EPAC Erupts with an Invest & Special Statements. Storm May Form in Eastern Pacific ... High Moving Into Place in Atlantic. Hawaiian Lava Flows.

INVEST 90E

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5

Epac 40% Orange in the 5 Day Frame.

Could a storm sneak in under the wire?

Start of EPAC season May 15th.

Some thoughts below:

I've checked several times today on this area as it has shown potential despite being very far off the coast of Mexico, actually over 1,000 miles to be almost exact. We usually look closer in for development and this is where they usually lose steam and unravel. Possibly a sign that this year in the tropics will be a bit different. While temperatures are warm off the coast they are cooler than usual this time of year, however there are pockets of warmer water further out as seen in these two images shown below.

Another wider view below.

Note a warm pool off water off the E Coast.

And in the middle of the GOM

Caribbean is balmy too!

Also worth noting.

Earthquakes in GOM aren't common.

As for the EPAC Invest.

There's a signature below.

Trying to form.

Might not...

...but it's trying.

IF it formed it would be Aletta

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml

This is the time of year I watch the set up and the patterns; the analog years and try to decipher what is unique about this year that may become the signature for 2018. Let's say for instance that this year the water is cooler near Africa and warmer closer in in the Western Atlantic. What could that mean? It could mean less "Fish Storms" and less long trackers, but more storms that could threaten the Islands, the Caribbean and the Bahamas. Oh and usually what gets into the Bahamas and the Caribbean can get into the Gulf of Mexico. There are so many possibilities and long range models can be iffy in years when unusual things happen. So keep watching. What I can say is a huge High is setting up steering whatever weak, westbound waves further west. The long link below with the image shows what could become a big player in the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis/online/loop.asp?data_folder=tropical/tropical_ge_14km_wv&width=640&amp

;height=480&number_of_images_to_display=24

The above image is a compilation of 3 different models all showing the strong Bermuda High. Something to think on while you are making preparations for the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps . . . 

Worth noting that TWC has stepped up with more coverage of the Hawaiian Volcano and lava coming up out of fissures seemingly randomly out of the ground. This seems more like a bad Science Fiction Horror Movie vs anything within the realm of "normal" yet as some have pointed out this IS how the island of Hawaii was formed. Yet in times when they volcanoes are quiet we forget and we build and buy beautiful homes in paradise thinking the odds are in our favor. And, they complained about people buying swamp land in the 1920s in South Florida? Hmnn. 

https://oceanservice.noaa.gov/facts/hawaii.html