Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, April 24, 2018

5 Weeks to Go Until the Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2018. Patterns to watch...in the short term.

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Today is a stormy day.
From Florida to the Carolinas.
Large storm system.
Leftover from a cold front in April.
A week away from May.
Another front on the way.
You know what dangling fronts mean?
Possible tropical development.

We are a week or two a way from really worrying on this set up but it's time to start wondering how and when the 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season will begin. It's also worth noting that the EPAC system begins in less than one month on May 15, 2018. It's not too early to start preparing for the 2018 Hurricane Season. If you have a blue tarp on your roof (and many people in Florida still do) then you most likely know the dangers of the hurricane season.  To those of you not directly affected by last year it's worth noting this year will be busy but that doesn't mean named storms will make landfall where last year's did so it's worth staying vigilant as we are still in a busy time period.

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Moisture is moving West slowly on one level and tropical air is being pulled North by cold fronts still on the move. That convergence of energy often sees weak subtropical storms forming off the SE coast. Most of those systems go quietly out to sea, however some end up affecting areas along the coastline from Florida to the Carolinas much like today's strong weather system. It's an area worth watching and many are quietly watching it.



Long range models have even tossed up a few possibilities far off in early May. Okay May is not so far away.  Note @DaDabuh has been tweeting on possibilities today.  

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So let's look at today's satellite loop shown above.
The image below shows intense energy.


Name that storm from 2012 shown below.

Now note a few things shown below as well.


Long dangling cold front.
They always bear watching come May.
Oh look a purple dot in the Atlantic.
Note the water off the SE coast is warm.
Note dark orange reds off SE coast.


And we are exactly 5 weeks away.
Hurricane Season June 1st.


Time to think on Hurricane Preparation.


Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... Thanks for waking me up ;)










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