A Serious Look at the Tropics Monday Night (Football..) - Humberto ... Gabrielle Again & Possible GOM Storm..
Let's start with our huge Tropical Storm and candidate to be the first hurricane of the 2013 Season.
Humberto looking like an eye is about to pop out any minute:
That's not wishcasting that's a done deal... another storm reforms in the Atlantic Basin in 2013..
A loop of the vortex itself can be traced all the way back and it would be named Gabrielle "if" it were to become a tropical cyclone again and it sure looks like a case has been made to do so though the Navy has not yet changed it's main page. Hey...the night is young.
A look at the models for Invest 92 aka Gabrielle Again... all patched up and spinning again.. and it may have Bermuda in it's sights...
Check out this loop...
Song to loop by....
Tonight we are going to have a serious look at a few tropical questions on the Atlantic Hurricane Map.
First off... a big kudos aka congratulations on the NHC moving up and updating their main page with high tech, state of the art effects that many of the online sites already use. It is akin to going on Drudge and seeing a new banner that doesn't look like Clark Kent made a News Page. (That's as serious as I can get today... but honest)
If you click on Gabrielle it will take you to this zoom in...zoom out page with the 5 day "cone" on it. Sort of looks more like a blueberry question mark, but I love it and glad they decided to be as competitive as they can be and should be on their main page. News is news... weather models and maps are and can be easily interactive and can name many sites that have changed their main page.
Another "like" "like" is their new graphical forecast discussion.
We go to the NHC for the "discussion" but it's nice to have nice maps as well... to paraphrase the Playboy magazine quote.
The NHC may wait until the morning to make sure Gabrielle makes it through the night, but they have already upped their circles to Orange Alert and 40% and only time will tell. Lord knows they have been burned by the dysfunctional Gabrielle too many times this season.
What the loop above does show is the demise of the Bermuda High... oddly by an unnamed storm that punched it's way up to the NW and has made it to 53W tonight... and behind it a high is building in above Humberto which is a real "oh my" even though Humberto was expected to go west for a day or so.. not sure we can close the door to any possibilities with regard to Humberto though CLIMO would tell you to bet on it being a Fish storm in the Eastern Atlantic.
The SW Carib is RED HOT and the chance of a storm forming and moving into the Gulf of Mexico is very possible in the next week. Which means in a week or less we could have 3 advisories daily with a Carib/GOM storm and Gabrielle and Humberto. Not probable, but definitely possible.
And, over Africa there are more waves where Humberto came from...
Look at the African Wave Train now...
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 09/2100Z 13.7N 25.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 10/0600Z 14.1N 26.6W 55 KT 65 MPH 24H 10/1800Z 14.8N 28.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 11/0600Z 16.1N 28.8W 75 KT 85 MPH 48H 11/1800Z 18.2N 29.3W 80 KT 90 MPH 72H 12/1800Z 22.5N 30.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 13/1800Z 25.5N 32.0W 65 KT 75 MPH 120H 14/1800Z 26.5N 35.5W 55 KT 65 MPH