A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Friday, September 11, 2026
911 Thoughts on Hurricane Erin in the Atlantic Near NY. Thoughts on 911. Memories, My Memories. Tropics Quiet But There's a Window Maybe... More on that Monday Maybe.
This is the Hurricane that was up near the East Coast on the day of 911. It's integrally involved with my first 911 memories in that I was online discussing hurricane season and specifically Hurricane Erin. I found this on facebook and the reason I am posting it is that the satellite images began to show the narrow plume of smoke that was rising in NYC from the Twin Towers.
It was a day like any day in September, discussing the tropics with a friend who suddenly stopped responding. I waited longer than usual when they would run off somewhere and whenthey showed back up Instant Message on AOL they simply typed "turn on news" or some version of that in a few words. I switched on the news. Oh........ And, it was an "oh" as in "what the heck?" and then two of my older kids came into the room asking if I saw what happened. They stood there frozen in place by the door staring at the news. We all stared.
One son argued with his sister that it "could be an accident" and my daughter who had just gotten back from a year in Israel program argued back how bombs go off on buses in the morning this is exactly the timing of a terrorist attack. He's more of a dreamer, she's more of a realist. They both are artists, so if you have ever lived with an artist that may mean something to you. Both their grandmother's were artists. Artists see things visually and it's hard sometimes for realistic gut assessments to begin working. The daughter had gotten off a bus in Israel a stop before it blew up, she wasn't planning on getting off but did probably something caught her eye and she was not on the bus when it blew up. Then, the second plane went into the other Tower and she snapped "you still think it's an accident" at her brother and I just sat there near the computer, staring at the TV and staring at the two of them. My daughter said "see, they do this they blow up one bomb and then 10 minutes or so another bomb goes off to catch the 1st responders"and wasn't happy being reminded on her year in Israel as there were many bombs blowing up buses that year. I looked back at the TV and thought "oh, yeah this is not good" really we were all numb and in shock. Simplistically said we were all in shock.We all were numb as really none of us in our lifetime had seen anything to compare to the scope of this terrorist attack on American soil in various venues with planes falling out of the sky, crashing into buildings filled with people dying I real time as we watched.
I was late for my job at the library. The drop out, artsy, daughter had a part time gig at Starbucks in the Mall. The weird part was no one knew what to do or what not to do. Many just called in sick. Sick to their stomach I'll add. Divorced, single mother needs to work it's not even an issue and at some point I went to the library where most of the staff was in the kitchen staring at the news. There was a lot of "staring" that day. I had to go on the Refrence Desk, that was my job and even though the library was somewhat empty I stood there. We didn't have Apps on our phones to stream news. When it was quiet I ran across the library (walked really fast) peeked into the kitchen at the screen and could not figure out what happened. There was smoke everywhere, like a huge dust storm in the desert has descended on Manhattan. They were debating what happened. It was hard to imagine the truth. The Reference Desk was quiet, only a few people nearby on computers and obviously most people got messages on their phones and had left the library. I got bits and pieces of news. When I got back into the kitchen again the answer was that the "smoke" that looked like dust was because a Tower fell. Not sure what seemed more unreal, a plane flying into one of the Towers or that the Tower that was hit by the 1st plane fell into pieces with people inside. Then the 2nd Tower fell when I was in there ...while the Library Director debated what to do as some wanted to leave and go home.
It never occurred to me, but panic had settled in and many people were afraid the library being a "government building" could be a target. Jagged, nervous and anxious people went into survival mode. I had an appointment I didn't want to go to near the library. I grabbed my bag, went to the appointment. Everyone there was seated in the lobby staring at a TV while the news tried to provide real time inormation as everything was developing in real time. There was a third plane, something about the Pentagon, something about a plane in Pennsylvania. Events were streaming in a kaleidoscope fashion as pieces of infromation were competing for attention in an array of smoke, dust and images of people who had jumped out of the tower and endless replays of the planes crashing into the Tower and the Towers falling and always people running.
I was called into my appointment and the girl there began filling out forms; she was literally moving in slow motion as we all tried to act as if everything was normal and yet nothing was normal. About 5 minutes in she got a phone call they were closing up for the day as it was a government building and they were afraid of an attack. This really seemed not logical, but it was totally fine with me as I was in a rush to get back to the library and watch whatever news I could. I don't think we closed early. I can't remember. We were all in shock.
At some point I went home. My little kids came home and we had to talk on what had happened. Another daughter had her plane cancelled she was "stuck" in Miami and stories began showing up online of a friend worried on her grandmother whose apartment was very close to the World Trader Center. More visuals of people walking back to Brooklyn across the Iconic Brooklyn Bridge. People I know in Crown Heights in apartments were on their roof (something ppl in Brooklyn do) watching smoke from "the City" as people in Brooklyn call Manhattan.
Crazy memories all competing in my head, yet typing it out here it's interesting what I remember and what I do not. Stores in Aventura Mall were closing (everyone was afraid what would happen next and where) and my daughter said she was closing down the Starbucks and coming home. No one was at the Mall the manager called in "sick" and people wanted to go home to safety. I asked her if she "could do that" she said the Mall is closing I'm doing it. She never got in trouble for making that call. The Mall closed early.
It's hard to explain to young kids what it was really like in real time. Images shown resemble a trailer for a disaster movie and as everyone knows what happened (more or less) there's no sense of the shock that the rest of us felt who watched in real time not sure where this was going to go and when or how it would end as we lived it in real time, moment by moment, minute by minute, image by image.
Odd postcript to this is that when they found out the terrorists had been in Broward County close to North Miami Beach, agents came into our City library to check the records we had of people who had used the computers. The reality that some could have been in our library using the computers was hard to wrap our heads around. In those days people went to the library to use computers as not everyone had one and other times they didn't want the rest of the family seeing what they were doing on the computer.
Since then I have met people who were some of those people who walked across the bridge back to Brooklyn. I've met people who had family and friends die. I watched kids in the library going online to sign up to join the Army, the Navy or just get information on how to do so. It was all surreal. I've heard stories. This was my story or the part of it I remember today. I do remember when I first saw video of the plane going into the Tower that "it was the biggest story of the year, then I thought decade and then I thought probably way more than the decade" and I was right on that. Journalism training steps in always. I thought on how the plane going in reminded me of Kamikaze pilots crashing their planes into ships at sea in old late night movies that took place in World War 2.
Everything that year was a post mark, a PS as 911 was THE story of the year. A week or two later I went to my daughter's school for a meeting with her teachers and there were 2 cop cars outside, not one but two. I thought "is that really necessary" then worried what if it really was indeed necessary. Everyone was nervous., angry, upset and their sense of security had been ripped away as average people doing regular jobs in previously safe spaces that weren't so safe had died, been killed and are being remembered today as I type this.
Nothing big in the tropics. Models doing modeling. Satellites are looping. I'm a writer and I write and that is how I process my thoughts. It's part of breathing to me. An area is highlighted on a government sites to watch this area so we will watch.
The party model had a new idea.
Similar beginnings.
Up over Cuba.
Lunges everywhere ....
takes aim on the Panhandle/Big Bend.
Check back tomorrow....
.. never believe a model more than 7 days out.
I don't even trust them 5 days out.
I have to cook. Well cook some, as tonight's dinner is a community meal celebrating Rosh Hashonnah. Yes, we have a guard. Yes many carry in North Carolina. The Church next store and two down the block have off duty police parked outside on Sundays. This is not the world I grew up in, but it's the world I live in. But I try and focus on positive things. I'm a realist and yet as a realist I know there isn't much I can do and you do the best you can. My Dad always said something like that, "you gotta do what you gotta do" and that is true.
Stay tuned. I think there is a window, an opportunity for something to develop. But I have low expectations as I am a realist. And, I really have things to do today still.
Thanks for reading. Not going to proof this as it's written in real time. My memories of 911. I also sat listening to a moment of silence with my husband earlier after a prayer was given on the radio, satellite radio parked outside an appointment, but just the chiropractor and it was no cancelled!
Sweet Tropical Dreams
BobbiStorm
I'll be back blogging on Monday or late Sunday Night should some yellow circle surprisingly pop up somewhere.
Ps my daughter is an awesome artist, she graduated from college with a degree in Art. My daughter was right ...she knew immediately what it was and that to me was a humbling thought at the time while I watched them bicker as the news streamed on and on and on.
GFS Up to It's Old Tricks. It's the GFS ... Take it With a Whole Lotta Sea Salt. Will Autumn Solstice See a Tropical System Somewhere in the Atlantic? Old Stationary Trough or CAG? Time Will Tell.
I know I've been quiet. Like an annoyed child pretending to hold my breath or my words in this case. Also I was a bit under the weather, nothing serious, seeing as how the weather has not been my friend these days in the Carolinas where promised cold fronts don't show up til two days later and then they are more like cool fronts for a few hours in the early morning. Hot! Hot! Hot! has been the rule most days. But we did get a cool front and it's better than nothing. Models show it staying this way til the end of September or at least the last week or so. Reliable models show it stays warm for quite a while into September.
I'll add my sulky, moody, stupor was broken yesterday when that model known to be not reliable always........the GFS did it again and has stubbornly insisted on showing something develop down where El Nino is still shutting down the Caribbean then it moves up through the Yucatan Passage and slams into Louisiana near the Sabine River as a Major Hurricane. I really can't see where or how that's gonna happen. I mean does El Nino take a Mini Vacation? I know it's the GFS and we don't really trust it, and yet we look at the GFS and even when we don't run it we see it on social media. Why you ask? Because it is good at showing patterns that help us think twice on things. Not a Category 4 forming but strong rain or a close in tropical storm again could form there in that area and time frame. Patterns do repeat. And reliable models show a weakness where a cold fronts collapses in hot water as cold fronts can only go so far South beore going stationary.
Listen it woke me up. That and tonight's scheduled football game! I love football and weather, and autumn weather and we are so close. Anyway it's easy to say most people on social media aren't posting on it but suddenly everyone is for some reason posting on the CAG and explaining how it works. Hmnnn.
It's the story of the day...
...and so it should be.
We are moving into CAG season.
Well soon we will be.
Many a landfalling hurricane or strong tropical storm has formed in slow El Nino years. Sometimes a strong tropical wave stays alive in some fashion and once near the Yucatan, near the CAG (Central American Gyre) and that provides some spark of energy. The list is long of storms that did that, though it's a harder trick during such an El Nino as this one. The other chance is something forms at the tail end of a front.
The best way to take this model is to watch the pattern, pay attention to other models and the synoptic patterns responsible for our current and future weather in the short term. Maybe there will be a weak system like Edouard or a stronger one and it'll pull more to the right in the Gulf. It's also possible, and plausible, that something might form off the East Coast of Florida and try and move up the coast towards another early fall front.
Lastly I want to mention the reality of latent energy and how when it is pent up, at some point the energy breaks like a dam and when it does........if it does it's often strong, powerful. It is in fact a part of the purpose of tropical systems in that they shake up the atmosphere... move tropical air North towards the Poles and at this time of year that usually shakes up the dam up there and allows colder air to move South. This happens often around the solstice and in the old times, before we had models and satellite imagery and the NHC the old timers watched the weather carefully during the solstic times for signs a West Indies Cyclone might show up in Texas or North Carolina or anywhere in between. As this "crazy model" nails that period in time it's worth talking about the CAG and how sometimes in weak, slow seasons one big hurricane forms and creates trouble. Think Sandy, think Wilma.... late season storms to name only two that formed and the seasons changed and cool weather was on the back end.
So don't eat the Twinkies, pay attention and hope and pray this horribly, hot, never ending summer goes away and we get cooler air and fall leaves and drinking Pumpkin Spice Latte is not an act of faith but because it's a cool, chilly Autumn evening!
NHC Says Nothng .... Home Grown Pop Ups Surprise... Close IN. Trader Joes Has Pumpkin Everything! It's Autumn! Soon the 100 Degrees Days Will Go Away!! Pray!!
Nothing expected to develop in 7 days.
Looking at the satellite imagery below...
A lot of showers near the Yucatan..
Moisture around Florida....
A front UP where they thrive
Hot as Hades in the Carolinas.
A wave starting it's trek across the Atlantic.
Currently I'm looking close in...
...will think on waves later.
Also Northern latitudes could get a Subtropical.
This map shows RDU 100 degrees.
Actual temperature.
Hoping by mid September it goes away.
Because I'm ready to play in Autumn Leaves..
...and so ready to enjoy cool air.
This is not a map of where to buy PSL
not a Halloween graphic
High Heat Warnings...
2 days in a row 100 Degrees
So.... went to the store...
...and out for Ice Cream!!
Went to Traders Joes to go shopping. Produce, Pumpkin Ice Cream, Vanilla Pumpkin candle. It's an act of faith... like prayer. Summer heat has an expiration date and buy it and it will come! The Vanilla Pumkin hand cream was sold out :( Maybe next time! It was cool, cold and music was playing and I was swaying as I moved around the aisles. Make the heat go away.
As for the tropics they have a way of coming alive late in the season.Even in El Nino Seasons.
Edouard LANDFALL - Johnson Bayou, Louisiana...Moving into Texas Currently. Strong Tropical Storm... Starts Off September
4:30 PM
Edouard made landfall in Louisiana. Johnson Bayou, near Sabine River.
I took some time today to just watch him spin online, watch friends chasing ...watch their feeds. Appreciating the fact that Edouard ramped up enough to be a formidable Tropical Storm. Pressure was lower, winds were higher, gusts were significant. It'll be interesting to see what NHC says after the season is over and they go back and evaluate data and well I'm curious. Didn't limp ashore at 40 MPH. Winds were 60 MPH with gusts recorded higher in the low 70s, so that's nothing to make fun of as some like to do. Sadly. There are waves, not talking about them today. Today is all about TS Edouard making landfall!
A quick look at the tropics. Edouard is top left making landfall. A huge area of convection is lingering, throwing menacing looks yet NHC isn't in a rush to go there again. But it's over warm water and seems stuck there, so you have to wonder what could go wrong? Many storms have formed from such dyamics and many times went out to sea ...eventually. We have high 90s in Raleigh, there is no "cold front" and it's supposed to last through the week. Possibly temperatures near 100 (not feels like) and feels like 100 plus every day. The environment is riper than many would say close in, should something linger. There's an sneaky Upper Level Low South of Cuba and that will enhance rainfall to it's NW so you can see there it's showing color too near the x leftovers from XDolly that decided to take the hard crawl across the North coast of Haiti.
We can talk on that another day. Will follow up tomorrow with what impacts Edouard left behind as it's swirled into Texas finally and lighting up the radar. Thanks for following along and remember September started out with a landfalling Tropical Storm trying to become a hurricane. El Nino is definitely a negative factor, but trouble happens wherever it can so stay prepared and aware! Besos BobbiStorm!!
11 AM at the bottom... keep reading.
Current Dvorak...here and again at the bottom.
Making Landfall in it's way.
compare and contrast IR with earlier
8 AM below keep reading in real time ;) like life :)
That's Edouard spinning.
While color IR is always sexy.
Dvorak above measures intensity.
It's an important site.
NHC mentions it often in discussion.
Note the white blow up....
...close in to the coast.
That's a sign it's trying to do something.
It's hard to really write this morning as I have thoughts I don't want to really say. NHC keeps talking on Intensification coming and holding out chance that it can attain hurricane winds... gust. Look at that Visible Image just taken, it's partially onshore. It's not "Landfall" until the center crosses the finish line so it's not landfalling yet. But it's clear parts of Edouard are over land, and land interaction can take a bite out of a storm that is not strong. Water is hot close in. Storms do odd things close in, think on all those BOC weak nothing storms that ramp up just before they cross the finish line. So wouldn't say it cannot rule that out and the NHC hoisted a Hurricane Watch and that's good as people will take it more seriously.
NHC just posted an update.
50 MPH
Pressure 1000 MB
It's that's close to the coast.
A map of where Edouard is heading.
NHC say 65 MPH "on the coast"
Well that could verify. It could be stronger or weaker. I'm going with 55 MPH as most likely, though who really knows it's a very small storm and they are prone to spin up should they get the chance quickly. Better to be prepared than not. Chasers be chasing. Had this been by the coast in NC I definitely would have gone down to the beach for it. Would so love to go down to the beach for a storm.. .heck I'd go for an Invest this year. Last year I was at OBX as Erin was offshore.... awesome there when there's an storm out at sea kicking up the waves and the wind and the sand.
I'll be back when the next advisory comes out I really, really want to take a long shower. I think better in the shower. I wonder does that happen to most people or just writers?
Stay tuned!
Note they lowered their expectations wind wise...
Currently they say it's 50 MPH
It's really ...in my opinion....making Landfall slowly
(mine, not NHC saying that)
though they did put the new Cone at the shore line.
Also taken anything higher than 35 out of wind probs.
That is very telling.
I'm still going with 55 MPH
But think they brought the recon back so...
...will see land observations.
Radar Imagery
Best it has looked really.
Be back later with some real thoughts.
Regarding September.
I would not count out development.
Close in...
...up in the Atlantic
More thoughts another time.
Shower was awesome.
Got things to do....
watching friends chase as I do things.
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on X
Yes old movie. Love it tho.
Love the soundtrack.
I was living in LA
Good Times
West Hollywood/Melrose
Watched it in theatre on Hollywood Blvd
In truth this hurricane season has been a lot like...
...looking for development in all the wrong places.
8 PM UPDATE EDOUARD Tropical Storm! NHC Raises Possible Winds in TS Edouard to 60 MPH. Tropical Storm Warnings Posted Texas & Louisiana - Some Thoughts on Dolly's Rements
Surreal couple hours with everyone online asking why it looked like an "eye" was visible at times, and yet it had not been upgraded to Tropical Storm. One loop and image after enough. In truth we did NOT need an "eye" like feature ....there are minimal hurricanes that never get an eye... but hard to believe it was not a Tropical Storm especially as at times on loops an "eye" like feature was forming. So we now have Tropical Storm EDOUARD! Done deal on that one, coming in on the last few hours of August. It'll be curious what the 11 PM advisory shows. Ps note as Josh shows, this is not just an "eye" like feature but an eye wall like feature forming!
5 PM Tropical Depression 5.
TD5 Looking better. Spiral bands. Obvious center Consolidating.
Spreading out it's arms a big.
Nice banding...
s
Note they extended warnings in Louisiana
Tho still headed towards Texas.
Let's say the State Line.... ...then inland towards Houston area
I can see it wants to do Dallas...but..
NHC stops the Cone just before there.
Truth is the barometric pressure needs to drop some, and when Recon goes back in they need to see real TS winds before they upgrade it to the E name. Not much to add as it's a wait and see situation. The NHC did say that they are expecting the winds to eventually be stronger and put 60 MPH into the updated advisory. Small storms, once pulled together as it is doing currently can become stronger quickly just prior to Land
all. This is a close in storm ....on MIMIC you can see the consolidation of the precipitation that will move inland.
About as close as it gets. Everyone in the Cone and area where this is moving should pay attention to all updates and expect surprises as what it is tonight is not what it was this morning. NHC taking it pretty seriously by upping winds closer to Hurricane strength and the old rule is you always prepare for a stronger storm then forecast...just to be safe.
I'll update later tonight but for not making hamburgers for dinner with onions & peppers fried with a bit of bourbon in them ;) and sweet potato fries so .... stay tuned. Note the important facts below.
11 AM
PTC 5 Forms
when I heard PTC 5 was upgraded. This was the song playing
Can't make that up... Choosing Texas :)
As Close In as you can get!
Pressure is high, won't lie.
Close in, very problematic.
In Houston area problem is from
FLOODING
remember that....
Harvey was a TS during flooding.
Tropical Storm Warnings Posted.
Interactive Cone below.
Shows timestamps...
And a reminder Louisiana has TS Warnings also.
This is called the Sabine River.
A beautiful area... prone to flooding in a storm.
Cities expected to have TS winds. Cameron, Louisiana has a chance at 50 MPH not a big chance but surprised me.
Super El Nino years are know by the plethora of short term tropical storms, often close in and often small in size as well. Small core, though they can have big impacts as the rain will fall across a wide area that has many bayous where small towns and big ones like Houston were built in. Ryan mentions 9 inches, could be more. NHC waited til this morning, when many who are very wise expected the PTC to go up earlier. NHC makes that call, so it's on the NHC and they do not take the decision lightly. Whatever what was done has been done, hopefully people along the coast were getting good info from local weather people and online. But in that neck of the wood people go out fishing and doing things and are busy in those final days of summer and well I sure hope people are prepared.........should the concerns on flooding verify. Nuff said on that, will update later. Especially as many were paying more attention to Dolly's remnants. Regarding those remnants here are some models. Will go into details in another post should she look like she can make it off the North Coast of Haiti where I believe she is currently.
Models...not as excited.
My thoughts.
Should it get into this area:
Then it has a chance.
note the 86 degree water
Old Bahama Passage....
on North coast of Cuba is hot. There's a spot... where Dolly can get her groove back.
But can she?
Regarding Dolly.... her remnants are out there spread across a wide area near Haiti. She definitely took the harder road. Reminds me of the Scarecrow in Oz where they had to put him back together again. What will be will be. Watching. I have seen crazy things in the region on the North Coast of Cuba between there and the Bahamas and seen many a system that looked dead in the water come back to life and seen many not. Then again her Remnants may have a chance further up the road so we will see soon.
While not looking great.
She is very visible still in some ways.
Convective ways ... for now.
Stay tuned.
Will update should PTC be upgrade to Edouard.
And with later info today that is relevant.
BobbiStorm
10:30 AM
NHC Forecast Edouard to form
Edouard Choosing Texas
will update soon
I do so love Zoom Earth....
97L candidate to be PTC
or Edouard should Recon call it.
(recon is out there as I type)
Listening to Mike....
..have to be somewhere this morning
getting ready.
NHC will prob call it PTC at 11
when I'll be out at appointment
My bottom line this morning is that this should get the PTC tag. PTC means POTENTIAL Tropical Cyclone. We have all known "that kid" with incredible potential that did not live up to our expectations. Though we also remember that kid who early on had so much potential and he exceeded even our expectations. I taught school once upon a time, before being the Children's Room Librarian at the City Library....before getting stuck on the Reference Desk all day as I was the librarian least likely to go postal (they do) and tell a patron off. And, then I moved onto Academia and ran a College Library. I say this as ....I always wonder what happened to that cute little Haitian kid who learned English in less than 6 months here when no one in his family spoke English and got As .... always figured he'd go far in life. But you never know. TWC is in place in Houston, that's a good measure of the potential Invest 97L has for some sort of tropical weather trouble.
As I have an appointment at 10:30 I'm guessing I'll be watching on the phone at my appointment should they upgrade at 11 AM. Either way.............will update this blog later today with whatever info the NHC puts out eventually as the potential for an upgrade today is there. Either way the dangers are there with a name or without a name.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm