Potential Tropical Cyclone 9 Advisories (from Invest 95L) Humberto Next Name Up. Link to #HURRICANEMAN Video from Hurricane Dorian @icyclone
Potential means they feel a Cyclone can form...
...and it's close enough they need to issue information.
Watches and warnings can be put up...
And a forecast Cone.
There is not a well developed storm or TD.
It's all potential.
Use the link below this graphic.
To properly understand what it means.
Often it extends a bit beyond the 5 day cone.
Alabama, Georgia and the Carolinas are in it.
Watches and warnings up for the Bahamas.
Recon is in the messy area of convection now.
That messy area may make our world messier.
Once it forms into a Tropical Storm.
Note the ULL in the dark round swath in E GOM.
That has been steering it, sheering it.
Let's hope it doesn't feed it...
..if it gets to the NE of the ULL.
It could intensify generously.
So what do we do?
We watch, we wait.
We stay informed on the storm's potential.
If it becomes TD or Humberto.
You'll know.
Well if you are here you pay attention.
Wind probs are everywhere.
Read the info on how to best use this feature.
Understand everyone from Raleigh to the Mobile, Alabama and other inland cities have the probability, even if remote, of having Tropical Storm force winds. So don't ignore it, it has real potential. And not to beat a horse ... the system that may form behind it also have potential to trace this same track according to the models. The end of this Tropical Drama has not been written yet so do not write it off as just a messy blob. The NHC doesn't take posting PTC advisories lightly. Note Grand Bahama IS in this cone especially Freeport Bimini just off of the South Florida coast. That is why I have been so concerned people get money to those who are helping NOW because the season is far from over.
Interactive 5 Day Cone above.
And this track is preliminary.
Many models take this all the way up the coast.
So stay tuned.
It's not over til it's over.
Currently it shows landfall.
Further up the Florida Coast.
You know like Dorian 2...
Dorian 3 is due in next week possibly.
Getting busy in the tropics.
Please read the previous blog.
I wrote it this afternoon at 3:30 PM.
I wanted to keep this new for the new PTC9
All my thoughts on messy models are in the previous post.
Be back later,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram
Ps.. Never turn your back on a cylone.
Remember when many wrote Dorian off early on.
Too small, nothing there....
...and then BAMN Cat 5 185 MPH WINDS.
So here's hoping you never see that.
If you want to know what it's like.
Posting the link here to @icyclone youtube he posted.
Turn the south up... turn the lights down.
Feel the power of Dorian.
Awesome work as always from Hurricane Man.
#HurricaneMan check him out.
And his upcoming show.
Let me step away from #DORIAN for one sec to share this hawt promo for my intense TV series #HurricaneMan—premiering 9 pm EDT (8 pm CDT) Sunday 15 September on @ScienceChannel! Admit you're excited. Go on. pic.twitter.com/ifb619zXIl— Josh Morgerman (@iCyclone) August 27, 2019
Labels: bahamas, cone, dorian, Humberto, HurricaneMan, hurricanes, icyclone, NHC, ptc9, weather
posted by BobbiStorm @ 2:15 PM
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