50 MPH Chantal ....Showers Moving into Carolinas as Edges Close to Landfall. Watching From Raleigh In the Cone

11 PM Chantal now 50 MPH.

Edging her way towards the Coastline.

Landfall...not so far away.

It's important to understand that the center of Chantal is to the West and her strongest winds and rain are to the right, really NE and those storms and all the storms in her circulation will circle around the center and rain is already spreading into North Carolina in fast moving showers moving fast far from her exact location. More so the forecast rain bands show a swath of heavy rains closer to Greensboro to the West of Raleigh. This can of course change between when I go to sleep later tonight and wake up in the morning. 

Again my point is everything changes and more so with a developing Tropical Storm. The forecast many in Raleigh read on Friday was for rain to be an issue closer to the coast. I had planned to go to New Bern, a city I truly love on the water to see what energy Chantal had when I thought the chance of weather here in Raleigh was slim to nothing. Everything changes is my point.

Fairly sure from the nightly news and people I have spoken to briefly they all think there's storm down by the coast and we won't get much. Everyone happy it'll keep the temperatures down. Can't argue there. But problems can arise and it's important to pay attention to subtle changes.

After what happened in Texas on July 4th and in Western NC you'd think everyone knows the chance is always there for flash flooding especially in areas where there's elevation. Parts of Durham flooded earlier in the week from some regular afternoon rain. Luckily I live in an area that rarely floods. But there's areas in North and South Carolina where elevation matter and some mixed with marshy areas down near the coastline about a 30 minute drive inland. I know that route my heart as we drive to Wrightsville my new Beach. And, there's also a risk of tornadoes closer to the coastline as Chantal makes landfall. 

This is not your Momma's hurricane. It's not even a hurricane. Rain is everywhere sometimes far from there center that's running fairly naked on visible imagery. So follow the weather not the center if you live in the path of the weather from Chantal today and tomorrow.

All you need is heavy rain to create misery. Random tornadoes. 

I sat on the balcony a little while ago. There's a light beautiful breeze and a fast moving showers sped by so fast not sure the rain hit the ground. Smells tropical. Nice. Sweet. Okay for me.... but my name here is BobbiStorm. 

This is from the Mimic.

So there Chantal sits.

NHC discussion tonight said they doubted ...

...any intensification.

Will see. 

I don't remember 50 MPH being in the forecast Friday.

She's moving slowly, she's over warm water and the shear is relaxing. But there's supposed to be other factors that would keep development at a medium. I'll do a full update in the morning. This is just me, marking the moment and thinking on what tomorrow will bring. 

Watch that tail grow in loop above.

Showers down toward Florida.

Tough, stubborn Chantal.

Chantal is a like a pebble caught in a river.

Dropped in...it'll go where it goes.

Looks like a lot of rain to me.

And with Tropical Storms...

..rain is usually the name of the game.

Not wind.

8 MPH is not very fast.

Is that forecast speed or actual?

NHC does forecast speed.

But we can watch on radar.

Won't lie it's a delightful distraction for me tonight. Will discuss other stuff in the morning. 

Again my concern is as it's "only a 50 MPH moving at 8 MPH" it's nothing to worry on can lead to problems down the road. I seriously hope I'm wrong.

Sweet Tropical Dreams,

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on X

X mostly weather...elsewhere whatever.

Ps........... inland Carolinas are all about hardwoods and endless Carolina Pines and they can go snap in the wind, especially if she doesn't pick up speed. Try and drive your car at 8 MPH it feels as if you are crawling.

Jimmy was in Key West for this...

Much of early KW was from Carolinas.

Truth.... 

My family was there way back when...

... some of the most famous early settlers.

Bahamas. Carolinas.