Hurricane Season 2019 - Climo Discussion and Suggestions to Prepare for a Hurricane Season. Early August is Usually Your Time to Shop... Shop Wisely.

They say a picture is worth a thousand words.

I'm going to add a few pictures and use few words.

Nothing is expected to form during the next 5 days.

Note the word "expected" as sometimes things pop up.

When they do the NHC goes into action.

We all do. But nothing is expected to form.

Actual words that go with the picture above.

Hurricanes generally move in this direction.

They can move North out of the Caribbean.

They can move NNE from the Yucatan.

They can get blocked by a high and move West.

But generally they move up from the tropics.

Below shows when Hurricanes normally form.

Sometimes they form earlier.

Sometimes later.

This is Climo.

Every year has it's uniqueness

You can read the link and it explains the graphics.

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/climo/

Below is the image everyone shows.

Peak is in September.

August it begins to climb.

More form in October....

November has a high peak there too.

So why am I showing you these graphics?

Because.....

I'm tired of people putting out articles that are passed around online when there is no storm trying to inform people that this season may be a weak one and using various academic terms that most do not understand post click bait online with pretty pictures that are hard to understand. This hurricane season of 2019 is as normal so far as it gets with random odd weak systems and a strong high and seasonal Saharan Dust and now we have fronts forecast to come down early and fade away slowly in tropical, warm waters and that has a potential with it that can cause tropical problems. 

So use the quiet time to do what you got to do and don't look at the day to day but at the Season as a whole as we are just getting into the part of the season where we could deal in two weeks or so with a possible problem and in three weeks or so most likely a hurricane somewhere. Andrew formed in August, first storm aka the A storm and I'll never forget 1992 because it was a storm I didn't chase but it chased me and we prepared hectically because well it had been a quiet, beastly hot summer and I had relatives in town who were leaving and everyone said Andrew was going to catch a front and pull it up towards the Carolinas. 

Never believe hype online or click on Click Bait. 

Never believe there are no deaths in a 7.0 Earthquake in a crowded city on the first report.

Just know the press will do what the press will do and online types will hype a quiet season or a busy season because that's what people do it's our new way of shooting the breeze on the country's front porch. And, I love talking online with friends but again trying to remind you about climo and the law of averages and not to take a quiet period before the hurricane season really begins and use that as a rule of thumb that you don't need to really prepare and take this year seriously.

Please do. 

http://www.publix.com/pages/publix-storm-basics

Good page to start with and a good place to go if you have one near you. Just do it. Make lists. Who needs meds, who has special needs. Are you in an area prone to flooding? If you just moved there go meet your neighbors and ask them about how hurricanes are around these parts... Trust me everyone will talk your ear off if you ask them how the last hurricane here was like for you! If they say they don't usually happen, ask more people. If you live in hurricane country, they can and could come to your doorstep!

Use the quiet times wisely!

With prayers for all those impacted by this weekend's rampage.

We all were even if we don't live in those cities.

It impacted all of us in ways.

And in the Florida Panhandle they are still cleaning up.

From Hurricane Michael in October.

Up from the Yucatan and Caribbean.

Prepare with fronts on the map it ups the concern.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps...Tomorrow I'll talk on areas where our next storm may form.

If you don't want to go into a Walmart today :(

Shop on Amazon.

Just do what you got to do to get what you need.

To get yourself safely through the storm and...

...and the long clean up when you have no electric!