Monday Morning Look at the Tropics. Wrightsville Beach... 97L Moving Fast Away From the Coast... GOM Questions. New African Waves. Tropics Been Flat... Having Problems Getting Spin Going.

97L with diminishing chances of development.

But look how far North it is now.

Moving fast as systems do in that part of the ocean.

Models below.

Note models show it around for a while.

That's questionable we will see soon.

Model intensities all over the place.

Normally you throw out the high.

Then you throw out the low.

In this case there is little common ground.

It either survives or dies fast.

Being that I live in North Carolina.

And being that 97L was nearby.

I went to visit it a spell.

The beach was dark and gray.

Don't let the colors fool you.

It was hot as blazes.

Barely a breeze ....

...though there were waves.

And far off in the distance was 97L

Moving it's way North up along the NC coast.

People were out and about.

Lifeguards working hard.

Kids playing.

Adults enjoying the beauty of the beach.

You get a feel when you are there for things.

It's definitely there and definitely tropical.

But it definitely hasn't done anything yet.

The guys on the pier said Saturday was stormy.

There were puddles everywhere ... some localized flooding.

But mostly it was just a "hi there how ya doing" trip for 97L

Just moving along up the coast.

This is an image from last night.

Not much has changed.

RED is NO.

Green is GO.

Note every wave gets to the Caribbean...

...flares up briefly then falls apart.

A sliver of low shear in the Bahamas.

A sliver in the Atlantic... 

Can't remember the last time I saw so many slivers.

Check out the loop.

Despite waves staying alive....

...they have no where to go once they hit the shear wall.

It's not a friendly ocean just yet.

People love to talk on water temperature and SAL.

Shear is the real killer of any attempted development.

Africa isn't exactly wet yet.

The Mid Atlantic Region has some moisture.

A new wave is coming off of Africa.

The high pressure is suppressing the convection.

And in the Caribbean there's a mixed bag.

Moisture across the Gulf of Mexico.

There has been much talk on the GOM...

...on something developing somewhere.

When there is more definitive discussion...

...I'll bring it up here.

I may update this blog later today.

There's a cold front at the end of the week.

IF something is in the GOM close in ...

...the front would pull it North.

Again.........

As for the tropics in general.

Shear is everywhere.

And though it's easy to complain on SAL.

Saharan Dust is not the only problem here.

But so far everything's had a problem spinning.

Why is a complicated answer.

Yet NOAA upped it's outlook for more storms.

So it's a very complicated math equation.

You know what Jimmy Buffet says about math..

Time will tell.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps...Will Alabama get a Bama Breeze