Hurricane Harbor

A writer and a tropical muse. A funky Lubavitcher who enjoys watching the weather, hurricanes, listening to music while enjoying life with a sense of humor and trying to make sense of it all!

Tuesday, September 08, 2020

Updated 4 PM SLC Hurricane Force Winds w Front - Invest 94L Homegrown Carolinas, African Wave. HUGE PAULETTE & Compact beutiful Rene Doing the Cape Verde Islands. SEPTEMBER.. REMEMBER!! Busy in the Tropics...


4 PM update before the 5 PM.



As for Invest 94L offshore Carolinas.
New models bring it onshore...
...to South Carolina not North.
Hmnnn....
...it will probably move North again.
Keep watching.
As I said there is a huge amount of moisture...
...coming up from the Caribbean mixing in with it.


Paulette is on the right.
The messy abstract on the left ...
....is moisture flowing N into 94L

hiatlsat_None_anim.gif (768×496)

Does it form further South? 
Over water longer?
Closer in?
???


Some questions on Paulette too.
May stay further South tho still at a high Lat.
Not like it's gonna move WSW right?
Plenty of time to watch it.
Homegrown less time to watch.

I'll add in the 5PM here...
...back soon




For those wondering on "the cold front"





It brought stong hurricane force winds to SLC
Salt Lake City now knows what Iowa feels like...








11 AM Paulette

11:00 AM AST Tue Sep 8
Location: 18.4°N 43.3°W
Moving: NW at 6 mph
Min pressure: 995 mb
Max sustained: 65 mph

Cone basically the same.
Discussion is interesting.


Snippet above. 
Please read the whole thing in the link below.
Upper Level Lows matter...


Next we have Rene.
Moving way faster than Paulette.

Location: 16.5°N 26.5°W
Moving: W at 16 mph
Min pressure: 1001 mb
Max sustained: 40 mph

10 AM Thoughts.
Homegrown first.
94L off the Carolina Coast.



The locals are on top of it!




This is a most extraordinary site.
You can get lost on it for days.
So don't say I didn't warn ya...
You can ZOOM all the way in...
...obviously.


Facts as of 8 AM
You can zoom in and get all the info ... 
...on the right.
How awesome is that?



40% Homegrown Carolina 94L
70% Wave emerging off of Africa. 95L?



Paulette  moving NW at 6 MPH.
50 MPH Winds  

My thoughts on Paulette. It's obiously a long ride. She moves NW then more WNW then NW again if the models are to be believed. She moves very slowly then she moves fast down the road. She's humongous to be honest and there's more than just one wave in her as far as I'm concerned and her tail goes on and on and on. Sort of like one of those wild creations you see on a runway of some gown that no one is ever gonna wear but looks incredible when debuted as "Winter Fashions" and then the dress gets made without most of the train because really who wears trains with dresses unless you are getting married in a cathedral? Okay, I did at a big hotel on Miami Beach once but it had a little bracelet sewn in so I could pull it up when I needed because you know why? You can't dance wearing a gown with a train. Remember that cryptic comment while watching Paulette taking up a good part of the Atlantic.


Rene... what can I say?

40 MPH moving W at 15 MPH.
A tad faster than Paulette.
Do the math, think on it.
Models have been crazy or maybe not?




Big sister Paulette to the left.
Rene to the right ...
...hovering over the Cape Verde Islands.



And there are more where those came from....
....95L hasn't even been named.
Hard to keep track these days.
Zooming thru the Invest.
May be a long distance swimmer too!!

Lost of Hurricane History below. 
Check out some Cape Verde History.


Old article but you get the idea.



Leaving you with some Hurricane History today while we wait, watch and see what happens with distant storms and a close in area of possibilities.

Cape Verde storms are the Holy Grail of real hurricane trackers, they provide weeks of tracking, study, research and obsession. For a while everyone was politically correct calling them Cabo Verde, but of late I've noted many professionals go back to the original name usage ... perhaps because it's so engrained into tropical meteorologists minds to say Cape Verde and they say it with this little panting sound in their voicethe way novelists say "Xanadu" or travelers speak of going to Patagonia. Some people travel to mountain tops, some to beaches and some to see weather or be in the eye of a hurricane. Yes, people do tornadoes too but it's too fast a thrill for me but to each his own so just saying this is the season of our lives....Cape Verde Season in September.



In truth hurricanes have formed over them most notably Fred that hit the islands and then danced off towards the Northwest and out to sea. Strong CV hurricanes usually do that, though Hurricane Donna came off Africa rocking and rolling and took down a plane before it even became a Cane.



https://www.overdrive.com/media/2895230/the-crash-of-an-air-france-super-constellation-dakar-senegal-august-29-1960 Great read and a rare event back when we didn't know as much as we know now but yet somehow Donna was different from the start.



In late August of 2018 Florence rolled off of Africa.


Florence was deemed a Fish from the start.
Most waves that intensify fast become Fish Storms.
And she did swim with the fish but....
...she kept going all the way to land!!

Being honest here most waves that roll off of Africa tightly wound and beautiful as Rene did do swim out to sea and few remember their names as they did not make landfall in Miami or Charleston or make it into the Gulf of Mexico to do New Orleans, but it is worth remembering when you have that much ocean to travel many odd things can and sometimes do happen. 

I'll update later today with breaking news info from the NHC. In truth both Paulette and Rene have a long way to go. And, while they both mirror eachother well right now Paulette is HUGE and huge, big waves that are bottom heavy often take longer to turn, to intensify and sometimes evolve into a totally different storm than what you thought early on. Rene, is a classic CV storm, tightly wound, beautiful from far away and most likely will stay far away. But that's days away from where we are now so let's enjoy the show. And, the Invest behind these two storms already has a designation and sometimes the tail wave behind a few early climbers stays low and becomes the real problem so never count out September waves that roll off of Africa just in time for trouble.

As for Close In .. Homegrown systems........   remember they happen and they happen fast, springing up, getting a name often while you were at lunch and come back to find out you missed it. But, if you were watching and waiting for it then you knew it would get a name. We'd all hate to waste the name Sally on a fast moving pop up tropical storm but the NHC decides who gets the name and who doesn't so you'll just have to stay tune and don't blink or you might miss it!

Also worth noting are the fires out West that truly I'm obsessing on as I lived in California and I know the Fire Season well but this is a tropical blog. And, yes it's snowing out West and as I'm dreaming on seeing snow this winter ... I know, but this is a tropical blog especially in September it's all about the tropics but yes the weather is wicked crazy and Mother Nature is on the rampage so hang onto your hurricane supplies and don't eat the Twinkies and keep watching in real time!

Sweet Tropical Dreams,
BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram

Ps...Since these waves are indeed extraordinary I'll play the song that I woke up to that was playing in my head this morning as I was half asleep. Don't you hate when that happens?
I'm going to watch Mike do his Facebook Live and get another cup of coffee and find out what's going on in the rest of the world. I'll update at the top, have an awesome day!

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