Something About Dorian. Please Send Him a Copy of His Obit.
All that is left of Dorian. Still firing up. Doesn't seem to know they downgraded him.
Someone needs to send him the MEMO and his OBIT.
Keeps firing up. Waves are fun to watch.. even ex-storms.
Joe Bastardi posted this on Twitter this evening. Shows Dorian alive in 84 Hours .. the NAM model. That model is good with weak storms and short term forecasts ..
This is the state of the tropics tonight which you will probably be reading on Sunday Morning.
What is left of Dorian (which keeps firing up) is headed towards the shear zone from an ULL that is blasting thru PR as if it is some sort of salvation shield protecting the islands from a storm. Sort of like Marilyn Monroe standing over that infamous grate.. some thing's got to give.
The shear is strong and Dorian's remnants are not.
I would never ever count out the remnants of a storm that lasted this long from a small outside possibility that it finds a way to blow up. and, an ULL can make a wave.. any wave ..look like it's blowing up. But, that is far from having a closed center of circulation.
This is his official Obit from the NHC.
ZCZC MIATCDAT4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM REMNANTS OF DORIAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042013 500 PM AST SAT JUL 27 2013 ASCAT AMBIGUITY DATA FROM A FEW HOURS AGO INDICATED THAT DORIAN NO LONGER HAD A CLOSED SURFACE CIRCULATION. THUS...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE HAS SUCCUMBED TO THE HARSH ENVIRONMENT AND HAS DEGENERATED INTO A TROPICAL WAVE. THE MAXIMUM WIND SPEED IS STILL ABOUT 35 KT ACCORDING TO THE ASCAT PASS. REGENERATION OF THIS SYSTEM IS UNLIKELY DUE TO PERSISTENT SOUTHWESTERLY SHEAR AND VERY DRY AIR IN THE MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. THE REMNANTS OF DORIAN SHOULD PASS NORTH OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO...AND BE IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS IN 2-3 DAYS. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THE WAVE TOMORROW...IF NECESSARY. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 27/2100Z 18.9N 54.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...REMNANTS OF DORIAN 12H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BLAKE NNNN