Northern Lights Last Night Dazzled Everyone Who Saw Them... Needed Some Uplifting. Rumors on Development in SW Carib. Watching. Please Donate to Reliable Charities for Helene & Milton Relief.

 

First off... It's not on the 7 day by the NHC.
Yes, NHC has seen models.
Yes, I have seen models.
Something could develop but...
..signals mixed and weak currently.

As you can see in the beautiful satellite image below that is the one that will show anything if it's there as the colors are bright and beautiful and make every little drop of convection show best in bright reds. And, syes down in the SW Carib there's the area we are all watching, waiting on models to give us better guidance and personally waiting to breathe for a day or two more before jumping back in the ocean of tropical discussions on a possible new named storm.  Being honest. If I thought it was a semi-immediate concern I'd be all over it here on the blog and on X. There's weather there and we are watching it. We are at that stage where models come, go, see it and lose it and spray possible tracks everywhere and mostly I'm talking ensemble models as regular models still showing a very weak system. I don't rely on models that far out and usually it takes a few days after a Major Hurricane such as Milton to leave for the atmosphere on many levels clears out on multiple levels, especially upper level atmosphere.

Also note the signs of the cold front in the Atlantic off the Carolinas, beautiful light blue dots in a sea of dark blue. Also note down below in the Eastern Caribbean there are colors of almost violet in the blue, that remind me of how the sky looked last night when the Northern Lights came out in the Carolinas and danced and shown this wild Violet hue.

We are moving deeper into Autumn, the windows are open here and it's freezing with the ceiling fan on low that I am slow to turn off. I wore my favorite black Victoria Secret's hoodie last night when we went for a drive to where it was darker to see the lights better and by the time we got there shade of blue and green mixed in as the violet went away replaced at times by bright Barbie Pink and then they dimmed.

Black and white above.

Blue WV loop below.

Isn't that beautiful.

Invest 94L is by Africa.

Short term curves, long term questions.

Keep an eye on it...

..while obsessing on Carib as some of you are.

Speaking of Carib

Purple splotch...

Nadine and Oscar next 2 names.

Carib has a purple splotch

So there's the Carib area.

Lower chances than African Wave.

But should be a yellow circle eventually there.

I'm not posting models as they are only until the next model comes out and there's always a model running somewhere. This is not rocket science, it's October... heading into Mid October and there's one general track they all take with various slight differences. Michael hit Panhandle of Florida, Matthew hit Carolinas and Sandy hit NYC all October systems that went "Boo!" in October. There are variations based on where they form and the currents that week so the map is below, models are within that guide. Generally GFS is bullish and other models not so much. EURO more interested currently on African Wave Invest 94L.

Sorry for any typos, allergies with eyes today is bad even with allergy meds and I'm okay with that as it means the weather is changing, it's cool and beautiful and trees are changing colors. 

I'll be back on Sunday morning to discuss what we have and maybe by then it'll be a colorful X in the Deep Carib. 

IF it forms it'll go somewhere in that area.

Models will nail it down.

NHC will make it an Invest

Currently...there's an Invest off Africa.

I'd watch that one..

...could do something tricky!

Besos

BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter and Insta

Twitter mostly weather

Insta whatever.