A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!
Monday, March 16, 2020
Sing From Balconies, Dance if the Gym is Closed. Do Your Part to Help Others Survive this Global Crisis.
Can't think of a better way to start today's blog.
Why Socially Distance?
That's why.
Yes Socially Distancing doesn't mean shutting down.
You can stay close to others online.
So as I've said before....
... at least there is much we can do online.
We can work, get news, learn and share.
I learned one thing over the last few days and that is that everyone picks their poison at a time such as this and everyone chooses how they will deal with the situation as there really are no hard solutions that will definitively solve our pretty desperate dilemma. Suddenly an incoming Hurricane doesn't sound that bad to many as at least that has a timeline and we have no time line regarding this Virus that is impacting our world.
Oddly we had a debate last night for Biden and Bernie regarding an election that seems far off and far away and if we aren't supposed to gather together how and why are we standing in line together trying to pick between two candidates for a convention that most likely will not be held in any normal way? I know, the past was a good time to figure out how to vote from home on our phones or in some other way but the blame game doesn't solve anything right now. Yes, haters will say we need to get rid of...(fill in the blank) but that's November, and this is March and we need to stop the fast spread of the virus and do the best we can to protect ourselves individually and collectively. The market is in free fall as the circuits triggered at the opening... people are facing something they have never faced before and that is an enemy that can't be seen with the naked eye but spreads fast everywhere. In times such as these the religious get more religious and they and others look to science to find a solution fast but there is no fast solution and only time will tell how and when this resolves. Again it's good to remember to note the amount who survived and recovered vs the amount who died and again it's good to remind you to wash your hands, lay low but not down and keep busy. Just as we do before a hurricane .... corral your valuables, important legal papers and keep them in one place in a sort of "grab and go" box to either change locations (not advisable now) or to have should you need to find them fast in an emergency.
I understand the problem of kids being home from school as I had quite a few kids who actually stayed home in the summer or went to a camp that I had to send lunch with them as opposed to free breakfasts and lunches. I was not rich but resourceful and trust me I'd rather feed them at home in a life threatening pandemic than worry on a free lunch. Amazingly they are trying hard to deliver meals in many places but that can only last as long people are well enough to do so. They are your kids in the end and they can learn at home; I homeschooled a few I know and I've been a teacher and teachers get sick fast because they get sick from all their cute little students with runny noses who are sent to school with fevers that often weren't checked or ignored. You can't keep schools open without teachers and staff. Nuff said.
This is the time to remember how our ancestors who had very little and no "fast food" to buy fed their large families on very little. Make soup. Make casseroles. Stockpile rice, pasta, beans, lentils (protein) and use small pieces of meat rather than making a roast. Conserve, conserve, conserve... and well Weight Watchers (or WW if u prefer) is closed too as are gyms closing...so cook healthy and turn the music on and dance because the gym is closed but dancing is free.
Love who you love even if you are far from them and hope and pray the Internet stays on so you can read the news or a novel or play a game and talk to your loved ones or work from home. Did Disney know something when they released all those shows onto their service, it makes you wonder.
Just doing what I do... I write ... I communicate...
If sharing advice or thoughts can help anyone than I am all in...
While hunkering down hiding from the pollen and germs and socially distancing this I can do... and so I am doing what I can.
Ps ... If it was only this simple but ... you can't put singers together to sing this close together anymore... but the song comes to mind because we are the world, all of us in different ways and we are all in this together but we have to think Global and Act Local.
TS IMELDA MAKES LANDFALL!! Previously Invest 98L Tropical Storm Heads to Texas TD 10 Forms in Atlantic Humberto King of the Tropical Road.
More headlines from the NHC
TROPICAL STORM IMELDA MAKES LANDFALL NEAR FREEPORT TEXAS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL AND THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING WILL SPREAD INLAND
OH what a day it's been...
I want to go back here to explain how this happens when before late last night there was no official discussion on this area even though I went long on it for days. I was taught and taught by the best that sometimes when convection gets trapped in an Upper Level Low it can work it's way down to the surface. Always drove me crazy as sometimes it happens and other times not, hard to say and after a while you get a feel for the way the water vapor loop as well as the set up to see it might happen but you feel as if you are going out on a limb when there is no model support for what you are seeing going on and sometimes you have to go with what you know can happen. It's at least worth pointing it out and saying there is no model support and I did.
1. Texas Trouble as it's close in where people live. Invest 98L
2. Invest 97L soon to find it's name. Atlantic Wave.
3. Humberto... offshore, beautiful to watch spin. Bermuda..
4. Tropical Wave Train coming off Africa still.
Immediacy in time and location...
...draw our attention to Texas.
Note below Humberto off the East Coast...
... taking it's weather to Bermuda possibly.
Rain lingering over Texas.
Sabine River Valley TX/LA
Use this loop and keep this in mind
NWS said Louisiana may get more rain.
Note 98L and Humberto...
...kind of spinning in tandem.
I feel it's possible 98L leans left...
Time will tell.
Too soon to tell.
Updated 95L Red now. 6 PM UPDATE.... 95L 9/11 and the Tropics. Home Grown Favored Currently. Down the Road Westbound Issues Into the Caribbean Islands
8 PM
Invest 95L got the red designation.
70% chance in 5 days for development.
40% in 2 days.
As I said at 6 PM I thought that should happen.
And it did.....
... I love that after dark when the sun goes down view.
Separates the intense weather...
..from the general clouds.
You can see more consolidation there tonight.
Can't wait to see what it looks like in the morning.
You want to know what I think?
My son asked me earlier.
He's in Miami...
Here were my thoughts.
Kind of voyeuristic to read but how I think.
BUT..........as it has looked better all day.
and NHC went with red tonight.
I think we can expect designation.
It's near a very populated area.
Everyone is suddenly hurricane shy...
..and even a Tropical Storm sounds scary now.
Not too scary.
But depending on where it forms...
South Florida could get swamped with rain.
It's a Full Moon so tides will be higher too.
At least a Potential Tropical Cyclone Cone.
Upgrade to Depression or TS.
The name Humberto is in play here.
Where it goes?
We need to see for sure where it forms.
Then the models get better.
It's close in and we will have plenty of time.
The water is very warm... in fact HOT.
So let's not... ignore it.
As for the Drama in the Tropics tonight.
It's like the Invest Olympics.
Yes that's what they said....
The huge orange pocket for the new wave.
Most likely Invest 96L over time.
Swallows up itsy bitsy little 94L
In fact the unnamed area has a 40% chance in 5 days.
Invest 94L has an official ZERO Percent chance.
Kind of it's Goodbye Song Tonight.
Well Gabrielle came back so why not 94L?
Shame 94L can't get the I name fast...
...the the new wave would be the J name.
Like Jonah... developing in the belly of the whale.
I'm tired, long day... being silly.
Odd graphic.
It's at the 50 Yard Line.
If it's gonna do something......
...now is the time.
So there they are...
..the 3 contestants for the name Humberto..
Will the new wave come on strong...
...swallow up 94L?
Could be.
Using this song here because....
... looks like that newer wave has teeth.
Jaws...
Whatever it's name is.
True story.
Confession time.
Used to be friends with Steven's mother
Loved her, tho her husband was a doll.
She offered someone important to her...
..tickets for the premier of her son's new movie.
The person asked...
"why would I want to go see a movie about a fish"
...not to her but to friends.
A movie about a fish.
Jaws.
Yup. True story.
LA Days...
...only earthquakes to track.
Wondering if the full moon will...
...make the earth shake rattle and roll.
I keep thinking we will see a big one soon.
So check back tomorrow..........
Same blog, same tropics.
2019 Hurricane Season.
There are more coming after Dorian.
Give money now please to a good charity.
If you don't know one...
... you can always go with the www.redcross.org
Watch Invest 95L putting on a show below.
6PM
On the loop above you can see 95L
Looking more noticeable.
Also the new wave coming off Africa.
More on that tomorrow.
Just some thoughts on Invest 95L
It's beginning to look a bit better.
As it raised North a bit away from Cuba.
As it's been down near the coast of Cuba.
Convection has looked better and...
... has seemed to come together more.
Various views to show where consolidation is...
Water vapor image above.
Looks like it wants to go RED
Maybe at 8 PM NHC will up it to 70%
Time will tell...
Bright white shows where the strongest weather is..
My daughter Dina who had just got back from Israel came running in the room and said 'put on CNN ..." and then I understood why my friend went quiet. It became very apparent. Her two brothers followed into the room and we all stared there in shock. One of her brothers said it must have been an accident. Dina had just gotten back from Israel where she missed being blown up by a bomb on a bus because she thankfully missed the bus during the Intifada where kids at pizza shops and on buses were blown up and she knew terrorism when she saw it. She explained they always do things like this in the morning early, then a little bit later they another bomb goes off to injure first respon............ the next plane flew into the other Tower. The debate on how it couldn't be terrorism but some commercial plane accident ended immediately (maybe the pilot had a heartache... never mind we knew) as everything changed. The rest of the day was a haze of people staring up at the sky terrified another plane would come flying kamikaze style out of the sky into some big building, or a mall somewhere. At the library we took turns covering the reference desk and staring in shock at the TV in the Lunchroom and then even more in shock when a big, huge dark black cloud covered the scene and we realized or were rather told one of the towers exploded... imploded...came tumbling down in a cloud of debris and dust while people on the ground ran for their lives. People inside the tumbling building died trying to help save people but perished. Our naive sense of being safe far across the Atlantic from the rest of the world perished. The world got a whole lot smaller and our fears grew in magnitude. The Pentagon part of the story exploded as did the story of a missing plane that was in theory headed into the heart of Washington DC; as people took their lives and their deaths in their own hands trying to control the situation and deter that plan and though they did they died doing so. Heroic and hard to comprehend still years later.
Location: Miami, Raleigh, Crown Heights, Florida, United States
Weather Historian. Studied meteorology and geography at FIU. Been quoted in Wall Street Journal, Washington Post & everywhere else... Lecturer, stormchaser, writer, dancer. If it's tropical it's topical ... covering the weather & musing on life. Follow me on Twitter @ https://twitter.com/#!/BobbiStorm