62 Days Til Hurricane Season - Severe Weather and Possible Tornadoes Today in the South. Seasons Sliding Along. Only A Matter of Time...

 

Starting with this story this morning as it's very tropically relevant! When Florida warms up and the temperatures flirt with and actually get into the 90s......you have to know the water is warming up around the tropical peninsular as well and that means the Gulf will be getting hot as we head into the Hurricane Season. Florida has had a fairly nice winter, but that switch has been flipped and after the first week of April it'll be hard to see cold fronts move through with much energy. And, then the heat sets in......

Pretty map.

Note the sliver of orange sliding into the Gulf.

Lots of warmth in the Caribbean Sea.

Slowly that dome of heat edges North.

Mike has sea surface temperatures on his site.

https://spaghettimodels.com/

As we March through April into May.

We watch for water warm enough....

...to support pre season activity.

At least 2 people are dead from tornadoes...

...that slammed into the center of the USA

Today the severe weather moves East.

Carolinas, Georgia are all on watch.

In truth the local weather has been playing this weather up all of last week as if there was a hurricane about to make landfall on Monday. We are finally at Monday and the maps for today's Severe Weather Outbreak are below. Brad Panovich is a Carolina treasure and I'd say people on both sides of the state line follow him carefully when weather looks to be a news story.

So we will see what we will see. It's that simple when it comes to Severe Weather as it forms in real time and where that line may form a bow echo is the whole story that evolves in real time. As always only time will tell, but the word is out and I'll add aside from Severe Weather expected in certain areas there's many other areas that may get flooding from copious amounts of rain with this system. When it rains it pours indeed! 

Sweet Tropical Dreams

62 days til Hurricane Season - basically at the 2 month line.

So start looking through your lists and supplies and fill in what you need when things are on sale.

Easier to spend a little here and there when things go on sale or pick up one thing extra at the Dollar Store  then having to spend the rent money when you are finally in the Cone and have watches and warnings up!

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather. Elsewhere whatever.

 

Pine Pollen Storm....... Severe Weather Monday?? 64 Days Til Hurricane Season......

 

From a Meme online but yes.........

....my backyard looked like that today!

I went out onto the deck....

I thought "wow it's windy"

All of a sudden there was smoke....

..."yellow smoke" and then

I thought "ohhhhhhhhhh"

Ran back in the house and.....

..... slammed the sliding glass door!

Only remember seeing it that bad once before.

I think it was after the Polar Vortex.

Seriously like thick yellow smoke!

The before picture is below....

I keep the Jewish Sabbath, offline no taking photos as it's my rest day so I'll post the feed online today from people here ranting on the Yellow Pine Pollen that popped. People say you can't predict when it'll pop but if you have lived here long enough and know the weather forecast ....trust me between the hot temperatures and the strong winds forecast for this morning .......trust me I knew it would pop and it did. It's supposed to rain with wicked weather on Monday, which'll make those beautiful yellow patterns in the puddles that I enjoy watching like Mother Nature's Yellow Lava Lamp.  

People were posting about it today...

And Speaking of Yellow.........

Our hazard map is politically correct!

We will see what we get late Sunday and Monday. Tonight I'm watching Mrs Doubtfire and that's a big deal that I can watch it and laugh :)  #IYKYK ...

It's good to laugh. I can even laugh at the pesky pine pollen. 

One more thing checked off the list of things that happen........before Hurricane Season! 

So enjoy the pollen in the Carolinas! Generally no one dies from the Pine Pollen! You don't have to prepare for it other than throwing sheets on your lawn furniture for a few weeks. No homes are burned up from the pollen as we've seen from fires. As things go it's just a pesky yellow mess that taunts the newbies who were never told about it when they were moving to Raleigh!

It's March still.

64 days til Hurricane Season.

I have a feeling............

...Carolina will see yellow circles and Cones.

So prepare......

...when you see a sale on batteries.

Stock up!

Sweet Yellow Dreams...........

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

 X mostly weather.

Other places whatever

Spring.......yellow tulips, buttercups!!

Monday - Cold Front On the Move. Still March Filled With Lots of Conflicting Weather. Severe Weather. Solar Storms. Cold Fronts. No End to Storms....

 

The Lows look like linebackers!

Offensive Line? 

I'm in a football state of mind.

In Charlotte this week and Charlotte is where the Carolina Panthers rule and I'm thinking on football! Waiting for the rain to end and for the cold front to slide through before taking a long walk around. It's gray like Seattle today here in the city with domed buildings and fountains everywhere.

Solar Storms have stolen some of the weather headlines this week. You can follow the person below if you are into watching Solar Storms. Note I didn't pay much attention until I saw the Northern Lights in Raleigh recently and I am a bit obsessed. I really hope to see them again either here or Up North somewhere! Life changing........really. But it's still March...........no snow, no tropical systems and no football......truly my mean season.

During the off-season we watch whatever storms there are be they tornadic or on the sun! March does deliver Severe Weather in the Plains and Dixie Alley and snow up where it belongs in March.

There's also an eclipse coming up.

Over Europe. Hmnnn.

England?

I do love maps.

There's not a lot to talk about tropically, though many have begun to wax poetic on possibilities this hurricane season. CSU puts out their first report on April 3rd and I'll make that the official kick off of PreSeason for the 2025 Hurricane Season!

DaBub pointing out the obvious.

But to many not so obvious.

Which is why he points it out.

Change is in the wind....

After April begins!

You should look up www.crownweather.com

He's doing early discussion on 2025.

He's worth subscribing to....

He has put out analog years recently.

"They are 1895, 1916, 1959, 1967, 1996, 1999, 2008, 2011, 2017 & 2021" are his analog years for this current season tho that often changes in real time. Personally going to do some research on those years later that week. I enjoy studying Analog years. 

Crown Weather is very good with early preseason analysis that often verifies in multiple ways. I believe he went to BlueSky when I wasn't looking. I'm on X. It's not a political statement, it's a lazy statement and there's a limit to how many places I wish to be. If I could go back to MySpace I would as I met Larry Cosgrove there and he's one of my favorite people both with regard to weather and music. More on his thoughts in later posts this month. As Hurricane Season begins I will most likely post in both places as well as continuing here with my old fashioned blog aka weather diary.

If you subscribe to Crown Weather (always good to support those you appreciate) you will see a discussion on areas that he is most concerned on and they tend to be Atlantic systems in that he's watching Carolinas up to NE and the NE Caribbean as areas he is currently concerned on. As always the GOM lights up early and late in the hurricane season as it heats up faster than most areas out there. 

That's it. 

Oh.......there's also Fire Storms and Fire Weather but it's sad and depressing and I really do not want to discuss that weather other than be careful out there when the air is dry and the winds begin to blow!

It's still off-season for me until April and so til then I jump on and off to blog depending on what's going on.

Cold fronts, Severe Weather in the South.

Thriving Cold Fronts in the North.

Odd clusters of color SW of Africa.

Could the Hurricane Season start early?

Sometimes it starts off the SE Coast ....

..at the base of a late season front.

Or in The Gulf near the Yucatan.

Stay tuned............

........it's never too early to prepare!

Sweet Tropical Dreams

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather.

Insta whatever.

Bluesky whenever lol

Always at www.bobbistorm.com 

Ps I didn't mention Yellowstone did I?

Nevermind...........

A look at Old School JB

A song that haunts me a bit...

Spring Equinox - What Kind of Storm Does It Deliver? Depends Where You Live....

Winter is not done with the USA yet!

Elevation is really everything in the South and areas closer to the Piedmont and the Mountains are cooler and down closer to the coast it feels knee deep into Spring as temperatures flirt with the 70s and 80s. Every new front is weaker and yes it cools us off at night, yet by Noon we are peeling off the layers. 

Spring can be kind or mean. And, in the month of March it often leans on the mean. Severe Weather in the Plains and the Dixie Alley produces tornadoes. It's that simple. 

Trees are budding and people are excited to see the flowers pushing up from the ground, yet not so happy when the Bradford Pear Tree showers their cars with beautiful white petals. I'm a fan! The first time I came to Raleigh was in the 3rd week of March. The city was decorated with beautiful white flowers on trees and daffodils and tulips placing pops of color along the walkways and it was incredible. We went to Wrightsville Beach on a day when it was 80 degrees. A day later a cold front went through and the day after it actually snowed a little. Locals call Raleigh bipolar weather wise as you never know what you are going to get unless it's July or August or January or February. March is March Madness indeed!

Talking on Raleigh as I was away in Miami and Hollywood Florida last week and while it was fun to be "home" this really is also "home" so I guess I have two homes. 

It's supposed to rain today, maybe some thunder. Also Raleigh is a good example as you can see by looking at the graphics below that there isn't a 30s in sight. Daytime weather seasonable Spring.

The Bayou warms up.

Tampa and Miami heat up.

Raleigh and the rest of the South...

..warms up slowly when it's ready!

Rollercoaster weather at times.

Chicago has snow on the ground....

According to Google....

...Spring began an hour ago!

So I blogged!!

I've been sick.

Getting better.

Watching the weather!

Taking meds. 

Sipping Tea.

Being me!

Thinking on Hurricane Season.

73 days away.

Talk on that soon!

Sweet Tropical Dreams.....

BobbiStorm

Yellow Circle in March. 10% Chances.... Out in the Atlantic

 

A large area of clouds with a curvature appearance is out in the distant Atlantic. The NHC put up a 10% "yes we see it" yellow circle. While it does get the heart racing while we're remembering it's only 76 days til Hurricane Season and if you want to say there may be a named storm in May it's way less than that. 

Just marking time and mentioning it. On the road in Georgia for the night. Seriously resting. Caught something either the kids had or the grandkids had and to be honest everyone in South Florida seems to be couuhing. Most blame it on the mango pollen? Who knows.... 

Not expected to develop as per NHC...

See the frontal boundry?

It's crispy cool in Savannah.

And, our large area is a ....

Non tropical Low

So there you go!!

Stay tuned and always be ready....

...never surprised by random lemons that pop up.

Especially in that area of the Atlantic this time of year.

Sweet Tropical Dreams

BobbiStorm

 

Random Thoughts on the Pattern... System off SE Coast......... Just Smile............. March It's a Long Month Soooo Pace Yourself!

 

Some fast thoughts........

...on the system off the SE Coast.

Fun to look at on satellite imagery.

Off the coast and moving away.

As the sun comes up....

...it illuminates the structure.

On Tropical Tidbits we watch in motion.

See the low off the coast... old front.

See moisture in the ITCZ

Shear there will blow it away

But still .......what's it doing there in March?

March is that sort of month that some people love and others hate. They have no more patience left for Winter to leave and for Spring to totally spring and for temperatures to flirt with the 80s in places where it slip slides, up and down every few days making many people sick and others just annoyed.

In like a lion.............................................................out like a lamb.

Takes a while, it's a long month with 31 days!! We aren't even halfway there.

As we turn the calendar to April the Tropical Weather community comes alive. Currently I hear crickets as many tweet out their thoughts, post their thoughts and send out emails with preliminary thoughts. Personally I wait until April. 

But.......it's an interesting set up currently. 

Will see we are at tomorrow. Take it day by day in March ;)

Is Mother Nature teasing us with a trailer for a tropical movie that's almost ready to be shown in all our tropical theaters?   Will see........soon nuff!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather and elsewhere whatever...

Ps....I'm not the only one watching the set up........

Nothing like an Oldie Goldie...

...for a golden ole long term friend ;)

***

Double dipping here...

...another great smile.

Like a wink and a smile........

84 Days Til Hurricane Season. Turn Ahead the Clock Sunday. Restless Musings........

 

You don't usually see red out by Africa in March.

Weird but it's been a weird morning.

Sure there's a logical explanation.

A meteorologist mentioned fog in Miami.

Born and raised there....

... fog kind of rare there. 

True out by the Glades can get fog some.

By the water less so ....

But there has been a much fog in S FL this year.

Why I don't know.

This is my off-season.  March I usually lay low while watching winter weather fade away and occasionally watching the flow and set up on water vapor loop. I meant to go to the water vapor loop but hey bright red south of Senegal caught my attention.

They changed the formulation of my favorite creamer for my coffee and it's horrible. Horrific. No clue what they did as threw out the old containers and can't compare though I'm sure someone on Reddit is all over it. I don't mean to hurt anyone's feelings but I feel like it's the rabbit hole always with someone always saying something and it's an odd format and yet easy to get sucked in. My very smart son ... actually both of those sons loves looking through it but they are Leos and I'm a Capricorn so that may possibly explain it.  Nuff said on that. I need to find a new favorite creamer and need to spend quality time inside a Nespresso Boutique vs ordering online in Raleigh.

Istanbul Nespresso (Ps) is awesome. Seriously the only Nespresso I don't need to add sugar to and several of my kids tried it and said they need to and don't understand why I like it. Obviously who, what and where we love is personal and works for me.

ya......it's been that sort of morning.

Note the loop does work, this is the last image.

Mike's Weather Page tells the whole story.

In an easy glance at the main page.

Snow is up where it belongs in March.

Severe weather in Jax old frontal boundary.

Fires breaking out everywhere it seems.

Well everywhere where there's high priced homes.

Waterfront property.

I'm not the world's biggest conspiracy person.

My skepticism keeps me from going there...

...but its bugging me. 

Doesn't sit right.

???

This is often my favorite grid on his page.

Honest.

Lastly........

I feel very sad that Mike lost his mother and yes she has been weak and I'm sure he knew it was coming and dreaded thath reality, but still being a friend of his that goes back so far we don't want to talk about it I'm sad for him and his family as they loved her very much. She loved them.

It's a line that gets crossed when a mother dies and you can look back in time and see how things changed, how you changed and how the world changed. Sadly, many do not think on their mother much beyond the regular "she did a great job raising me" and she "worked really hard" kind of stuff people say, but once she's gone away........you can't go visit her in the retirement home or the hospital it's just forever. 

My father was in a facility for a while before he died. My youngest brother and I would run over Friday afternoons together and spend some quality time with him ever week. We both went often at random times but it was a fast thing we'd do together that became routine and almost normal. He wasn't in good health, we knew he would not last forever and one April ... a while after the OSCARS in LA tho I digress but it's a measure of time I mark...that and well just after the Passover holiday ended ... Daddy died. And, my brother Ronnie would call me up on Friday's often and say how he knows he died but while working at his desk he'd look at the clock and think for a second "getting close to Shabbos it's time to go ...." and then it hits you again and again he's gone. No more running over to say "hello" and wish him Good Shabbos and he though he didn't remember much he'd always smile when we said that and life went on until it did not.

Not being morbid here, just being honest.

Life comes with an expiration date. Kind of like Hurricane Season and Football Season and even NASCAR Season.... but it ends and you have to go on and deal with it and be glad for what you had and remember the good times.

As a friend I feel sad for Mike, yet he's able to be Mike and that's a true treasure to have and he will put it into perspective and yet while he's talking on and on and on come July I'll miss him calling her up while online and hearing her talk to him. It's a beautiful gift to have that sort of relationship with a parent.

That's it.

Nothing in the tropics. Weather be doing it's odd stuff in March. I'm in a mood. Stayed in bed this morning, missed the whole "change the clocks" to do though there's two clocks I have to actually change. A really old weather radio clock in the other room that's probably from Radio Shack and my father's clock he kept by his bed listening to talk radio or falling asleep to the Country Channel. Years later when I'd go to Miami to help my brother with my Mother I'd stay in the extra bedroom (where my father slept lol) and listen to old music that seemingly played forever in Miami vs Raleigh. Either that or the radio was haunted!

Life goes on.......

Hurricane Season is in 84 days!

Have a good weekend! Not proofing this. It's my online diary and there's no real weather to speak of currently so just blogging along.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather...elsewhere whatever

Honestly my father's signature song.

He loved that song.

I do too!