Hurricane Harbor: May 15th Start of the EPAC Hurricane Season - 2 Weeks til Atlantic Hurricane Season. Signs of Chance Down the Road

First off this is our world above.

A continuous flow from the Pacific to the Atlatnic.

Heavy precipitation over Florida.

Early start to the Monsoon Season in South Florida.

A last minute reprieve of cool weather before summer starts.

It's 63 degrees in Raleigh as I type this but it will be 91 on Saturday.

These late Spring intrusions of cool weather are nice.

They do bring the threat of severe weather.

The five day expectations are rather high in two areas.

A huge two fold threat across the plains.

Severe weather.

Flooding could be a secondary problem.

River flooding depends on the location of the actual rain.

But potential for wild weather has every chaser in the plains.

And look at Florida.

One part of the moisture pulls North.

Another part heads East.

Below the graphics show the EPAC concerns...

....as well as a good bird's eye view of possibilities.

www.spaghettimodels.com

There is a small purple swatch in the EPAC.

As I have mentioned previous there is moisture congregating.

Moisture hanging out and lingering is the first sign.

That goes for the Pacific and the Atlantic.

Storms fly off of South America and linger in the EPAC.

That process is the same as us watching Africa for storms.

Note the green color in the second middle graphic.

Rain expected... heightened potential.

Note the bottom middle pattern.

Tropical intensity index bright red.

Note some orange is creeping into the Caribbean.

I suppose we can call this Tropical Hollywood Squares :)

The truth is I love Mike's mind the way I love Anastasia eye shadow palettes in that they are put together perfectly to draw you in and make you want more. Mike, who plays at being silly and is silly, is brilliant and displays his graphics in such a way as to help you see the larger picture. They are positioned in a way to help you understand the various factors in the type of weather you are trying to find. Understanding Tropical Meteorology is a whole different layer of meteorology than asking if it will snow this week or when the drought might end. Tropical meteorology and forecasting is complicated as there are so many factors that are added it's like trying to taste one flavor while eating the Kitchen Sink Ice Cream Bowl at a late night trip to your favorite ice cream parlor. And when I say Ice Cream Parlor I mean the real thing not Menchie's which is fun but not a real Ice Cream Parlor! For those who drink it's like trying to taste the gin in a Long Island Ice Tea!