TD 17 Forms... Forecast to be TS Ophelia in the Distant Atlantic. A Look Back At Nate... A Look Ahead to Philippe

Close up of those winds shown below.

Tropical Depression 17 formed early this morning in the distant Atlantic. It is forecast to become a Tropical Storm in the near future was shear is relatively low and waters marginally warm enough. It could become a problem for the Azore Islands that were affected by TS Gaston last year.

http://www.hurricanecity.com/city/azores.htm

 The basic discussion is below and the NHC explains why they upgraded the area that they had been highlighting in red to designated status.

Dvorak Image below.

Cone...

Some have asked why anyone cares...  Seriously the NHC does more than warn New Orleans and Miami of incoming tropical threats. The Azores have historically been a strategic part of our Armed Forces as well as a beautiful travel destination. I know they are out there far away and well for once a cone doesn't have an expensive tourist destination or the 4th largest population center in it's path. Seems the name Ophelia will be around for another run on the hurricane name list.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Forces_Azores

https://www.cia.gov/library/publications/the-world-factbook/geos/po.html

(A great resource should you ever need to get a large plane somewhere filled with ... anything)

Typical travel piece by Huffington Post but it does show the beauty of the Azores.

https://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/azores-islands-visit-best-kept-

secrets_us_586fe607e4b099cdb0fd05ae

I want to be clear though because there has been some confusion online and people have asked me if TD17 was the area of convection closer to Florida vs the one closer to Africa.

Is there something to wonder on?

The image below says yes...

Look at the loop below.

It shows the wide view.

There is an area spinning East of Florida.

That is NOT TD 17

Note discussion from Crown Weather.

http://crownweather.com/

There has been model discussion...

...or more model innuendo concerning that area.

For now NHC is ignoring it.

Private meteorologists do their own thing.

One reason I show the wide view often.

A good site to use is below.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/Basin_Atlantic.html

I'll update on TD 17 at the top IF...

...NHC upgrades it.

Looking back at Nate....

Tropical Depression Nate kept causing destruction yesterday as a TD way after making landfall. After slamming into the Gulf Coast it decided to do the Appalachian Trail and it's rain rode up through Georgia, South Carolina and North Carolina inland along the spine of the mountains. It's currently moving up the coast towards the Mid Atlantic and beyond. It came along ways from the Southwest Caribbean.

Yeah... rain and snow.

Sounds like a song.

I'm not singing today...

Yes, there was flooding in low lying areas that are prone to flooding during storms along the Gulf of Mexico, casinos built at the water's edge flooded. Spartanburg South Carolina had a tornado sited on the ground going NNE towards many small towns, hamlets and neighborhoods not used to seeing Tornadoes yet a large mess of weather moving in tandem with a frontal boundary is prone to spin up tornadoes far from landfall. Then the tornadoes moved up the road into North Carolina. Weather doing the Appalachian Trail is never kind.

I'm not saying Nate was a no show but all in all other than some roads temporarily closed, some areas with minor flooding and some sailboats tossed onto land it was nothing compared to what it was feared it would be. In Central America Nate was responsible for at least 38 deaths at least from areas where mudslides and flash floods as Nate pulled together and moved towards the Gulf Coast. There's more details in the article below. Luckily Nate never became a Category 2 and the West side of the storm basically disappeared as the right side slammed into parts of Mississippi, Alabama and the Florida Panhandle. Louisiana all in all got lucky this time. The area from Gulfport to Pensacola dealt with storm surge, strong winds in bands that pumped up severe weather from the warm, volatile moist air.

Another area affected by Nate was Dauphin Island...It's a beautiful part of the coast worth visiting if being near the water is your thing. The roads can flood from storms and homes are often built high up away from the ground. It has a rich hurricane history. It's seen storms and pirates way worse than Nate.

http://www.al.com/news/mobile/index.ssf/2017/06/hurricanes_that_alabama_will_n.html

A look back at Nate.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane_Nate_(2017)

Close up.

Note location of casino flooding.

At the tip of land...

Wider view above.

All in all it could have been much worse.

It's such a pretty world from far away.

It's pretty up close too if you are in the right place.

What does it mean to be in the right place?

A place you love?

...with someone you love??

A place that inspires you???

What do you love?

Mountains?

Weather?

Oceans?

Snow?

Tropical Rainforests?

A penthouse view?

Find your place in the world.

And enjoy it.

Some enjoy chasing storms.....

No hurricanes are threatening in the Atlantic today. Sounds like a win win ... unless you are a storm chaser ;) Can't believe everyone chased Nate. It's been that sort of year. NINE consecutive hurricanes in 2017. You thought we were kidding when we said it would be busy? 

@weatherbryan

Follow him on Twitter....

..and you can see them spin.

So next names up...

Will Philippe be sneaky?

Will Rina form in the Caribbean?

Sean could form close in.

And how about Vinnie... Vince. 

Could we get to W?

Stay tuned.

As for Nate... 

His moisture is still falling.

The sun rises quietly every day somewhere... everywhere. Meteorologists wait for that first visual image of a new distant tropical entity to begin their day. I have a friend who reminds me the sun always rises and the sun always sets. Some people wake up early before the sun rises to catch a sunset... and others hang out somewhere watching that same sun set. Which person are you? I'm that person who isn't sure where I will be tonight when the sunsets or more specifically where I'll be when the sun comes up. There are a few possibilities, depends on what time we leave and when we decide to stop driving. Yup... on the road again. I really need a small studio apartment in South Florida over looking the water where I can leave half of my clothes so when I hit the road I just stop and get a Starbucks and know it's all there I don't have to unpack...  It's gonna be that kind of year as my family is on overdrive when it comes to making weddings, babies and well doing what you got to do and enjoying life. My brother who lost his wife 2 years ago is getting remarried this coming weekend. As a good weather friend always says... life goes on. 

I'll be posting from the road.

Nope not chasing hurricanes this trip.

But.... will a home grown storm chase me?

Maybe.

People be watching long range model runs.

Possible.

Keep watching...

Stay tuned...

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... You know I get a lot of good life advice from my weather friends online. I'm talking real life advice not about whether this model or that model will verify. I once moved into a house based on advice from a storm chaser friend (good house) and trust me every storm chaser wants to chase a storm but they want a nice, strong home to come home to....   may y'all have a good, good time cause it's party time again.