Yellow Circle Near Jax 10% Chances of Doing What 93L Did Not Do. X 94L Still Easy to Find Doing It's Thing. New Wave Off Africa. 9 Days Til August

 

Love listening to Mike talk....

This image highlights the game of the day.

Find the Spin in the Yellow Circle

Again there's nothing there now...

Going wider......

SFL convection blowing up this morning.

Naked X marks the spot off Jax

Our old x94L in the Caribbean.

Still moving along, by the way.

Shots of shear in the SW Carib 

Land mass of Greater Antilles...

..unless it stays South.

I'm sorry it's more interesting than yellow X

This is the same set up before Chantal.

And 93L

2 areas of spin on either side of FL

One flaring up with convection in the Gulf

one without convection off Jax

E Gulf blows up 

Small twist near Jax

Look down between FL & Bahamas

Florida Straits

That's the spin zone.

Everything else caught up in the flow

And it's a fast flow.

Regarding X94L

I know I'm impossible.

Would rather watch where it goes

The remnants, it's interesting

Has ramifications down the road.

Black filter shows the ULL

and remnants of X94L

Watch this area

Note the orange convection S of PR

Old Wave.....

Behind it the wave people liked.

I never wanted to argue this....

...94L was the stronger wave.

But waves are waves.

they come they go

they flare up

they bust

Behind them is not much.

Then there's one nice wave but I'm not into it.

Truth is any wave on any given day, like football, has it's day in the sun. Most battle with Saharan Dust and wind shear that's near the Caribbean as well as other places. They are like people. You meet a lot of people in life and they are nice, okay to talk to while you kill time at some event but you don't remember them forever. Others you look up and see from the first moment they come close and know this one IS someone special. Sometimes things work out, other times they go bust. But you remember them as they were different. 94L It had a there there... a bit of a center we could see and attempts at an outflow. We weren't chasing Gulf Dreams......   

That said the Gulf could get a close in system down the road with all the pesky problems of close in developments that are barely organized but deliver tons of rain and severe weather. When we get to that point where there's a definable center developing I'll talk on it more. 

As for the Wave Train..... one close to Africa has that look... maybe. Don't love it as much as the SAL is stronger now than before. SAL comes in busts like strong thunderstorms on a hot summer afternoon, they rain themselves out and the next day another strong thunderstorm flares up again and rains itself out. They are Summer Thunderstorms not a Tropical Storm or Hurricane.

Maybe. Too Soon to tell.

Same family of waves.

Waves of July 2025

August will up the ante.

Always.

Maybe, has that backward C shape.

Next wave comes off after that.

Again they are very well spaced.

If that continues into August...

...watch out!

That's it. Didn't blog yesterday. Can't get with ...the set up again that was supposed to develop Chantal that formed on Florida's East Coast vs the Eastern Gulf nor did 93L form. It's a messy set up, but you never know down the tropical road. I was in a mood yesterday, a bad, sad, mad mood and it came on fast and furious and was hard to navigate but eventually threw it off. Thankfully. Some triggers are always around to stumble over lol which is the only way I can put it. 

Always watch Upper Level Lows (they are game changers) and the curve, the form and the shape of the High Pressure as the High Pressure directs the storms once they actually form. Watch patterns and watch which models for the last Invest verified in ways and which were did not and waiting for the real thing to show up.

Have a wonderful day! August is 9 Days away. August ups the Ante. Old rhyme still holds true.

We may have better satellite imagery.

Better radar and better models.

But still... July Stand by 

(means shop for hurricane supplies)

August ....look out....you must!

Much Love 

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather

Elsewhere whatever

95L Invests usually interesting...

Enjoy, an old favorite song.