Rina... Will Sean Form in November? What Are the Chances? Will Tropical Trouble Slip in Between Cold Fronts?

Rina is moving steadily out to sea.

A cold front is trying to move through the Carolinas.

There are mixed signals to be honest.

The front moves South.

There are mixed signals.

Saying that again...

Tropical possibilities.

Mike is watching this...

...so am I.

Hmmnnn look at that area in the Caribbean.

Below is the freeze and frost line.

Creeping down...

Here's an image of the front.

Dipping down into the GOM.

An area in the Caribbean below that.

Can November Hurricanes happen?

Yes, of course they can.

But they are rare and far between.

Rarely seen making landfall.

Major Hurricane Kate in 1985 in the GOM.

That's Florida to her right.

Hurricanes in November do strange things.

You can read the report from the NHC for yourself. I'm curious as I'll be in Florida that week or I suppose next week and so I'll be watching anything that might develop very carefully. In a year such as this one we all should watch carefully, even if the signs of winter are evident in a good part of the South today. The problem is it the arrival of cold fronts on an regular basis through Northern Florida that make watching the Caribbean and the Gulf of Mexico important as... as.......as always it's all about timing.

Visible above is a frontal boundary.

And moisture in the Caribbean.

This time of year we have a clash of the seasons. Cold weather up north trying to work it's way down south. Fronts manage to temporarily make their way down through the Carolinas and then they stall out and sometimes back up as a cold front. If there is a reinforcing front then the cooler weather lingers. It's all about where a frontal boundary dips and when a system could form in tropical waters as to where it could move towards the dipping front. It happens rarely. Usually winter takes over and the tropical weather is but a memory and the season is one for the record books. This Hurricane Season of 2017 is indeed one for the record books.  For the record I put the space heater on for a bit in the bedroom this morning. I'm not ready to put on the real heater so I just pretend I have the air conditioning on really low down. Denial... it's a name for the space of time between November and December when leaves begin falling littering the ground with colorful patterns of nature's own confetti.

Keep watching.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter