What Does Music and Hurricanes Have in Common? What Goes Around Comes Around. Everything Old is New Again. Expect Surprises in El Nino Years

 

So the models backed away on development, and yet the moisture is still locked in place. But models show this blobby mess, concentrated Blobby rain  mass hits the same spot the models hit the other day. Currently I'm just watching the pattern, peeking at models but not expecting much til I see the pattern begin to pull together. 

Keep in mind the darker the berry the less the juice.

Well on this image.

Dark means dry, dry, dry.

Little pockets embedded in the red.

Small tropical waves.

And our huge GUMBY like moisture area.

That's juice off the SE/East Coast.

That said some models.........w

.....there is always that model

Sees possible development!

Will say the waves looking juicier.

That said they swim into dry air.

And shear as well so.......

...take those models with a teaspoon sea salt

But hey even Bryan looking at models.

It's August, we look. 

"August look out you must!"

yep models are modeling the waves.

But they hit shear and dry air.

Only area to really watch is close in.

Close in... Above Caribbean.

The reason I'm mentioning this video is that in El Nino years we sometimes get wonky, weird tracks and surprises happen more in El Nino years than regular years. Betsy in 1965 was one those storms that is the best example. Loved hearing Bryan Norcross discuss Betsy, a hurricane I have studied in great detail. Betsy was a looper! She made several loops. She stalled, she was all about drama. And despite the NHC going with a Carolina, a North Carolina track, she backtracked and turned SW...then stalled again then turned due West the way Andrew did and like Andrew she went West thru Miami and the Keys then went on to that typical 2nd target and slammed into Louisiana ......oh like Andrew did and it'll happen again like Katrina did. But know that in an El Nino Year development should be later when we normally see real development and know to expect surprises because we have fronts and when we do they sometimes slice thru and other times they stall out and things can change in the ever popular cone! Loops can happen anytime, but they love El Nino Years.

Not saying this will happen.

Just saying ... things get wonky in El Nino years.

Hurricane Betsy the Queen Looper!

Never count your Hurricane Seasons as dead...

...until it's November 30th!

Sweet Tropical Dreams or PSL Dreams.

August and platic pumpkins are on the shelves.

2026 be racing on through!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

Long Ps with music and some thoughts.

Musical thoughts and personal thoughts.

I had to look up Summer songs 1965

Seems this was all the rage.

Herman's Hermits.

I post this as I have a pal....

...who loves to sing this song.

While driving.

So now you know what your parents

or grandparents were listening to...

...when Betsy burst through Miami.

Surprise!

That song probably played til the power went out.

Ps so next time someone asks you

"huh what's their name?"

Or winces at your music....

Know... 

Music rolls on in each generation.

My kids were there in Miami this weekend!

Ironically last week I was in NY

with my older"hippy" artist daughter ...

...at Woodstock grounds

Dina  remarried her ex husband...

...who is my son-in-law again (yay)

later a band played and she turned to me and said

This is "Zalmy's music" her youngest brother.

I laughed, she walked out into the woods.

I stayed inside dancing :)

Yep... 

What goes around comes around.

Storms such as Betsy 1965 in El Nno Years...

....show up again

1994 Hurricane Gordon

A looper that made the record books

What I am saying is.........

...while each year is unique

Music evolves, revolves

My son was in Chicago at his birthday party.

He loves Zeds Dead

Video o Lollapalooza above

Never laugh at music old or new...

...just move to it and dance.

This season will be slow but not totally dead!

And remember to dance to the music always!

Sway, play, have a good day!

August 2026! Models Teasing Tropical Trouble Off or On the SE Coast... Carolinas???

 

Gonna start here this afternoon.

you know the drill...

NHC Nothing for 7 days

you know the graphic by heart ...

When you make a major life move to a new area the one thing weather people do is look for the local experts. The ones who know that the funnel cloud seemed to have touched down around Ravens Rock State Park and Chick mentions that the elevation there is much higher and that may have made the difference. Chick is that person here, or may I say one of those people who I taught me to understand North Carolina Weather from listening to what they say and absorbing it in until it became fluid and I know NC weather (both winter and summer/hurricane season) almost as good as I know Florida weather.

When Chick posts I pay attention. Is there anyone who follows me on X that doesn't know how I feel about @dabuh and when he posts a heart I know he knows just maybe something is going to happen. No one is perfect, but his long term "this is it" posts almost always verify. It's almost spooky....

This literally hits me where I live.

Straight to the heart of the matter.

While I wouldn't mind some tropical weather...

...I would not love a landfall around Pawley's Island.

That's my happy place up here...

...like Key West in Florida.

Could this happen?

It could.

Close in development.

Not deep tropical action.

But very tropical all the same.

It's too early to say. The NHC isn't ready to blink, but if models keep spinning out scenarios that all align closely one way or the other, they may blink sometime this week. Will models continue to show some agreement? Keep watching. It's not just the ICON. It's not just Dabuh sniffing out hearts that show patterns that continue. It's not just me saying "watch close in, watch close in" as if I have that saying on a tape and if anyone asks me "so Bobbi what do you think weather wise" I'll say like a robot "watch close in, watch close in" or maybe babble it in my sleep even! (Ps once I had a dream back in the day and I woke up and was upset as Fishing and I were in a chat about some tropical wave...hate waking up feeling all jarred and then realizing I was dream texting about the tropics.......truth)

 

The pretty purple....  comes ashore...

..in exact location the ICON has it.

 EURO is notarious for low opening bids.

moves up to the same SC beach

then into NC

A plus on location.

Let's look at a current loop.

The area to the East of Florida wants to spin.

But there ain't no spin now.

Just lots of rain.

Lots of rain lowers pressures.

There's also quite the mess in the NE Gulf again.

Below is a current water vapor image

You have that high pressure to the NW

How low does it go?

Stay tuned.

But one thing I want to note.

Oddly, we have seen tropical development this year..

...impacting near or starting near

where an earthquake struck.

So watch the area to the North of the Islands.

Japan had an earthquake and a typhoon!

Italy has a horrific heat spell and an earthquake.

While I did study Geology in college...

..and I know it's not a theory.

It keeps happening.

Like when a spot it hot... it's hot

Maybe one day we will learn more.

But for now keep that in mind.

While El Nino may have shut down the Carib...

... Mother Nature keeps rocking & rolling quakes.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm with strong thunder in Raleigh

This is for granddaughter who loves this song.

She's a Leo... and a mini me.

(freaky)

She just got back from Aruba....

yeah missing the salt air it seems.

Enjoy.... 

...but know I may talk on Africa this week.

African Wave train has a bit of support.

But not ready to sing that song