Yellow Wave 30% Orange Wave 40% Out in the Atlantic. The Day After Laura Charged Through Louisiana With Cat 4 Winds.

2 PM 

2nd wave higher chances.

Forecast to sit for a while and simmer. 

40%

Lead wave, lower 30%

As for Friday late in the Afteroon.

Both circles are currently at 30% Friday morning.

Looks scary but it's not forecast to develop for a while.

If it develops and yes some models show something out there.

The above image is from Windy.

Thursday, six days away.

I like this filter as it shows convection.

If you get an attempt at circulation...

...and you got convection then I'm interested.

Basically it's just waves and wondering.

Nothing nasty out there today.

Check back Sunday or tomorrow if you want.

Views of damage from Laura.

You can follow them online, they are good.

Laura from start to landfall.

On this date three years ago, the easterly wave that would become Hurricane Irma left the African coast. @UMiamiRSMAS pic.twitter.com/RQYr1Ji50O

— Brian McNoldy (@BMcNoldy) August 28, 2020

A last image of Laura before the radar was gone, gong, gone.

Some thoughts below and then a song for the road.

Some models take the wave that develops faster...

...up into the Atlantic.

But I don't trust early models.

So know they are there and do what you can now.

Do hurricane preparation and take a Labor Day Staycation.

This is the last offical weekend of August...

... summer almost over, September around the corner.

Mike's talking on Facebook Live that I actually watch on YouTube now. Isn't a world with options wonderful? Moves fast and clean on YouTube and people chat and you can read comments in real time so that works. He keeps trying not to say "worrying on the next wave" vs "watching the next waves" because really we are watching the next waves because we are worrying on the next waves.... and so we should be. But, in truth storms often pop up somewhere close in even faster than it takes for the waves we are watching to get close to our side of the world. Ususually but
not always after a Major Hurricane the environment is quiet for a few days, so enjoy the quiet. Lord knows those down in Louisiana need time to clean up what they can before another hurricane cone shows the Gulf of Mexico in the middle of it.

And, many on our side of the world are spending this weekend cleaning up along the coast of the Gulf of Mexico after Laura left a path of debris and destruction that was only seen after dawn allowed us to te see learn the horrors that happened in the dark night of Hurricane Laura. Always hard watching nightime videos from storm chaser friends at in the early morning hours of 1 AM because the sky is dark, lit up only by exploding transformers and we mostly hear the sound of everything flying in the wind. Come morning in the daylight we get more images and videos where we see what it was that went flying in the night. And, often it's not what we thought we would see. Yes, there was flooding but the storm surge was not as historic as was advertised but the wind damage was horrific. Mike, who is a very senstive guy beneath his friendly fun style was extemely upset as one of his site's followers who lived in the path was worrying on storm surge asking him questions, and yes they got out and went to higher ground but when they returned it was the wind that tore at their house and ripped the second floor off leaving bits and pieces of insulation hanging at odd, broken angles and again you worry on the wind and then you get flooding or you worry on flooding and then you get the wind damage. This part of the world is used to bayou flooding but it's not very used to the damage seen only from a strong Major Hurricane.

There are places along hurricane coast that somehow get "lucky" from the big ones usually; yes history has hurricanes that made landfall in the 1700s or 1800s or back in 1921 as Tampa had a rare Major Hurricane hit a hundred years ago but generall in this part of GOM they get picked up by a front further to the East and head for Florida or they get pushed by the High further west to Texas but Laura went where Laura wanted to go always. Horrible destruction and I'm not going to show tons images here this morning because there are images and video everywhere so just giving you my thoughts this morning and one video below. Add in surprising to many was the huge chemical fire yesterday morning that didn't surprise me because that part of Louisiana is loaded with chemical plants and other various similar industries. Leaving the one video below, really sad and can only hope and pray they get as much documented, get their claims in and poperty repaired and find what ever they can that remains because September will add more landfalls I fear to our list for this year and resources to rebuild will be stretched even thinner.



So leaving you with the song below, very dark and intense and kind of perfect for this morning when people are watching the destruction that Laura wrought and wondering and worrying on what else is out there. Apparently that's all my family WhatsApp Group was takling about. If you haven't heard about the new Batman movie feel free to Google "Twilight Vampire Batman" and you'll hear all the news on that one.

Yes there are waves highlighted as I said out there and they are moving Westbound under a HUGE HIGH and they may devleop faster than the models imply but currently the models don't show anything trying to wrap until Thursay a good six days away, but I'm not a big fan of models but I sure do watch them. And, watch for close things that can bubble up from old waves and areas of consistent convection that persisted long enough to try and spin up close in somewhere. Even though it's almost September you have to always watch close in at the tail end of hurricanes, fronts and trailing troughs.

My advice.
Give money to a charity you trust to help rebuild in the areas smashed up by Laura and pray for the people whose lives were torn apart. And, then make sure your hurricane supplies and plans are up to day. And, then go out and enjoy Labor Day Weekend if your beach was not destroyed by a hurricane and the weather is good and get some fresh air and a strong ocean breeze and give thanks for what you have. And it's my advice that since we have a lull in the tropics right now, don't wait to go away next weekend on a busy holiday vacation but if the sun is shining on your beach or lake or favorite mountain view get out there now and enjoy it this weekend before the crowds as there's always a chance we could have tropical problems down the road. If this year hasn't taught you anything it should be not to put off for tomorrow what you want to do today!!

In the world we live in this unexpected, crazy year of 2020 we need to take time to appreciate the good things, because we see so much negativity on the news and images that scare us as well as the political pandering and maneuvering during a world pandemic that has taken away the lives of people we knew, worked with and loved so really you have to give thanks for the good things be they seemingly as insignificant as you learned how to make a fancy bread or your tomato crop was bountiful and so learn how to make salsa or give some away. Just have a good day and help out those that you can if you can. Have a good weekend, I'll update the blog if the NHC ups the percentages for those faraway distant waves.

Besos BobbiStorm
@bobbistorm on Twitter and Instagram