113 Days Til 2026 Hurricane Season Cold Records Being Broken This Winter in the Carolinas and Florida.... Weather History
A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Writing this blog this afternoon as I feel the current Winter System (Storm) moving through should be taken seriously. Obviously, without the panic drama of the storm that models showed would drop huge amounts of snow on Raleigh and it under performed due to a dry slot and left many bewildered on the inconsistencies of forecasting a winter storm in this region. As far as I could see when I was out this afternoon, they did not brine the roads; they aren't expecting more than a light or strong dusting and to be fair it's raining before the turnover to snow.
Most sources insisted it would begin raining around 6 or 7 PM. The rain moved in early around 4 PM. The cold weather also moved in early, temperatures dropped fast from a Spring like 45 degrees and I didn't even put the hoodie around me as I walked over to Barnes and Noble, leaving it around my waist because I'm lazy and I was pretending it felt like Spring. It no longer feels like Spring, it's really cold outside. That bone chilling, nasty cold is settling back into my bones. I shut the windows that I had open a bit and the heat is back on.
It's hard to pin down the specifics of a winter storm in the Carolinas. You don't know what you don't know until you know. That's not a cop out but an explanation from living here over 16 years. That's why we had a dry spot that denied us of 8 or 10 inches, leaving us with 1-3 inches in the Raleigh area.
Many times a storm that was supposed to deliver a light dusting over produced, especially when the cold air was in place, the ground is still covered in areas by piles of snow and it's followed several other winter storms ........many times one of those storms with light impacts can impact an area more than everyone expected.
I'm not saying I expect this system to overproduce various types of P-types but I am saying it could in some area and people should pay close attention to their weather sources in the morning. Currently schools are on a delayed start as it is in the forecast for Ice to be a problem on the roads from the rain, then wintry mix and then freezing rain providing a "light glaze" but I would not be surprised in some areas if that is changed to not melting by 9 AM. I wouldn't be surprised if we didn't get to above freezing until closer to Noon. Long run on sentence much like this winter here......
So I'd pencil in your commitments tomorrow and wait and see what actually happens. You know when we had a pencil and erased something we wanted to change. Something just is bugging me that it's wishcasting to think there will be no problems from this system considering how cold the ground is and how it's expected to snow into the morning (daytime) and we could have freezing rain. I've never seen a neck of the woods that used the word "could" so much as is used in Raleigh. But then again the phrase "might could" is an old saying here. So let me say, this system might could surprise some with more than they expected so don't assume there won't be changes made to the forecast. And, if not and it's just bone chilling damp and cold, be happy this was not a Carolina Snow Storm that did not deliver more than expected. I had a best friend when young who would not use pens, she was a writer and loved pencils. Sometimes I take out a pencil, smell it ...smile and use it for about 30 seconds. Conceptually there's something good about the concept, while it did erase you can always see a bit of what was there and the reminder that you changed your mind. Mother Nature changes her mind often this year.
That's my thinking on this storm. Then again I'm leaving the emergency supplies in the same spot in case we lose power (God Forbid) until probably March 1st.
Winter 2026 is not done with North Carolina yet.
Stay aware, stay prepared.
Stay happy and smile.
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on X
X mostly weather..........
Brrr!! Must be February!!
Watching weather people in North Carolina talking on the incoming system that could maybe, possibly bring a little more snow to our area. They are using words comically carefully so as not to panic a part of the population tired of Winter and praying for Spring. Then there's the hyping types who are screaming "3rd Week in a Row SNOW!" for the snow lovers wishing for more snow. It's February, some years we get snow, most years we do not. And it's not just North Carolina as areas in North Georgia are trying to dry out and dealing with very slow snow melt. I've been told when the snow melts you hit the layer of hard ice that was sleet on the bottom and it's not pretty and ABC Liquor Stores in Raleigh selling lots of Jack Daniels!
WRAL is very good during storms.
All the news you need often live.
Watch them more now than before...
Good team.
Updated info from Allan Huffman.
He is on X and he has a Patreon account.
Only person I follow there that should say much.
He is good with snow and hurricanes.
https://www.patreon.com/c/raleighwx/posts
Noon on Friday...
An updated map with info for Raleigh area.
The above is in quotes as that is what Allan Huffman says and I lean heavy on what he says as I live in Raleigh and have gotten to see first hand how incredibly accurate his maps are and well I take him seriously. Not sure if he will update later today or leave it as it is and either way we are getting closer to game on time. Sure he can be off a bit, but it's usually in shades of gray in that there's always a few details with a Carolina Snow Storm that can't be nailed down until the storm shows it's face.
Note he has parts of Virginia and Georgia in this map and that's because we really are one region broken up into separate states, but we are under the same blanket of snow falling to the ground. How strong and how steady and how much falls will tell the actual story. Will this be "wow what a real snow storm for Raleigh" or "historic" or will that tag go to places further East such as New Bern that's closer to the coast.
See this storm has many moving parts. There's a coastal low that is developing in real time and an upper level low inland. As readers of this blog know, I do so low tracking upper level lows as they can be real game changers. In this case you have two parts of a storm that will have dance moves similar to a Fujiwhara effect yet not really. And somewhere the forecast will be busted and someone may get near blizzard like conditions and someone else ends up in the dreaded dry spot deprived of the heavier snow totals the forecast showed on the colorful maps on Wednesday. It happens. It's hard enough to predict a snow storm in detail with one low, let alone two lows swirling around the same dance floor.
Yes, I did say "blizzard" conditions as the possibility is there that in some places a Blizzard Warning could be put out and again I said could as it all depends on what plays out in real time. The NWS has already mentioned blizzard conditions being possible. You don't hear that often around these parts.
Going beyond the Carolinas...
This is such a sad hit for Tennessee that is trying to recover from last week's Ice Storm and now will have areas hit by snow on top of what is dangling from the ice.