Hurricane Oscar and TD Nadine. Tropics Saturday Night.

 

Look at that high pressure across the SE.

Lots of high pressure to go around.

Hurricane Oscar and TD Nadine.

Hello Saturday Night!

Back online looking at Oscar and Nadine. No real surprise here. Models showed this for a while, before dropping it and NHC lowering expectations and seems long range models were right. 

Oscar's cone takes him sharply NE into the Atlantic.

What bugs me reading discussion from NHC ...

...and wind profile arrival time don't connect.

I know I've been offline but anyone ask this?

Itsy bitsy hurricane.

It's like the dots don't connect.

NRL map looks right.

Only curiousity here is Oscar's wind probs in that often there is every possibility, but they've got Jamaica in the Wind probs and this is a tiny (NHC words not mine) hurricane so shouldn't have such a wide wind prob profile. Then again they seem at a loss to explain the hurricane strength as their discussion explains none of their models showed that happening. So I wonder what else have their models not seen coming?

Link to wind probabilities:

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSAT1+shtml/192041.shtml

Weird.

Moving on to Nadine.

Nadine a TD now.

Fairly close to Oscar.

Not much to say.

What will Oscar do?

Will see tomorrow.

Being offline was actually nice. Really got to enjoy the beautiful Fall colors here outside, the sky so blue there's no name for that color other than "OH MY GOSH LOOK HOW BLUE THE SKY IS" when Carolina is beautiful it's beautiful. Nice friends, good food and a nice break from the day to day routine. 

Besos BobbiStorm

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