New Invest 96L Off of Florida - Paulette Forecast to be a Strong Hurricane Near Bermuda - 95L Fast West Bound Wave at 90% - Rene Still There.

 

Seems we have a new kid in town.

Invest 96L just East of Florida.

Close in - Homegrown.

60% in the 5 day.

40% in the 2 day.

Currently 25 MPH.

Zoom Earth has this awesome format.

https://zoom.earth/storms/96l-2020/

Wide view from Zoom Earth tells the story.

Paulette still forecast to impact Bermuda.

Turn away from the East Coast.

Gets close enough for waves and Riptides.

96L really does have a round shape there.

Off the coast of Africa is 95L.m

That's the westbound shadow area below Rene.

Invest vs a 65 MPH TS Paulette

Trying to organize vs organized.

Keep that in mind.

But weather is fluid so check back often.

Especially if you live in Florida...

This is really the most imminent issue this morning, 96L recently tagged and already at 60% for development over the next 5 days. Location is everything and while wondering on a distant interesting looking Invest 95L speeding off of Africa westbound you have to pay attention to what is closest to our part of the world. As we are going into a weekend it's important to know it's out there, especially as the NHC jumped on it recently, and not be surprised because it wasn't there yesterday. 2020 has been all about storms developing, ramping up close to land and struggling far out in the Ocean; Paulette is still trying to become a hurricane currently at 65 MPH winds though as she approaches Bermuda she may be a strong hurricane. Nearness to land seems to provide strong caffeine to these systems this year in a way that's hard to explains but happens. 

So my main concern is ..... does 96L ramp up and tighten up into a named system or even a TD before making landfall along the East Coast of Florida towards her projected development zone in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico? Yes, it's possible as in I cannot rule it out. I've been watching this area for days as it oozed around energy wise trying to find a place it could develop and it seems to have done so over the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico.  While not trying to hype it... many small systems have come together in these hot, fertile waters just East of Florida close in to prodce serious problems for South Florida so with history as a teacher I can't rule that out. 

95L is a westbound threat, models love it but they aren't 100% sure exactly where it is down the road as they flip about on models. All long term models show you is that there is something there near the Islands and later models refine that and the NHC makes a cone carefully based on their ever changing input; weather is not stagnant it flows, rearranges and sometimes things form in real time... like 96L.

Paulette is a Bermuda issue and a problem for swimmers on the East Coast early in the coming week who ignore warnings by lifeguards and Rene is well just Rene out there in the Atlatnic. Paulette is forecast to go hurricane near Bermuda. 

I'll update later today as it's pretty apparent we are on the verge of at least one if not two systems being upgraded later today. 96L may become a depression fast (that's a real may not a for sure) and 95L at 90% with strong model support should get an upgrade soon enough too. But hard to say for sure that's why you have to check with the NHC often and pay attention to your local NWS and on air experts in the South Florida area. I'll add anywhere from the Keys to the Cape should pay attention to what is evolving with 96L.

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

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