Will 95L Become Rina? 80% Chances Posted by NHC. Mid Atlantic. Autumn Leaves Falling ...

95L

Possibly Rina in the Morning.

Looks a lot like last night.

Shear near by... 

obvious in the loop below.

Consistent and stubborn.

2 commonalities of named storms 

NHC curerrently has it at 80%

 X marks the spot!

Earthnull shows winds.

I guess we are waiting for 1st morning visible.

Models show possibilities, Subtropicals (or Tropical Storms) form in real time painfully sometimes and yet usually they move out to sea. But, luckily, not all storms are Harvey, Irma or Maria. Things have been a bit flat all around the last few days. Fronts are trying to make a dent into the mild weather we have been having in the Carolinas and Virginia. Strong weather possibilities exist shown below the water vapor loop.

Until fronts start rolling again.

The tropics should be quiet near the coast.

This is November's dance.

Meanwhile...

Here in Raleigh....

...Autumn Leaves...

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps... obviously I'll update tomorrow morning.

As always waiting on the NHC to make a decision.