June 27th. Tropics. Thoughts Around the Web Show Our Unique Perspectives. Where is Development Next? Strong CV Waves & Strong Weather in US

Note to NHC....

Never follow inconsistent runs of the Euro.

Worth noting something is there....

....but it's hard to see.

Between a rock of shear...

sitting in warm water.

Could it stick around?

Is the set up right?

But this is the wrong guy?

Up close.

Uno

Itsy Bitsy Bikini on the beach.

Dos

Hmnn too early, too soon.

Nice wave.

My thoughts.

In truth the GFS beat the EURO on the NC X

People ignoring CV Waves....

Because press on cold water...

...silly cause it's really just too soon.

June to soon.

chris taught me that........

But great waves for June.

Let me say one thing here on the cold water by Africa. It wasn't there, it was warm as in warm like 2017 water temperatures and then suddenly the water temperatures flipped and went colder. Why? I'm more curious on the "why" of cooler water in June than anything else. Will it continue or flip back suddenly to warm water in August and September when we look to this part of the world to produce long tracking hurricanes? We don't look in June so why do I care? And, if the models didn't see it cooling do we worry on what the models didn't pick up? I'd worry. Why? Because the waves coming off are as Jim Cantore likes to say "robust" and well formed. I'd rather have cooler water with extremely well developed and well stacked tropical waves as properly aligned waves go further vs falling over because they are tilted. If a wave is well developed (as in can rock a bikini on any beach anywhere) then the air is allowed to evacuate properly and they will grow in size and intensity with names that will be remembered for years down the road. A few years back we had the perfect set up and nothing happened. Why? Warm water and low shear were there so why didn't we get Donna the Remake? Because.... the waves that shot off of Africa were poorly developed, multiple centers at different levels and as they moved West they basically tipped over and could not wrap up properly into anything of significance. Cool water with incredibly well stacked waves worries me more than warm water with poorly formed waves. Keep that in mind. It may come back to haunt us in the last week of August or early September.

Mike is watching the GOM.

@iCyclone isn't impressed with junk systems.

He likes the EPAC for obvious reasons.

He wants something real to chase.

You can follow along with him there.... 

As for me... 

Biding my time.

Watching waves.

Waiting to see what develops.

Loving life, loving weather.

Loving maps.

Always good to know who you are.

I lived in LA.

I didn't chase cyclones.

I tracked tremors...

... and studied the history of the land grants.

I frolicked on the Santa Monica Pier.

Always good to know yourself!

As i say ... be true to who you are...

And, you'll be happy.

Dabuh loves to surf.

He be watching waves.

And waiting.............................

Cause surfers know they have to wait!

Wait for the perfect wave.

Not junk waves........

And I'll be watching robust waves..

..with Jim watching the WV Loop.

What do you love?

Who do you love?

What makes your heart beat faster?

So fast - you keep coming back for more?

???

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm

Ps... Song "randomly" came on next on YouTube.

Going with it .... 

Love you, Bobbi