Hurricane Harbor: Nadine and Oscar. Will We See Them Form from Invest 94L & SW Carib Blob? Both Have Chances. Cold Fronts Moving Past Carolinas Down to Florida. 58 Degrees at 11 AM As I Write This Blog. Brr... Love It. Definitely They Have Chances... Keep Watching & Try & Catch The Comet Tonight!

Cold front top left!

Weak, wandering Nicole wannabe to the right.

Note high pressure above Nicole wannbe

Ps Nicole has a traveling partner.

Down in Carib ... Nicole or Oscar.

Depends if 94L does the deed!!

Nicole and Oscar the names up next!

Keep reading.

Remember I have a degree in English.

Writing... Creative and some Journalism.

So doing the forecast in poetry and prose.

Yes, there are colorful circles to follow, we will watch and see what they do so more on that further down the blog. Let's first discuss the steering currents and conditions they will deal with as they attempt to develop. There are equally stronger cold fronts that are sliding down...one after another... like strands of pearls across the South edging their way towards Florida. Invest 94L is trying really hard, put on a show for a while and then took a break when the NHC probably began getting interested and then took a break again. When Invests are in an area in the ocean that would seem wet as there is water there.... the atmosphere above it is dry still. As they inch closer to the more moist tropical islands they seem to perk up as if they smell really delicious Jamaican Blue Coffee in the tropical wind and pull it together with dreams of going far and finding fame and getting the best coffee anywhere!

The fly in the ointment is there are cold fronts and cold fronts do a few things:
1. They dig deep pushing high pressure down into the Caribbean.
2. They can pick up a developing storm and swing it out to sea into the Atlantic.
3. They can force the the storm or hurricane to barrel West until the high pressure weakens.
4. They can send a hurricane into Central America.
5. Eventually the steering currents collapse and if the storm is still there... things get interesting.

Who remembers Matthew's stall down by the coast of South America, totally ignoring land interence as ifi it wasn't dumping flooding rains on parts of the South American coastline? Finally, like Sandy it found it's way North navigating through the Windward Passage and grabbed the next cold front North.

Note while things like that can happen this time of year.... they are rare and usually only happen with extraordinary storms such as Matthew and Sandy. Stay tuned. Currently there are not tropical systems making landfall on CONUS (the US coastline) but we may have a threat to PR and the Virgin Islands IF it develops and keeps going the way it's going.

The SW Carib thing is at a yellow 30% and the orange thing is at a higher 60% "almost there" but it's friendly fan behind it is doing that thing that 2020s tropical systems do developing a blob behind it adding to jokes and threats to make a tee shirt with 2 blobs together and a smile. Mike asked if he should do that or... and all I can say is "hahaha" but any girl with Double Ds most likely isn't going to wear it unless really desperate for a guy to notice. Again, look at Matthew up above.... was bizarre and that was in 2016 so maybe it's a 2000 thing as I don't remember them doing this so often, but does make for jokes online and stunning weather art or as some say weather porn.

Okay........where was I? Keeping this Simple... right. The yellow jelly bean has higher chances of going into Central America, unless a piece it gets stuck behind and needs to be watched. Honestly, right?

The orange Atlantic cruiser that came from Africa still bears watching. Models are not consistent in the long game, while the short game is westbound or WNW and again the Islands need to watch it as does Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and I'd add Cuba. Florida will watch it no matter what but Flordians be digging through their closet looking for that strong cold front that's diving down.