Low Pressure Forming. Frontal Low? Tropical Low? Give it a day or 2. We are in Transition. Supermoon

This is the current set up in the tropics.

A few spots of purple show possibilities.

MJO is almost favorable.

There's a lot of talk out there but no promises.

Some models show a Low forming off Carolinas.

Frontal Low moving up the coast.

Possible early winter storm set up.

This is about a day ago.

But changes every model run.

Sort of like a reality show huh?

Weather is really the BEST reality show.

So who do you believe?

The grid below is a forecast.

Not a model prediction but a forecast.

Shows a Low off the Carolinas.

Moving up along the frontal boundary.

Super moon in play here.

69 Years.

That's a long time.

Often they are associated with earthquake and crazy weather.

HIGH TIDES ALONG THE COAST

You might want to look online for information.

The Supermoon is for sure.

The formation of a low in the Caribbean or Atlantic not for sure.

Not to wax poetic on politics but to use it as an example.

This morning they said Christie was in charge of the transition team.

This afternoon they said he is no longer in charge.

Christie was replaced by Pence.

It changes like models.

Every few hours.

I'll tell you what I know.

I may be on the road when the storm moves up the coast.

Time will tell.

We have transitioned from Halloween to Thanksgiving.

Cranberries fresh in a bog.

I know you must be wondering about 1948.

Last big Supermoon in November.

So I guess you the 1948 Atlantic Hurricane Season.

Or the months of October and November.

A November storm in the Atlantic off the coast.

A late season October storm up across Florida.

Shear charts show it's not friendly today to development.

Stay tuned.

Only thing on the move right now is a strong cold front.

Moving down and very apparent below.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Ps.. This is the Transition Season.

Oddly it was 9 degrees colder last night in Raleigh than NYC.