Weather People. African Wave is it The One? Or Coastal Close In Home Grown? Shop Now While You Can. August 4 Days Away!

 

SAL vs The Wave.

Close in - Home Grown 

or African Waves?

In Journalism 101 you learn....

... what's in your neck of the woods.

Is normally the priority.

Unless it's a huge world shaking news event.

Derecheo Dreams in the Mid West

Interesting area off Carolinas if u ask me.

Wild video below posted by Reed Timmer. While we all obsess on A1 Models doing obscene things with  African Waves.... the real story today is the derecheo in the Mid West and it's looking to be a memorable one! Either way the thunderstorm was crazy wild, you can watch for yourself below.

I have a lot to do today so this will be short of maybe say it with songs not sure. Maybe I'll go long. I write in real time and type fast. We are several days away from really seeing what the next 2 waves off Africa can really do that the previous ways could not. August is a few days away. I can feel it in the wind. Fresh Market put out "Mulling Spices" on display as we all long for those late days of Summer transitioning into Fall. But those days also bring wild hurricanes and it really is the part of the hurricane season we call the Mean Season. 

If the waves were going to FL so would I.

So far most ensembles pull North to NC

European AI

WOW that woke me UP!

Just one model....

...wave barely left Africa.

From West to East

1. Yes EPAC is alive again! 

2. Derecheo Dreams in Mid West 

3. Something off Carolina Coast...some models hinted something might form there fast up and out to sea.

4. Whoah what is that in the middle of Atlantic center stage.

At 8 AM it looked like that.

Woke up late.

Wondered how long I'd slept?

Was it late August...

..did I do a Rip Van Winkle?

Whoah.

An illusion and nothing more?

5.  Wavy wave train in the Atlantic. 

6.  "The Wave" is coming off Africa the AI Models are in love with vs the EURO and the GFS.

7. Special mention to Fronts, so many fronts rolling off the East Coast but slowly.

     Front up the ante. They pull a hurricane to them. They stall out and high builds in. Trapped.

     They intensify. Next front pulls them out to sea or towards landfall. So fronts impt in July & August.

The truth is modeling right now is all a wing and a prayer and the wave barely has rolled off of Africa and will contend with SAL and a long road trip. Personally had really thought on going to Miami because the air quality in NC has been bad and it doesn't get along with my asthma and do miss "home" but with more Sahran Dust rolling into Miami on a tropical wind and temperatures will moderate some here I'm staying where I am this week. Maybe later in August. 

SAL forecast. 

Doesn't come to NC just slams Florida

Makes for pretty sunsets but no don't think so.

But in short term waves go where the dust goes.

It's part of the steering currents.

So those models near FL for a storm could verify.

Time as always will tell.

FOX Weather does a great job.

They break it down easy, no hype.

And they talk weather.

Weather, weather & more weather.

No lifestyles or game show formats.

No agenda, no politics if you wondered.

And they have Bryan Norcross.

Good Old Fashioned Weather Channel.

No one like him anywhere!

Cantore comes closest!

Is the Euro AI that good?

Looks like it has something to it.

Is that an illusion or does this have the stuff?

Will the SAL knock the stuff out of it?

Whoah that's kind of got a spin.

I'll be honest. It's been a long hot summer considering it's been a real summer and I don't like summer. When young in Miami we lived in bathing suits and threw an oversized tee shirt on over it like a mini dress to go to the store. My father was not amused when he realized I'd been wearing his comfy white V neck short sleeve tee shirts out side and wearing them out. But we were young and it was fun at the pool with the kids doing things kids do. Even then I used to call the AC "Life Support System" as in when coming in the house I'd put on the "Life Support System" as low as it could go and summer in Miami runs from late April to late November. I do love summer fruits and vegetables in Raleigh. Yesterday I had a "donut nectarine" that was so good, so ripe yet a bit firm and it burst as I bit into it with a bit of juice sliding down my chin and for a few minutes I thought "wow summer isn't that bad" but it passed fast like a baby has gas.

Ordered this shirt today.

Read an old diary recently and the truth is weather people are passionate people who enjoy the beauty of a moment that many barely look up nor even notice. The sky comes alive, the wind blows, rain pours down sometimes going sideways and hitting you so hard at the beach that you realize you are being sandblasted as well by the sand that lifts off the beach in the late season tropical storm and you smile and laugh. You know you're alive. It's like being in love. It's like the world's best sundae. The air moves, flows and watching things fly in the wind is one part horror and one part amazement. I remember some hurricane in Miami with my brother out on the porch that's protected by a wing of the house that jutted out protecting us from the wind and watching roof tiles fly, branches fly... anything that shakes loose fly in the wind. That moment is frozen in my mind the same way the moment we were all outside in the eye of Katrina in North Miami Beach watching the sky clear, birds flying about as well as a few random parrots as parrots are a thing in South Florida and then you could see the edge of the back side of the storm racing at us down the street as we grabbed everything and went back inside while the back side of Katrina rearranged the yard, trees and slammed the neighbors shed against the side of our house all in one piece.

So yeah.......we are a different type of breed. No apologies. Never. Stop. Chasing. And help when you can others to understand the dangers and the need to prepare for the hurricane and we love maps and data and discussion.  Note I had a lot of graham cracker cookies we ate up through the second half of Katrina sitting on the floor spreading what was left of the cream cheese on them. Good memories of a Katrina that was a whole lot nicer in Florida than it was in Mississippi and Louisiana. 

Sweet Tropical Dreams.

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather. Elsewhere whatever.

Enjoy the song. It's not the version I usually like to watch but showed up on my YouTube today after watching a weather forecast video so going with it as I definitely got the message. Where's DEXTER?

We will know soon enough. Use this time wisely! You never know what the wind  might throw at you tomorrow!