the Franciscan Friars moving North along the coast along El Camino Real (Now Highway 101 aka Pacific Coast Highway) exploring the area and leaving records for us all to read today. 

Fire has been around a long time. And, when the winds blow strong during the dry season when Arctic Fronts move down into South Florida.........fires happen. But now close to 3 Million people live in that small, crowded, tropical areas. The area that is known as MIA/FLL is closer to 6 million. And anyone with breathing problems needs to stay indoors, carry their inhaler if they have asthma and eyes will tear from the smoke where ever the wind blows it....   It's all about the Wind not just the Fire. But everyone will post beautiful sunsets, especially the tourists. 

Beautiful pictures, good to follow.

But it's not normal for it to look like that...

...unless there's a reason.

I'm not gonna show snow totals.

Everyone else has.

We have all seen them.

Better show a pic from Jim.

Reminds me a lot of the 1977 Chicago Blizzard.

What's next?

Week from now...

...either this from EURO

or that.......the GFS

We will see.

In the "we will see" mind frame...

We are waiting to see what El Nino does.

Does it come on strong and fast?

Does it build slowly?

Time will tell.

97 Days til Hurricane Season.

Will the El Nino 2026...

...come on fast like 1997?

Or a slow motion El Nino?

Stay tuned!

Besos BobbiStorm

My daughter in Upstate NY..

born a California Girl

Grew up in Miami

Snowed in...

..is dreaming of Summer.

Camping...

and the Beach.

This song is for her......

The Groundhog Told the Truth!! Fake Spring Will Go Poof Soon Nuff. Winter Southbound Again!

 

Funny thing happened on the way to making a "to do list" for the day... 

I had YouTube running in the background and suddenly Mike showed up and I saw a pic that said Margaritaville and I swear I thought it was a Menu. I thought "oh they changed the menu??" then I realized it was Mike's Weather Page talking on his cruises that he does and realized he was talking weather. I took another sip of my Nespresso woke up a drop more some and realized rarely does his video pop up during the off-season. One minute I'm listening to a music video that my son produced a few years back and the next minute Mike is talking. Wondering if the algorithm changed or if this was a message from the powers that be in the weather world. Either way it was delightful listening to Mike talk, something I should have a degree in but not going there. 

So this was the answer to the question I posed yesterday while I was sitting in bed wearing my summer wardrobe with the windows wide open and that was "Is this Fake Spring" or really Spring. I mean I knew the answer. Who would argue with a Groundhog?  I've been to this rodeo before and I know that especially in the Carolinas we get these warm breezes from the South and everyone thinks it's Spring and then Mother Nature whips the football away and tosses us a few more deep diving cold fronts.

And there it is...

Check out those isobars.

Vertical with cold air flowing South.

 Check that snow storm out! Check out that Coastal Low. I do think that's the way the 2026 Hurricane Season may go... lots of Coastal Lows offshore and way less in the Caribbean going on. Time will tell.

My gosh that snow is tantalizingly close, but Virginia always steals the snow here in North Carolina.

So just saying hello and goodbye for now ...

Don't put your parka or hoodie back in the closet, because the Polar Express still has some runs to make before it switches up it's travel plans!! 

Sweet whatever dreams you want weather wise......or menu wise!!

BobbiStorm

Ps......Mike does so love old school Southern Rock and Roll so here's a song he mentioned this morning on his Daily Brew! Haven't heard it in years and not one on my playlist though I have danced to it many times. I may be southbound soon too, just haven't figured it out yet time wise as I have a busy dance card between now and Mid April!

1915 Hurricane New Orleans.... What Can We Learn from that Disaster? What Can We Learn From Camille in 1969? The Summer of Love Wasn't So Loving in 1969 in Pass Christian & Bay St. Louis....

While working on some family history I read that the 1915 New Orleans Hurricane played a part in it as it caused much destruction to a home in the Garden District that my family was connected to via family and business relationships. It seems the hurricane ripped the beautiful cupola off the roof and it needed heavy repairs. What surprised me most was that I don't remember studying the 1915 New Orleans Hurricane. I probably spent too much time looking at the track of the 1915 Galveston Hurricane comparing it with the 1900 Storm and well that's how memory works as what resonates connects. I've always been obsessed with the 1900 Galveston Hurricane. I've obsessed on the Last Island Hurricane for years for a multitude of reasons. How did I miss the New Orleans Hurricane in 1915?

Imagine in 2 months!

2 Strong Hurricanes with close landfalls.

Weather map for the Galveston storm below.

Compare with the New Orleans Hurricane.

It left a wide footprint after landfall.

Rainfall moved deep inland...

...beyond the intensity at landfall.

Different but very similar.

Track vaguely similar.

Camille formed closer in...

... 1915 formed by the Islands.

Camille hooked right faster.

1915 went deeper NE into the Appalachians.

Let's look at the 1915 season 

A storm slammed into the FL Panhandle.

My family had tobacco fields in Quincy.

How did I miss this one?

Asking myself here.... 

...happens.

2 wicked Gulf Major Hurricanes.

Now let's look at 1969

1969 was a very busy season.

Like scribble scrabble in the Atlantic!!

"The season was above-average despite an El Niño, which typically suppresses activity in the Atlantic Ocean, while increasing tropical cyclone activity in the Pacific Ocean."

from Wikipedia

1969 was an El Nino year. A few weak tropical storms in the Carib and lots of Fish storms in the Atlantic. There's even some wild "loopers" that traced circles on their way somewhere else. Had Camille not formed and developed and smashed into the beautiful towns along the Gulf forever making Pass Christian and Bay St Louis synonymous with the name Camille few might remember the 1969 Hurricane Season. I will add if Andrew had not formed and exploded before aiming for Miami Florida we may not have remembered much about 1992 and blamed it on El Nino.

1969 may have been the Summer of Love in far away Woodstock NY, but as rock and roll blared from the speakers in a muddy field far away to the South .... Mississippi and Louisiana only saw death and destruction from one of the worst Atlantic Hurricanes in an El Nino Year. Yes, the truth is the 1969 Hurricane Season would have been fairly forgettable if not for the Queen of hurricanes Camille!

It only takes one.......

A good lesson as this coming Hurricane Season is expected to be an El Nino. For many in Hurricane Country when they hear predictions of an El Nino that term conjures up an "easy season" or "quiet season" but I suggest y'all don't start celebrating! Some of our worst hurricanes have made landfall in El Nino years. Perhaps it's a pent up energy sort of thing. Either way El Nino Hurricane Seasons do not have a guarantee you will be hurricane free!

Just some things to think on as you begin to read articles on the coming, building El Nino that is expected to form this 2026 Hurricane Season.

An excellent short video tells the tale in Nola.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather......

elsewhere whatever.

Tuesday Morning..... Warm UP on the E Coast for a Bit... See Saw Pattern. The West Gets Weather!

1st thing in the morning......
......I check the Mimic.
Every. Single. Day. 

We are supposedly getting a warm flow in the Carolinas, so I decided to look at Mimic and yet this large feature from the Caribbean* to Europe stole my attention. What a river in the atmosphere and yet *it didn't start in the Caribbean. We really need to  look back towards the EPAC 

We can also see another up in the Pacific.

A smaller one near Baja California

This is that time of year when the temperature here can be in the 20s in the evening and the high 60s in the daytime flirting with the 70 mark, before diving back down again into the high 30s. Seesaw weather in parts of the country. And, yet in Upstate NY where the highs try to touch the 40 degree mark and the lows are in the teens and snow is supposed to fall twice more in the next ten days again they are snow deep in Winter still. My daughter lives near Monsey and the plowed walkway to the street is epic winter art. My daughter wanted Winter to leave a month ago, yet up in NY winter leaving wishes have a long way to go......

Weather is about where you live, what your priorities are and it's always deeply personal. Go to a synagogue or a church and you will hear several older women wearing heavy sweaters inside complaining it's too cold while others nearby are wondering why it's so warm. If you know you know...

Florida, according to Mike....

...is celebrating!

Back to the 80s!

I do so love 80s music...

But so not ready for prime time 80s yet.

I'm not even ready for 70s yet.

Maybe the 60s...

Mike IS the Florida Guy ;)

I've become the Carolina Girl.

Debating on wanting Spring.

I like it cold.

Then "inside thoughts"

"Wait.....magnolias will bloom...."

"Dogwood!"

Maybe, just not yet.

Everyone is playing with graphics.

Not just Mike.

Liked this one below.

I saw that a while after I saw the Mimic.

Wondered who else noticed that..

The Mimic was so inspiring...

..I decided to blog.

 That's a well done graphic.

Just enough to explain vs detract.

Anyway weather and seasons collide soon.

Dreams of Spring Training were fulfilled today.

Valentines Day is Saturday......!!

Oh look what collides with Valentines Day...

Zoom Zoom Zoom Zoom!

I actually love Daytona!

Wild, the cars sound like the wind...

...in a hurricane.

Then............

Fat Tuesday on the 17th.

More on that later this week...

Winter Dreams are not just about a golf course opening, especially in the Carolinas where people really play golf most of the year, but about holidays and there's a holiday buffet this next week you can choose from ..... pick your holiday and may your winter dreams come true....whatever they are!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

113 Days Til 2026 Hurricane Season Cold Records Being Broken This Winter in the Carolinas and Florida.... Weather History

 

As a Hurricane Historian... a Weather Historian every fact about a current trend is up for grabs in the research game that goes on in the Off Season.  It's 113 days til the start of the 2026 Hurricane Season officially using the June 1st start so this post on X caught my attention. I had to double check, but I knew one year was a crazy busy year and another year was slow and I wasn't sure on the third year. So let's take a quick look in a short blog on Super Bowl Sunday.

Understand that it's been very cold in Raleigh, where we have had multiple events with frozen precipitation and we have piles of snow that's been plowed into piles of snow that look like mini mountains in every large parking lot around. No snow on the ground here, though I do see my neighbor has some in shaded spots in his yard and that's because it's been way below freezing at night. Normally this part of the South waits for the snow to melt and it usually does within a few days. But this has been a real Winter for NC and the "first week of February ranks among the top 15 coldest first weeks of February going back through our historical records" according to the National Weather Service in Raleigh.

1887 I knew was a busy year.

Busy close in = more landfalls.

Many ships had to put into port in Key West that year.

Many on their way to Galveston or Mobile

Or New Orleans.

My family lived in Key West then on Whitehead Street.

I've searched through old records at the library on Fleming.

1887 came after the hyperbusy 1886 Hurricane Season.

Many coastal cruisers ...signs of fronts & curves out to sea.

19 systems, not bad for before satellite imagery!

1903 Hurricane Season.

7 Hurricanes!

Not all that strong but still...

2 USA landfalls.

One went straight to Mexico...

...tho it's referred to as a the Jamaica Hurricane.

That may be relevant but hope not....

No satellite imagery...

Love Weather Maps... 

August Cane smashed into the Islands

Beryl like yet stayed low.

High Pressure to the North.

1903 Florida Hurricane

aka other names.

Inchulva was a Steamship...

..that went down.

The high was not kind to Florida ...

..while not strong it was impactful.

This is a hurricane I have researched after reading personal reports from the local "historians" who kept logs, journals and multiple references in local newspapers. It made landfall near Ft Lauderdale and crossed the state damaging the Sugarcane Crops and sliced up into the Panhandle before curving away with an early front. My ancestors lived in the Tampa Bay area, after relocating from Key West and again have seen it written about in Tampa Hurricane History. In the Panhandle it hit crops again and in truth back in the day it didn't have to be a Cat 3 to destroy the crops and Agriculture was the First Florida Land Boom. 

Heavy damages along the coast...

...curving in around NJ

I thought it was worth highlighting the 1903 Hurricane as it was a year less talked about than the wild 1880s and the 1910 Hurricane Season that was crazy quiet and yet when you have a Category 5 Hurricane make landfall in October it's remembered forever especially after it looped and was infamous in Cuba.

This hurricane season was brought to you as the reminder of "never trust a quiet hurricane season until it's over" and in this case it was not over until October. Understand this hurricane, shown below, hit Cuba twice after stalling, looping and creating even more misery over Eastern Cuba before moving off with a front towards SW Florida and slowly snaking it's away across Florida before hugging the coastline becoming a huge danger to ships at sea across a wide area. Never trust a quiet season until it's over.  Again it's impact in Key West is legendary and while my family did not live there then, they had business interests and were there often. As always any hurricane in the Florida Straits between Florida and Cuba often impacts Key West and it did indeed.

La Brisa was quite the resort...

...before the hurricane.

Note the 1910 hurricane came the year after...

...the 1909 Hurricane.

Back to back years ....

...patterns do happen..

https://www.keywesthistoricmarkertour.org/marker/501 There's a marker with a story you can listen to if you are as into historical markers as I am..

https://www.hmdb.org/m.asp?m=243862 Simonton and the beach... where the trolley line ended :)

Watched so many sunrises there with a cup of cafecito from the nearby Mini Mart sitting on the seawall.

So we have 2 busy years and 1 quiet year. 

All 3 years Florida was impacted, hit and/or was close enough to cause damages. 

Just an entry in my blog that is really my Weather Diary.

Adding this to my Weather Diary online so I can go back and look into this more at another time. 

It's been a very cold Winter in Raleigh and while I love a real Winter...it's done a real job on my health in that I have been dealing with headaches from the change of pressure often and more so the heat has been on more and it's a delicate dance between when I use the humidifier and when I do not need it and I'm on medication for a sinus infection and headache medication so I decided to write long today on this as it's both therapeutic and a curiosity that as we get closer to hurricane season we will all look back on the current odd pattern this winter that robbed parts of the West used to being buried in snow tho to be fair few in Montana are complaining and dumped Arctic air all the way down to South Florida and the Caribbean. 

And we will also obsess all through March and April about El Nino vs La Nina and the signs that we are seeing and on and on and on it'll go until we begin to see areas that may develop into an early tropical system before the actual start date of June 1st........or not. 

1910 Hurricane Season.

Slow to start.

Slow to get going.

Grand finale in Mid October.

Time will tell..

Besos BobbiStorm

Ps Excuse any typos

will fix later.

Supposed to be resting my islands...

...but needed to write.

Definitely need Margaritaville but...

...which one?