Tropical Opportunities. Does Mother Nature Capitalize on Them?? African Wave .. .MDR Wave Showing Signs of Life. GOM Filled with Moisture. Is This Going To Be a CV Season or Caribbean Season?

Let's look at this cool image. TWC

Hard to ignore the right red near Africa.

ITCZ .. mid way wave some color.

Orange in GOM

Little tropical symbol in ATL lol

That's our 10% in 2 days... 

..can't wait to see the 2 PM.

(said sarcastically lol)

20% yellow submarine.

Does NHC put up a new yellow area?

Near Africa?

Let's look at the wave....

There's so much hanging on this wave.  Online people are hopeful or snarky or ready to stick a fork in the whole season.  Why you ask? I mean it's "only August" still and yet honestly the waves over Africa are not very promising. This wave has a sense of circulation to it and that's new as most waves have come off with lots of promising color but no "there" ....there and then the wave is barely there after a day or so.

I've heard people say "waves looking good over Africa" the last few weeks and my head quietly goes "huh?" because the waves haven't been so good. Best waves were way back when Beryl came off to much excitement online even though it was June too soon but not for Beryl. Little system East of Africa to watch but wave train is meh. 

MDR got some pink on Mimic.

That wave is trying to get a circulation going.

Stay tuned... may take a while.

GOM has lots of moisture.

Fast flow due to strong High to the East.

This area has been persistent.

Sometimes pressures lower.

ULL involved.

Upper Level Lows sometimes develop.

They suck in too much moisture.

Moisture gets caught in them.

Works their way into lower levels.

Pressures drop.

Close in surprise development.

Surprise because ....

...everyone watching the MDR

Last thing I will say today is this........I have said this year several times we are running 3 weeks to a month ahead of schedule and Beryl showed that, as did a very cold cold front last week and one expected next week in Carolinas. The MDR may or may not produce, in theory even in crappy seasons we squeeze a few systems out of an unwelcoming MDR. But, what I'm looking at is the very friendly, welcoming Caribbean may produce strong hurricanes many will look back and wish had never formed. The latent heat in the SW Carib or down near South America can produce Mitch and Matthew like systems and storms near the Yucatan can create Michael sort of hurricanes or wild Wilma. 

One way or the other we will have something named to talk about soon nuff. Just a matter of time.

Have an awesome August 28th!

Besos BobbiStorm

@bobbistorm on Twitter

Twitter mostly weather

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love this song....

...reminds me of California days.

A whole lotta ppl were loving this song too..