Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, April 13, 2021

Asteroids - Volcanoes - Coronal Mass Ejections CMEs and Other Natural Disasters That Can Happen on Any Given Day But Usually We Get Lucky. How Long Will Our Luck Last?


My Caribbean satellite image of the day above.

The non tropical kind as we are all about geology today!

Caught in the wind flow.... 

2 sides of a natural disaster.
Gray, caustic ash covering everything...
..beautiful colorful satellite imagery.
What do you focus on?

I took this picture years ago storm chasing.
It was the place to be....
...TWC was there as were all the media and chasers.
Not the worst storm but fun to be out in...

Most people look at the palm trees.
To me the wild part was the water.
In South Florida it only gets that nasty color...
...when a bad storm is brewing.

Where do you focus?
On the colorful imagery from the volcano?
Or the gritty natural disaster the residents are facing?
And many had to evacuate.
Those cruise ships are busy now!

Link to Weatherboy's article below.
Kudos to their help in evacuations!

Yesterday there was an odd incident.
What looked like a meteor or asteroid fell to the Earth.
Looked like a scene out of Starman to me.

Asteroids happen. Meteorites fall.
But what was that shooting star like glow on the horizon?

Looked a lot like the scene in Starman.
Great movie the way.
Maybe NetFlix?

Apparently it was expected but......... came much closer than expected.
Well THAT happened!

What would you think if you saw that?
Aliens or Asteroids?

As I wrote in the previous blog about our Caribbean volcano ... sometimes those things you worry on happening actually do and the list is long for what could happen, yet blessedly does not happen very often. It was predicted that asteroid would come close to earth (close being a matter of perspective, close as in "you won't see a thing" vs "oh my gosh WHAT IS THAT???!!!") and it does make some wonder what would happen had it been worse! Well, the good news is the partying on South Beach is still going on (good or bad from your perspective) and no dinosaurs were killed off in this encounter of the close kind. Years back part of the Caribbean was carved out... rearranged by a large asteroid credited with getting rid of those huge previously mentioned dinosaurs. And that begs the reminder that if it happened once, it could in theory happen again. Excellent article. If you want to know what it was like before the asteroid and you're in LA may I suggest you go to the La Brea Tarpits, not in the depth of summer mind you but otherwise a wonderful educational, peaceful attraction near where I once lived!

Open again... with precautions.

Seems the dinosaurs had more to fear than the plague!
Who knew an asteroid would knock out their world??

Do you ever worry or wonder on rare natural disasters?
I know many of you do while obsessing on hurricanes.

Many meteorologists are obsessed with the Northern Lights.
We watch the sky, we study the atmosphere.
It's on everyone's bucket list.
Some also obsess on a possibility of a CME.
Why you ask?
Read below.
Like Volcanoes they can be mesmerizing.
Yet they can also be disastrous!
Yet people Google them all the time...
...or watch them on YouTube.

Some volcanoes are bright and colorful.
Others gray and gloomy.
And yes it's still erupting in the Caribbean.

(on it's anniversary....
..astrologers must be having a field day!)

Anyway read on about CMEs and see....
...why so many obsess on them especially today.

Not even being able to go online to see if 
You want to complain and Twitter is down too!
It's all down.........

Then again my husband ....
...will be able to read his paper by the glow!
Well on the balcony anyway... keep reading.

The devil IS in the details. Can you imagine reading the paper by the glow from the Northern Lights? Can you imagine all you might be able to read is old newspapers, because IF such an event happened today it would be hard to go online and get your breaking news. We could be thrown back into the past if such an event occurred until everyone could get back online and how long would that take I wonder. Read the details... down to Havana Cuba ... click on that link and read the many details not shown below that came from such a natural event that rarely happens. First there were sun spots... then telegraphs didn't work and back then that was the main form of communication. Does your latest iPhone or Galaxy have an App to stay online in the case of a Coronal Mass Ejection aka CME?  I wonder...

The truth is whether it's an asteroid from outer space or a volcano rearranging your trip to the Great Northwest or the Caribbean or a rare Cat 5 Hurricane slams into Jacksonville Florida where they rarely see hurricanes and yet these events can happen. CMEs aren't just for the paranoid but then again if you have never checked them out you may never know what happened to your phone, internet and possibly what caused your power outage which obviously would be freaky not to be able to go online and find out why your lights were out. Yes, it could shut down not just cable but Roku and NetFlix... "oh my!" 

This also begs the question would you prefer aliens to an asteroid? Personally unless I knew if they were good aliens or bad aliens I might prefer Mother Nature problems to those of the other kind. 

From far away volcanoes are beautiful, but close up they are deadly at worst and difficult at best. 

I'll take hurricanes you can track for days and models sometimes properly predict ten days out to something sudden that comes out of nowhere and you aren't sure what hit you! Again, everyone made fun of the models that showed the Houston area getting epic amounts of rain and then Harvey did even worse than the models predicted! Go figure the models won that one though Houston lost the ongoing battle with the bayous creeping up across the concrete landscape where people live good lives except for when a Harvey comes to visit!

Stay tuned....... 2021 just started kicking.... one can only wonder what else Mother Nature has up her sleeve this year! Maybe it's a good surprise!!! You know like everyone can see the Northern Lights without having to go to Norway and our power grid stays on so we can share videos and talk about it!

And thanks to Sandman for always reminding me about things I forget from "the year without summer" to what could happen if a CME hits!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps I used so many Google images today to remind y'all how reliant we have become on being able to quickly Google anything from asteroids to volcanoes!! 

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Monday, April 12, 2021

More Eruptions.... More Discussion on Volcanoes and Hurricane Season So Many Intangibles. From St. Vincent to Barbados a Cloud of Ash

The world is watching....
...but especially South Florida.
Home to many from that part of the world.
Colorful headlines for a gray, ashy disaster.

Looks like a nuclear blast in ways.
An ongoing disaster on a beautiful colorful island.

If not for the bright pink house....'d think it was a black and white photo.

One bright red dot.
Colorful on satellite imagery.
Not rain. Not a storm.
Not a micro hurricane....
That's the heat from the explosion...
...from the eruption.
Explosive eruption....

...The ash made it's way East to Barbados today.
Shrouding the beautiful tropical paradise in gray ash.

As every tropical tracker knows...
..Barbados is just East of the volcano.

Every time a Volcano in the Caribbean or near the Caribbean begins to hum songs in a hushed tone accompanied by mild tremors and small earthquakes tropical weather people wonder how this will impact the hurricane season. I remember one year when it looked as if a volcano was going to blow and most people insist it would kill the season before it got started. That volcano quieted down just blowing off a little steam and nothing much happened other than geologists and meteorologists debating online in private groups as to how they interact and if they do interact. We like to chit chat like that.

Obviously hurricanes usually prefer warm water and in theory an epic explosion would lower the temperatures somewhat though in late August the ocean would still be hot and hurricanes would still happen.  It's one of those topics that professionals will say in public view that it shouldn't matter much and then they stay up til 2 AM discussing it in a chat room, or on a message board, on WhatsApp or a back alley somewhere shooting the tropical breeze. I've never met a meteorologist, not a good one, that isn't interested in geology and often oceanography. It's all one planet and Earth Science is intricately tied together with numerous intangibles that make it that much easier to sit outside on a hot humid night drinking beer or bourbon and bickering about how the volcanic ash or lack of sunshine could impact sea surfaces temperatures and well the list goes on and on. Been there and they have been some incredible conversations usually backed up by "well in 1816... in the Year Without a Summer..." and anyone who specializes in the hurricane history along the East Coast knows 1816 was a busy year  along the whole East Coast.  You know Florida, Carolinas ... New York and do not forget Virginia.

So what happened in 1816 that made snow in the summer seem like a good idea?

A volcano in the East Indies far from the Atlantic Ocean not to mention Northern Europe impacted the climate of the world, the whole world. Temperatures plunged, crops failed, people died and it snowed in the summertime and that's why it's called "the Year Without Summer" and yet there were hurricanes. Note the volcano began early in 1815 and that was also a wicked hurricane season remembered in some parts of the East Coast as one of the worst storms that came along in September.

"only the New England Hurricane of 1938...
...was more destructive"

The storm is legendary all along the coastline as it sunk ships all the way to New England. Google it, you can stay up all night and into the dawn reading one story after another. As much as I worry on Global Warming I worry more a huge volcano or two going Kaboom over and over or an asteroid crashing into the earth somewhere and we suddenly have a year without summer and a winter to remember. So many intangibles that can seriously happen but luckily rarely do more than litter the realm of the possible disaster scenario you study in college yet generally only hear about late at night on some YouTube channel. In general we get really lucky on Planet Earth, and despite all the disaster movies California has still not broken apart and LA and San Francisco have not yet become Islands in the Pacific.

From the article above is this interesting tidbit shown below with a fascinating theory. A displaced ITCZ apparently made the Atlantic Coast all the way to New England a target zone for tropical trouble. And, remember this was BEFORE satellite imagery so you can only imagine how many storms would have been found by the NHC with the right eyes in the sky! Again, remember that volcano was not in the Atlantic!

"Records from ship logs have determined both 1815 and 1816 were active hurricane seasons, with at least 12 tropical cyclones ascribed to 1816 alone. This is some evidence that a northward-displaced Intertropical Convergence Zone appears to be partially responsible for the increased tropical cyclone activity in 1816, which was the famed Year Without a Summer.[11]"

Many good articles on this one just pick a city along it's route and there are sites dedicated to the hurricanes of those two years ... special interest to the James River so not just talking about the Outer Banks.

A displaced ITCZ ...displaced to the North possibly .... 

Too many "What ifs" to know what will happen this year should our volcano keep putting on wild shows as it did again today as we watch from the ground, from the air and from satellite imagery. What if Iceland goes viral and the two of them pump ash into the International Dateline for months or some volcano in Mexico goes BOOM and well Planet Earth sure has been rocking and rolling the last few months and it doesn't seem to wanna stop anytime soon.

So buckle up, get your hurricane disaster kits ready and hopefully you will not have to use them. After 2020 we have all become pretty good at rolling with the flow of headlines and finding ways to keep on going when a pandemic took many of us by surprise. 

Who knows what the 2021 Hurricane Season will have in store... 

One thing I know...  we are all watching and wondering.

History happens in real time and it often has some curve balls hidden away that are easier to read about on Wikipedia than they are to deal with while they are being thrown at us.


@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Sunday, April 11, 2021

Violent Volcanic Eruption in the Tropics... Ash Can Be Deadly... How Long Will This Last? La Soufrière (What's In a Name??)

What is in a name? The name La Soufriere literally means sulfur and that is the smell that pervades the atmosphere as caustic ash rains down onto the tropical island famous for having a volcano on it. Hurricanes come and go but a volcano seems to be forever. Sometimes they are quiet most of the time and tourists go near to take photos of both the volcano in the background and themselves standing in the shadow of a volcano that violently erupted in 1979 the same year as Hurricane David left the Caribbean in search of a Florida vacation.

You can tell which way the wind is blowing.
Not rain.... it's from the volcano.
East bound.... 

ASH it's not Pine Pollen.
We complain but it goes away fast.
Ash can be deadly.

Ash NOT Pine Pollen.

This is a picture Rob sent me from
He's been updating his patrons with information.
I found this comment worthy of sharing... it and think about it:

"The ash from a volcanic eruption is MUCH different and is much, much more hazardous than what you would find with the ash from your wood stove or from a wildfire.  The composition of volcanic ash is extremely rough and caustic and if you breathe in the ash from a volcanic eruption, it can mix with the moisture in your lungs leading to you to potentially “drown” in volcanic ash"

Think about it.

Open House on Natural Disaster Season.

Wondering what the Hurricane Season will bring?

In Miami and most of Florida today wicked weather.

Cold front clashing with moist tropical air.

Significant Weather warnings are rare.

Another view....from earlier today

Sure feels like Mother Nature is on the warpath!
Geologically and meteorologically!

Stay tuned.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Friday, April 09, 2021

Waves Matter! Early African Wave Train... Too Soon...Too Low. But So It Begins! EPAC Starts May 15th. Will We Get Named Storms Before June? Stay Tuned.


So let's talk tropics.
There used to be a room online for that...
Looked like Stalk Tropics to me.
Palm Beach Post... great paper.
But I digress... 

(punctuation is so important...)

Yes we are watching the satellites.
Watching patterns.
Those too early, low latitude waves.
When they reach South America....
..and splash up on the mouth of the Amazon

We know the Wave Train is beginning.
Takes weeks, months before they are Prime Time.
But it's a start...
..a sign that that time is getting closer.

I have a best friend who always reminds me she doesn't believe in coincidences. I'll add that one coincidence gets your attention, two coincidences really wake you up... trust me. One wave wandering westbound is interesting, two westbound waves is the start of a wave train that begins early, too low to do anything more than crash onto the coast of South America. Ironically, sometimes those early April waves are kick ass waves that look better than late May or early June but again they are too soon but it's the beginning of the pattern switch. Dabuh knows that and he knows I know that so we be watching frequently!

May 15th begins Epac Season.
Note the congregating of convection there now.
To the east is a wave near South America.
An Atlantic Wave.
Too soon yet there it is!

Here's a close up of our wave.
Looks like a scared rabbit.
As in "oh my gosh what have I done??"
"I'm running out of ocean!!!"
"I wasn't made for the Amazon River........"
"Oh nooooooooo......"

Poor little early too soon wave....
...we will remember you well!

That 's Africa.
All purple, dry and wait what's that?
RED means convection.
(There's another wave candidate behind it too!)
Next wave leaves the coast.
Too early, too low,  too soon.

But it begins...
One wave at a time.
Two by two...

Stay tuned!
Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram
Twitter mostly weather.
Instagram whatever.

Ps Lyrics are always good...
...because words matter!

Thursday, April 08, 2021

17 Named Storms. 8 Hurricanes. 4 Major ?? 2021 Hurricane Season Forecast Released from CSU as of April 8th. Link to the Report Below Please Read it. Hurricane Season Edges Closer... 54 Days til June 1st... 37 Days Til May 15th... Start of the TWO from the NHC. Pine Pollen Season in the Carolinas. Severe Weather in the South Again

Just released!

Just a snippet of the many important details.
PLEASE READ IT ...take it all in carefully.

East coast has higher than normal risk.

Gulf Coast, as always... always in it!

Please use the link below wisely!

Words matter but graphs are forever!

17 named storms.
8 Hurricanes.
4 Major Hurricanes.

Again this will be updated in real time. Please read it, it's detailed and yes the devil is often hidden in the details. Beautiful tribute to the work of William Gray who began this work that Phil is continuing ... amazing meteorologists who work hard to educate and inform us on the multitude of intricacies of Hurricane Forecasting

This is today's water vapor image.
Check that storm out winding up.... 
The tail down in Louisiana and Mississippi.
Spring Storms in Hurricane Country.

It just doesn't end for some places when Spring, severe weather hits areas still recovering from the 2020 Hurricane Season as we edge closer to the 2021 Hurricane Season.  Old storm out in the Atlantic, next storm not punching the Gulf of Mexico states with the possibility of real stormy weather. 

Where do you focus your mind and energy?

Today at 10 AM Phil released his 1st Hurricane Season update, forecast or as I like to think of it "discussion on the elements of this current, coming hurricane season" as his reports are packed with details and forecasts for how it might come together. Quantitative is a good word for it, it's got so much information you can read it over and over and find new stuff. But still it's early April a long time away from the actual hurricane season, but this is like the first shot across the bow! There are still so many intangibles between April 8th and the actual Hurricane Season but things begin to come together, you know they are finally almost jellin like a big jello mold that takes a long time to get hard, jiggly and tastes just right. If you turn that thing over too soon it slides off the plate onto the table everywhere all runny and disappointing. To me this begins "the season" as the pollen has covered my porch, baseball is in swing and my tornado chaser friends are all hot and bothered and out and about in search of funnel clouds dipping down out of the sky partially hidden by the trees and hills of the deep south. Last year was a busy chase season in the same places where many are out today in search of severe weather.  So will this year be similar to last year? 

Yes, I think so but some different focus on tracks, often years that are similar create similar patterns yet one year the tracks stay off shore and the next year they edge dangerously closer and trace the coastline. Some years the emphasis shifts from Louisiana/Mississippi and Alabama to Texas/Louisiana or closer to the Florida Big Bend and Florida is in it again. We can shoot the tropical breeze on April 8th but it doesn't really start to blow until you get closer to May.

Looking further South on the water vapor image.
We see clusters of convection down near Panama.
Rolling off of South America into the EPAC.
EPAC season begins May 15th!
Further East there are low, west bound waves.
Yes, there's a wave train even in April.
But it's too low... typical for now.
Eventually it climbs to the North..
..and then we worry and watch more.

Look at that image up above.
Or watch the Gulf of Mexico and old fronts.
Or pay attention to areas off the East Coast.

Where's your focus when you look at the satellites? Do you still watch weaker winter storms traveling from West to East across the USA or do you begin to peak down into the Caribbean and the wide open Atlantic and maybe even watch what's coming off of Africa? Many of us are watching all year, yet rarely do I discuss what I'm thinking. Too soon... too early.... eventually I'll blog and babble every day on anything that seems of a tropical nature. Hoping to be in Florida in June, if that happens I'll be there then (or sooner) but for now I'm not watching mangoes on the trees begin to grow I'm watching yellow pine pollen paint my porch yellow and it's covering my leftover shamrocks from March.

Yeah I know...they need to be washed off ...
...maybe I'll take em in the shower with me.
Supposed to rain on Friday...
Time will tell.
Pine Pollen has it's day and then it's gone.
Leaving little "squiggly things" on the ground.
Personally I love Pine Puddles... 
... like yellow paint swirled around poetically!

I like lots of things in the off season.
I love to watch Earthquakes and Volcanoes.
Mister Thor's videos cover them nicely.
When I lived in LA I studied earthquakes.
LA was shaking the other day actually....

What's shaking in your world today?
Stay focused on the present...
...but know the 2021 Hurricane Season is coming.

54 days til June 1st!
37 days til NHC puts out their TWO
Tropical Weather Outlooks begin then.
In tune with EPAC Season on May 15th.

Stay tuned!

Sweet Tropical Dreams!
Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram.
Twitter mostly weather....
.... Instagram whatever ;)

Thursday, March 25, 2021

NO MORE GREEK NAMES! New Alternative List.... In Case of a Busy Season. More Changes at NHC Y Not Monica Tina or Angela??

Link to this story below.
This did raise a few eyebrows.
Why? Really??

I have a brother who lives in Greece and I kind of liked using his alphabet for Xtra Hurricane names that manage to sneak in under the wire in a busy season. It was kind of fun I thought. Also Greek names often are names of muses and I'm very Pro Muse because well muses have rights too! But, alas the Greek Alphabet was pulled faster than bad guacamole at Chipotle's menu! And somewhere along the line the powers that be chose a new list of names that are shown down below. I'm not saying they are not nice names but why Jacobus and Sophie made the list is beyond my pay grade. I've always been partial to Kappa and Mu myself, maybe put Mu back into the Pacific....  Sophie is a cute name, does that mean it will not not be on the regular list should a storm like Sandy be retired again or will they change this list next year? So many questions. Apparently "the committee" made the changes, sad because I'd love to have seen Sophie on the regular A Team List of names rather than the B Team List personally.

A look back at last year's names.
The very hyper season of 2020!

Perhaps we should all submit names to "the Committee"
What's your favorite name?
What names would YOU like to see added.
I'd vote for Sophie and Oscar 
Max and Lola!
Perhaps Bobbi or maybe Babette!

Anyway what is in a name anyway?
Something to think on...
We thought Andrew was "weak" in 1992.
We were wrong.
Names have significance after the season is over.
Sandy was cute or reminded people of Aunt Sandy.
Sandy became a name that conjures up disaster...
...a powerful, long tracking hurricane!
A name to remember.....

Stay tuned.
Let's see what other changes will pop up this year.

Did DaBuh really say 90s??
Mid or upper 90s??? Oh my..........
How is that even possible in March??
Start preparing now for 2021 Hurricane Season!!!

The truth is the most important thing for you to know and to do is how to properly prepare early for the 2021 Hurricane Season as the waters are warming up and when the heat is on ... storms form early even before May 15th because things work according to Mother Nature's schedule often not ours. People who really know what the main things to worry on and that's actual development not names. It's like when the Miami Dolphins went out to change the uniforms back to a retro look similar to the Undefeated Season, alas it's about the team and their strength or weaknesses not the uniforms as they learned. What is in a name?

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Alternative song for the day... 
... alternative names demand alternative songs!

Link to the new names below, kind of surprised they didn't just put them in the link above. What's up with that? 


Tuesday, March 23, 2021

SE Coastal Low & May 15th NHC Begins Issuing TWO - Tropical Weather Outlook. Will the Official Hurricane Season Soon Start on May 15th?


So let's talk tropics or more so....
...let's talk about the NHC.

They have basically decided to start issuing the product most of us call the TWO meaning the Tropical Weather Outlook as of May 15th, two weeks before the official June 1st start of the Hurricane Season. Often, over time, there is something to talk about during that period and when the NHC feels it needs to it has to put out a Special Tropical Weather Outlook as we have seen often the last few years. They also want to move up the official start of the season to May 15th but that's an ongoing discussion point in weather circles.  Some, like Rob from asked in his recent email to his subscribers if we really need a specific date at all for the start of the season. I mean in reality if there is something there they will go live and give information. A date is a line in the sand, yet time really isn't always linear but more chaotic as we have had tropical systems in almost every month of the year including December way past the end of the Hurricane Season.

On another level, the use of the "Official Start of the Hurricane Season" allows networks and agencies to properly publicize the Hurricane Season and amp up discussion on Hurricane Prep. On another level nothing amps up concern than seeing a Hurricane forming in late May somewhere or even a Tropical Storm pop up off the coast of Florida from the tail end of an old cold front. It happens and often until someone is in the cross hairs or until there is a Hurricane Warning many refuse to take it seriously, and then again others take it seriously every month of the year. When they go to Publix and see Tuna on a "buy one get one free" sale they throw one tuna into a bucket labeled "Hurricane Supplies" and the truth is you cannot really change human nature. You can try but people tend do stick to their own inner clock that can only be changed by possibly going through a big hurricane such as Andrew or Katrina in which case you either move to Colorado and get out of Dodge or you begin preparing on January 1st for the hurricane season.   

Works for me because there is always something watch in May. If this was May or even late April they may have officially designated the area off the SE coast currently as something there to watch but not expected to develop in a tropical way etc, etc, etc.

That's a real time look this morning.
Quite the coastal low.

Speaking of that are off the SE coast, "wow, doesn't it look well developed on Earthnull!"  People like Dabuh and I are always watching and it's fun to joke around and banter in March, because there is no pressure of a Category 4 headed towards a populated town about to turn their lives around. Patterns develop, set up...rearrange and then as we get closer to hurricane season the pattern shows it's face in a more visceral, threatening way. Today it's high surf in some places, strong wind at the beaches and just another day in Raleigh watching as the pollen build up on the pine trees and wondering when they will pop open with maize colored pollen coating out cars like butter on popcorn. There's a "season" but we all know some years it pops in March when it's been unseasonably warm or late in April if it's been cooler.... the same with the tropics, they don't pay attention to dates on a calendar.

Be it June or January.
March or May..
DaBuh and I will be ourselves.
He's a blessing ....

...and even tho Mike...
is known as "Spaghetti Models" all tropical...
He's a man for all seasons...
He's a true blessing too!

We watch it all............
....all the time, all year!

And the NHC will start their TWO on May 15th.
Stay tuned for more info on the 2021 Hurricane Season.
Tomorrow we will talk on names.
Why the NHC dropped the Greek Alphabet... 

Check back tomorrow :)

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps... prayers for all those in Boulder.
Prayers for all of us... 
... pray we hear no more bad news.

You can move to anywhere for a good life...
...but bad things happen besides hurricanes and earthquakes.
Sad but true.