Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Sunday, September 10, 2017

UPDATED.. LANDFALL Lower FL Keys Near FAT ALBERT BLIMP LOCATION CUDJOE, SUGARLOAF, RAMROD KEY IRMA CAT 4 MAJOR HURRICANE MAKING LANDFALL IN LOWER KEYS

LANDFALL CUDJOE KEY
Will explain more about Cudjoe later.
Not dense population.
Less than Marathon or KW



Those beautiful Keys you see 
Old video but cloudy day.


Much discussion in the Keys why it's called that.
Some say "cousin Joe" was farming there.
Years ago.



It's near the blimp known as Fat Albert.
You see tethered as you drive to Key West.

GREAT VIDEO CLICK ON LINK ABOVE

That's where Irma made landfall.
Where does Irma go next.

Note the EYE moves NNW
The EYE WOBBLES
So the wobble can be NE or N temporarily.
Why it's so hard to track the eye perfectly.

Note saying they got lucky.
But the more heavily populated areas got lucky


ft_lalo-animated.gif (720×480)


Keep reading below.
I showed before where Cudjoe was..

My kids are getting slammed hard in the bands.
Far to the N of Irma.
Just a brush with Irma.
But a brush with a cat 4 is stronger
Than a brush with a cat 1 ..trust me.
See the map for coordinates above.


Cudjoe Key
Sugarloaf Key getting eye.
Generally least populated Keys.
Note the map above.
Click on it.
Red mark IRMA



Making landfall clearly.

swir_lalo-animated.gif (720×480)

Looks like landfall to me







Making landfall as I type.

As Dave Schwartz used to say...
When the air goes down.
Other side bounces UP.
Watch Irma go NNW soon N
As dry air pushing down on left side.
Very easy to see here.

wv-animated.gif (720×480)





Radar View.



As daylight moved over Irma.


Wide view.

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Cone less important right now.
It will move within the cone.

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Note the eye moving above.
Erratically.
More impt info from the Discussion.
The eye can be erratic.
It moves smooth over time.
But the eye wobbles within.
Impossible to say who gets it later.
Let's focus on NOW.
Florida Keys.





Impt part of NHC discussion.


I want people to pass this link around.
PLEASE.


Not 1 person I spoke to last night...
..goes to the NHC page.
They find every page online... 
...for food, games, nonsense.
But they don't go there ...
Frustrating.

Go to that page.
There is so much information.
From storm surge to wind arrival.
See info below.



I know I'm preaching to the choir if you are here.
Make sure your friends and family have it.
Please.

Hard to keep up with the reports coming in. Most my friends in North Miami Beach that had power lost it after a strong band came through and knocked out whatever power they had and many lost earlier. So the hurricane has arrived bringing with variations of destruction depending on how far North and East you live from the Lower Florida Keys. Further up you have trees down, some debris but power. Then more trees down, less power. Goes like that in increments the whole way across Key South Florida. Here and there extreme debris and then light debris. Down in the Florida Keys this is another whole ballgame.

Florida Keys from Marathon to Key West is currently taking the brunt of this Major Hurricane. From the 7 Mile Bridge (for those of you lucky enough to do the drive) down to Key West they are getting battered in slow motion. As of 8 PM it's still hasn't picked up speed.

Key West on the edge of the worst; still getting a lashing.  Eye will soon be across the Florida Keys. Understand a lot of small homes, apartment buildings on the lower keys. Snowbirds, people who live there all year and a lot of people who work in Key West but cannot live in Key West. Those places are really going to get battered and I hope people got out to safety. I know many stayed and those areas will be awash in storm surge. Some homes built up high for that reason but this is a slow moving strong hurricane and those homes will be battered a long time by waves in the storm surge. This is not a fast moving hurricane. I  have said this before and I'll say it again it's a matter of degrees of direction and the forward speed or lack of it is the real story.. the real problem here.

Most my kids are under a Tornado Warning. It expires soon but may be replaced by another. They are safe from the hurricane or in their case Tropical Storm. As bad, noisy as it sounds now this is basically what we call in Miami a "tree trimmer" hurricane and other than erratic damage there should be no structural damage. When I say Miami I mean all the way up into Pembroke Pines, Walnut Creek and up though Broward. Some localized flooding near water; but as noisy as it sounds and even with the power out this is nothing compared to what is going on in the Florida Keys and could go on in West and Southwest Florida.

The Florida Keys will have heavy damage. I'll write

Phil Ferro just said it well, it's a wall of water moving through the air; he is right as even the winds are as fluid as the water coming down from the bands. The air has so much latent energy, moisture and it's a moving river of air I'll add at high speeds. You add the high forward speed to the actual wind speed and it makes it stronger and seem more dramatic. My grandchildren have stopped asking "when is it getting here" cause now they can hear it.

I'll be updating later at the 11 AM advisory and I'll be adding information all day. But, telling you the best thing you can do is watch live online the coverage with the two channels below. I have TWC mostly on mute unless something I want to know is being talked about. The real story, the local story is online live and anyone who evacuated and everyone who has loved ones there can watch it unfold live. Most of your friends and family cannot, as they have lost power. But you can... and it's live on radios there as well. That's how we listened to Bryan Norcross. Remember as bad as it is there... the hurricane is in the Florida Keys far away.

TAMPA
http://www.baynews9.com/content/news/baynews9/watch-live.html

Miami and Keys
http://wsvn.com/on-air-live-stream/

I'll be updating off and on nonstop so check back often. Truth is now is the time to breathe, watch, hunker down, pray, keep your phone plugged in if you have power and if power goes out don't talk but text. Keep the phones as powered as you can as its going to be a long, long time before you get power again.

Besos BobbiStorm
Back again soon...

PS Again those in Miami ... you are getting a brush with a hurricane. You are getting Tropical Storm force winds and hurricane gusts. Down in the Florida Keys it is a LIFE and DEATH drama. And that drama will move up the coast of SW Florida. Let's hope Irma stays West of the coastline after ripping through the Florida Keys.  Mike from Spaghetti Models lives in Oldsmar ... he's hoping, praying and watching carefully.



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