Invest 93L Tagged Off FL Coast. Will It Become Dexter? Time Will Tell. NHC Is On it. It's Close In. Signature of 2025 So Far...

 

First off Invest 93L is off the coast of Florida, but as the nearness of it to the very tropical parts of Florida such as the Everglades, the Lake helps enhance showers and ratchet up the rain threat. It's out over the Gulfstream and yet rain and flooding can happen far away from where the Invest is trying to develop. The image below shows the red L that is where the NHC puts the Invest on the map.

This is our starting point.

What happens next?

We will see soon enough.

Dvorak... 

...Currently storms blowing up over the Lake

...far from the approximate center.

But it's a starting point.

My thoughts on Invest 93L

Currently as of 3 PM on Monday.

Very grateful NHC tagged it as an Invest.

There are more layers of investigation.

Not all Invests need to get names.

Most do but it's a means to an end.

Better evaluation and surveillance.

It's developing a sort of shape.

Roundness... curvature.

Little band like features...

... tendrils that all line up 

Whatever happy it's an Invest.

Purple dot marks the spot.

It moved South from the Caroinas.

Zone of formation is to the West.

Florida stands in the way.

Soon we will have "Spaghetti Models"

For now we can see NOAA has a L in the Gulf.

2 days from today.

On Friday NOAA maps have a Low over Grand Isle

Louisiana.

Nola. 

And this is the problem.

Whether it's a TD, a TS or a ...Hurricane.

The pain is from the rain.

High rain totals.

Chantal responsible for 6 deaths.

Flooding is the name of the game this month.

Horrific Flooding.

Hope that does not play out.

But we have only just begun... 

Already this morning NWS Nola...

..was discussing the possible rain and flooding.

Nola if you don't know...

..is low and like a bowl.

Water collects in the low spots.

Prone to flooding easily.

The truth is that now we continue watching, we see what it does and how it aligns with the models. What you see today may not look like what it is over the hot July waters of the Gulf after crossing Florida. The forecast is for it to cross Florida Westbound into the Gulf. 

 

30% in 7 Days - 20% in 2 Days

Stay tuned.  And, if you are in FL in the path of much rain and possibly wind make sure you have what you need if you live in an area prone to losing power. And, we all know when a transformer goes as someone drove into it during a rainstorm... we can lose power. Too soon to say IF there was a cone what the cone would look like. Currently I'd take a Dubai Chocolate Cone :) 

Thankful NHC tagged it and it allows us to know more and knowledge is power. It also is an official word from NHC vs some headlines I've seen on YouTube where everything is raised to a serious emergency to hype their video and get more clicks. Go to the source... always and that source is the NHC.

Stay tuned.....

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X         Mostly Weather on X elsewhere whatever.